John Paczkowski

Recent Posts by John Paczkowski

iPad Production Is on Track. No, It’s Not. Yes, It Is.

Seems there’s a bit of disagreement over those rumored iPad production issues we’ve been hearing about.

Last week, Canaccord Adams analyst Peter Misek warned that a bottleneck at Apple’s manufacturing partner might limit initial availability of the device or delay its launch. Then yesterday, Digitimes–not the most reliable of sources–published a report suggesting there would be no such inventory issues or delays.

Now, ThinkEquity analyst Vijay Rakesh has issued a note echoing Misek’s claim.

“Our checks in Taiwan indicate some minor delays on the iPad,” Rakesh writes. “The manufacturing of the iPads was supposed to pick up in February, but volumes even in March are still low. Current volumes are much lower than the market expected but most checks are indicating minor delays.”

Rakesh says his checks suggest that iPad production volumes are currently at about 200K to 250K for the month, but should ramp up to 800K to one million per month by April or May. “We believe this is just a minor hiccup in a longer-term entirely new revenue stream and product roadmap for [Apple],” he says.

Who best to believe, if we are to believe anyone at all? Honestly, I have no idea. As I mentioned, Digitimes doesn’t exactly have a great track record when it comes to Apple (AAPL) rumors. Neither does Misek, really. That said, the fact that channel checks conducted by two research houses both found production issues in Apple’s iPad manufacturing, suggests there may be something here.


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