Peter Kafka

Recent Posts by Peter Kafka

Just How Good Will Google's Q2 Numbers Be?

Google reports Q2 earnings on Thursday, so consider this a preview: Search ad spending jumped 24 percent in the last quarter, says Efficient Frontier.

The search engine marketing company’s estimates fit nicely with Wall Street, which thinks Google will post a revenue jump of 22.5 percent, on average. No surprise there: Google (GOOG) pretty much is the search market–hence the Microsoft (MSFT)/Yahoo (YHOO) Hail Mary. And analysts usually take input from firms like Efficient Frontier to get to their numbers anyway.

Okay. Anything else we should know? Here are a couple factoids: Efficient Frontier attributes the rise in large part to a big bump in retail spending, and says cost-per-click prices have jumped 18 percent in the last year. Left unsaid, so I’ll say it anyway: These numbers are compared to pretty soft comps from last year.


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Moore’s Law means that more and more things can be done practically for free, if only it weren’t for those people who want to be paid. People are the flies in Moore’s Law’s ointment. When machines get incredibly cheap to run, people seem correspondingly expensive.

— From Jaron Lanier’s new book, “Who Owns the Future?” excerpted on Wired.com

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