John Paczkowski

Recent Posts by John Paczkowski

Is an "iPhone Lite" Still an iPhone?

There’s little doubt that Apple’s share of the smartphone market–particularly in emerging countries–would benefit from a less expensive version of the iPhone–an “iPhone Lite.”

But can the company even build one?

That seems a daunting task, particularly if the intent is to reduce the cost of the device to the point where carriers could subsidize most or all its retail price, while retaining the features that make it uniquely an iPhone.

In other words, can Apple build a mass market iPhone that is still an iPhone?

Needham analyst Charlie Wolf doesn’t think so. “Apple’s designers and engineers would have to pull a rabbit of a hat to accomplish it,” he said, noting that simply reducing the iPhone’s size isn’t really a viable option. “Such a move would dramatically reduce the value of the iPod module for video viewing as well as the size of Web sites accessed through the Safari browser. A smaller screen would also degrade the experience in using some applications.”

Other strategies, like drastically reducing the iPhone’s internal storage, wouldn’t do much good either. Going from 16GB to 4GB would reduce the device’s bill of materials by only about $30. And even if Apple were able to whittle it down further, margins on the device would likely drop to an unappealing level for a company that is accustomed to high ones.

“Bottom line, Apple has a delicate balancing act on its hands,” said Wolf. “It could modestly reduce costs and the iPhone would still be an iPhone. Going beyond that, the iPhone would no longer be an iPhone.”

That’s a reasonable argument if you assume Apple’s strategy is to reduce costs by removing things from the current iPhone.

But what if the company’s strategy is to build an entirely new iPhone for the prepaid market? What if it were to build a feature phone version of the iPhone, one with a mass-produced chip, a lower resolution screen, less on-board storage and no app store, just a handful of built-in apps? That seems a hell of a lot easier than painstakingly removing features from the iPhone 4 or 3Gs to the point where it’s suitable for the prepaid market. And as many an analyst has pointed out a lower-tier iPhone–one free of the required $70+ a month voice-and-data service plan–could be quite the bonanza for Apple.

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[Image credit: Unwired View]


comments so far. Add yours.

  • http://twitter.com/Charlesknight Charlesknight

    “What if it were to build a feature phone version of the iPhone, one with a mass-produced chip, a lower resolution screen, less on-board storage and no app store, just a handful of built-in apps?”

    You might as well be asking when will Apple start using Android as it’s OS platform. Absolutely nothing about such a move fits with anything we know about Apple.

  • Anonymous

    Why would they even bother? Apple seems to be doing quite well with iPhones and all their other product lines withou this nuicance.

  • Anonymous

    Apple already has a less-expensive, low-end iPhone. It is called “iPod touch.” iOS, App Store, iTunes+iPod, Retina Display, FaceTime, 8GB storage, and so on, all for $229. They already have a feature phone -type device called iPod nano for $149 with 8GB, touch, nano apps, iPod. All they lack is 3G modems, but with the cost of components dropping, especially the basic 8GB storage, isn’t is possible they could add 3G modems to those devices for the 2011 models and keep prices the same? Especially when that gets nano users buying music wirelessly on the device?

    Plus, in keeping with custom, in 2011, iPhone 4 16GB drops to $449 to replace iPhone 3GS, and iPhone 4G with 32/64GB takes over the $599/$699 spot.

    So Apple’s 2011 phone lineup could be:

    • iPhone nano 8GB $149
    • iPhone lite 8GB $229 (previously iPod touch)
    • iPhone 4 16GB $449
    • iPhone 4G 32GB $599
    • iPhone 4G 64GB $699

    Of course, those are retail prices. Subsidies could reduce those prices by $149-$400. Making the lineup go from free up to $299.

    Also, since FaceTime is VoIP, it’s possible that the former iPods in the above lineup could get by with just an iPad-style data plan, reducing the monthly bill to less than $50 to match feature phone pricing, but potentially going as low as $25. That is where most of the expense is. Even if iPod nano did not have a FaceTime camera, audio-only calls could run over the same FaceTime VoIP network.

    Of course, if they were doing this, they would probably want to combine their June iPhone and September iPod events into one event where they launched the whole lineup plus iOS 5, which would also spruce up a 6 month old iPad for the holidays. That would mean a developer preview of iOS in June at WWDC, but no hardware. That is exactly what seems to be happening so far.

    The funny thing these days is people are trying to guess the future, but Apple is just running the iPod playbook. The iPod was $399 in 2001, $299 in 2002, and people still were saying PlaysForSure (Android) would have most of the market in cheap iPod clones. Then Apple made a whole lineup of iPods with shuffle, mini/nano, classic, and took the oxygen out of the market for competitors. Why wouldn’t they do the same with phones? And if they could ship an iPod shuffle without click wheel and screen, they can ship an iPhone nano without App Store, giving the user 16 built-in apps and adding to them for free as required. They could even get select developers to do Angry Birds nano and so on for iPhone nano.

    I mean, the idea that Apple can’t do a full lineup of phones is crazy.

  • http://www.itrush.com Cool New Gadgets

    Interesting question.. let’s see how apple answer this one.. lightly..

  • Anonymous

    Hold on, lemme think for a sec …

    Oh, yeah: CHINA.

  • Anonymous

    Savitz on Sacconaghi’s interview with Tim Cook in Feb.

    “The analyst says Cook “appeared to reaffirm the notion that Apple is likely to develop lower priced offerings” to expand the market for the iPhone. Cook said the company is planning “clever things” to address the prepaid market, and that Apple did not want its products to be “just for the rich,” and that the company is “not ceding any market.”

  • Anonymous

    Hi John,

    Thanks for the response. So, the poor rice farmers need a discounted phone? Well, granted I hadn’t thought of that. Suppose you may have a point there. If they decide to address the discount market, China would be as good a place as any.

    However; when you discount a quality product from a company like Apple, you cheapen the brand. I have a hard time believing they would risk that domestically. Truth be told, I’m not convinced it would be a good idea even in developing countries. Apple’s brand (read quality) is what sells. Not sure this pre-paid bic lighter iPhone is going to happen for that very reason… BRANDING.

    If they could spin the offering into one of their existing products (such as JohnDoey mentions below), then maybe. But remember, and iPhone is an iPhone for a reason, if it has to compromise on hardware for a lower $, then it’s no longer an iPhone… and I don’t think they’ll risk it.

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Tony-Mills/1099638671 Tony Mills

    The iPod was the gateway drug for the iPhone and iPad. Selling a new model that uses the old components could produce a product that is good and inexpensive. Sold at a very narrow margin, it would get those folks into the “Apple” camp. And once you’ve tasted the kool-aid…….

  • Anonymous

    Rice farmers? C’mon. As of Feb. 2011 there were 859 million mobile subscribers in China. Last year, smartphone sales accounted for about 27 percent of all cell phone sales in the country. There is an enormous opportunity here for a lower-tier iPhone, one that retains the elegance and quality for which Apple is known, the same way the iPod nano did and does.

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Adam-Carey/564633232 Adam Carey

    I agree that it would be hard for Apple to build a ‘cheap iPhone’. But what if it wasn’t an ‘iPhone’ but (Branded) something else, like an ePhone? tPhone?

    Runs a light iOS, small screen, far less apps. However, it still delivered an ‘Apple’ experience.

    Elegant, simple, chrome and white. China will gobble them up, as will the rest of the world.

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I break down a product the same way I break down a character I’m going to play. I try to get inside the mind of that person — the user, the consumer — and figure out why they’re doing something and what they want from it.

— Ashton Kutcher’s investing philosophy