John Paczkowski

Recent Posts by John Paczkowski

45 Million iPads in 2011?

Demand for Apple’s new iPad 2 has been off the charts since the device first debuted. And while supplies continue to be constrained (online ship times in the States remain at two to three weeks), supply chain chatter suggests that 2011 sales may surpass even the most bullish analyst estimates.

Ticonderoga Securities analyst Brian White says component suppliers in China and Taiwan believe Apple will sell far more iPads than expected.

“During our visit to Asia last fall, we indicated that our checks were pointing to expectations for up to 45 million iPad unit sales by Apple,” says White. “At the time, this number was difficult for many investors and some in the media to get their heads around. However, this week’s meetings are again pointing to expectations for iPad unit sales of 40 million to 45 million units in CY11, well above our estimate of 30.9 million.”

Sounds a tad optimistic. But who knows. In the end, Apple will sell as many iPads as it can build. And we’ll get a better idea of that number when the company reports second-quarter results next week.


comments so far. Add yours.

  • http://twitter.com/oldgoatguide Richard Keggans

    Wow. We love to throw around big numbers, but when you think about that for a moment it’s pretty impressive for a segment that was almost non-existent until recently.

  • http://profiles.google.com/kevin.hernandez Kevin Hernandez

    By the end of the year production of Ipads (Ipad 2 and or 3) will be double what it is now.

  • Anonymous

    Every new iOS device sells 2x its predecessor, so 30 million is an easy estimate given last year’s 15 million.

    Last year, they had a 2 per customer limit and didn’t even take corporate orders until many months in. This year, there are a lot of corporations and schools who already tested iPad 1 and will by hundreds of iPad 2. That could account for another 10-15 million.

    Also, iPad 2 is in many more countries than 1. The addressable market is expanding, not just demand.

    They could sell 100 million in 2012. Who knew the Windows PC was on the Mayan calendar?

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