Research In Motion: Estimates Coming Down

Published on November 13, 2008
by Eric Savitz

Research In Motion (RIMM) turns out to be yet another company that simply can’t escape the clutches of the crumbling global economy.

Several analysts weighed in today with estimate cuts, pressuring the stock.

Merrill Lynch’s Vivek Arya cut this EPS estimate for the fiscal third quarter ended November to 80 cents from 95 cents, which is now below the Street at 92 cents. For the February 2009 fiscal year, he goes to $3.45, from $3.61, and for 2010, he goes to $4.08, from $4.45. Arya cited a number of factors for the downgrade, including macro headwinds, the late North American launch of both the Storm and the Bold, and increased competition from the Apple (AAPL) iPhone. He also notes that warnings from Best Buy, Circuit City and Intel suggest we are in for weak consumer demand in calendar Q4. “While smartphone demand would normally be more resilient due to carrier promotions and productivity benefits, the current environment demands caution,” he writes. His target price on the stock drops to $65, from $80.

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