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	<title>AllThingsD &#187; collapse</title>
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		<title>Daily Deal Deflated: Groupon-Google Talks End</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20101203/breaking-groupongoogle-talks-end/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20101203/breaking-groupongoogle-talks-end/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 04 Dec 2010 00:50:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=38079</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The acquisition talks between Google and Groupon have ended.

"It's as over as these things get," said one person close to the situation.

The reasons for the collapse of the discussion are not clear at this moment, but it seems to center on the decision by the social buying site to remain independent and perhaps go for an IPO.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2010/12/monopoly-guy.gif"><img src="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2010/12/monopoly-guy-275x295.gif" alt="" title="monopoly-guy" width="250" height="250" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-38093" /></a></p>
<p>The acquisition talks between Google and Groupon have ended.</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s as over as these things get,&#8221; said one person close to the situation.</p>
<p>The reasons for the collapse of the discussions are not clear at this moment, but it seems to center on the decision by the social buying site to remain independent and perhaps go for an IPO.</p>
<p>There are sure to be conflicting stories over the next few days. Did Google get cold feet first? Was there a tussle over a breakup fee, in case of too much regulatory scrutiny? Were the cultural differences too much?</p>
<p>As BoomTown <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20101203/exclusive-groupon-annual-revenues-actually-2-billion/">reported earlier today</a>, the annual revenue run rate for Groupon is $2 billion.</p>
<p>Groupon gets to keep about half of that and the rest goes to the myriad merchants it strikes deals with worldwide.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s still tremendous growth since its founding in 2008.</p>
<p>And that&#8217;s why Silicon Valley search giant Google and Chicago-based start-up Groupon have been in talks in recent weeks about a <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20101129/googles-groupon-offer-5-3-billion-with-700-million-earnout/">mammoth acquisition</a> at a $6 billion price tag.</p>
<p>Groupon had turned down a bid of $3 billion from Yahoo earlier this year.</p>
<p>Now, it&#8217;s likely that the company will begin a new funding process.</p>
<p>Its closest competitor&#8211;LivingSocial&#8211;<a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20101202/livingsocial-gets-175-million-amazon-investment-like-boomtown-said">just got $175 million</a> in a strategic investment from Amazon.</p>
<p>Chicago Breaking Business first <a href="http://chicagobreakingbusiness.com/2010/12/sources-groupon-rejects-googles-offer-will-stay-independent.html">posted a report of the talks ending</a>, also citing a desire to be independent on the part of Groupon.</p>
<p><em>Please see <a href="http://allthingsd.com/about/kara-swisher/ethics/">this disclosure</a> related to me and Google.</em></p>
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		<title>Sina-Focus Media Deal Collapses</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20090928/sina-focus-media-deal-collapses/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20090928/sina-focus-media-deal-collapses/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Sep 2009 21:00:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tiernan Ray</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://voices.allthingsd.com/?p=15946</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Chinese Web portal and mobile phone content provider Sina's deal to acquire the billboard operations in China of Focus Media Holding has collapsed today, almost ten months after it was first announced.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Chinese Web portal and mobile phone content provider Sina&#8217;s (SINA) deal to acquire the billboard operations in China of Focus Media Holding (FMCN) has collapsed today, almost ten months after it was first announced. The deal had been a thorn in Sina&#8217;s side since it was announced on December 22 last year, and has been the subject of intense scrutiny among sell-side analysts in the past week. Focus Media shares rose 20 percent from Monday to Friday last week on expectations that terms would be restructured to allow the sale to go ahead.</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2009/09/28/sina-deal-for-focus-media-unit-collapses/">Read the rest of this post on the original site</a></p>
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		<title>Is Media Spending Up? It Better Be.</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20090908/is-media-spending-up-it-better-be/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20090908/is-media-spending-up-it-better-be/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Sep 2009 18:00:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Lehman Brothers]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=10757</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Another "things are looking up, sort of, maybe" report from medialand:  A survey of advertisers says that many of them intend to increase their spending in the coming months. Except for those who say they're going to decrease spending. Bigger picture: A year ago, things started getting downright terrible, which is going to make it a lot easier to say that things have improved today.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/05/light-tunnel.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-7416" title="light-tunnel" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/05/light-tunnel-250x167.jpg" alt="light-tunnel" width="250" height="167" /></a>Another &#8220;things are looking up, sort of, maybe&#8221; report from medialand: A survey of advertisers says that many of them intend to increase their spending in the coming months. Except for those who say they&#8217;re going to decrease spending.</p>
<p>Helpful, right? Check out this <a href="http://www.mediapost.com/publications/?fa=Articles.showArticle&amp;art_aid=113021">MediaPost</a> piece if you want more on the survey, conducted by media-buying shop Round2 Communications.</p>
<p>The bigger picture: This week, as you&#8217;ll hear over and over again, is the one-year anniversary of the Lehman Brothers collapse. The BBC has both a <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b00mq34n">radio drama</a> and a <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b00mq34n">made-for-TV movie</a> commemorating/dramatizing the event.</p>
<p>Which means it&#8217;s the one-year anniversary of the economy&#8217;s collapse from recession to (short-lived) catastrophe. Which means this is the one-year anniversary of the collapse of the advertising business. Which means that any year-over-year results you see now had best show an increase because they&#8217;re going up against positively brutal comparisons from 12 months ago.</p>
<p>Remember: This ad drop was so bad that even <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090716/google-revenue-in-line-earnings-a-pleasant-surprise/">Google (GOOG) flatlined</a> for a bit.</p>
<p>So if and when you do see <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090813/another-hint-of-very-cautious-optimism-for-the-ad-market/">signs of a rebound</a>, make sure you&#8217;re looking at them with some perspective: There&#8217;s just about nowhere to go but up. Right?</p>
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		<title>A Google Lawyer Waves Goodbye, Lands at Twitter</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20090712/a-google-lawyer-waves-goodbye-lands-at-twitter/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20090712/a-google-lawyer-waves-goodbye-lands-at-twitter/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Jul 2009 14:38:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=9200</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We're used to seeing Google vets leave for Facebook. Now they're headed to Twitter.

The buzzy microblogging service has just grabbed its highest-profile Google exec to date: Alexander Macgillivray, a deputy general counsel at the search firm, is coming aboard as Twitter's top lawyer.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/07/macgillivray.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-9201" title="macgillivray" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/07/macgillivray-250x166.jpg" alt="macgillivray" width="250" height="166" /></a>We&#8217;re used to seeing Google vets leave for Facebook. Now they&#8217;re headed to Twitter.</p>
<p>The buzzy microblogging service has just grabbed its highest-profile Google (GOOG) exec to date: <a href="http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/11/twitter-nabs-a-legal-eagle-from-google/">Alexander Macgillivray</a>, a deputy general counsel at the search firm, is coming aboard as Twitter&#8217;s top lawyer.</p>
<p>Macgillivray is best known as the lead Google attorney on high-profile intellectual property cases like its fights with <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20090702/doj-officially-opens-antitrust-investigation-into-google-book-settlement/?mod=ATD_search">book publishers</a>, the <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20090408/boomtown-decodes-googles-associated-press-blog-so-you-dont-have-to/">Associated Press</a> and <a href="http://theutubeblog.com/2007/04/15/viacom-v-youtubegoogle-their-lawyers-debate-lawsuit/">Viacom</a> (VIA). Twitter has yet to find itself mired in that sort of thing, but give it time.</p>
<p>Macgillivray is just the latest Googler to land at Twitter. Earlier this year, the start-up nabbed <a href="http://blog.twitter.com/2009/03/welcome-doug-bowman.html">Doug Bowman</a>, the search giant&#8217;s lead designer, to join the ranks of <a href="http://twittercism.com/twitter-employees/">several other Googleplex veterans</a>, including, of course, co-founders Ev Williams and Biz Stone.</p>
<p>There are lots of reasons to leave a big company for a scrappy start-up, but just to spell out one obvious one: If you&#8217;re into risk, there is a whole lot more upside at Twitter these days.</p>
<p>The company&#8217;s last funding round pegged its value at $240 million, and if it ends up being acquired in the next few years, that number could be much higher. But Google shares stalled long before last fall&#8217;s stock market collapse (click chart to enlarge):</p>
<p><a rel="lightbox" href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/07/goog-stock-price.png"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-9204" title="goog-stock-price" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/07/goog-stock-price.png" alt="goog-stock-price" width="350" height="197" /></a></p>
<p>[<em>Image credit: <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/docsearls/269871467/">Doc Searls</a></em>] </p>
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		<title>Analyst: The Great Dark Times Cometh!</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20081003/analyst-the-great-dark-times-cometh/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20081003/analyst-the-great-dark-times-cometh/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 04 Oct 2008 00:19:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=6193</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The financial markets’ descent into the maelstrom over the past several weeks is proving quite a test of faith for Collins Stewart analyst Sandeep Aggarwal. Last week he cut his estimates for Yahoo, citing the company’s deteriorating fundamentals. Since then he’s become increasingly dismayed by Wall Street’s continued collapse.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2008/10/mrkt.jpg" alt="" title="mrkt" width="200" height="188" class="alignright size-full wp-image-6194" />The financial markets&#8217; descent into the maelstrom over the past several weeks is proving quite a test of faith for Collins Stewart analyst Sandeep Aggarwal. Last week he cut his estimates for Yahoo (YHOO), citing the company&#8217;s deteriorating fundamentals. Since then he&#8217;s become increasingly dismayed by Wall Street&#8217;s continued collapse, so much so that today he <a href="http://news.cnet.com/8301-1023_3-10057474-93.html">slashed estimates on a host of tech stocks</a>, among them Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT) and comScore (SCOR). &#8220;Failed banks, massive credit crunch, job losses, and lower consumer confidence now characterize the macro economy,” Aggarwal wrote in a Friday research note. “We believe this will hurt the Internet sector more than currently believed.”</p>
<p>And it will hurt some Internet companies more than others.</p>
<p>&#8220;Should the economy run into a recession, this would be only the second downward economic cycle for the Internet. Each Internet company is at a different phase of its evolution,&#8221; Aggarwal added. &#8220;We believe that a possible recession will be felt harder by those companies that have been delivering extremely high organic growth rates, have high operating leverage, or are approaching minimum operating scale levels in 2008-2009.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>PREVIOUSLY:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080930/crawling-from-the-wreckage/">Wall Street: Give Me Something to Stop the Bleeding</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080929/google-meet-your-new-52-week-low/">GOOG at $398? Clearly, You’re Dyslexic</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080926/epic-bail/">WaMu: Epic Bail</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080925/ballmer-better-safe-than-lehman-bros/">Ballmer: Better Safe Than Lehman Bros.</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080923/heck-of-a-job-lehman-brothers/">Lehman Brothers: $2.5 Billion for a Bankruptcy Well Done</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080923/heres-39-billion-in-recognition-for-your-hard-work-on-the-forthcoming-financial-crisis/">Here&#8217;s $39 Billion in Recognition for Your Hard Work on the Forthcoming Financial Crisis</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080922/weekend-at-bernanke’s-ii/">Weekend at Bernanke’s II</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080919/weekend-at-bernankes/">Weekend at Bernankes</a></li>
</ul>
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		<title>SanDisk Falls 10 Percent As Citi Says 2009 Estimates Too High</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20080818/sandisk-falls-10-percent-as-citi-says-2009-estimates-too-high/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20080818/sandisk-falls-10-percent-as-citi-says-2009-estimates-too-high/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 18 Aug 2008 19:21:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tiernan Ray</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://voices.allthingsd.com/?p=2767</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Shares of flash memory chipmaker SanDisk (SNDK) are falling $1.89, almost 11 percent, to $15.75 this afternoon following a note by Citigroup analyst Craig Ellis today that says 2009 earnings estimates are in jeopardy for the company because contract prices for flash are plummeting.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Shares of flash memory chipmaker SanDisk (SNDK) are falling $1.89, almost 11 percent, to $15.75 this afternoon following a note by Citigroup analyst Craig Ellis today that says 2009 earnings estimates are in jeopardy for the company because contract prices for flash are plummeting. The stock had shown some improvement of late, rising 18 percent since the end of July as investors speculated that the worst news is over in this year&#8217;s collapse in flash prices.</p>
<p>Apparently, it isn&#8217;t. Ellis writes that contract pricing in the current quarter looks on track to fall 22 percent, &#8220;worse than our SanDisk royalty model [of] down 10 percent.&#8221; As a result, Ellis says product gross margin for the fourth quarter of this year and for all of next year could be 1 to 3 percentage points lower than the Street&#8217;s modeling.</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2008/08/18/sandisk-falls-10-as-citi-says-2009-estimates-too-high/">Read the rest of this post</a></p>
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