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	<title>AllThingsD &#187; contraction</title>
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		<title>Smart Phones Selling Far Better Than Dumb Ones</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20090520/smartphones-selling-far-better-than-dumb-ones/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20090520/smartphones-selling-far-better-than-dumb-ones/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 May 2009 14:33:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[dumbphone]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=18003</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Global mobile handset sales fell at a record pace in the first quarter of 2009. And they’re likely to do so once again in the second. With the exception of smart phones, which are apparently doing quite well despite the recession.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/05/get_smart_shoe_phonejpg1-250x237.jpg" alt="get_smart_shoe_phonejpg1" title="get_smart_shoe_phonejpg1" width="250" height="237" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-18002" /></p>
<p>Global mobile handset sales fell at a record pace in the first quarter of 2009. And they’re likely to do so once again in the second. That’s the grim news today from Gartner, which reports that <a href="http://www.gartner.com/it/page.jsp?id=985912">first-quarter sales of handsets fell to 269 million units</a>, down 14.5 percent from the fourth quarter of 2008 and 9.4 percent from a year earlier.</p>
<p>&#8220;There were some signs of a recovery in markets such as North America and China, but overall sales in the first quarter of 2009 registered the biggest quarter-on-quarter contraction since Gartner began monitoring the market on a quarterly basis in 2001,&#8221; <a href="http://money.cnn.com/news/newsfeeds/articles/djf500/200905200604DOWJONESDJONLINE000461_FORTUNE5.htm">said Gartner research director Carolina Milanesi</a>. &#8220;We really don&#8217;t see demand stabilizing before the second half of 2010.”</p>
<p>Demand for low-end mobile phones, that is. Smart phones are doing just fine. Their sales rose 12.7 percent to 36 million units. That’s 13.5 percent of all mobile devices sold in the first quarter, up from 11 percent a year earlier. The chief beneficiaries of this trend: Apple (AAPL) and Research in Motion (RIMM).</p>
<p>Apple doubled its share of the smart phone market in the first quarter of 2009, nabbing 10.8 percent of worldwide sales, up from 5.3 percent in the first quarter of 2008. The company sold 3.9 million iPhones during Q1 2009, more than double the 1.7 million it sold in the first quarter of 2008. Meanwhile, RIM&#8217;s share of the smart phone market reached 19.9 percent in the first quarter, up from 13.3 per cent a year earlier. It sold 7.2 million BlackBerry devices to end users, up from 4.3 million in the same period a year earlier.</p>
<p>Incidentally, Nokia (NOK) remains the market leader in smart phones and handsets overall, though its share in both is declining. The company claimed 36.2 percent of the handset market in the first quarter of 2009, down from 39.1 percent in the first quarter of 2008. Its share of the smart phone market dropped to 41.2 percent from 45.1 percent during the same period.</p>
<p>How is it that smart phone makers like Apple and RIM are defying a downturn that’s playing havoc with their dumbphone-manufacturing colleagues? Touchscreens and app stores.</p>
<p>Said Gartner analyst Roberta Cozza: “Much of the smartphone growth during the first quarter of 2009 was driven by touchscreen products, both in midtier and high-end devices. &#8216;Touch for the sake of touch&#8217; was enough of a driver in the midtier space, but tighter integration with applications and services around music, mobile email, and Internet browsing made the difference at the high end of the market.”</p>
<p>Good news for Palm (PALM), which is <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20090519/palm-pre-june-6-19999/">bringing a device that fits that bill to market on June 6</a>.</p>
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		<title>Sad Guys on Sand Hill Road</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20081015/sad-guys-on-sand-hill-road/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20081015/sad-guys-on-sand-hill-road/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Oct 2008 21:05:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bankrupt]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Michael Moritz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Point Cyprus Ventures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sad Guys on Trading Floors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sequoia Capital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Silicon Valley Venture Captalist Confidence Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Carneavale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[VC]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=6842</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sad Guys on Trading Floors may soon have some new photographs of dismay to catalog, if the Silicon Valley Venture Capitalist Confidence Index is any guide. Released this morning, the index puts VC confidence at its lowest point in the five-year history of the survey.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2008/10/sadguy.jpg" alt="" title="sadguy" width="200" height="211" class="alignright size-full wp-image-6843" /><a href="http://sadguysontradingfloors.tumblr.com/">Sad Guys on Trading Floors</a> may soon have some new photographs of dismay to catalog, if <a href="http://www.usfca.edu/sobam/nvc/pub/pdf/US_VC_Index_2008_Q3.pdf">the Silicon Valley Venture Capitalist Confidence Index</a> is any guide. Released this morning, the index puts VC confidence at its lowest point in the five-year history of the survey after its sixth-consecutive quarterly decline. Clearly, the deterioration in the economy is weighing heavily on the typically optimistic VC community.</p>
<p>“This is forming to be a perfect storm for the venture capital industry that may result in a significant contraction of firms and capital,&#8221; explained Steve Carnevale of Point Cyprus Ventures, who believes institutional investors will eventually put less money into venture capital. &#8220;This storm has two fronts.  The U.S. economy and the long investment cycle associated with life sciences and clean tech. First, the economy as a whole. The U.S. is bankrupt as  a country as a result of massive borrowing that has grown over 30 years. This borrowing created an inflated investment portfolio that made available capital to tertiary alternative investments like venture capital. We are at the beginning of a massive de-leveraging that has unprecedented consequences for the economy and the venture capital industry. … The industry will contract not only because of overall economic weakness, but because the fundamental investment cycle will be dramatically longer. … Now the majority of venture capital is going into life sciences and increasingly clean tech. These types of investments will take longer to produce returns then in the traditional VC investments in the computer industry. When institutional investors figure that out, they will reduce their capital availability for this kind of alternative asset.  … Therefore, the VC industry will get sandwiched between the economy and it own fundamentals.”</p>
<p>Ugly times for venture capital. That said, as Sequoia Capital partner Michael Moritz often notes, the best time to invest is often &#8220;when people are cowering under their desks.&#8221; &#8216;Course it was Sequoia that just held that &#8220;<a href="http://venturebeat.com/2008/10/10/the-sequoia-rip-good-times-presentation-get-your-copy-here/">RIP: Good Times</a>&#8221; meeting last week. &#8230;</p>
<p>[<em>Image credit: <a href="http://sadguysontradingfloors.tumblr.com/">Sad Guys on Trading Floors</a></em>]</p>
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