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	<title>AllThingsD &#187; Efficient Frontier</title>
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		<title>The "Mad Men" Years Are Giving Way to the "Math Men" Era</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120120/the-mad-men-years-are-giving-way-to-the-math-men-era/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120120/the-mad-men-years-are-giving-way-to-the-math-men-era/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jan 2012 23:50:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Moore</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[Chris Moore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[digital media buying]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=166001</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I love the "Mad Men" version of the ad business. The storytelling. The simplicity. The glasses of scotch at 10 am. But these days in digital, it feels like the Math Men media buyers (with their terabytes of data) are taking over for the Mad Men creatives.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>“Advertising is based on one thing: Happiness. And you know what happiness is? Happiness is the smell of a new car. It&#8217;s freedom from fear. It&#8217;s a billboard on the side of the road that screams with reassurance that whatever you&#8217;re doing &#8230; It&#8217;s okay. You are okay.”</p>
<p>Don Draper, &#8220;Mad Men,&#8221; Season 1, &#8220;Smoke Gets In Your Eyes&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>I wonder what Don Draper would think today when the 23-year-old digital media buying whiz quips back, “Maybe, but let’s load it up into the system, along with 5,000 other versions of copy, and measure how many Facebook ‘Likes’ it drives within our target demo.”</p>
<p>I love the &#8220;Mad Men&#8221; version of the ad business. The storytelling. The simplicity. The glasses of scotch at 10 am. But these days in digital, it feels like the Math Men media buyers (with their terabytes of data) are taking over for the Mad Men creatives. It may not make for great TV drama, but they’ve got the performance data to prove that it’s their turn in the driver’s seat.</p>
<p>For years, digital ads were bought and sold by young media buyers from ad agencies and smooth salesmen from online publishers and networks, sealed over the modern version of the “three-martini lunch.” But with the steady advancement in online advertising technology over the last ten years, the geeks &#8212; I mean the Math Men &#8212; have gained the upper hand in determining how to spend these digital marketing dollars. Today, ad buying and selling is automated across nearly every digital channel, driven by complex algorithms crunching terabytes of data, all employed to meet rigorous ROI objectives &#8212; typically measured by new customer acquisition, profit margin, or revenues.</p>
<p>It all started in search, where Overture introduced (and Google perfected) a keyword ad marketplace for search pages. We take that marketer proposition for granted now, but it was heretical at the time &#8212; only pay us when a user clicks on your ad (versus every time we show your ad), and you decide how much to pay for that click (versus the same price for every advertiser). And sophisticated marketers took full advantage by leveraging technology platforms from Math Men companies like Efficient Frontier to maximize the efficiency of their search ad spend across millions of keywords, bids and text ad copy. </p>
<p>Since then, several major advances in advertising technology have further enabled the Math Men:</p>
<ul>
<li>Six years ago, Right Media introduced the first ad exchange for display ads, enabling the Math Men and their algorithms to buy and sell banner ads and skyscrapers across the Web. Google subsequently perfected the display exchange via their DoubleClick acquisition as well.</li>
<li>Three years ago, Blue Kai introduced the first ad targeting-data marketplace, enabling the Math Men to leverage anonymous audience targeting data to further enhance marketers’ campaign performance.</li>
<li>A year ago, Facebook launched its own ad platform API to enable Math Men and their algorithms to bid for Facebook ads based on user attributes. It seems likely that Facebook will eventually extend its monetization platform to third-party publishers, similar to what Google did with AdSense, as Facebook already has a strong distribution foothold via Facebook Connect.</li>
</ul>
<p>It feels like we are witnessing the tipping point in digital media buying. Measured by dollars or by impressions, greater than 50 percent of online advertising is bought via APIs today (granted, most of this is still search). In a few years, I believe that 90 percent of all digital ad impressions, and more than 75 percent of digital ad dollars, will be bought and sold programmatically. </p>
<p>As we witnessed with search marketing, once a) marketers get a taste of the increased spend efficiency offered by these emerging platforms, and b) these platforms (and the associated marketer tools) become sufficiently easy to use, the dollars will flow, and quickly. The Math Men at Efficient Frontier are leveraging these display, data and social platforms to deliver superior ad spend performance for marketers across all digital channels today. It’s no longer just about search. </p>
<p>And the Mad Men are taking note. In the last few years, the ad agency holding companies have rolled out their own technology-driven digital ad “trading desks” to help their clients take advantage of these ad trading platforms. I wonder if they’ve replaced the scotch in the mini bars with the Math Men’s drink of choice, Red Bull.</p>
<p><em>Chris Moore is a partner with Redpoint Ventures and has been enabling the digital Math Men with investments in Efficient Frontier, Right Media, Blue Kai, Auditude, Inadco, Extole, Intent Media and eBureau. Follow him on Twitter <a href="http://www.twitter.com/Redpointvc">@Redpointvc</a> and @<a href="http://www.twitter.com/Moorski">Moorski</a>.</em></p>
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		<title>Adobe Adds Another $400 Million to Its Ad Business Shopping Spree</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20111216/adobe-adds-another-400-million-to-its-ad-business-shopping-spree/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20111216/adobe-adds-another-400-million-to-its-ad-business-shopping-spree/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Dec 2011 13:35:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Ad Tech]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Auditude]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cambrian Ventures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Demdex]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=154575</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Last month, Adobe said it was buying search marketing firm Efficient Frontier, but didn't disclose a purchase price. Yesterday, it came clean.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/11/big-fish-little-fish.png"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-148617" title="big fish little fish" src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/11/big-fish-little-fish-380x253.png" alt="" width="380" height="253" /></a>Last month, <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20111130/adobe-makes-another-ad-move-buys-search-marketer-efficient-frontier/">Adobe said it was buying search marketing firm Efficient Frontier</a>, but didn&#8217;t disclose a purchase price. Yesterday, it came clean: The deal will end up costing around <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/314260-adobe-systems-ceo-discusses-q4-2011-results-earnings-call-transcript">$400 million</a>.</p>
<p>That brings the price tag for <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20111101/adobe-moves-deeper-into-the-ad-business/">Adobe&#8217;s two-year ad business shopping spree</a> to $2.4 billion. The bulk of that comes from Adobe&#8217;s 2009 acquisition of Omniture for $1.8 billion; it has also recently picked up Auditude and Demdex.</p>
<p>Adobe&#8217;s appetite for ad technology has been good news for a handful of investors who have been betting on the sector. In the case of Efficient Frontier, the deal is a big win for Mitsui &amp; Co., Redpoint Ventures and Cambrian Ventures, who put less than $15 million into the start-up.</p>
<p>But while lots of VC cash has gone into ad tech in the past few years, there haven&#8217;t been a ton of big exits.</p>
<p>Beyond Adobe, the only other active buyer has been Google. And industry executives say that some ad tech firms looking for more funding are having trouble getting the dollars they want.</p>
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		<title>That Ad Slowdown Hasn't Hit Google</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20111212/that-ad-slowdown-hasnt-hit-google/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20111212/that-ad-slowdown-hasnt-hit-google/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2011 00:03:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adobe]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Citigroup]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Mark Mahaney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mobile advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[search]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=153132</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Lots of ad folks say the past few months have been tough. Looks like that doesn't apply to search ads.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/05/rocket.jpeg"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/05/rocket-365x285.jpg" alt="" title="rocket" width="365" height="285" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-78799" /></a>It&#8217;s still all <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20111028/ad-sales-are-either-ok-growing-slower-or-soft-pick-your-answer/">anecdotal</a>, but we continue to hear that <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110912/another-2008-flashback-ad-spending-already-contracting/">the last few months of this year</a> have <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20111204/another-ad-forecast-dims/">not been kind</a> to people who sell ads for a living &#8212; including people who sell digital ads.</p>
<p>But here&#8217;s the counterpoint: Search &#8212; which means Google &#8212; appears to be doing just fine.</p>
<p>Citigroup&#8217;s Mark Mahaney has been checking with search marketers, who tell him that Q4 looks a whole lot like the rest of 2011, except maybe a bit better: &#8220;Our panel is tracking U.S. Search spend to be up between 15% and 27% Y/Y, rates that are largely in-line with or faster than Q1-Q3 trends.&#8221;</p>
<p>Mahaney notes that <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20111130/adobe-makes-another-ad-move-buys-search-marketer-efficient-frontier/">Efficient Frontier</a>, the search marketer Adobe plans on buying, says its Q4 numbers show a &#8220;slight deceleration&#8221; from the rest of the year. But compared to the sour faces I&#8217;ve seen from some ad guys in recent weeks, that&#8217;s fine.</p>
<p>Also of note: Mahaney says that mobile advertising, which has generated lots of hype but not that many dollars, may finally be here, at least when it comes to search. There&#8217;s a &#8220;a clear consensus that Mobile Search spend is becoming material,&#8221; he writes, and will account for 10 percent or more of many search buyers&#8217; spend.</p>
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		<title>Adobe Makes Another Ad Move, Buys Search Marketer Efficient Frontier</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20111130/adobe-makes-another-ad-move-buys-search-marketer-efficient-frontier/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20111130/adobe-makes-another-ad-move-buys-search-marketer-efficient-frontier/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Nov 2011 13:53:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=148563</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Do you have an advertising business you'd like to sell? Adobe would like to talk to you.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/11/big-fish-little-fish.png"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-148617" title="big fish little fish" src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/11/big-fish-little-fish-380x253.png" alt="" width="380" height="253" /></a>Do you have an advertising business you&#8217;d like to sell? Adobe would like to talk to you.</p>
<p>The digital publishing company just announced yet another advertising acquisition: It has picked up Efficient Frontier, the company that&#8217;s best known for its search marketing business, but which is trying to expand into other ad buying/consulting fields, like social.</p>
<p>Adobe didn&#8217;t disclose a purchase price, but this one sounds like it will be material. The $4 billion-plus (revenue) company said it would provide &#8220;additional information regarding the potential financial impact to Adobe&#8221; once the deal closes, most likely in the first quarter of next year.</p>
<p>This is the fourth <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20111101/adobe-moves-deeper-into-the-ad-business/">advertising acquisition Adobe has made in the past few years</a>, following its purchases of Omniture, Demdex and, most recently, <a href="http://www.adobe.com/aboutadobe/pressroom/pressreleases/201111/110111AdobeAcquiresAuditude.html">Auditude.</a></p>
<p>Earlier this year, <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110504/exclusive-efficient-frontier-buys-context-optional-for-50-million/">Efficient Frontier picked up social marketing start-up Context Optional</a> for $50 million. The move was supposed to help it branch out beyond its core business &#8212; helping marketers navigate Google and other search engines.</p>
<p>(Image courtesy of <a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/index-in.mhtml">Shutterstock</a>/<a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/gallery-563746p1.html">iadams</a>)</p>
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		<title>Social Marketing Is the New Black: Efficient Frontier's Karnstedt and Context Optional's Barenblat Discuss</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110526/social-marketing-is-the-new-black-efficient-frontiers-karnstedt-and-context-optionals-barenblat-discuss/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110526/social-marketing-is-the-new-black-efficient-frontiers-karnstedt-and-context-optionals-barenblat-discuss/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 May 2011 21:58:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[acquisition]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[California]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Context Optional]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Karnstedt]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=78744</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Efficient Frontier, the online performance marketing firm, paid $50 million for social marketing start-up Context Optional.

Here are both company's leaders talking about why and what's next.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last week, I dropped by the offices of Context Optional in San Francisco to talk about its <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110504/exclusive-efficient-frontier-buys-context-optional-for-50-million/">recently announced $50 million acquisition</a> by Efficient Frontier.</p>
<p>Online performance marketing firm Efficient Frontier bought the social marketing software and services start-up&#8211;its first acquisition, in fact&#8211;to add a big dose of social to its largely search-focused repertoire.</p>
<p>With social in ascendancy, having such an offering has become a key part of the advertising ecosystem and increasingly important to marketers.</p>
<p>Here is my video interview with Efficient Frontier (and former Yahoo sales exec) David Karnstedt talking about the deal with Context Optional&#8217;s Kevin Barenblat:</p>
<p><div class="video-wsj"><object width="640" height="360"><param name="movie" value="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><param name="flashvars" value="videoGUID=A9A8570F-0EE9-402D-82CF-DD8AFB00FBE5&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/"name="microflashPlayer"></param><embed src="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashVars="videoGUID={A9A8570F-0EE9-402D-82CF-DD8AFB00FBE5}&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/" name="microflashPlayer" width="640" height="360" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" swLiveConnect="true" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash"></embed><br />[ See post to watch video ]</div></object> </p>
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		<title>Exclusive: Efficient Frontier Buys Context Optional for $50 Million</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110504/exclusive-efficient-frontier-buys-context-optional-for-50-million/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110504/exclusive-efficient-frontier-buys-context-optional-for-50-million/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 May 2011 16:15:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=43545</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Online performance marketing firm Efficient Frontier is acquiring San Francisco-based social marketing software and services start-up Context Optional, the company said.

While terms of the deal were not revealed, sources said the price was $50 million.

The purchase of San Francisco's Context Optional is the first one for Efficient Frontier.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2011/05/Context-Optional-Social-network-application-development-and-social-media-strategy_-Facebook-Applications-Facebook-Pages-Facebook-Connect-and-the-iPhone.png"><img src="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2011/05/Context-Optional-Social-network-application-development-and-social-media-strategy_-Facebook-Applications-Facebook-Pages-Facebook-Connect-and-the-iPhone-275x63.png" alt="" title="Context-Optional-Social-network-application-development-and-social-media-strategy_-Facebook-Applications-Facebook-Pages-Facebook-Connect-and-the-iPhone" width="275" height="63" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-43553" /></a></p>
<p>Online performance marketing firm Efficient Frontier is acquiring San Francisco-based social marketing software and services start-up Context Optional, the company said.</p>
<p>While terms of the deal were not revealed, sources said the price was $50 million.</p>
<p>The purchase of <a href="http://www.contextoptional.com/">Context Optional</a> is the first acquisition for Efficient Frontier, which has grown from a start-up that focused solely on search engine marketing to now including display and social media campaigns.</p>
<p>The move is a significant sign, said Efficient Frontier CEO David Karnstedt, that social has become a key part of the advertising ecosystem and an end-to-end solution is important to marketers.</p>
<p>With the purchase, for example, he said advertisers will be able to run Facebook ads all the way through to managing their brand&#8217;s fan page and help with both acquisition and retention.</p>
<p>&#8220;Our heritage is that we were early in optimizing search engine advertising for clients, so we wanted to expand our efforts exponentially with Context Optional, since social is different than search,&#8221; said Karnstedt in an interview yesterday with BoomTown. &#8220;We want to help advertisers interested in social media keep engaged and regularly returning customers.&#8221;</p>
<p>Context Optional was founded in 2006 and competes with other start-ups, such as Buddy Media, Involver and Vitrue.</p>
<p>Here is the official press release from Sunnyvale, Calif.-based Efficient Frontier:</p>
<blockquote class="memo"><p><strong>Efficient Frontier Acquires Context Optional to Create the First Comprehensive Solution for Social Media Marketing</p>
<p>Unites Leading Advertising and Page Management Platforms to Maximize Social Marketing Impact</p>
<p>Sunnyvale, Calif.&#8211;May 4, 2011&#8211;</strong>Efficient Frontier, a leading global performance marketing company, today announced that the company has acquired Context Optional, a leader in enterprise social marketing solutions. The acquisition expands Efficient Frontier&#8217;s social media offering which will combine the company&#8217;s advertising campaign management and optimization with Context Optional’s page management platform. This marks the first unified solution for managing and optimizing Facebook fan acquisition through to fan retention and engagement. Terms of the deal were not disclosed.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are excited to offer marketers a complete solution for capitalizing on the growing social marketing opportunity across Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn,&#8221; said David Karnstedt, Efficient Frontier’s CEO. &#8220;Social media marketing is more than just the initial contact with the customer and requires both compelling experiences and an ongoing dialog to realize the full potential of the interaction. The acquisition of Context Optional will create a unified platform for marketers to manage all of their social media touch points with brand enthusiasts.&#8221;</p>
<p>Efficient Frontier&#8217;s platform manages ad campaigns across search, display and social media, enabling customers to acquire audiences across multiple channels and optimize for better results. Context Optional&#8217;s Social Marketing Suite of products is an enterprise solution for brands to engage and retain audiences across Facebook and Twitter.</p>
<p>By aligning acquisition and engagement strategies, the combined company will be able to deliver a seamless and measurable user experience by integrating advertising and social marketing content. Brands will be able to more efficiently target audiences based on social engagement insights and continually refine their Facebook application experiences to better match their audiences’ interests. Efficient Frontier will also be able to provide integrated analytics to provide a more complete view of performance including virality.</p>
<p>&#8220;Efficient Frontier is a leader in digital marketing and our respective clients are asking us for a comprehensive solution to both acquire and build relationships with their customers,&#8221; said Kevin Barenblat, Context Optional&#8217;s Co-Founder and CEO.  &#8220;This combination is recognition that social media is now indeed a powerful marketing channel in which brands are significantly investing. &#8220;We&#8217;re excited to be the first in the market with an integrated, enterprise solution to enable brands to effectively scale their investment in social.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Your Google Preview: Up, Of Course (But So Is Facebook)</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110411/your-google-preview-up-of-course-but-so-is-facebook/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110411/your-google-preview-up-of-course-but-so-is-facebook/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Apr 2011 16:40:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[AdX]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=31647</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Search ad spending was up 17 percent last quarter, which should be good news for Google's Thursday earnings report. But Facebook is booming, too.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/09/rocket.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-11414" title="rocket" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/09/rocket-250x187.jpg" alt="" width="250" height="187" /></a>Google announces its Q1 earnings on Thursday. And as usual, search engine marketer <a href="http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20110411006003/en/Digital-Marketing-Sector-Starts-Strong-Quarter-2011">Efficient Frontier</a> is providing an informal sneak preview: The company, which helps advertisers buy digital ads, says search engine spending is up 17 percent in the first three months of this year.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s not a formal estimate of Google&#8217;s performance, of course. But since Google dominates search, it&#8217;s certainly a good directional indicator.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, Google nemesis Facebook (remember when Microsoft and Yahoo used to vie for that title?) is also growing: Efficient Frontier says pricing on the social network&#8217;s ads has moved up more than 40 percent since the end of last year. It predicts ad spending on Facebook will grow more than 200 percent this year.</p>
<p>The company also says that ad buyers and sellers are indeed using display ad exchanges like Google&#8217;s DoubleClick/AdX, and that there is 300 percent more inventory in that system than there was a year ago. But more inventory equals lower prices, which are down 30 percent.<br />
<a rel="lightbox" href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2011/04/effecient-frontier.png"><img src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2011/04/effecient-frontier-600x204.png" alt="" title="effecient frontier" width="380" height="129" class="alignnone size-large wp-image-31654" /></a></p>
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		<title>Facebook Isn&#039;t Eating Google&#039;s Lunch Yet. But It&#039;s Getting Hungry&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110313/facebook-isnt-eating-googles-lunch-yet-but-its-getting-hungry/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110313/facebook-isnt-eating-googles-lunch-yet-but-its-getting-hungry/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Mar 2011 12:00:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Citigroup]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=30673</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Advertisers spend around six cents on Facebook for every dollar they put into Google. Which sounds small, except that Google is huge, and Facebook is growing fast...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/12/zuckerberg-rocks.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-13862" title="zuckerberg rocks" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/12/zuckerberg-rocks-250x187.jpg" alt="" width="250" height="187" /></a>Facebook vs. Google is the best fight on the Web, but it&#8217;s not exactly an even match, yet. Google, for instance, has a huge ad business. And Facebook is just getting started.</p>
<p>Citigroup&#8217;s Mark Mahaney provides an update, via a survey from online ad buyer <a href="http://www.efrontier.com/">Efficient Frontier</a>, which surveyed its clients about their spending at both companies.</p>
<p>The takeaway: Advertisers spend around six cents on Facebook for every dollar they put into Google. Which sounds small, except that Google is huge and sold $29.3 billion (!) worth of ads last year. So that implies Facebook&#8217;s 2010 ad revenues were nearly $2 billion.</p>
<p>And if you&#8217;re a Facebook bull, you think that means the really big stuff is still to come. Mahaney:</p>
<blockquote class="memo"><p>&#8230; we think FB made 25-30% net margins. For context, in the year that Google generated $2B in Net Rev (2004), its Net Margin was 24%. In our opinion, Google’s growth trajectory post 2004 could be a proxy for FB future growth rate – given what are similar growth end-markets in Internet advertising.  Also, over the last several years, Google has expanded Net Margins to 40%+.</p></blockquote>
<p>Reminder that Facebook&#8217;s last funding round pegged the company&#8217;s value at $50 billion, which means investors believe it will eventually be worth much more. Google&#8217;s investors, meanwhile, think that company is worth <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?client=ob&amp;q=NASDAQ:GOOG">$185 bilion</a>.</p>
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		<title>Just How Good Will Google's Q2 Numbers Be?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20100713/google-earnings-preview/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20100713/google-earnings-preview/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jul 2010 10:00:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=21467</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Google reports Q2 earnings Thursday. But you can make an educated guess about revenue already: It's going to be way, way up.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/09/eightball.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-10829" title="eightball" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/09/eightball-250x187.jpg" alt="" width="250" height="187" /></a>Google reports Q2 earnings on Thursday, so consider this a preview: Search ad spending jumped 24 percent in the last quarter, says Efficient Frontier.</p>
<p>The search engine marketing company&#8217;s estimates fit nicely with Wall Street, which thinks Google will post a revenue jump of 22.5 percent, on average. No surprise there: Google (GOOG) pretty much is the search market&#8211;hence the <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20100701/digitals-deadliest-catch-part-1-the-microhoo-search-integration-teams-nelson-and-morrissey-speak/">Microsoft (MSFT)/Yahoo (YHOO) Hail Mary</a>. And analysts usually take input from firms like Efficient Frontier to get to their numbers anyway.</p>
<p>Okay. Anything else we should know? Here are a couple factoids: Efficient Frontier attributes the rise in large part to a big bump in retail spending, and says cost-per-click prices have jumped 18 percent in the last year. Left unsaid, so I&#8217;ll say it anyway: These numbers are compared to pretty soft comps from last year.</p>
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		<title>Just How Good Will Google&#039;s Q2 Numbers Be?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20100713/google-earnings-preview-2/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20100713/google-earnings-preview-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jul 2010 10:00:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=21467</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Google reports Q2 earnings Thursday. But you can make an educated guess about revenue already: It's going to be way, way up.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/09/eightball.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-10829" title="eightball" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/09/eightball-250x187.jpg" alt="" width="250" height="187" /></a>Google reports Q2 earnings on Thursday, so consider this a preview: Search ad spending jumped 24 percent in the last quarter, says Efficient Frontier.</p>
<p>The search engine marketing company&#8217;s estimates fit nicely with Wall Street, which thinks Google will post a revenue jump of 22.5 percent, on average. No surprise there: Google (GOOG) pretty much is the search market&#8211;hence the <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20100701/digitals-deadliest-catch-part-1-the-microhoo-search-integration-teams-nelson-and-morrissey-speak/">Microsoft (MSFT)/Yahoo (YHOO) Hail Mary</a>. And analysts usually take input from firms like Efficient Frontier to get to their numbers anyway.</p>
<p>Okay. Anything else we should know? Here are a couple factoids: Efficient Frontier attributes the rise in large part to a big bump in retail spending, and says cost-per-click prices have jumped 18 percent in the last year. Left unsaid, so I&#8217;ll say it anyway: These numbers are compared to pretty soft comps from last year.</p>
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		<title>Comparing Google, Yahoo and Microsoft Stock: A Bing Zing?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20090624/comparing-google-yahoo-and-microsoft-stock-a-bing-zing/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20090624/comparing-google-yahoo-and-microsoft-stock-a-bing-zing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Jun 2009 11:12:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=14889</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There is no doubt that Microsoft is pulling out the stops with its launch of its renovated search service, now called Bing, with $100 million in marketing dollars.

But, besides lifting the software giant's share of the search market in early surveys, has it also given Microsoft's stock an added boost?

Yes, indeed, but only just over the last 30 days.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2009/06/bing-logo-whitejpg.jpeg"><img src="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2009/06/bing-logo-whitejpg-249x193.jpg" alt="bing-logo-whitejpg" title="bing-logo-whitejpg" width="249" height="193" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-14896" /></a></p>
<p>There is no doubt that Microsoft is pulling out the stops with the launch of its renovated search service, now called Bing, spending $100 million in marketing dollars.</p>
<p>But besides lifting the software giant&#8217;s share of the search market in early surveys, has it also given Microsoft&#8217;s (MSFT) stock an added boost?</p>
<p>Yes, indeed, but only over the last 30 days.</p>
<p>Here are some pertinent stock price data, using the No. 1 Google (GOOG) and the No. 2 Yahoo (YHOO), Microsoft&#8217;s search rivals, as comparison:</p>
<p>Since the beginning of the year, the shares of all three were up strongly&#8211;Google is up almost 32 percent, Yahoo is up 20.3 percent and Microsoft is up 20 percent.</p>
<p>But if you narrow that to just a month, which is about the time frame since Microsoft launched Bing&#8211;by CEO Steve Ballmer at the <strong>D: All Things Digital</strong> conference, by the way, in a highlight video you can see below&#8211;the stocks show some interesting changes.</p>
<p>Google is up just over three percent in the 30 days and Yahoo is down two percent. And Microsoft? Up more than 18 percent (see the chart below; click on it to make it larger).</p>
<p><a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2009/06/msftbingstock3.jpg"><img src="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2009/06/msftbingstock3.jpg" alt="msftbingstock3" title="msftbingstock3" width="386" height="211" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-14898" /></a></p>
<p>That pop is likely due to a perception of momentum from continuing market share reports showing the early promise of Bing, which has also gotten good reviews so far as an innovative product.</p>
<p>That includes yet another yesterday by <a href="http://blog.efrontier.com/insights/2009/06/bing-gains-more-ground.html">Efficient Frontier</a> showing Microsoft&#8217;s share of paid clicks continued to rise.</p>
<p>Said search-engine marketing firm Efficient Frontier in a blog post:</p>
<p>&#8220;According to our data analysis, Bing expanded its share of paid clicks for the two weeks post launch. Bing&#8217;s share of paid clicks is up 13% for the second week post launch as compared to pre-launch. And, it represents an incremental 5% lift over the first week.&#8221;</p>
<p>The blog also correctly added: &#8220;However, as Danny Sullivan rightly cautions in a recent blog post on Bing, two weeks does not make a trend.&#8221;</p>
<p>Nope, but it is a nice boost for Microsoft shareholders, who have not had a lot of those of late&#8211;its stock is down 17.3 percent since last year and 17.7 percent since five years ago.</p>
<p>And here is the <a href="http://d7.allthingsd.com/20090528/d7-interview-steve-ballmer/">video of Ballmer launching Bing</a> at <strong>D7</strong> in an interview by Walt Mossberg:</p>
<p><div class="video-wsj"><object width="640" height="360"><param name="movie" value="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><param name="flashvars" value="videoGUID=B6291873-95A2-4164-9006-F1D5589CCAD9&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/"name="microflashPlayer"></param><embed src="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashVars="videoGUID={B6291873-95A2-4164-9006-F1D5589CCAD9}&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/" name="microflashPlayer" width="640" height="360" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" swLiveConnect="true" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash"></embed><br />[ See post to watch video ]</div></object></p>
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		<title>Ex-Yahoo Ad Exec Karnstedt to Efficient Frontier</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20090402/ex-yahoo-ad-exec-karnstedt-to-efficient-frontier/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20090402/ex-yahoo-ad-exec-karnstedt-to-efficient-frontier/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Apr 2009 18:16:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=11671</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Former top Yahoo advertising exec David Karnstedt, who has been parked at a Silicon Valley venture firm since he left the company, has been named president and CEO of Efficient Frontier.

Interestingly, another former Yahoo exec, Ellen Siminoff, has also been CEO at the Sunnyvale, Calif.-based search engine marketing firm. She is now chairman.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2009/04/david_karnstedt_thumb.jpg"><img src="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2009/04/david_karnstedt_thumb.jpg" alt="david_karnstedt_thumb" title="david_karnstedt_thumb" width="80" height="110" class="alignright size-full wp-image-11673" /></a></p>
<p>Former top Yahoo advertising exec David Karnstedt (pictured here), who has been parked at a Silicon Valley venture firm since he left the company, has been named president and CEO of Efficient Frontier.</p>
<p>Interestingly, another former Yahoo (YHOO) exec, Ellen Siminoff, has also been CEO at the Sunnyvale, Calif.-based search engine marketing firm. She is now chairman.</p>
<p>Karnstedt, <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20080909/yahoo-brings-in-drum-roll-please-a-former-microsoft-exec-to-head-ad-sales/">who was SVP of of Yahoo’s North American sales until last fall</a>, replaces James Beriker.</p>
<p>He has most recently been an executive-in-residence at Redpoint Ventures, an investor in Efficient Frontier.</p>
<p>Here is an <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20070806/a-brief-chat-with-new-yahoo-ad-guy-dave-karnstedt">interview I did with Karnstedt in 2007</a>, when he was at Yahoo.</p>
<p>And here is the full press release:</p>
<p><span id="more-11671"></span></p>
<blockquote class="memo"><p>Efficient Frontier Names David Karnstedt as President and CEO</p>
<p>Former Redpoint Ventures Executive-in-Residence and Senior Vice President of Yahoo!’s North American Sales Brings Extensive Experience to the Post</p>
<p>Sunnyvale, Calif. – April 2, 2009 &#8211; Efficient Frontier, the worldwide leader in Search Engine Marketing (SEM) technology and services, today announced that David Karnstedt has been named President and Chief Executive Officer of the company.</p>
<p>Karnstedt most recently was an Executive-in-Residence at Redpoint Ventures, an investor in Efficient Frontier. Prior to Redpoint, he served as Senior Vice President of Yahoo!’s North American Sales with responsibility for more than $3 billion in revenue. During his tenure at Yahoo!, he successfully led the integration of the Search and Display sales teams into one central unit and helped establish Yahoo! as a recognized leader in both display and search marketing.</p>
<p>“We feel incredibly fortunate to have someone of David’s caliber join Efficient Frontier at this point in the company’s life cycle,” said Ellen Siminoff, Chairwoman of Efficient Frontier’s Board of Directors. “David’s extensive experience in the Internet space – specifically search – will be a huge asset as he leads the company forward.”</p>
<p>Karnstedt’s experience includes several industry firsts.  Prior to Yahoo!, David led the Direct Sales team at Overture Services, the company that pioneered the paid search industry and was acquired by Yahoo! in 2003. He also served as Vice President and General Manager of Alta Vista, where he was responsible for the consumer business and helped shape product development and marketing strategies that leveraged the auctions-based search approach.  Prior to Alta Vista, David served as Western Advertising Director at Wired Digital where he helped to develop some of the first advertising models on the Web. He is also active in the industry, having served on both the Advertising Council and Interactive Advertising Association’s Boards of Directors.</p>
<p>“As the leading global Search Engine Marketing company, Efficient Frontier has built tremendous assets –<br />
including its technology platform, a global presence and a great team,” said David Karnstedt. “I plan to build on these key assets by expanding the company’s leadership in search, diversifying into complimentary product offerings and increasing its global presence. I am pleased to lead the company into its next phase of growth.”</p>
<p>Karnstedt is replacing James Beriker, who held executive positions at the company since April 2007 and was its President, CEO and a member of the Board of Directors from February 2008 until March 2009.  The company’s business expanded significantly while James was CEO.  We are appreciative of his efforts and contributions.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>How Bad Did Search Ads Get Hit Last Quarter? Time to Ask Google.</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20090122/how-bad-did-search-ads-get-hit-last-quarter-time-to-ask-google/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20090122/how-bad-did-search-ads-get-hit-last-quarter-time-to-ask-google/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Jan 2009 14:18:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Citigroup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clickable]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[YouTube]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=3385</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Search ads were supposed to thrive even in a recession, but there are signs that even Google has been getting roughed up: Note its efforts to make money while actually cutting costs. We'll get a better sense of how things stand today after 4 p.m. EST, when the company turns in its fourth-quarter report card.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/google-logo.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-836 alignright" title="google-logo" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/google-logo.jpg" alt="" width="200" height="79" /></a>Search advertising was supposed to be the one sector of the marketing world that wasn&#8217;t going to get creamed in a recession. So was it?</p>
<p>Depends on who you ask: Search ad firm Efficient Frontier says <a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/digits/2009/01/19/search-advertising-runs-into-the-recession/">spending dropped eight percent</a> in the last quarter of 2008. But search ad firm <a href="http://www.clickable.com/blogs/clickableblog/archive/2009/01/20/search-advertising-trends-for-q4-2008-and-outlook-for-q1-2009.aspx">Clickable</a> says it saw &#8220;marginal&#8221; increases during the same period. You can easily find more conflicting data with a couple <a href="http://www.covario.com/news/newsArticle_01-20-09.shtml">mouse</a> <a href="http://www.directmarketingnewswire.com/2009/January/AdGooroo-Releases-Q4-Search-Engine-Advertising-Update.htm">clicks</a>.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s the easy way to settle this up: Check with Google (GOOG) today after 4 p.m. EST.</p>
<p>The search ad giant reports its fourth-quarter 2008 earnings today, and Wall Street is expecting earnings of $4.96 per share on revenues of $4.12 billion. [UPDATE: <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090122/googles-fourth-quarter-better-than-wall-street-thought/">Google beat those estimates</a> in what appears to have been a very good quarter, all things considering]</p>
<p>Below, a handy &#8220;cheat sheet&#8221; from Citigroup&#8217;s (C) Mark Mahaney that sketches out what Wall Street and Citi are looking for from Google in more detail (click to enlarge). Note that Mahaney is painting a mixed picture for Google (and thus, search in general): an increase in the overall dollars spent on search (paid click growth), but a decrease in the amount spent on each ad (cost per click growth).</p>
<p><a rel="lightbox" href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/01/google-cheat-sheet.png"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-3386" title="google-cheat-sheet" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/01/google-cheat-sheet.png" alt="" width="350" height="140" /></a></p>
<p>Beyond the Q4 numbers, it&#8217;d be great to get color from Google execs about the current market (Google famously doesn&#8217;t offer formal earnings &#8220;guidance&#8221;) and the state of projects like YouTube, etc. But if you&#8217;re really impatient, no need to wait until this afternoon to get a sense of how Google has been doing: Just look at the company&#8217;s track record over the past few months.</p>
<p>Google has finally started trying to wring extra pennies out of each visitor (via efforts like its <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090121/google-tries-squeezing-more-money-out-of-youtube/">YouTube affiliate program</a>), while actually cutting nonperforming projects (like its <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090120/another-google-product-killed-print-ads-no-one-wanted/">Print Ads program</a>). And this month it made an unprecedented move: <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090115/even-googles-cutting-back-firing-100-recruiters-dropping-projects/">firing full-time employees</a>.</p>
<p>Translation: Google is still an awesome money-making machine&#8211;it&#8217;s going to have an operating margin of nearly 50 percent for the last quarter, and will have posted more than $5 billion in profit for 2008. But it isn&#8217;t immune to a worldwide meltdown, and search ads aren&#8217;t either.</p>
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		<title>Too-Powerful Google Thumbs Its Nose at Everyone&#8211;Good Luck With That, Eric!</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20080918/too-powerful-google-thumbs-its-nose-at-everyone-good-luck-with-that-eric/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20080918/too-powerful-google-thumbs-its-nose-at-everyone-good-luck-with-that-eric/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Sep 2008 22:22:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=3813</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It used to be, many years ago, that longtime Silicon Valley tech exec Eric Schmidt could work up a very significant head of steam when talking about the thuggish monopolistic practices of Microsoft and its negative impact on the tech industry.

And, for the most part, Schmidt was dead right.

Thus, BoomTown is both gobsmacked and a bit in awe that Schmidt--now sitting atop at the high-tech pig pile as CEO of the powerful search giant, Google--can, with a straight face, make the argument that everyone is wrong to be nervous about its deal with Yahoo to serve some of its search ads, even though the pair make up more than 80 percent of the search market.

Still, at a press conference yesterday, Schmidt went on the offensive to defend the Yahoo deal, which is set to begin in a few weeks, in a most peculiar way.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2008/09/1101060220_400.jpg"><img src="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2008/09/1101060220_400-224x300.jpg" alt="" title="1101060220_400" width="224" height="300" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-4047" /></a></p>
<p>It used to be, many years ago, that longtime Silicon Valley tech exec Eric Schmidt could work up a very significant head of steam when talking about the thuggish monopolistic practices of Microsoft and its negative impact on the tech industry.</p>
<p>And, for the most part, Schmidt was dead right&#8211;Microsoft&#8217;s overwhelming power then had a malevolent impact, both directly and indirectly, on innovation and openness in the digital sector.</p>
<p>Thus, BoomTown is both gobsmacked and a bit in awe that Schmidt&#8211;now sitting atop the high-tech pig pile as CEO of the powerful search giant, Google&#8211;can, with a straight face, make the argument that everyone is wrong to be nervous about its deal with Yahoo to serve some of its search and text advertising, even though the pair control more than 80 percent of the search market.</p>
<p>Because while Google displays none of the bullying tactics of Microsoft in its glory days&#8211;think of it more like a giant that could accidentally squash all us little people with its big dumb feet&#8211;the worries about it amassing too much power are well-founded.</p>
<p>Along with customers, competitors and anyone who fears a concentration of power in the hands of one player, I have been a <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20080417/microhoo-yahoo-and-google-play-house/">critic of the deal since it was announced in the spring</a> as a Hail Mary play to get Yahoo out of the clutches of Microsoft.</p>
<p>In addition, the <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20080908/justice-department-eyes-challenging-googles-web-dominance/">Justice Department has hired an outside litigator</a> to decide whether to proceed with an antitrust investigation of the deal and possibly look into Google&#8217;s business more deeply.</p>
<p>And just today, <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080918/report-google-search-market-share-huge-again/">comScore released new stats for search market share for August</a>; Google&#8217;s rose once again to 63 percent, up from 61.9 percent.</p>
<p>Both Yahoo (YHOO) and Microsoft (MSFT)&#8211;the distant No. 2 and No. 3&#8211;lost share, logging in at 19.6 percent and 8.3 percent, respectively.</p>
<p>In addition, Google (GOOG) accounted for 77.4 percent of all search engine spending in the second quarter of 2008, according to Efficient Frontier.</p>
<p>And&#8211;oh, yes&#8211;Google-owned YouTube dominates online video rather significantly.</p>
<p><a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2008/09/lionel-barrymore-its_l.jpg"><img src="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2008/09/lionel-barrymore-its_l-300x225.jpg" alt="" title="lionel-barrymore-its_l" width="250" height="180" class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-4049" /></a></p>
<p>Translation: <em>Scary</em>, like that-bullying-banker-Mr. Potter-from-&#8221;It&#8217;s a Wonderful Life&#8221; scary.</p>
<p>Still, at a press conference yesterday&#8211; my invitation must have gotten lost in the email so I will have to rely on the quotes collected by others&#8211;Schmidt went on the offensive to defend the Yahoo deal, which is set to begin in a few weeks, in a most peculiar way.</p>
<p>&#8220;While we have been talking to regulators, we don&#8217;t know what their position is,&#8221; Schmidt said. &#8220;We don&#8217;t know if they think it&#8217;s a good deal or poor deal.&#8221;</p>
<p>But Schmidt and other Google execs&#8211;including co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin&#8211;said they would move forward with or without regulatory approval.</p>
<p>&#8220;Time is money in our business,&#8221; said Schmidt, who also noted the deal was &#8220;designed precisely to meet the terms of antitrust law in the United States.&#8221;</p>
<p>Well, I am not sure being within the letter of the law is quite the argument I would make. After all, one can be entirely correct&#8211;and Google does love to be mathematically accurate!&#8211;and still be completely wrong.</p>
<p>Yet Schmidt pressed on!</p>
<p>&#8220;You face a question as a large company trying to change things: How many initiatives do you want to take on that are unpopular or lead to criticism?,&#8221; he asked, pontificating as if he were fighting for better health care for the world&#8217;s poor instead of just being able to sell small text ads hawking things like Viagra and electronics.</p>
<p>Schmidt said the deal would have &#8220;strong user benefits&#8221; and not raise online ad prices, part of Google&#8217;s basic argument that its auction-style business model makes that impossible.</p>
<p>As a side note, Brin&#8211;who was, I think, being completely genuine&#8211;said Google also felt a debt to Yahoo co-founders Jerry Yang and David Filo for helping Google get started a decade ago.</p>
<p>(Ironically, being the search option on Yahoo&#8217;s homepage was the key way Google grew and Yahoo damaged its future prospects).</p>
<p><a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2008/07/yahoogle.jpg"><img src="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2008/07/yahoogle.jpg" alt="" title="yahoogle" width="192" height="58" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-2358" /></a></p>
<p>But, while the payback argument is very touching, it ignores the fact that&#8211;on its very face&#8211;the No. 1 and No. 2 search and search-ad companies should never be in business together.</p>
<p>That Google leadership does not seem to understand these fears is disturbing.</p>
<p>And with what can only be described as an oafishly arrogant style, they seem to be dismissing anyone who raises concerns as being uneducated or simply a front for Microsoft&#8217;s lobbying efforts.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are quite certain Microsoft is busy helping everyone get upset about things,&#8221; said Schmidt, who has long loved to slap Microsoft at any opportunity.</p>
<p>As if we are all in the thrall of Microsoft (whom I, for one, smack around daily for its dopey Web strategies).</p>
<p>Google, it seems, is in the thrall of no one.</p>
<p>While the deal has been voluntarily delayed by three months, the <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20080808/the-yahoo-google-agreement-filed-and-mightily-redacted/">redacted agreement Yahoo released</a> said it had 105 days from June 12 to start. That would be Sept. 25.</p>
<p>Under terms of the agreement, either Yahoo or Google could end the deal after 120 days from when it was struck, if it was not &#8220;commercially reasonable&#8221; for either to defend. That would be Oct. 11.</p>
<p><a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2008/09/antitrust.jpg"><img src="http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2008/09/antitrust-300x222.jpg" alt="" title="antitrust" width="250" height="180" class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-4051" /></a></p>
<p>In addition, Yahoo or Google can end the deal if a court later enters an injunction.</p>
<p>But Google does not seem to care about a possible noisy government investigation, which it should.</p>
<p>While Google is in no way guilty of the kind of behavior that got Microsoft into hot water, not caring what anyone thinks was perhaps the most disastrous error of hubris that Microsoft&#8217;s Bill Gates (he is pictured on the stand here) made when the federal government came at him and took him to trial.</p>
<p>After a long and bruising court battle in which the judge ruled the company had violated antitrust laws, in which Gates came off very badly, Microsoft eventually settled via a consent decree to rein in some of its behaviors.</p>
<p>And I think we can all agree that Microsoft emerged from that encounter deeply wounded and with diminished momentum that continues to resonate today for it.</p>
<p>There was one thing that Schmidt said yesterday at the press conference that I do agree with: &#8220;There is a natural fear of things getting larger.&#8221;</p>
<p>Yes, Eric. And, naturally, more people than ever fear Google.</p>
<p>And while that fear has not seeped down to consumers and impacted Google&#8217;s terrific brand quite yet, it surely will, especially if Google keeps claiming that it is not all that powerful when anyone with eyes can plainly see that it is.</p>
<p>Just ask Microsoft.</p>
<p><em>Please see <a href="http://allthingsd.com/about/kara-swisher/ethics/">this disclosure</a> related to me and Google.</em></p>
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		<title>Schmidt: Google Might Worry About What Regulators Think, if Google Cared About What Regulators Think</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20080918/goohoo/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20080918/goohoo/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Sep 2008 15:00:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=4119</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When Google and Yahoo announced their advertising partnership back in June, the companies said they’d give the Justice Department three and one half months to review it. Which is more than enough time according to Google CEO Eric Schmidt, who said the companies will proceed with the deal in October, even if federal regulators haven’t yet approved it.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2008/07/djjazzyschmidt-204x300.jpg" alt="" title="djjazzyschmidt" style="border: 1px solid #000;" width="204" height="300" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-2761" /></p>
<p>When Google and Yahoo announced their <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080612/yahoo-google-3/">advertising partnership</a> back in June, the companies said they would <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080702/yahoogle_doj/">give the Justice Department three and one half months to review it</a>. Which is more than enough time for such a review according to Google (GOOG) CEO Eric Schmidt, who said <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122169726929150339.html?">the companies will proceed with the deal in October</a>, <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080918/google_schmidt.html?.v=2">regardless of what federal regulators think of it</a>.  &#8220;Time is money in our business,&#8221; Schmidt told reporters Wednesday.&#8221;&#8230; While we have been talking to regulators, we don&#8217;t know what their position is. We don&#8217;t know if they think it&#8217;s a good deal or poor deal.&#8221;</p>
<p>Not that it particularly matters what they think, because Google has no intention of delaying the partnership anyway.</p>
<p>And for those like Sen. Herb Kohl who worry if the deal might reduce Yahoo (YHOO) to &#8220;nothing more than the newest satellite in the Google orbit&#8221;? Well, c&#8217;mon. Yahoo is already a satellite in the Google orbit, isn&#8217;t it? <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080717/google-take-all-plus-10/">Google accounted for 77.4 percent of all search engine spending in the second quarter of 2008</a>, according to Efficient Frontier. For crying out loud, the company claims $1.10 of every new search dollar.</p>
<p>And time is money in Google&#8217;s business. &#8230;</p>
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		<title>Dear Fellow Stockholder: Blah Blah Blah &#8230;</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20080717/dear-fellow-stockholder-blah-blah-blah/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20080717/dear-fellow-stockholder-blah-blah-blah/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Jul 2008 18:00:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[[ See post to watch video ]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><div class="video-wsj"><embed src="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashVars="videoGUID={1674033092}&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/" name="microflashPlayer" width="320" height="240" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" swLiveConnect="true" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash"></embed><br />[ See post to watch video ]</div></p>
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