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		<title>Content Gains Allow Demand Media to Beat Wall Street Expectations on Q1 Earnings and Revenue</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130507/content-gains-allow-demand-media-to-beat-wall-street-expectations-on-earnings-and-revenue-in-q1/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130507/content-gains-allow-demand-media-to-beat-wall-street-expectations-on-earnings-and-revenue-in-q1/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 May 2013 20:25:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=319160</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Strong performance of media properties added to the results.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://i0.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2013/05/9c2b3b4d816829c9121a76de04909f35.jpeg"><img src="http://i0.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2013/05/9c2b3b4d816829c9121a76de04909f35.jpeg?resize=256%2C256" alt="9c2b3b4d816829c9121a76de04909f35" class="alignright size-full wp-image-319172" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
<p>Demand Media, the online content company, said it had earned nine cents on an adjusted basis in the first quarter, on revenues of $100.6 million, topping Wall Street estimates of eight cents on $99.6 million in sales. On a fully diluted basis, earnings were one cent a share, or $700,000, compared to a loss of two cents, or $1.8 million, in the three months compared to a year ago.</p>
<p>&#8220;Strong growth from our owned &#038; operated content and media properties drove our Q1 results, highlighting the unique capabilities of our content discovery, creation and distribution platform. Further, we accelerated our paid content strategy with the acquisition of Creativebug, a premier online destination for arts and crafts instruction, which will provide our large eHow crafts audience with an expanded learning experience. In addition, we signed up over 400 resellers to our new gTLD tools and received more than two million expressions of interest for domains to be registered with new gTLDs,&#8221; said Richard Rosenblatt, chairman and CEO of Demand Media in a statement. &#8220;We are excited about the distinct long-term growth opportunities for both of our businesses.&#8221;</p>
<p>Demand&#8217;s eHow site seems to have driven a lot of the gains in the content area.</p>
<p>Demand shares rose in trading yesterday by close to two percent, to close at $8.58, also its stock is down 7.6 percent for the year. </p>
<p>The company did not mention the <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130219/demand-media-splits-in-two-spinning-off-domain-registrar-business-from-media-unit/">planned split of its registar and content business</a> that it announced in the last quarter in the current results, which might be covered on the conference call the Santa Monica, Calif. company will have with analysts at 2 pm PT.</p>
<p>In its last earnings release for the fourth quarter, Demand said it was spinning off its domain registrar business from its media one in a bid to better clarify the company to investors.</p>
<p>Since it went public several years ago, there has been some level of difficulty for each part of Demand to easily explain itself to Wall Street, given the very different natures of its key &#8212; but very different &#8212; revenue units. In a statement at the time, Demand said that it was &#8220;our intent to spin off our registrar business and separate into two independent, publicly traded companies.&#8221;</p>
<p>The company noted that the two units &#8220;divergent strategic priorities and opportunities&#8221; would be better in the new configuration with a pure-play media company and domain services company. At the time, the company said the transaction was expected to take place in the next nine to 12 months, although it required a number of company and regulatory approvals to do the tax-free spin-off to create two different stocks.</p>
<p>In a different kind of transaction, Demand <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120428/the-1-2-billion-inside-story-of-how-demand-almost-went-private-this-week-and-then-didnt/">had talked a little more than a year ago to a private equity company about taking the company private</a>. The effort was abandoned, in which Boston-based Thomas H. Lee Partners would have purchased Demand for a price of up to $1.2 billion, due to a number of challenges. Its current market valuation is now about $744 million.</p>
<p>Until we hear more about the spin-off plans from Demand execs, here&#8217;s the full release from Q1 to peruse:</p>
<p><font size="2"><a href="http://www.docstoc.com/docs/155848987/1Q-13-FINAL-RELEASE">1Q 13 FINAL RELEASE</a></font><br /><object id="_ds_155848987" name="_ds_155848987" width="640" height="550" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" data="http://viewer.docstoc.com/"><param name="FlashVars" value="doc_id=155848987&#038;mem_id=1512683&#038;doc_type=pdf&#038;fullscreen=0&#038;allowdownload=1" /><param name="movie" value="http://viewer.docstoc.com/"/><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /></object><script type="text/javascript">var docstoc_docid="155848987";var docstoc_title="1Q 13 FINAL RELEASE";var docstoc_urltitle="1Q 13 FINAL RELEASE";</script><script type="text/javascript" src="http://i.docstoccdn.com/js/check-flash.js"></script></p>
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		<title>Groupon Earnings Miss Big, Sending Stock Into After-Hours Swoon</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130227/groupon-earnings-miss-big-sends-stock-into-after-hours-swoon/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130227/groupon-earnings-miss-big-sends-stock-into-after-hours-swoon/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Feb 2013 21:30:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Commerce]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=299181</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Uh-oh.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://i0.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2013/02/url5.png"><img src="http://i1.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2013/02/url5-380x199.png?resize=380%2C199" alt="url" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-299200" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
<p>Despite a large uptick in the stock earlier today, Groupon&#8217;s fourth-quarter results caused its shares to plunge 23 percent in after-hours trading.</p>
<p>The Chicago-based company said its revenues were $638.3 million in the three months, just below expectation of $640 million and up 30 percent from a year ago.</p>
<p>But the fourth-quarter GAAP loss was 12 cents per share, or $81.1 million, which included a loss of seven cents from a non-operating item. That compares to a 12 cent loss a year ago, but was well over the two cent loss Wall Street had expected.</p>
<p>This comes after <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20121108/liveblog-groupon-talks-about-its-third-quarter-miss/">Groupon&#8217;s third-quarter miss</a>, which puts the fate of CEO Andrew Mason into some question. He and several board members had a <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20121127/exclusive-is-andrew-mason-on-the-bubble-as-ceo-of-groupon/">bit of a kerfuffle several months ago over this management abilities</a>.</p>
<p>Still, on a <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130227/groupon-ceo-all-is-well-nothing-to-see-here-carry-on/">conference call on the results</a> today, Mason struck a positive tone on the poor results.</p>
<p>In addition, the company&#8217;s guidance was also disappointing, with first-quarter revenue between $560 million and $610 million. That&#8217;s much lower than the $650.3 million, that investors were estimating. Groupon also said it would have a possible operating loss in Q1 up to $10 million.</p>
<p>Groupon shares were down to $4.63 after the markets closed, after a nearly eight percent run-up earlier in the day.</p>
<p>Here is the company&#8217;s official press release on Q4:</p>
<p><font size="2"><a href="http://www.docstoc.com/docs/147152910/GRPN">GRPN</a></font><br /><object id="_ds_147152910" name="_ds_147152910" width="640" height="550" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" data="http://viewer.docstoc.com/"><param name="FlashVars" value="doc_id=147152910&#038;mem_id=1512683&#038;doc_type=PDF&#038;fullscreen=0&#038;allowdownload=1" /><param name="movie" value="http://viewer.docstoc.com/"/><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /></object><script type="text/javascript">var docstoc_docid="147152910";var docstoc_title="GRPN";var docstoc_urltitle="GRPN";</script><script type="text/javascript" src="http://i.docstoccdn.com/js/check-flash.js"></script></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Q4 Earnings Call: Mayer Says "Chain Reaction" Needed to Blast Yahoo Into the Future</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130128/liveblogging-yahoos-q4-earnings-call-a-little-up-is-better-than-a-little-down/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130128/liveblogging-yahoos-q4-earnings-call-a-little-up-is-better-than-a-little-down/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Jan 2013 22:11:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=289376</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Turnaround via nuclear fission.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://i2.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/url3.jpeg"><img src="http://i0.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/url3-366x285.jpeg?resize=366%2C285" alt="url" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-289455" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
<p>Earlier today Yahoo <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130128/yahoo-beats-earnings-estimates-on-flattish-revenue/">reported fourth-quarter earnings</a> that beat analyst estimates, on still-flattish revenue.</p>
<p>Still, up is up, even if it is not really that much up, so Wall Steet bid up shares of the Silicon Valley Internet giant in after-hours trading.</p>
<p>Now it&#8217;s onto the conference call with investors for CEO Marissa Mayer:</p>
<p><strong>2:02 pm</strong>: Before the call, you can hear Mayer complaining about the goofy music played during the pre-conference call waiting time.</p>
<p>&#8220;We <em>have</em> to get better music,&#8221; she says to some minion. &#8220;This is <em>not</em> good music.&#8221;</p>
<p>Music to my ears! I say we get Beyoncé, lipsyncing or not.</p>
<p>The call starts quickly after that, with the ever-eager Mayer leaping right in with the fourth-quarter news, which is not all that bad. </p>
<p>It&#8217;s the first full year of growth in a while &#8212; though not the first quarter-to-quarter increase &#8212; even if it is only a very modest two percent increase. </p>
<p>That compares to industry-wide gains in revenue of many, many, many times that, but for Yahoo this is cause for a parade. A small parade, with good music, but a parade nonetheless.</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s hard to believe this is only my first full quarter here at Yahoo,&#8221; says Mayer in an upbeat tone.</p>
<p>She notes that her focus on product excellence and user experience was continuing, with some &#8220;early positive trends&#8221; in both products and people.</p>
<p>Mayer then list a series of moves, from the free food and better smartphones for employees to the addition of well-regarded entrepreneur Max Levchin to the board to the refreshes of Yahoo Mail and Flickr to the acquisition of some sassy new mobile startups.</p>
<p>Mayer also notes that the company under her purview had removed &#8220;385 of highest priority obstacles,&#8221; although she did not name any specifics. </p>
<p><a href="http://i0.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/url4.jpeg"><img src="http://i0.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/url4.jpeg?resize=261%2C193" alt="url" class="alignleft size-full wp-image-289541" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
<p>I imagine what No. 332 is: Switching out the iceberg lettuce at the URL cafeteria on Yahoo&#8217;s Sunnyvale, Calif. HQ campus with some tasty organic mesclun as they have at Google, from whence Mayer came.</p>
<p>Better roughage means better returns!</p>
<p><strong>2:14 pm</strong>: Mayer turns the call over to CFO Ken Goldman, also a newbie. As usual, he runs through the numbers that are already in all the releases already. But I am enjoying his New England accent, hoping he will say the slight increase in revenue was &#8220;wicked&#8221; good.</p>
<p>Goldman, in fact, calls the revenue increase &#8220;modest,&#8221; which is true, although it sounds like &#8220;<em>mah-dist</em>.&#8221;</p>
<p>What&#8217;s not mah-dist is how much stock Yahoo has bought back, using its windfall from the recent sale of assets in China. It&#8217;s $1.45 billion, with more that that left to use for more share buybacks. That should keep Yahoo&#8217;s stock up nicely.</p>
<p>Goldman also talks about increases in the company&#8217;s search business, although notes that the Microsoft relationship is still not the most fantastic. </p>
<p>He speaks more effusively of Yahoo&#8217;s Asian partners, including Yahoo! Japan and China&#8217;s Alibaba Group. It&#8217;s deserved, since they have been the company&#8217;s treasure trove against its meh core performance in recent years.</p>
<p>Not so tasty is the problem Yahoo has with a big-money contract dispute in Mexico, which Goldman reiterates is &#8220;without merit.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>2:28 pm</strong>: Goldman moves onto Yahoo&#8217;s cash position, which is strong and which he says is going to be used to make the company better.</p>
<p>Mayer is back on board, talking about key focuses over multiple years. </p>
<p>She says Yahoo needs a &#8220;chain reaction of growth,&#8221; which needs to be fueled by a dozen new products that become a daily habits for consumers to increase usage and other metrics.</p>
<p><a href="http://i0.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/url5.jpeg"><img src="http://i0.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/url5-378x285.jpeg?resize=378%2C285" alt="url" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-289544" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
<p>A nuclear bomb explosion is not exactly the best metaphor for a company&#8217;s turnaround, but in Yahoo&#8217;s case it is probably a pretty good one, given how stubborn its decline has been.</p>
<p>Mayer then switches the metaphor to one she recently used about &#8220;returning to the roots&#8221; of Yahoo. </p>
<p>Actually, mixing the metaphors, Yahoo has to blast some significant roots that have gotten in the way of its innovation over the years. </p>
<p>&#8220;The best is yet to come,&#8221; promises Mayer, in what she says will be a multi-year effort.</p>
<p>Now onto questions from the analysts!</p>
<p><strong>2:40 pm</strong>: The first question is about commercialization of its products. Mayer answers she is both pro-advertising and anti-ad &#8212; meaning they are good when they add to user experience and bad when they do not.</p>
<p>There will be slight margin declines due to this, which is the real point of the query, which Goldman says will not be too impacted.</p>
<p>The next question is on the weaker performance in display ads and whether mobile ads can ramp up quick enough or not.</p>
<p>Yahoo is not breaking out mobile revenue numbers as yet &#8212; it&#8217;s not impressive as yet, so that&#8217;s what&#8217;s going on there &#8212; although Mayer points to the number of mobile users increasing to 200 million now.</p>
<p>As to the declines in display, Mayer gives a non-answer, but it is likely due to big changes that new Yahoo COO Henrique De Castro has put into place in the way it sells ads and which <strong>AllThingsD.com</strong> previously reported on. Mayer earlier in the call had confirmed those changes.</p>
<p>The fact of the matter &#8212; which is just what the analyst was asking about &#8212; is that Mayer simply <em>has</em> to improve display revenue, which is Yahoo&#8217;s core business.</p>
<p>Mayer then addresses the issue of not providing usage metrics anymore. Yahoo has withheld a lot of them since she has taken over, and she says it is because they are not indicative of metrics that, well, she thinks you need to know. </p>
<p>Instead, Mayer points to other metrics that she feels are better, such as number of ads sold and price per click on search.</p>
<p><a href="http://i1.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/Gerard_van_Honthorst_008.jpeg"><img src="http://i1.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/Gerard_van_Honthorst_008-217x285.jpeg?resize=217%2C285" alt="Gerard_van_Honthorst_008" class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-289547" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
<p>Speaking of search, the next question is about that. What can Mayer say &#8212; and she does &#8212; but that Yahoo must also improve in that area. Indeed, it is lucrative low-hanging fruit for the company.</p>
<p>Here comes an interesting observation she makes based on a question of mobile versus desktop, which Mayer says should not be separated as two areas as consumers don&#8217;t think that way. </p>
<p>Yahoo is tuning up a dozen products, she says, having started with Yahoo Mail and its Flickr photo-sharing app.</p>
<p><strong>2:54 pm</strong>: Mayer is not saying which of this dirty dozen is next to get a makeover.</p>
<p>&#8220;We&#8217;re investing in small, nimble, excellent teams,&#8221; says Mayer, who then tries to reference a famous Margaret Mead quote, but ends up mangling it a bit.</p>
<p>It is, for the record: &#8220;Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed, citizens can change the world. Indeed, it is the only thing that ever has.&#8221;</p>
<p>This is true, which might make some Yahoo staffers nervous, since Mayer&#8217;s recent stack ranking of them means she can start on employee layoffs anytime she likes to separate the wheat from the chaff.</p>
<p><strong>3:01 pm</strong>: <em>Whoo-whee</em>, this is going long and I am getting weary. Mayer has to be some kind of digital Energizer Bunny &#8212; she just flew in from the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland and moved right into the prep for the Q4 earnings. </p>
<p>Tomorrow, she is presumably off to Las Vegas, where Yahoo&#8217;s global sales conference will start and she will doubtlessly be making an appearance.</p>
<p>I am exhausted simply by walking up and down the stairs at my house.</p>
<p>The next question is about third-party publishers and ad tech on mobile.</p>
<p>&#8220;Mobile monetization is new for everyone,&#8221; she says correctly, making the point that no one knows what is going to shake out.</p>
<p>She uses &#8212; as she has used &#8212; the example of when people thought search was not a moneymaker until Google proved otherwise.</p>
<p>The problem is, of course, that Google is Yahoo&#8217;s biggest rival in this new mobile ad arena, along with Facebook and many others. And Google, as its recent results showed, does know how to make money compared to Yahoo.</p>
<p>The next question is about mobile monetization eating into desktop revenue. </p>
<p>Mayer notes that Yahoo has hired 120 people with computer science degrees in the quarter to work on that area. </p>
<p>In other words, get ready for a symphony of geeks to return Yahoo to relevance. </p>
<p>Would they can pull it off, as that would be a tune worth listening to.</p>
<p>Speaking of something worth listening to, here is a video of Diana Ross&#8217; song, &#8220;Chain Reaction,&#8221; to enjoy:</p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="480" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/UaYHRx9-v2M?rel=0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
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		<title>Yahoo Beats Q4 Earnings Estimates on Flattish Revenue; Bought Back $1.45 Billion in Shares</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130128/yahoo-beats-earnings-estimates-on-flattish-revenue/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130128/yahoo-beats-earnings-estimates-on-flattish-revenue/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Jan 2013 21:35:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=289324</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A little up is better than a little down.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://i2.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/Yahoo_Logo31.jpeg"><img src="http://i2.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/Yahoo_Logo31-380x285.jpeg?resize=380%2C285" alt="Yahoo_Logo31" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-289347" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
<p>Yahoo reported its fourth-quarter earnings today, with earnings higher than expected, but with a continued flattish revenue. </p>
<p>The Silicon Valley Internet giant aid its non-GAAP net profits were 32 cents a share, compared to 25 cents in the same period a year ago. But GAAP net earnings per diluted share were 23 cents in the fourth quarter of 2012, compared to 24 cents last year.</p>
<p>Shares jumped just above four percent in after-hours trading to above $21 a share, given Wall Street analysts were estimating a profit of 27 cents per share in Q4. </p>
<p>Net revenue, without traffic acquisition costs, was expected to be $1.21 billion. It was $1.22 billion and which is essentially flat from a year ago&#8217;s $1.17 billion. Search  revenue was up nicely, while display sales declined. </p>
<p>Overall the results showed a non-sinking but none-too-powerful ship and not very impressive given almost every other Internet company grew revenue significantly in comparison. For example, Google reported last week that core revenue was up 21 percent in the quarter.</p>
<p>Still, up is up, even if it is not up that much. &#8220;I&#8217;m proud of Yahoo!&#8217;s 2012 and fourth quarter results. In 2012, Yahoo! exhibited revenue growth for the first time in 4 years, with revenue up 2 percent year-over-year,&#8221; said Yahoo CEO Marissa Mayer in a statement.</p>
<p>In other words, she&#8217;ll take two percent, given the nearly persistent revenue declines of recent years. It is progress, of course, even if investors are looking for more robust increases ahead.</p>
<p>Also of note: Yahoo said it repurchased 79.6 million shares at an average price of $18.24 for $1.45 billion in the fourth quarter, which most definitely was one of the reasons for its recent stock run-up.</p>
<p>Yahoo did not release information on consumer engagement and traffic in the Q4 report, which it had done until Mayer took over. As <strong>AllThingsD.com</strong> <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130109/mayers-10x-challenge-yahoos-homepage-mail-and-search-traffic-show-significant-year-over-year-declines/">had previously reported</a>, most metrics in the quarter were down significantly over last year.</p>
<p>The fourth quarter was the first that was entirely under the new regime of Mayer, who arrive at Yahoo in July from Google.</p>
<p>She&#8217;s gotten a big break from Wall Street, which has sent Yahoo&#8217;s stock up in recent months on the hopes of her turnaround plans.</p>
<p>Last week, Mayer  said the long-suffering Silicon Valley giant would be returning <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130128/q4-will-marissa-mayers-back-to-its-roots-strategy-get-yahoo-back-to-the-future/">&#8220;back to its roots,&#8221;</a> as part of an effort to finally turn it around. It&#8217;s actually part of a bigger plan which <strong>AllThingsD.com</strong> had reported on previously, to focus Yahoo on being a <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130121/searching-for-relevance-yahoo-aiming-to-be-the-google-of-content/">center of content discovery</a> on the Web, across multiple devices, with wide-ranging and &#8220;very friendly&#8221; partnerships with other companies.</p>
<p>More to come at the 2 pm PT, conference call with Mayer, which I will be <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130128/liveblogging-yahoos-q4-earnings-call-a-little-up-is-better-than-a-little-down/">liveblogging as usual</a>.</p>
<p>Until then, here&#8217;s the official press release and deck from Yahoo:</p>
<p><font size="2"><a href="http://www.docstoc.com/docs/142992089/YHOO_News_2013_1_28_General">YHOO_News_2013_1_28_General</a></font><br /><object id="_ds_142992089" name="_ds_142992089" width="640" height="550" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" data="http://viewer.docstoc.com/"><param name="FlashVars" value="doc_id=142992089&#038;mem_id=1512683&#038;doc_type=pdf&#038;fullscreen=0&#038;allowdownload=1" /><param name="movie" value="http://viewer.docstoc.com/"/><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /></object><script type="text/javascript">var docstoc_docid="142992089";var docstoc_title="YHOO_News_2013_1_28_General";var docstoc_urltitle="YHOO_News_2013_1_28_General";</script><script type="text/javascript" src="http://i.docstoccdn.com/js/check-flash.js"></script></p>
<p><font size="2"><a href="http://www.docstoc.com/docs/142992110/Q412_Earnings_PresentationvsFINAL">Q4&#8217;12_Earnings_Presentation.vsFINAL</a></font><br /><object id="_ds_142992110" name="_ds_142992110" width="640" height="550" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" data="http://viewer.docstoc.com/"><param name="FlashVars" value="doc_id=142992110&#038;mem_id=1512683&#038;doc_type=pdf&#038;fullscreen=0&#038;allowdownload=1" /><param name="movie" value="http://viewer.docstoc.com/"/><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /></object><script type="text/javascript">var docstoc_docid="142992110";var docstoc_title="Q4'12_Earnings_Presentation.vsFINAL";var docstoc_urltitle="Q4'12_Earnings_Presentation.vsFINAL";</script><script type="text/javascript" src="http://i.docstoccdn.com/js/check-flash.js"></script></p>
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		<title>Google Tablet Analysis Points to Thin Margins</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120704/google-tablet-analysis-points-to-thin-margins/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120704/google-tablet-analysis-points-to-thin-margins/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Jul 2012 17:00:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Don Clark</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[The Wall Street Journal]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=227417</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It's not surprising that the first tablet to carry Google's brand would attract attention from hardware analysts. Nor is one of their key conclusions much of a shock -- the $199 price tag on the new Nexus 7 doesn't leave Google much of a profit margin.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s not surprising that the first tablet to carry Google&#8217;s brand would attract attention from hardware analysts. Nor is one of their key conclusions much of a shock &#8212; the $199 price tag on the new Nexus 7 doesn&#8217;t leave Google much of a profit margin.</p>
<p>The Nexus 7 tablet costs $199 handheld computer and features a 7-inch screen. The research firm UBM TechInsights has come up with a $184 preliminary estimate for the costs of components in the Google tablet. That compares with its $153 estimate in November for the components inside Amazon.com&#8217;s identically priced Kindle Fire.</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/digits/2012/07/03/google-tablet-analysis-points-to-thin-profit-margins/?mod=WSJBlog&#038;mod=">Read the rest of this post on the original site &#187;</a></p>
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		<title>Wall Street's Demand for Demand Media Falls Off</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110809/despite-strong-expectations-for-q2-earnings-today-wall-streets-demand-for-demand-media-falls-off/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110809/despite-strong-expectations-for-q2-earnings-today-wall-streets-demand-for-demand-media-falls-off/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Aug 2011 13:01:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=107446</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Demand Media is expected to have a solid quarter, but that might not matter to its weakened stock.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110809/despite-strong-expectations-for-q2-earnings-today-wall-streets-demand-for-demand-media-falls-off/imgres-41/" rel="attachment wp-att-107447"><img src="http://i1.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2011/08/imgres8-380x81.png?resize=380%2C81" alt="" title="imgres" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-107447" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
<p>After the markets close tomorrow, Demand Media will report its second-quarter earnings. </p>
<p>Wall Street is expecting a solid performance from the Santa Monica, Calif.-based online content maker compared to last year.</p>
<p>The consensus of estimates by analysts is for Demand to lose one cent a share, which is much smaller than the 55 cents a share loss from the same period a year ago. It is also an improvement on a previous loss of five cents a share for this quarter that investors had been predicting.</p>
<p>Nonetheless, the company&#8217;s stock hit its all-time low yesterday, after a strong IPO in January. Since the summer, it&#8217;s been all downhill, with Demand shares off 50.4 percent since early May.</p>
<p>Since it went public, the stock is off 63.1 percent.</p>
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		<title>Analyst: Cheaper iPhone Would Be a Bonanza for Apple</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110216/analyst-cheaper-iphone-would-be-a-bonanza-for-apple/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110216/analyst-cheaper-iphone-would-be-a-bonanza-for-apple/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Feb 2011 22:47:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=57961</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For Apple, a smaller, cheaper iPhone may be more than a means of entering the market for lower-end phones currently dominated by Android and Symbian--it could be the final step in the company's global smartphone dominance.
That's the theory put forth today by Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi, who sees an iPhone Nano or Mini as an inevitability, one that would dramatically expand Apple’s addressable market.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i0.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/11/iphone_photo.jpg?resize=150%2C150" alt="" title="iphone_photo" class="alignright size-full wp-image-29644" data-recalc-dims="1" />For Apple, a smaller, cheaper iPhone may be more than a means of entering the market for lower-end phones currently dominated by Android and Symbian&#8211;it could be the final step in the company&#8217;s global smartphone dominance.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s the theory put forth today by Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi, who believes Apple&#8217;s market-share aspirations for the iPhone are a lot like those for its iPod business. Sacconaghi sees an iPhone Nano or Mini as an inevitability, one that would dramatically expand Apple’s addressable market.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are surprised that Apple hasn&#8217;t moved sooner to introduce a lower priced offering that could help secure a more dominant installed base,&#8221; Sacconaghi said in a note to clients today. &#8220;After all, the smartphone world is a platform war, where first mover advantage and scale matters. The dual facts that (1) iPhone has not been available at several very important global carriers and that (2) it carries a very high price point have contributed to creating an opportunity for Android that has been successfully exploited. Particularly with Android now outselling iOS, the imperative for Apple to expand its installed base has never been higher.&#8221;</p>
<p>A scaled-down version of the iPhone with a cheaper data plan&#8211;or one that required no data plan at all&#8211;is one very obvious way of doing that. Roll out a device like that with a street price that falls somewhere between $149 and $199, says Sacconaghi, bring it those carriers that don&#8217;t yet offer the iPhone, and mass-market adoption will follow. Serious mass-market adoption.</p>
<p>&#8220;It is difficult to estimate the size of a market for a product that we don&#8217;t yet know the form-factor or timing for. But as a rough guide, we estimate that at an end-user price of $150-$200 and no data plan contract, Apple could address potentially all of the remaining smartphone segment, the non-smartphone postpaid segment, and about 15 percent of the non-smartphone prepaid segment. This would amount to an incremental 700M+ units and $90 billion in revenue in terms of market opportunity; even if Apple succeeded in capturing just 5 percent of these incremental units, it would add $12+ billion in revenues and $4.50+ in EPS.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>R&amp;D Spending: Nokia Vs. Apple Shows Size Doesn&#039;t Matter</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110204/rd-spending-nokia-vs-apple-shows-size-doesnt-matter/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110204/rd-spending-nokia-vs-apple-shows-size-doesnt-matter/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Feb 2011 16:41:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=57209</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Some additional perspective on Nokia’s massive mobile R&#038;D spend and a point of comparison for its market return. Extrapolating from Bernstein Research data that estimates Nokia spent $3.9 billion on mobile research and development, Asymco’s Horace Dediu has calculated Apple’s mobile R&#038;D spend, and there’s an astonishingly wide gulf between the two.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://i2.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/02/asymco_nok_aapl.jpg"><img src="http://i1.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/02/asymco_nok_aapl-357x400.jpg?resize=357%2C400" alt="" title="asymco_nok_aapl" class="aligncenter size-Medium380 wp-image-57211" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a> Some additional perspective on <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20110203/not-seeing-much-return-on-that-massive-rd-spend-are-you-nokia/">Nokia&#8217;s massive mobile R&#038;D spend</a> and a point of comparison for its market return.  Extrapolating from Bernstein Research data that estimates Nokia spent $3.9 billion on mobile research and development, Asymco&#8217;s Horace Dediu has calculated Apple&#8217;s mobile R&#038;D spend, and there&#8217;s <a href="http://www.asymco.com/2011/02/04/nokia-employs-as-many-engineers-for-symbian-and-meego-as-apple-does-for-all-its-product-lines/">an astonishingly wide gulf between the two</a>.</p>
<p> Nokia spends about five times as much on mobile R&#038;D as Apple. In fact,  Nokia has nearly as many engineers working on its smartphone software platforms as Apple does for its entire product line. Says Dediu, &#8220;Symbian alone may cost twice as much to develop than the iPhone (including the hardware).&#8221;</p>
<p>A shocking metric, if correct. And a pretty dismal return on investment&#8211;unless there&#8217;s another version of Symbian in the pipeline that will best iOS.</p>
<blockquote class="memo" style="background:#faf5e5;font-style:normal;"><p>
<strong>PREVIOUSLY:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li> <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20110203/not-seeing-much-return-on-that-massive-rd-spend-are-you-nokia/">Not Seeing Much Return on That Massive R&#038;D Spend, Are You, Nokia?</a></li>
<li>  <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20110128/nokia-big-and-slow/">Nokia: Big and Slow</a></li>
</ul>
</blockquote class="memo" style="background:#faf5e5;font-style:normal;">
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		<slash:comments>6</slash:comments>
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		<title>Chances Are You&#039;re Paying Way More for Mobile Than You Need To</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110203/chances-are-youre-paying-way-more-for-mobile-than-you-need-to/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110203/chances-are-youre-paying-way-more-for-mobile-than-you-need-to/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2011 20:24:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BillShrink]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[carriers]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[survey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[text]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[wireless]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=57136</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Does your wireless plan suit your needs? Truly suit your needs? Because if it doesn’t, you’re potentially wasting hundreds of dollars. According to a yearlong BillShrink survey of more than 230,000 wireless users, people waste an average of $336 annually by miscalculating their voice and data needs.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i1.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/02/Electrical-Dollars-380x380.png?resize=380%2C380" alt="" title="Electrical-Dollars" class="aligncenter size-Medium380 wp-image-57147" data-recalc-dims="1" />Does your wireless plan suit your needs? Truly suit your needs? Because if it doesn&#8217;t, you&#8217;re potentially wasting hundreds of dollars.  According to a yearlong BillShrink survey of more than 230,000  wireless users, people waste an average of $336 annually by miscalculating their voice and data needs. And in doing so, they unnecessarily hand an estimated $79 million to their carriers.</p>
<p>A few key findings from<a href="http://www.billshrink.com/blog/10973/cell-phone-plans-comparison-2/"> the survey</a>:</p>
<ul>
<li> People estimate they need 711 wireless anytime minutes per month, but in truth they need quite a bit less. BillShrink found 651 minutes to be the average.</li>
<li> The average person uses 1,555 text messages per month, yet most consumers believe they use 2,566. (1,555 per-month is the <em>average</em>!?!)</li>
<li> People assume they need 54MB of data per month, yet most need 81MB. Ironically, most tiered carrier plans start at 150MB.</li>
</ul>
<p>What&#8217;s driving these disparities? Consumers&#8217; skewed perception of their wireless needs, obviously. But the carriers are to blame too. Their tiered pricing plans might offer more choice, but they also make it tougher to assess our voice, text and data needs, and make it quite a bit easier to overpay for them.<br />
<a href="http://i1.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/02/bcIUp.jpg"><img src="http://i2.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/02/bcIUp-131x400.jpg?resize=131%2C400" alt="" title="bcIUp" class="aligncenter size-Medium380 wp-image-57138" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
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		<item>
		<title>Not Seeing Much Return on That Massive R&amp;D Spend, Are You, Nokia?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110203/not-seeing-much-return-on-that-massive-rd-spend-are-you-nokia/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110203/not-seeing-much-return-on-that-massive-rd-spend-are-you-nokia/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2011 12:10:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Android]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bernstein Research]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[MeeGo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nokia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pierre Ferragu]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Symbian^3]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=57060</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Nokia spent scads of cash on research and development last year, but didn’t see much return on it. Certainly, the investment did little to slow the continuing deterioration of its competitive position.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i0.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/02/NokRDSpend.jpg?resize=357%2C426" alt="" title="NokRDSpend" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-57062" data-recalc-dims="1" />Nokia spent scads of cash on research and development last year, but didn&#8217;t see much return on it. Certainly, the investment did little to slow the continuing deterioration of its competitive position. The company&#8217;s R&#038;D spend for 2010 on mobile was $3.9 billion&#8211;almost three times the average of its rivals&#8217;, according to a Bernstein Research estimate. And for what? Symbian^3 and the troubled N8? According to Bernstein&#8217;s estimate, about a third of Nokia&#8217;s R&#038;D spend went to Symbian.</p>
<p><a href="http://i0.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/02/Nok_RDbreakdown.jpg"><img src="http://i0.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/02/Nok_RDbreakdown-380x207.jpg?resize=380%2C207" alt="" title="Nok_RDbreakdown" class="aligncenter size-Medium380 wp-image-57087" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
<p>Hamstrung by institutional inefficiencies and the complexity of its legacy platforms, Nokia is spending a lot of money to gain traction in markets in which its handset lineup is clearly uncompetitive, and with little success. Instead it&#8217;s suffering steeper share losses at the high end of the market and margin erosion across its entire portfolio. And it&#8217;s spending about 4 times as much on R&#038;D as Apple, which has recast the smartphone space from its own vision.</p>
<p>As Bernstein analyst Pierre Ferragu observes, Nokia&#8217;s business appears to be melting like an ice cube.  &#8220;At this stage, we believe that even a good success of Symbian^3 would barely stabilize the business,&#8221; he says. &#8220;A real comeback will need much more effort &#8230; and a lot more time, unlikely to happen in the next couple of years, in our view.&#8221;</p>
<p>So what can be done?  Though some observers argue Nokia should scrap Symbian, Ferragu says that&#8217;s impossible given the number of assets the company has that depend on it. The company can&#8217;t really make a big move to Android, either. That would undermine its current service strategy and alienate partners, European carriers looking for an alternative to iOS and Android, and Nokia&#8217;s developer community.</p>
<p>What it should do, he says, is redouble its efforts on MeeGo and make it a viable competitor to Android and iOS in markets like North America, while continuing to push Symbian to the rest of the world. And then it should integrate the two through QT, its cross-platform application and UI framework. Says Ferragu, &#8220;By migrating all UI developments of Symbian on QT, the company can generate significant cost savings, progressively drive the platform towards a single UI between MeeGo and Symbian and a single development environment for applications.&#8221;</p>
<p>What&#8217;s left to do after that?</p>
<p>Hope for the best.</p>
<p>As CEO Stephen Elop said during the company&#8217;s last earnings call, “Nokia must compete on ecosystem to ecosystem basis. In addition to great device experiences we must build, catalyse or join a competitive ecosystem. And the ecosystem approach we select must be comprehensive and cover a wide range of utilities and services that customers expect today and anticipate in the future.”</p>
<p>“Whatever the strategy is we outline on Feb. 11, we very clearly ensuring that it will give us the opportunity to reopen markets such as the U.S. and some others, where we have not recently been present.”</p>
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		<slash:comments>48</slash:comments>
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		<title>AOL&#039;s Ad Turnaround Still Isn&#039;t Here Yet</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110202/aols-ad-turnaround-still-isnt-here-yet/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110202/aols-ad-turnaround-still-isnt-here-yet/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Feb 2011 12:42:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AOL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earnings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EBITDA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EPS]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Tim Armstrong]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=29101</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[But Wall Street wasn't expecting Tim Armstrong to say otherwise.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://i1.wp.com/mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2010/05/tim-armstrong-aol.jpg"><img src="http://i2.wp.com/mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2010/05/tim-armstrong-aol-275x154.jpg?resize=250%2C140" alt="" title="tim armstrong aol" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-19473" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a>AOL, which hasn&#8217;t always given the Street what it expects, delivered today: It <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/AOL-Reports-Q4-bw-1996866784.html?x=0&#038;.v=1">reported</a> Q4 earnings of 61 cents a share on revenue of $596 million. Analysts were expecting $588 million and 42 cents a share (or 52 cents, according to <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/AOL-posts-higher-4Q-net-apf-1652441001.html?x=0&#038;.v=1">FactSet</a>&#8211;AOL EPS estimates are usually all over the map). Wall Street was looking for an EBITDA of $145 million, and Tim Armstrong came through there, as well, with $149 million.</p>
<p>The bigger picture is that Armstrong&#8217;s turnaround is still in progress. Ad revenue was down 29 percent in the last quarter, though that number is worse than it looks. A big chunk of the decline comes from moves AOL has intentionally made that will cut revenue in the short run in return for more profitable sales down the road.</p>
<p>A more representative data set for Armstrong are his display ad sales, which are down 14 percent overall and 8 percent in the U.S..</p>
<p>The bad news is that the rest of the Web ad industry is well into rebound mode; the good news is that AOL has trained Wall Street to expect numbers like these. If you&#8217;re waiting to see positive sales numbers, Armstrong said during AOL&#8217;s earnings call this morning, wait until the second half of this year.</p>
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		<title>Yahoo Shares Feel Pressure Ahead of Next Week&#039;s Earnings</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110119/yahoo-shares-feel-pressure-ahead-of-next-weeks-earnings/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110119/yahoo-shares-feel-pressure-ahead-of-next-weeks-earnings/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Jan 2011 14:18:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Yahoo Japan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=39755</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For a while recently, it looked like Yahoo shares might start pulling out of their longtime $16 range, boosted by various and sundry rumors about the sale of its Asian assets and other machinations.

But, as worries about its next earnings call in less than a week coalesce, Wall Street has taken a wait-and-see position on the Internet giant's stock.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://i0.wp.com/kara.allthingsd.com/files/2011/01/Yahoo-Logo-500x293.jpeg"><img src="http://i0.wp.com/kara.allthingsd.com/files/2011/01/Yahoo-Logo-500x293-275x161.jpg?resize=275%2C161" alt="" title="Yahoo-Logo-500x293" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-39766" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
<p>For a while recently, it looked like Yahoo shares might start pulling out of their longtime $16 range, boosted by various and sundry rumors about the sale of its Asian assets and other machinations.</p>
<p>But, as worries about its next earnings call in less than a week coalesce, the Internet giant&#8217;s stock has settled right around its 50-day moving average of $16.59, closing down 1.85 percent at $16.50 yesterday.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s not bad given the stock has a 52-week low of $12.94 (and a 52-week high of $19.12).</p>
<p>But, it did not stop Morgan Stanley from downgrading Yahoo shares on Monday and cutting its revenue and earnings estimates.</p>
<p>The reason? &#8220;Deteriorating fundamentals&#8221; and a belief that &#8220;users will increasingly consume media/content on Facebook vs. Yahoo!&#8221;</p>
<p><em>You think?</em> (As Yahoo has found, it appears that the kids love to social network!)</p>
<p>Thus, despite a healthy valuation for those Asian assets in the Alibaba Group and Yahoo! Japan and some speculation about the sale of them&#8211;the lack of any revenue growth in Yahoo&#8217;s core U.S. market is still the big drag on the Silicon Valley icon.</p>
<p>Because of that, there has also been increased short seller activity recently, which means all eyes will be on Yahoo&#8217;s fourth-quarter earnings release next Tuesday, Jan. 25.</p>
<p>Currently, Wall Street analysts expect higher earnings of 22 cents a share on revenue of $1.19 billion for Yahoo.</p>
<p>That revenue number is lower than a year ago, due to a weakening display advertising business and declines in search ad revenue at the company.</p>
<p>And it will not help if Google, as expected tomorrow, turns in a blow-out quarter, especially if it shows strength in its own display business.</p>
<p>So, after its continued <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20101019/liveblogging-yahoos-3q-earnings-busy-busy-busy-so-go-away-tim-armstrong">lackluster revenue in the last quarter</a>, top <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20100930/yahoo-confirms-exec-departures-the-internal-memo-from-the-foxhole/">executive turnover in its media business</a> and <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20101215/heres-carol-bartzs-internal-layoff-memo-to-beleaguered-yahoo-troops">layoffs in December</a>, investors are going to be expecting some long-promised sign of turnaround from Yahoo CEO Carol Bartz.</p>
<p>Whether she can finally start to deliver on that or not next week remains to be seen.</p>
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		<title>Deutsche Bank Joins the Running of the Apple Bulls</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110104/deutsche-bank-joins-the-running-of-the-apple-bulls/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110104/deutsche-bank-joins-the-running-of-the-apple-bulls/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Jan 2011 18:32:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=55043</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Expect another record-breaking quarter when Apple reports earnings later this month. With strong global demand for its products and few retail stock-outs over the holidays, Deutsche Bank analyst Chris Whitmore believes the company racked up sales above already lofty expectations]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i0.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/01/steve_bulls.jpg?resize=380%2C268" alt="" title="Spain Running of the Bulls" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-55052" data-recalc-dims="1" />Expect another record-breaking quarter when Apple reports earnings later this month.</p>
<p>With strong global demand for its products and few retail stock-outs over the holidays, Deutsche Bank analyst Chris Whitmore believes the company racked up sales above already lofty expectations. And he raised his estimate on Apple today, following channel checks that revealed better-than-anticipated iPad and Mac demand and unwavering demand for the iPhone&#8211;even ahead of an expected Verizon announcement.</p>
<p>Over the holidays, Whitmore&#8217;s team checked up on 50-plus Apple Stores and retail partners, and found long lines, heavy store traffic and limited stock-outs at the majority of them.</p>
<p><a href="http://i1.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/01/deutschebank_aapl.jpg"><img src="http://i0.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/01/deutschebank_aapl-380x222.jpg?resize=380%2C222" alt="" title="deutschebank_aapl" class="aligncenter size-Medium380 wp-image-55054" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
<p>&#8220;Apple continues to benefit from the strongest product offering in its history and the strong double-barreled product cycle is driving massive global demand for iPads and iPhones,&#8221; Whitmore said. &#8220;Both categories are benefiting from additional carriers, international expansion and limited competition. In addition, while we expect an onslaught of new tablet announcements at CES this year, we do not expect material competition to arrive until the second half of 2011. We have not seen anything that matches Apple’s iOS product suite in terms of form factor, usability, integrated hardware/software and the breadth and depth of the App store.&#8221;</p>
<p>Whitmore now expects Apple to sell 60 million iPhones in calendar 2011, up from 55 million. And that&#8217;s without a Verizon iPhone. With it, he says,  iPhone sales should rise by another five million to seven million units. &#8220;We expect a CDMA based iPhone to be a significant positive for AAPL with limited cannibalization at AT&#038;T,&#8221; he said. &#8220;Our DB colleague Brett Feldman, who covers Telecom Services, estimates that Verizon will add roughly 15M iPhones in 2011 with 6M cannibalized from AT&#038;T.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Skype Talks About Just How Full That Half a Glass Is (Updated: Glass Now 90 Percent Full)</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20101223/skype-talks-about-just-how-full-that-half-a-glass-is/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20101223/skype-talks-about-just-how-full-that-half-a-glass-is/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Dec 2010 18:27:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ina Fried</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mobilized.allthingsd.com/?p=1343</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Internet telephony service is still not back to normal after a massive outage, but a number of services have returned, it says. Skype estimates that some 10 million of its users are now online.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>While some people are still having trouble using Skype and a few features remain unavailable, the Internet telephony company issued a statement on Thursday touting those services that have returned to operation after a <a href="http://mobilized.allthingsd.com/20101222/skype-details-problems-says-may-take-hours-to-fix/">massive outage on Wednesday</a>.<br />
<img src="http://i0.wp.com/mobilized.allthingsd.com/files/2010/12/Picture-10-275x124.png?resize=200%2C90" alt="" title="Picture 10" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1345" data-recalc-dims="1" /><br />
&#8220;In the last hour, we’ve seen evidence of a significant increase in the number of people online,&#8221; Skype <a href="http://blogs.skype.com/en/2010/12/increase_online.html">said in a blog posting</a>. &#8220;Because of the way the Skype software works, it’s not possible for anyone to obtain an exact figure, but we now estimate it to be over 10 million.&#8221;</p>
<p>However, according to a graphic elsewhere on the company&#8217;s Web site (see above), that&#8217;s still short of the service at peak times (and one would assume that, absent an outage, two days before Christmas might be one of those peak sorts of times).</p>
<p>The blog goes on to mention a few of the other lingering issues. &#8220;Please note that some features may not work as reliably as expected,&#8221; it said, adding that &#8220;peoples’ online status may be slow to update, and instant messages might not be delivered as quickly as they are normally. Group video calling will take longer to return to normal.&#8221;</p>
<p>Of course, all that is a lot better than yesterday, when the bulk of the service was <a href="http://mobilized.allthingsd.com/20101222/skypeout-service-is-down-for-millions/">down for millions of people</a>.</p>
<p><strong>UPDATE, 11:50 am:</strong> Things are looking up, according to <a href="http://blogs.skype.com/en/2010/12/update_on_downtime_from_ceo.html">the latest post from CEO Tony Bates</a>. He reports that there are now about 16.5 million users online, about 80 percent of normal for this time of day. And a make-good offering is in the works. &#8220;I realise that it’s difficult to compensate you for not being able to talk to or see your friends, family or colleagues, but we’re planning to offer Skype Credit vouchers to all of our loyal paying customers to thank you for your continued support,&#8221; said Bates.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s the video of his message:</p>
<p><object width="360" height="295"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/hZCk2oBRCNw?fs=1&amp;hl=en_US&amp;rel=0"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/hZCk2oBRCNw?fs=1&amp;hl=en_US&amp;rel=0" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="360" height="295"></embed></object></p>
<p><strong>UPDATE, 3:02 pm:</strong> Another dispatch from Bates, this time reporting that traffic volume is up to 90 percent of normal now, the system has been stabilized and the engineers think they know what went wrong (and it wasn&#8217;t a malicious attack). Bates also offered a few more details on the customer compensation plan. Here&#8217;s the video:</p>
<p><object width="360" height="295"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/KER1vYO9nJw?fs=1&amp;hl=en_US&amp;rel=0"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/KER1vYO9nJw?fs=1&amp;hl=en_US&amp;rel=0" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="360" height="295"></embed></object></p>
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		<title>Oracle Beats Q2 Earnings Forecasts</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20101216/oracle-beats-q2-earnings-forecasts/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20101216/oracle-beats-q2-earnings-forecasts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Dec 2010 21:10:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Arik Hesseldahl</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Enterprise]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://newenterprise.allthingsd.com/?p=726</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Oracle's earnings are in. Both revenue and profits beat the expectations of analysts. Shares are up more than 3 percent after hours.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i0.wp.com/newenterprise.allthingsd.com/files/2010/12/Oracle_logo-275x34.gif?resize=275%2C34" alt="" title="Oracle_logo" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-734" data-recalc-dims="1" />Oracle&#8217;s earnings are in. Both revenue and profits beat the expectations of analysts.</p>
<p>Sales were $8.6 billion, helped mostly by new software license sales that grew 21 percent to $2 billion, while updates and product support revenue grew 12 percent to $3.7 billion. The consensus estimate was $8.34 billion. Sales grew 47 percent from the same period a year ago.</p>
<p>Non-GAAP per-share earnings were 51 cents, beating the 46-cent forecast estimate of analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial. Earnings after one-time items were 37 cents, up from 29 cents a year ago.</p>
<p>Gross margins on Sun-branded hardware increased to 53 percent.</p>
<p>Shares are up almost 4 percent in after-hours trading.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s a quote from CEO Larry Ellison, reminding us <a href="http://newenterprise.allthingsd.com/20101202/oracle-sets-database-speed-record-larry-ellison-disses-hp/">how fast his new products are</a>, and digging once again at the competition:</p>
<blockquote><p>“Sun’s new SPARC Supercluster computer shattered the world record for database transaction processing performance by running 3 times faster than IBM’s fastest computer, and a stunning 7.5 times faster than HP&#8217;s best ever database performance,” said Oracle CEO, Larry Ellison. “Our new generation of Exadata, Exalogic and SPARC Supercluster computers deliver much better performance and much lower cost than the fastest machines from IBM and HP.”
</p></blockquote>
<p>Here&#8217;s another quote, from Oracle co-President (and former HP CEO) Mark Hurd, about the Exadata product line:</p>
<blockquote><p>“Since joining Oracle I’ve met with and visited many customers that have expressed a high level of enthusiasm around our strategy of engineering hardware and software that works together,” said Oracle President, Mark Hurd. “That enthusiasm translates into an Exadata pipeline that has now grown to nearly $2 billion. That number is a good leading indicator that customers are planning to increase their investment in Oracle technology.”</p></blockquote>
<p>Yes I would say there&#8217;s enthusiasm. It was precisely because of the Exadata line that <a href="http://online.barrons.com/article/SB50001424052970204158904576023551987425880.html">Macquarie Research upgraded</a> Oracle today.</p>
<p>More from the conference call, which starts at 5 pm ET.</p>
<p><strong>4:53 pm</strong>: Seven minutes to go before the Oracle earnings conference call starts. Right now it&#8217;s all mellow classical guitar.</p>
<p>Call is running a little late.</p>
<p><strong>5:10 pm</strong>: And we&#8217;re underway with the safe-harbor statement.</p>
<p>Ellison, Hurd and president Safra Catz are on the call.</p>
<p>Americas grew 32 percent in U.S. dollars.</p>
<p><strong>5:15 pm</strong>: Balance sheet: $24.8 billion in cash and short-term investments.</p>
<p>Generated $3.7 billion in free cash flow.</p>
<p><strong>5:15 pm</strong>: Safra Catz is now speaking. We exceeded the high point of license guidance. Even excluding a payment for legal fees, we beat guidance by 4 cents.</p>
<p><strong>5:16 pm</strong>: All geographies reported double-digit growth.</p>
<p><strong>5:16 pm</strong>: &#8220;We continue to take share from SAP.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>5:17 pm</strong>: With Sun, included operating margins were 44 percent, which is better than SAP. [Another dig.]</p>
<p><strong>5:18 pm</strong>: Hardware guidance: $1.1 to $1.2 billion in revenues.</p>
<p>Non-GAAP EPS expected to be 48 to 50 cents, and 34 to 36 cents on a GAAP basis.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s Larry:</p>
<p><strong>5:19 pm</strong>: Our goal is to be No. 1 in high-end market for servers. Right now our numbers are behind HP and IBM.</p>
<p><strong>5:20 pm</strong>: IBM&#8217;s and HP&#8217;s servers are slow, and software is slow and expensive and have no software value-add. [Another dig at the competitors.]</p>
<p><strong>5:22 pm</strong>: Exadata pipeline continus to grow. We expect our new generation of Sun machines will enable us to win significant share, and position us in the No. 2 position behind IBM very soon. And then we&#8217;ll fight it out for No. 1.</p>
<p><strong>5:23 pm</strong>: Now Mark Hurd is speaking.</p>
<p><strong>5:23 pm</strong>: I want to focus on our opportunities to grow significantly.</p>
<p><strong>5:24 pm</strong>: Deal volume was spread across companies of all sizes and strength in the public sector as well.</p>
<p><strong>5:24 pm</strong>: All of our customers and competitors are reacting to us.</p>
<p><strong>5:25 pm</strong>: 150,000 Middleware customers. We ended the quarter with a record hardware backlog.</p>
<p><strong>5:26 pm</strong>: Now going to Q&#038;A:</p>
<p>A question from UBS. Are you starting to see a halo impact on adoption of the Oracle suite?</p>
<p>Larry: Close rates are improving. You&#8217;ll see great improvement in Exadata sales from Q2 to Q3. Because it&#8217;s new, people were running a lot of benchmarks and trying it out first.  We&#8217;ll sell a lot more Exadata in Q3 than in Q2.</p>
<p>As for the halo effect, when you buy these servers you buy them to run specific software. Engineer them at the same time and make sure they run well together. We have a huge advantage over IBM and HP. The notion of systems, hardware and software that run well together will dominate the high end of the business.</p>
<p>Q: You clearly have a lot of irons in the fire with Fusion apps coming up and Exadata. Focus on Exalogic. Can you share early feedback from customers and compare that to Exadata ramp.</p>
<p>Mark: Exadata experience benefits Exalogic. We&#8217;ve matured the use case, we think we know where the targets are. The Exadata experience is a big deal for us.</p>
<p><strong>5:31 pm</strong>: A question about Fusion Middleware.</p>
<p>Larry: We&#8217;ve been in the middleware business for a long time. With release 11 everything has been rewritten. It&#8217;s a much better user experience, you can patch our entire suite with a single file. We think the fact that we have an integrated suite gives us a huge advantage over IBM.</p>
<p><strong>5:33 pm</strong>: A question about Europe. It was better than expected. Apps business was really strong. Look at competitors. You&#8217;ve been gaining share against SAP. We are seeing a pickup in general environment.</p>
<p>Hurd: I&#8217;m not an economist, but we&#8217;re doing well in Europe. It was broad-based. It was not singular to a deal or country. It was broad-based to countries where we have been gaining share. It&#8217;s been one quarter after another, a pretty steady beat.</p>
<p>Larry: We had a wonderful set of industry specific applications, in telecommunications and banking and retail, and that&#8217;s unique vis-a-vis SAP. that has helped us a lot to establish us in a lot of industries. Also Fusion is right around the corner.</p>
<p><strong>5:35 pm</strong>: Q: How frequently is an Exadata deployment resulting in the displacement of a competitor&#8217;s product?</p>
<p>Hurd: About 70 to 75 percent of the time. About 20 to 25 percent of the time it&#8217;s a consolidation.</p>
<p>We&#8217;ve sold Exadata now in 50 countries, and 30 to 35 percent of our customers have made a second purchase. You&#8217;re starting to see repeat purchases. We&#8217;ve learned a lot about this and so as we launch Exalogic we can accelerate our learnings.</p>
<p><strong>5:36 pm</strong>: Q: Margin was also great. What can we expect going forward and what were one-time items?</p>
<p>Catz: In general, it&#8217;s the business. The only nonrepeatable thing is the $120 million legal settlement, which we will not repeat. Hardware margins and operating margins, this is something we&#8217;ve done for many years.</p>
<p><strong>5:38 pm</strong>: Q: What is visibility for database licenses?</p>
<p>Larry: A couple quarters ago, someone noticed database licenses were growing nicely. We think Exadata is going to be a nice turbocharge to our database business. Across the board our database business is going to get strong with Exadata.</p>
<p>I just looked at after-hours trading in Oracle shares and they&#8217;re up more than 4.5 percent.</p>
<p>Hurd: &#8220;The secret to Exadata is bringing the smarts to the data, versus bringing the data to the smarts.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>5:42 pm</strong>: Q: What continues to drive the database business? Is it just core database, add-ons?</p>
<p>Larry: We think our technology is getting faster and more reliable at a faster rate than that of our competitors.</p>
<p><strong>5:43 pm</strong> Larry: As far as applications, we think there are lots of reasons we continue to gain share every quarter over the last few years over SAP.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s the industry-specific applications. We have telecom companies that are running only Oracle software. We have some banks that are making the same kind of commitments up and down the stack. SAP just doesn&#8217;t have that.</p>
<p><strong>5:44 pm</strong>: Larry: We&#8217;ve got this extremely modern Java-based suite called Fusion that is going to strengthen our competitive stance against Salesforce.com and against Workday.</p>
<p><strong>5:46 pm</strong>: That seems to be it. The call is concluded.</p>
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		<title>Eight Million or 10 Million: Either Way, That's a Lot of PlayBooks</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20101130/8-million-or-10-million-either-way-thats-a-lot-of-playbooks/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20101130/8-million-or-10-million-either-way-thats-a-lot-of-playbooks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Nov 2010 19:40:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=53345</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Investors betting Research in Motion will sell about 10 million BlackBerry PlayBooks in the next fiscal year best temper their expectations a bit. With the iPad juggernaut rolling inexorably forward and a groaning board of rival tablets headed to market in the months ahead, some analysts are suggesting that RIM may not sell quite as many PlayBooks as it hopes.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i2.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2010/11/crystalball-150x150.jpg?resize=150%2C150" alt="" title="crystalball" class="alignright size-thumbnail wp-image-53351" data-recalc-dims="1" />Investors betting Research in Motion will sell about 10 million <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100927/rim-unveils-blackberry-playbook-tablet/">BlackBerry PlayBooks</a> in the next fiscal year best temper their expectations a bit. With the iPad juggernaut rolling inexorably forward and a groaning board of rival tablets headed to market in the months ahead, some analysts are suggesting that RIM may not sell quite as many PlayBooks as it hopes (an interesting exercise, considering few outside of RIM have even used the device).</p>
<p>&#8220;Given the competitive environment heading into CY11 with the influx of more than 80 new competitive tablet offerings, we believe [selling 10 million units] may be challenging for RIM to achieve, particularly as the PlayBook is positioned as a &#8216;professional&#8217; device and initially as a companion linked to a BlackBerry,&#8221; Susquehanna analyst Jeffrey Fidacaro said in a note to clients today, suggesting that sales of eight million is likely a better estimate. Which seems reasonable, particularly since the PlayBook will only support 3G data connectivity through a tethered BlackBerry.</p>
<p><a href="http://i2.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2010/11/tablets.jpg"><img src="http://i0.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2010/11/tablets-275x215.jpg?resize=275%2C215" alt="" title="tablets" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-53346" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
<p>That said, Apple did sell 4.19 million iPads last quarter. So it&#8217;s not entirely inconceivable that RIM could sell 10 million PlayBooks in four quarters, assuming the buzz around the device&#8211;which has driven the company&#8217;s shares upward since its announcement&#8211;continues.</p>
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		<title>Addition Through Subtraction: Wall Street Gives Google a MySpace Bump</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20101006/addition-through-subtraction-wall-street-gives-google-a-myspace-bump/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20101006/addition-through-subtraction-wall-street-gives-google-a-myspace-bump/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Oct 2010 11:23:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=24187</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Google and MySpace have yet to announce a new search deal. But J.P. Morgan analyst Imran Khan thinks he knows what the new pact will mean to the search giant: A $200 million annual boost.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://i1.wp.com/mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2010/10/LetsMake3.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-24191" title="LetsMake3" src="http://i1.wp.com/mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2010/10/LetsMake3-275x228.jpg?resize=250%2C207" alt="" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a>Google and MySpace have yet to announce a new search deal. But J.P. Morgan analyst Imran Khan thinks he knows what the new pact will mean to the search giant: A $200 million annual boost.</p>
<p>As <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20100916/exclusive-myspace-and-google-zero-in-on-renewing-realistic-search-deal/">Kara Swisher has reported</a>, Google (GOOG) and MySpace owner News Corp. (NWS) are close to a &#8220;realistic&#8221; search deal to replace the famous three-year, $900 million pact signed during the Web 2.0 boom. The old deal expired this summer, and the two companies have been negotiating a replacement while working through a couple of one-month extensions.</p>
<p>News Corp., which also owns this Web site, doesn&#8217;t have much leverage here. Its once-hot social network has long been eclipsed by Facebook, and Microsoft (MSFT) doesn&#8217;t seem inclined to make a competitive bid for the MySpace business.</p>
<p>Translation: The new deal should save Google $200 million in traffic acquisition costs, Khan says. And he figures that those savings will show up as soon Google&#8217;s Q3 results, due out next week: He&#8217;s boosted his net revenue estimate to $5.33 billion, up from $5.32 billion.</p>
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		<title>Amazon Profit Surges</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20100422/amazon-profits-surge/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20100422/amazon-profits-surge/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Apr 2010 20:19:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Amazon]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=39030</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[After market close Thursday, Amazon turned in a solid first quarter earnings report whose highlight was a 68 percent surge in profit.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i0.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/10/bezos_thumb-150x150.jpg?resize=150%2C150" alt="bezos_thumb-150x150" title="bezos_thumb-150x150" class="alignright size-full wp-image-27288" data-recalc-dims="1" /> Wall Street had high hopes for Amazon’s first-quarter earnings and the the company did not disappoint. After market close Thursday, Amazon turned in a solid earnings report whose highlight was a 68 percent surge in profit. The retailer reported net income of $299 million, or 66 cents a share, compared with $177 million, or 41 cents a share, it posted last year. Revenue grew 46 percent to $7.13 billion. </p>
<p>Quite a showing considering the consensus estimate had Amazon (AMZN) reporting earnings of 61 cents a share on revenue of $6.87 billion.</p>
<p>In a statement, Amazon once again touted the Kindle e-reader as its &#8220;#1 bestselling product&#8221; and once again declined to offer any hard sales figures on the device, which is becoming increasingly more relevant with the arrival of Apple&#8217;s iPad and the expectation that other tablet devices will be landing soon. In a statement, founder and CEO Jeff Bezos said:</p>
<p>&#8220;We remain heads-down focused on customers. Amazon Prime has just celebrated its fifth anniversary, adoption of Amazon Web Services continues to accelerate, Kindle remains our #1 bestselling product, and earlier this week, Kindle selection reached 500,000 titles.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Just the Toilet Paper, Mayonnaise and Kindle for You Today, Sir?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20100422/just-the-toilet-paper-mayonnaise-and-kindle-for-you-today-sir/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20100422/just-the-toilet-paper-mayonnaise-and-kindle-for-you-today-sir/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Apr 2010 14:06:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[agency model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amazon]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=38963</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Amazon’s Kindle will soon make its brick-and-mortar debut. On Wednesday afternoon, Target said it will begin selling the e-reader this weekend, confirming rumors that have been circulating for a couple weeks.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i1.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2010/04/kindletarget.jpg?resize=200%2C189" alt="" title="kindletarget" class="alignright size-full wp-image-38972" data-recalc-dims="1" />Amazon’s Kindle will soon make its brick-and-mortar debut. On Wednesday afternoon, <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Target-Stores-to-Sell-Kindle-bw-1811061742.html?x=0">Target said it will begin selling the e-reader this weekend</a>, confirming <a href="http://www.engadget.com/2010/04/07/kindle-coming-to-target-on-april-25/">rumors</a> that have been circulating for a couple weeks.</p>
<p>Kindle will debut at Target’s (TGT) flagship store in Minneapolis, as well as 102 locations in South Florida this Sunday, with wider availability to follow.</p>
<p>This is Amazon’s (AMZN) first foray into the brick-and-mortar retail world and one evidently made under duress. Last week, Barnes &#038; Noble (BKS) began distributing its Nook e-book reader through Best Buy (BBY), and, of course, Apple (AAPL) is now selling the iPad at its own retail stores. </p>
<p>With claim to about 90 percent of e-book sales, according to estimates by Credit Suisse Group AG (CS), the e-book market is Amazon’s to lose. As Credit Suisse analyst Spencer Wang noted earlier this year, the retailer may well see its e-book market share slip from 90 percent to 72 percent in 2010, thanks to some formidable new rivals.</p>
<p>&#8220;Near term, we suspect that the iPad and the new eBook agency pricing model, which requires that Amazon increase retail prices to be more consistent with Apple’s pricing, will provide Kindle with the most market share headwind,&#8221; Wang wrote. &#8220;Going forward, we can envision a scenario where Apple, Amazon, and Google eventually split the market. Therefore, we expect Amazon’s share of eBooks business to fall from 90 percent currently to about 35 percent over the next five years.&#8221;</p>
<p>That’s a steep decline&#8211;though 35 percent does seem extreme. Little wonder, then, that Amazon is willing to give up its sales exclusivity for the device in an effort to temper the projected loss of market share.</p>
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		<title>Apple: 300,000 Wi-Fi-Only iPads Sold on First Day</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20100405/apple-300000-ipads-sold-on-first-day/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20100405/apple-300000-ipads-sold-on-first-day/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Apr 2010 12:36:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[3G]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=38137</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Turns out, first-day sales of the iPad weren’t quite as "magical and revolutionary" as some thought. This morning, Apple said it sold over 300,000 iPads in the U.S. as of midnight Saturday, April 3--including pre-orders.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i2.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2010/01/steve-tab-150x150.jpg?resize=150%2C150" alt="" title="steve-tab" class="alignright size-thumbnail wp-image-33696" data-recalc-dims="1" />Turns out, first-day sales of the iPad weren’t quite as &#8220;magical and revolutionary&#8221; as some thought. This morning, Apple said it <a href="http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/apple-sells-over-300000-ipads-first-day-89904642.html">sold over 300,000 iPads in the U.S.</a> as of midnight Saturday, April 3&#8211;including pre-orders. That’s about <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100404/600000-700000-ipads-sold-saturday/">half the sales Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster estimated</a> in a Sunday research note, but, ironically, right on target with his earlier estimate. </p>
<p>Interestingly, the sales figure is also on par with the <a href="http://www.engadget.com/2007/07/25/apple-sold-270-000-iphones-in-the-first-30-hours/3">270,000 first-gen iPhones</a> Apple (AAPL) sold during that device&#8217;s first 30 hours at market in 2007.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s important to remember, though, that this first-day sales number is for Wi-Fi-only iPads sold in the U.S. The figure does not include sales of the 3G version of the device, which arrives at market in a few weeks. Nor does it include <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100327/launch-day-ipads-sold-out/">online pre-orders with an April 12 ship date</a>. Makes you wonder if Apple is purposely lowballing here &#8230;</p>
<blockquote class="memo"><p>
<strong><a href="http://www.apple.com/pr/library/2010/04/05ipad.html">Apple Sells Over 300,000 iPads First Day</a></strong></p>
<p>CUPERTINO, Calif., April 5 &#8212; Apple® today announced that it sold over 300,000 iPads in the US as of midnight Saturday, April 3. These sales included deliveries of pre-ordered iPads to customers, deliveries to channel partners and sales at Apple Retail Stores. Apple also announced that iPad users downloaded over one million apps from Apple&#8217;s App Store and over 250,000 ebooks from its iBookstore during the first day.</p>
<p>&#8220;It feels great to have the iPad launched into the world &#8212; it&#8217;s going to be a game changer,&#8221; said Steve Jobs, Apple&#8217;s CEO. &#8220;iPad users, on average, downloaded more than three apps and close to one book within hours of unpacking their new iPad.&#8221;</blockquote class="memo">
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		<title>600,000-700,000 iPads Sold Saturday; Longer Than Expected Lines at Apple Stores</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20100404/600000-700000-ipads-sold-saturday/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20100404/600000-700000-ipads-sold-saturday/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Apr 2010 15:01:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[3G]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[3GS]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=38104</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The first analysts' estimates of launch-day iPad sales are beginning to roll in and they’re impressive, to say the least. In a research note issued Sunday morning, Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster, who had expected Apple to sell between 200,000 and 300,000 iPads on Saturday, said his prediction was likely off by more than half.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i2.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2010/03/scoflepad1-150x150.jpg?resize=150%2C150" alt="" title="scoflepad" class="alignright size-thumbnail wp-image-36201" data-recalc-dims="1" />The first analysts&#8217; estimates of launch-day iPad sales are beginning to roll in and they’re impressive, to say the least. In a research note issued Sunday morning, Piper Jaffray&#8217;s Gene Munster, who had expected Apple (AAPL) to sell between 200,000 and 300,000 iPads on Saturday, said his prediction was likely off by more than half.  </p>
<p>&#8220;We estimate Apple sold between 600-700k iPads (including online pre-orders which started on March 12th) on the first day (4/3),&#8221; he wrote. &#8220;It took Apple three days to sell a million iPhone 3GS and iPhone 3G&#8217;s, and 74 days to sell 1m original iPhones.&#8221;</p>
<p>Interestingly, Munster said that inventory is not quite as constrained as one would think given Apple’s decision last week to push some iPad pre-order shipments ahead to April 12. </p>
<p>&#8220;As of 7:30PM ET on Saturday night (4/3), 19 of 20 stores we called still had availability of all models, which is a positive for first day sales given Apple was able to fulfill most demand,&#8221; Munster wrote. </p>
<p>&#8220;In addition,&#8221; the analyst continued, &#8220;we noted longer than expected lines at the five Apple stores we surveyed. For example, at the 5th Ave Store in New York we counted 730 people in line at 9am (when iPad sales began) compared to our count of 350 people for iPhone 3GS, and 540 people for iPhone 3G.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Scaling iPad Sales</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20100402/scaling-ipad-sales/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20100402/scaling-ipad-sales/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Apr 2010 17:00:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=38092</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[ See post to watch video ]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><div class="video-wsj"><object width="640" height="360"><param name="movie" value="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><param name="flashvars" value="videoGUID=B15B0007-30AA-461D-9F72-B91EFF243F74&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/"name="microflashPlayer"></param><embed src="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashVars="videoGUID={B15B0007-30AA-461D-9F72-B91EFF243F74}&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/" name="microflashPlayer" width="640" height="360" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" swLiveConnect="true" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash"></embed><br />[ See post to watch video ]</div></object></p>
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		<title>A "Conservative" Estimate: Apple Will Sell 14.4 Million iPads in 2011, 20.1 Million in 2012</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20100402/all-ipad-and-no-play-makes-john-a-dull-boy/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20100402/all-ipad-and-no-play-makes-john-a-dull-boy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Apr 2010 16:52:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=38048</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Well, Apple has really sucked the air out of the news cycle this week, hasn’t it? There were the reviews. The Sand Hill Road paeans. The content deal breakdowns. And sales estimate after sales estimate after sales estimate--the latest and most aggressive of which landed in my inbox this morning.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i2.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2010/04/All-iWork-and-no-play-makes-paczkowski-a-dull-boy.jpg?resize=350%2C480" alt="" title="All-iWork-and-no-play-makes-paczkowski-a-dull-boy" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-38055" data-recalc-dims="1" /></p>
<p>Well, Apple has really sucked the air out of the news cycle this week, hasn’t it? <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100331/an-ipad-review-round-up/?mod=appletablet">There were the reviews.</a> <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100331/kpcgs-odes-to-the-iphone-and-ipad/?mod=appletablet">The Sand Hill Road paeans.</a> <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100401/ipad-king-of-all-media/?mod=appletablet">The content deal breakdowns.</a> And <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100329/morgan-stanley-apple-will-ship-6-million-ipads-this-year/">sales estimate</a> after <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100330/ipad-expectations-%E2%80%9Cover-zealous%E2%80%9D/">sales estimate</a> after <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100401/munster-apple-is-selling-every-ipad-it-can-build/?mod=appletablet">sales estimate</a>&#8211;the latest and most aggressive of which landed in my in-box this morning. </p>
<p><a href="http://www.isuppli.com/News/Pages/iPad-Sales-to-Hit-7-Million-in-2010-and-Triple-by-2012.aspx">Research outfit iSuppli</a> figures iPad shipments in calendar 2010 will top out at 7.1 million. In 2011, the firm projects sales will spike to 14.4 million. And 2012 will see shipments of 20.1 million (see chart below).</p>
<p>Suffice it to say, these scenarios are far more bullish than the ones we’ve heard to date. Which is ironic given that iSuppli describes them as &#8220;conservative&#8221; and warns that Apple’s (AAPL) decision not to support Flash will have &#8220;a limiting effect&#8221; on the iPad’s sales potential.</p>
<p>Personally, I don&#8217;t see it. I&#8217;ve noticed two things since installing <a href="http://rentzsch.github.com/clicktoflash/">ClickToFlash</a> a few months ago.</p>
<ol>
<li>Safari no longer crashes.</li>
<li>I don&#8217;t miss Flash at all.</li>
</ol>
<p><img src="http://i0.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2010/04/2010-04-02_iPad1.jpg?resize=264%2C198" alt="" title="2010-04-02_iPad" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-38051" data-recalc-dims="1" /></p>
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		<title>Morgan Stanley: Apple Will Ship Over Six Million iPads This Year</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20100329/morgan-stanley-apple-will-ship-6-million-ipads-this-year/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20100329/morgan-stanley-apple-will-ship-6-million-ipads-this-year/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Mar 2010 11:55:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=37522</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Apple’s iPad hasn’t yet arrived at market, but the device’s suppliers are already raising their build rates in expectation of strong sales. This according to Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who says Apple’s manufacturing partners now expect to ship 2.5 million iPads between March and May alone.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i1.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2010/03/ipadcomic.jpg?resize=150%2C115" alt="" title="ipadcomic" class="alignright size-full wp-image-37551" data-recalc-dims="1" />Apple’s iPad hasn’t yet arrived at market, but the device’s suppliers are already raising their build rates in expectation of strong sales, thanks to <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100327/launch-day-ipads-sold-out/">encouraging pre-order rates</a>. </p>
<p>This according to Morgan Stanley (MS) analyst Katy Huberty, who says Apple’s manufacturing partners now expect to ship 2.5 million iPads between March and May, considerably ahead of her previous estimate of 750,000 for the June quarter. </p>
<p>What’s more, they are now forecasting shipments of eight to 10 million iPads in calendar 2010, considerably more than prior expectations of five million-plus.</p>
<p>Current Street consensus is for Apple (AAPL) to sell three to four million iPads, but Huberty figures the company will sell over six million iPads. </p>
<p>&#8220;We continue to believe the market under-appreciates longer-term iPhone/iPad demand,&#8221; Huberty writes. &#8220;Negative investor sentiment on the iPad centers on the lack of a &#8216;killer app&#8217; or new technology.&#8221;</p>
<p>Adding detail, the analysts says that &#8220;Near-term, we believe iPad will target the sizeable sub-$800 consumer notebook market, which equates to 30 million units in the US and 120 million units globally. Medium-term, newly introduced content (books, magazines, video) and iPad-optimized apps could broaden the addressable market and strengthen iPad sales momentum later this year.&#8221;</p>
<blockquote class="memo"><p>
<strong>FURTHER READING:</strong></p>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100327/launch-day-ipads-sold-out/">Launch Day iPads Sold Out</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100329/ipad-bestbuy/">iPad Available at “Most Best Buy Stores” This Saturday</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100326/apple-grabs-ipad-trademark-from-fujitsu/">Apple Grabs iPad Trademark From Fujitsu<br />
</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100319/apple-now-accepting-ipad-app-submissions/">Apple Now Accepting iPad App Submissions</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100316/early-supplies-of-ipad-accessories-dwindling/">Early Supplies of iPad Accessories Dwindling?</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100223/initial-ipad-demand-greater-than-initial-iphone-demand/">Initial iPad Demand Greater Than Initial iPhone Demand</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100205/ipad-tv/">iPad TV?</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20091007/apples-tablet-read-different/">Apple&#8217;s Tablet: Read Different?</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20090311/apple-netbook-actually-an-e-book/">Rumored Apple Netbook Actually an E-book?</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081231/coming-soon-from-apple-big-touch/">Coming Soon From Apple: Big Touch?</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080725/itablet/">iTablet: Apple’s Killer App for Higher Ed</a></li>
<li><a href="http://allthingsd.com/topics/apple/tablet/?mod=ipad_home">COMPLETE IPAD COVERAGE</a></li>
</ul>
</blockquote class="memo">
<p>[Image credit: <a href="http://www.bitolithic.com/spilling-the-beans-on-comic-zeal-v4">Bitolithic</a>] </p>
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		<title>Early Nexus One Sales Just 865,000 Short of iPhone Sales</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20100316/early-sales-of-nexus-one-super-smartphone-not-so-super/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20100316/early-sales-of-nexus-one-super-smartphone-not-so-super/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Mar 2010 13:30:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=36489</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Google may be a formidable search company, but as a mobile device distributor, it’s a piker. After 74 days at market, Google’s new Nexus One “super-smartphone” has sold just 135,000 units, according to a new estimate from analytics outfit Flurry.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i2.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2010/03/secondprize.jpg?resize=200%2C200" alt="" title="secondprize" class="alignright size-full wp-image-36497" data-recalc-dims="1" />Google may be a formidable search company, but as a mobile device distributor, it’s a piker. After 74 days at market, <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100105/nexus-on/">Google’s new Nexus One &#8220;super-smartphone&#8221;</a> has sold just 135,000 units, <a href="http://blog.flurry.com/bid/31410/Day-74-Sales-Apple-iPhone-vs-Google-Nexus-One-vs-Motorola-Droid">according to a new estimate from analytics outfit Flurry</a>. </p>
<p>A piddling amount considering that sales of Apple’s (AAPL) iPhone and Motorola’s (MOT) Droid topped out at one million and 1.05 million after their first 74 days of availability. In other words, sales of those two devices have surpassed those of the Nexus One by a factor of eight (see chart below; click to enlarge).</p>
<p><a href="http://i1.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2010/03/flurry.png" rel="lightbox"><img src="http://i2.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2010/03/flurry-275x178.png?resize=275%2C178" alt="" title="flurry" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-36490" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
<p>If Flurry’s estimate is correct, the Nexus One is proving an enormous disappointment. And it’s not as if it has suffered from lack of promotion. After all, <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20100107/google-we-prioritize-the-end-user-over-the-advertiser-unless-we’re-the-advertiser/">Google promoted it from the front pages of two of its most highly trafficked properties</a>: Google.com and YouTube. </p>
<p>Perhaps consumers are finding Google’s (GOOG) new direct-to-consumer sales model off-putting (although I really don’t see why). Perhaps the company&#8217;s choice of T-Mobile as an initial carrier has narrowed the available market a bit too much and demand will spike when the device finally arrives at Verizon (VZ). But such poor sales performance is certainly a blow to Google’s plan to upend the consumer-carrier relationship.</p>
<p>As Flurry notes in a blog post detailing its data: &#8220;As Google and Apple continue to battle for the mobile marketplace, Google Nexus One may go down as a grand, failed experiment or one that ultimately helped Google learn something that will prove important in years to come. Apple’s more vertically integrated strategy vs. Google’s more open Android platform approach offer strengths and weaknesses that remind us of PC vs. Mac from the 1980’s.&#8221; </p>
<p>Amplifying the comparison, the report continues: &#8220;A key difference this time around is that Apple is enjoying much more 3rd party developer support, whose innovative applications push the limits of what the hardware can do. Ultimately, however, developers support hardware with the largest installed base first. For Android to make progress faster, from a sales perspective, it needs more Droids and fewer Nexus Ones going forward.&#8221;</p>
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