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	<title>AllThingsD &#187; Internet</title>
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		<title>Syria's Internet Is Down for the Second Time This Month</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130515/syrias-internet-is-down-for-the-second-time-this-month/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130515/syrias-internet-is-down-for-the-second-time-this-month/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 May 2013 14:29:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Arik Hesseldahl</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Enterprise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arbor Networks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Damascus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syrian Civil War]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The fourth blackout of its kind in recent memory.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130508/internet-coming-back-to-syria/syria380-feature/" rel="attachment wp-att-319473"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/05/syria380-feature-380x285.jpg" alt="syria380-feature" width="380" height="285" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-319473" /></a>The Internet is down in Syria again. Reports are coming in from various organizations that monitor that country, showing that traffic to its networks has once again fallen to zero.</p>
<p>This would be the second time in as many weeks that Syria&#8217;s Internet connections have been cut off, and the fourth time in recent memory. The <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130507/syria-has-dropped-off-the-internet-again/">last time was May 7</a>, and the first time <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20121129/syria-has-disappeared-from-the-internet/">was last November</a>.</p>
<p>According to Syrian Digital Reports, the outage began at about 10 am local time. </p>
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<div style="background:#fff; padding:10px; margin:0; min-height:48px; color:#333333; -moz-border-radius:5px; -webkit-border-radius:5px;"><span style="width:100%; font-size:18px; line-height:22px;"><a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23Syriablackout" title="#Syriablackout">#Syriablackout</a> <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23Syria" title="#Syria">#Syria</a> went offline for the second time in one week. The blackout began at 10:00 am local time according to @<a href="http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=SecDev" class="twitter-action">SecDev</a>.</span>
<div class="bbp-actions" style="font-size:12px; width:100%; padding:5px 0; margin:0 0 10px 0; border-bottom:1px solid #e6e6e6;"><img align="middle" src="http://allthingsd.com/wp-content/plugins/twitter-blackbird-pie//images/bird.png" /><a title="tweeted on May 15, 2013 6:16 am" href="http://twitter.com/#!/DSRSyria/status/334658564100591616" target="_blank">May 15, 2013 6:16 am</a> via <a href="http://www.facebook.com/twitter" rel="nofollow" target="blank">Facebook</a><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?in_reply_to=334658564100591616" class="bbp-action bbp-reply-action" title="Reply"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Reply</strong></span></a><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/retweet?tweet_id=334658564100591616" class="bbp-action bbp-retweet-action" title="Retweet"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Retweet</strong></span></a><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/favorite?tweet_id=334658564100591616" class="bbp-action bbp-favorite-action" title="Favorite"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Favorite</strong></span></a></div>
<div style="float:left; padding:0; margin:0"><a href="http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=DSRSyria"><img style="width:48px; height:48px; padding-right:7px; border:none; background:none; margin:0" src="http://a0.twimg.com/profile_images/2645656940/bced81d33bd79fa3656b6afc0a9a6bcc_normal.jpeg" /></a></div>
<div style="float:left; padding:0; margin:0"><a style="font-weight:bold" href="http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=DSRSyria">@DSRSyria</a>
<div style="margin:0; padding-top:2px">SyriaDigitalReports</div>
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<p>Google&#8217;s Transparency Report has <a href="http://www.google.com/transparencyreport/traffic/explorer/?r=SY&#038;l=EVERYTHING&#038;csd=1367416860000&#038;ced=1368626460000">confirmed the outage</a>, as has Arbor Networks, which has also monitored the sudden stoppage of traffic.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s a screen grab of Google&#8217;s graph of the outage:</p>
<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130515/syrias-internet-is-down-for-the-second-time-this-month/goog-syria-51513/" rel="attachment wp-att-321826"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/05/goog-syria-51513.png" alt="goog-syria-51513" width="621" height="340" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-321826" /></a></p>
<p>And here&#8217;s a traffic graph from Arbor Networks:</p>
<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130515/syrias-internet-is-down-for-the-second-time-this-month/arbor-syria51513/" rel="attachment wp-att-321827"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/05/arbor-syria51513-640x446.jpg" alt="arbor-syria51513" width="640" height="446" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-321827" /></a></p>
<p>Remember that all four Internet connections that come into Syria are routed through a single building in Damascus, the Syrian Telecommunications Establishment. So the act of withdrawing its network from the global routing tables can only be done in one place. Certain routers are temporarily reconfigured so as to stop announcing themselves to the rest of the world.</p>
<p>Last week&#8217;s outage lasted the <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130508/syrian-internet-and-phone-blackout-enters-second-day/">better part of two days</a>, and there are tentative signs that a few people knew that it was coming and <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130509/someone-may-have-tweeted-warnings-ahead-of-syrian-internet-outage/">may have tweeted about it</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Update:</strong> That was a short outage. Syrian Digital Reports says service is coming back now. </p>
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<style type="text/css">#bbpBox_334697160102797312 a { text-decoration:none; color:#127A31; }#bbpBox_334697160102797312 a:hover { text-decoration:underline; }</style>
<div id="bbpBox_334697160102797312" class="bbpBox" style="padding:20px; margin:5px 0; background-color:#131516; background-image:url(http://a0.twimg.com/images/themes/theme14/bg.gif);">
<div style="background:#fff; padding:10px; margin:0; min-height:48px; color:#333333; -moz-border-radius:5px; -webkit-border-radius:5px;"><span style="width:100%; font-size:18px; line-height:22px;">Internet has returned in <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23Syria" title="#Syria">#Syria</a> after an 8 hour outage across all BGP routes <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23Syriablackout" title="#Syriablackout">#Syriablackout</a> <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23OpSyria" title="#OpSyria">#OpSyria</a> <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23Damascus" title="#Damascus">#Damascus</a> <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23Aleppo" title="#Aleppo">#Aleppo</a></span>
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		<title>Someone May Have Tweeted Warnings Ahead of Syrian Internet Outage</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130509/someone-may-have-tweeted-warnings-ahead-of-syrian-internet-outage/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130509/someone-may-have-tweeted-warnings-ahead-of-syrian-internet-outage/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 May 2013 15:39:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Arik Hesseldahl</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Enterprise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Facebook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SecDev]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[social media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syrian Civil War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syrian Electronic Army]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Twitter]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=319897</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Also, 700 Syrian domain names were seized last month.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130508/internet-coming-back-to-syria/syria380-feature/" rel="attachment wp-att-319473"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/05/syria380-feature.jpg" alt="syria380-feature" width="640" height="480" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-319473" /></a>It has been about 24 hours since the latest Internet outage in the war-torn nation of Syria has ended. What still isn&#8217;t known, and probably won&#8217;t be known for some time, is why it occurred in the first place.</p>
<p>Numerous theories abound. The most common one appears to be that the 20-hour outage gave government officials time to install some kind of new surveillance gear on the networks. The other is that it was intended to disrupt the ability of rebel groups fighting against the regime to communicate during a specified time window. Both would make some certain amount of sense.</p>
<p>Officially, <a href="http://sana.sy/eng/21/2013/05/08/481168.htm">at least according to the state news agency SANA</a>, a &#8220;damaged optic cable&#8221; is being blamed. As I&#8217;ve written and numerous others have observed, <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130508/syrian-internet-and-phone-blackout-enters-second-day/">this explanation is unlikely</a>. The main reason is that all four cables bringing Internet capacity into the country meet at the Syrian Telecommunications Establishment office in Damascus. Three cables come in by sea and one over land via Turkey. For the whole country to go down as it did, all four would have had to fail at the same time.</p>
<p>But here&#8217;s another interesting wrinkle: At least two accounts on Twitter monitored by the Canada-based <a href="http://gallery.mailchimp.com/eb7c0bde6ff78e88f9b0c8662/files/Syria_flashnote_8May2013.pdf">Syria Digital Security Project</a> appear to have warned on April 26 about a coming nationwide Internet outage.</p>
<p>First there was this tweet, in Arabic, from @AnonymousPress: </p>
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<div style="background:#fff; padding:10px; margin:0; min-height:48px; color:#333333; -moz-border-radius:5px; -webkit-border-radius:5px;"><span style="width:100%; font-size:18px; line-height:22px;">&#1575;&#1604;&#1606;&#1592;&#1575;&#1605; &#1575;&#1604;&#1587;&#1608;&#1585;&#1610; &#1602;&#1583; &#1610;&#1602;&#1591;&#1593; &#1603;&#1604; &#1575;&#1604;&#1575;&#1578;&#1589;&#1575;&#1604;&#1575;&#1578; &#1608;&#1575;&#1604;&#1605;&#1608;&#1576;&#1575;&#1610;&#1604; &#1608;&#1575;&#1604;&#1575;&#1606;&#1578;&#1585;&#1606;&#1578; &#1601;&#1610; #&#1587;&#1608;&#1585;&#1610;&#1575; &#1601;&#1610; &#1575;&#1604;&#1571;&#1608;&#1604; &#1605;&#1606; &#1571;&#1610;&#1575;&#1585; 2013 (&#1573;&#1602;&#1585;&#1571; &#1575;&#1604;&#1605;&#1586;&#1610;&#1583; &#1608;&#1571;&#1606;&#1588;&#1585;) <a href="http://t.co/qcZQ2y9JfA" rel="nofollow">http://t.co/qcZQ2y9JfA</a> <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23Syria" title="#Syria">#Syria</a></span>
<div class="bbp-actions" style="font-size:12px; width:100%; padding:5px 0; margin:0 0 10px 0; border-bottom:1px solid #e6e6e6;"><img align="middle" src="http://allthingsd.com/wp-content/plugins/twitter-blackbird-pie//images/bird.png" /><a title="tweeted on April 26, 2013 3:55 pm" href="http://twitter.com/#!/AnonymousPress/status/327918864014901249" target="_blank">April 26, 2013 3:55 pm</a> via web<a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?in_reply_to=327918864014901249" class="bbp-action bbp-reply-action" title="Reply"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Reply</strong></span></a><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/retweet?tweet_id=327918864014901249" class="bbp-action bbp-retweet-action" title="Retweet"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Retweet</strong></span></a><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/favorite?tweet_id=327918864014901249" class="bbp-action bbp-favorite-action" title="Favorite"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Favorite</strong></span></a></div>
<div style="float:left; padding:0; margin:0"><a href="http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=AnonymousPress"><img style="width:48px; height:48px; padding-right:7px; border:none; background:none; margin:0" src="http://a0.twimg.com/profile_images/1840002389/anonymous-logo-1_normal.jpg" /></a></div>
<div style="float:left; padding:0; margin:0"><a style="font-weight:bold" href="http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=AnonymousPress">@AnonymousPress</a>
<div style="margin:0; padding-top:2px">Anonymous Press</div>
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<p>The translation, via <a href="http://translate.google.com/">Google Translate</a>, refers to plans by the Syrian regime to &#8220;cut off all communication and mobile Internet&#8221; on the &#8220;first of May.&#8221; It then links to a document on Pastebin that has since been removed.</p>
<p>A second tweet the same day, from <a href="https://twitter.com/TelecomixBSRE">@TelecomixBSRE</a>, warned of coming outages during a Syrian holiday period which took place, SevDev says, between May 1 and May 6:</p>
<p><!-- tweet id : 327907492837343232 --><br />
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<div id="bbpBox_327907492837343232" class="bbpBox" style="padding:20px; margin:5px 0; background-color:#FFFFFF; background-image:url(http://a0.twimg.com/profile_background_images/495464280/TwitterBackgrounds.jpg); background-repeat:no-repeat">
<div style="background:#fff; padding:10px; margin:0; min-height:48px; color:#333333; -moz-border-radius:5px; -webkit-border-radius:5px;"><span style="width:100%; font-size:18px; line-height:22px;"><a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23Syria" title="#Syria">#Syria</a> Regime plans 2 cut ALL telecoms, Net &amp; Mobile over holidays, possibility of Massacres, B CAREFUL, via <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23TelecomixSyria" title="#TelecomixSyria">#TelecomixSyria</a>  <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23RT" title="#RT">#RT</a> <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23Telecomix" title="#Telecomix">#Telecomix</a></span>
<div class="bbp-actions" style="font-size:12px; width:100%; padding:5px 0; margin:0 0 10px 0; border-bottom:1px solid #e6e6e6;"><img align="middle" src="http://allthingsd.com/wp-content/plugins/twitter-blackbird-pie//images/bird.png" /><a title="tweeted on April 26, 2013 3:10 pm" href="http://twitter.com/#!/TelecomixBSRE/status/327907492837343232" target="_blank">April 26, 2013 3:10 pm</a> via web<a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?in_reply_to=327907492837343232" class="bbp-action bbp-reply-action" title="Reply"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Reply</strong></span></a><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/retweet?tweet_id=327907492837343232" class="bbp-action bbp-retweet-action" title="Retweet"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Retweet</strong></span></a><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/favorite?tweet_id=327907492837343232" class="bbp-action bbp-favorite-action" title="Favorite"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Favorite</strong></span></a></div>
<div style="float:left; padding:0; margin:0"><a href="http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=TelecomixBSRE"><img style="width:48px; height:48px; padding-right:7px; border:none; background:none; margin:0" src="http://a0.twimg.com/profile_images/2039995788/TBRSE-icon_normal.png" /></a></div>
<div style="float:left; padding:0; margin:0"><a style="font-weight:bold" href="http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=TelecomixBSRE">@TelecomixBSRE</a>
<div style="margin:0; padding-top:2px">Telecomix BSRE</div>
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<p><!-- end of tweet --></p>
<p>SecDev also notes in its report that this is the third such nationwide outage in Syria since the civil war began. The <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20121129/syria-has-disappeared-from-the-internet/">first outage, in November</a>, lasted about <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20121201/parts-of-syria-back-online-following-two-day-internet-blackout/">two days and change</a>. A second, which I didn&#8217;t know about, occurred in January, and coincided with a speech given by President Bashar al-Assad.</p>
<p>In another interesting Syria-related development, security blogger Brian Krebs reported today that domain registrar Network Solutions has <a href="https://krebsonsecurity.com/2013/05/trade-sanctions-cited-in-hundreds-of-syrian-domain-seizures/">seized about 700 domain names</a> belonging to organizations in Syria. (Here&#8217;s a <a href="http://krebsonsecurity.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/RWR_1367948811_2013-05-07.pdf">PDF document</a> containing a list.)</p>
<p>The seizures appear to have gotten the attention of the pro-Assad hacking group known as the Syrian Electronic Army. A <a href="http://h30499.www3.hp.com/t5/HP-Security-Research-Blog/Understanding-the-Syrian-Electronic-Army-SEA/ba-p/6040559">report on the group</a> produced by security researchers at Hewlett-Packard noted public complaints by the group that it had lost control of at least two domains it had been using.</p>
<p>The Syrian Electronic Army, you&#8217;ll remember, is the group known for a series of attacks against the Twitter accounts of numerous Western media organizations, most notably one belonging to the <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130423/u-s-stocks-tank-briefly-in-wake-of-associated-press-twitter-account-hack/">Associated Press</a>. Other accounts attacked by the group have belonged to <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130421/syrian-pro-government-hackers-take-their-fight-to-cbs-and-twitter/">CBS News</a>, National Public Radio, the <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130321/bbc-weather-forecast-calls-for-hacked-twitter-account/">BBC</a> and <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130506/syrian-hackers-turn-tables-hack-the-onions-twitter-account/">The Onion</a>.</p>
<p>It turns out that selling domain name registration services to entities in Syria is <a href="http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/sanctions/Programs/Documents/syria_gl5.pdf">prohibited by U.S. law</a> because of <a href="http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/sanctions/Programs/Pages/syria.aspx">trade sanctions</a>.</p>
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		<title>Internet Coming Back to Syria</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130508/internet-coming-back-to-syria/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130508/internet-coming-back-to-syria/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 May 2013 15:37:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Arik Hesseldahl</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Enterprise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Anonymous]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BGPMon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SecDev]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syrian Civil War]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=319442</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[After 20 hours, the lines are humming back to life.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130507/syria-has-dropped-off-the-internet-again/syria380/" rel="attachment wp-att-319220"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/05/syria380.jpg" alt="syria380" width="380" height="285" class="alignright size-full wp-image-319220" /></a>After about 20 hours, the Internet is coming back on in the war-torn nation of Syria.</p>
<p>The change has been reported by two organizations: Syria Digital Reports, a project of Canada&#8217;s SecDev organization; and BGPmon, a company which monitors the Border Gateway Protocol information of the Internet&#8217;s underlying infrastructure. They both have noticed the country&#8217;s Internet connections humming back to life within the last hour.</p>
<p><!-- tweet id : 332142091989815296 --><br />
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<div id="bbpBox_332142091989815296" class="bbpBox" style="padding:20px; margin:5px 0; background-color:#131516; background-image:url(http://a0.twimg.com/images/themes/theme14/bg.gif);">
<div style="background:#fff; padding:10px; margin:0; min-height:48px; color:#333333; -moz-border-radius:5px; -webkit-border-radius:5px;"><span style="width:100%; font-size:18px; line-height:22px;">BGP routes back in <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23Syria" title="#Syria">#Syria</a>, 60 of 67 netblocks have returned to connectivity as of around 16:00 local time <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23Syriablackout" title="#Syriablackout">#Syriablackout</a></span>
<div class="bbp-actions" style="font-size:12px; width:100%; padding:5px 0; margin:0 0 10px 0; border-bottom:1px solid #e6e6e6;"><img align="middle" src="http://allthingsd.com/wp-content/plugins/twitter-blackbird-pie//images/bird.png" /><a title="tweeted on May 8, 2013 7:37 am" href="http://twitter.com/#!/DSRSyria/status/332142091989815296" target="_blank">May 8, 2013 7:37 am</a> via <a href="http://www.tweetdeck.com" rel="nofollow" target="blank">TweetDeck</a><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?in_reply_to=332142091989815296" class="bbp-action bbp-reply-action" title="Reply"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Reply</strong></span></a><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/retweet?tweet_id=332142091989815296" class="bbp-action bbp-retweet-action" title="Retweet"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Retweet</strong></span></a><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/favorite?tweet_id=332142091989815296" class="bbp-action bbp-favorite-action" title="Favorite"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Favorite</strong></span></a></div>
<div style="float:left; padding:0; margin:0"><a href="http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=DSRSyria"><img style="width:48px; height:48px; padding-right:7px; border:none; background:none; margin:0" src="http://a0.twimg.com/profile_images/2645656940/bced81d33bd79fa3656b6afc0a9a6bcc_normal.jpeg" /></a></div>
<div style="float:left; padding:0; margin:0"><a style="font-weight:bold" href="http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=DSRSyria">@DSRSyria</a>
<div style="margin:0; padding-top:2px">SyriaDigitalReports</div>
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<p><!-- tweet id : 332149663467728897 --><br />
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<div id="bbpBox_332149663467728897" class="bbpBox" style="padding:20px; margin:5px 0; background-color:#C0DEED; background-image:url(http://a0.twimg.com/profile_background_images/636801567/c6x9wx4nphnmvnncclpo.png); background-repeat:no-repeat">
<div style="background:#fff; padding:10px; margin:0; min-height:48px; color:#333333; -moz-border-radius:5px; -webkit-border-radius:5px;"><span style="width:100%; font-size:18px; line-height:22px;">After an almost 20 hour outage Syria just came back online at 14:12 UTC today. Also see pic. <a href="http://t.co/6hqobsFdeO" rel="nofollow">http://t.co/6hqobsFdeO</a></span>
<div class="bbp-actions" style="font-size:12px; width:100%; padding:5px 0; margin:0 0 10px 0; border-bottom:1px solid #e6e6e6;"><img align="middle" src="http://allthingsd.com/wp-content/plugins/twitter-blackbird-pie//images/bird.png" /><a title="tweeted on May 8, 2013 8:07 am" href="http://twitter.com/#!/bgpmon/status/332149663467728897" target="_blank">May 8, 2013 8:07 am</a> via web<a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?in_reply_to=332149663467728897" class="bbp-action bbp-reply-action" title="Reply"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Reply</strong></span></a><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/retweet?tweet_id=332149663467728897" class="bbp-action bbp-retweet-action" title="Retweet"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Retweet</strong></span></a><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/favorite?tweet_id=332149663467728897" class="bbp-action bbp-favorite-action" title="Favorite"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Favorite</strong></span></a></div>
<div style="float:left; padding:0; margin:0"><a href="http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=bgpmon"><img style="width:48px; height:48px; padding-right:7px; border:none; background:none; margin:0" src="http://a0.twimg.com/profile_images/2518836433/ke5cgetj03tgqxxyofes_normal.png" /></a></div>
<div style="float:left; padding:0; margin:0"><a style="font-weight:bold" href="http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=bgpmon">@bgpmon</a>
<div style="margin:0; padding-top:2px">BGPmon.net</div>
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<p>BGPmon tweeted the following graphic that it says shows the country&#8217;s routing infrastructure coming back online:</p>
<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130508/internet-coming-back-to-syria/bgpmon-50813/" rel="attachment wp-att-319453"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/05/bgpmon-50813-640x287.png" alt="bgpmon-50813" width="640" height="287" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-319453" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.google.com/transparencyreport/traffic/explorer/?r=SY&#038;l=EVERYTHING&#038;csd=1366901760000&#038;ced=1368026760000">Google&#8217;s Transparency report data</a> is also ticking upward.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, there has been at least one vague claim that the loss of connectivity wasn&#8217;t the result of a Syrian government order. It comes from Anonymous, the loose affiliation of hackers who are better known for making noise and calling attention to themselves than for actually hacking anything in a meaningful way. I&#8217;ll believe it when I see some convincing evidence, so take this one with a grain of salt, but here&#8217;s its latest tweet on the subject:</p>
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<div id="bbpBox_332154845760995328" class="bbpBox" style="padding:20px; margin:5px 0; background-color:#131516; background-image:url(http://a0.twimg.com/profile_background_images/796532515/991bcdd0703fe6e3fb12abf014e2b7bc.png);">
<div style="background:#fff; padding:10px; margin:0; min-height:48px; color:#333333; -moz-border-radius:5px; -webkit-border-radius:5px;"><span style="width:100%; font-size:18px; line-height:22px;">SYRIAN INTERNET SHUT DOWN. THIS WAS NOT AN ACT OF THE SYRIAN GOVERNMENT.</span>
<div class="bbp-actions" style="font-size:12px; width:100%; padding:5px 0; margin:0 0 10px 0; border-bottom:1px solid #e6e6e6;"><img align="middle" src="http://allthingsd.com/wp-content/plugins/twitter-blackbird-pie//images/bird.png" /><a title="tweeted on May 8, 2013 8:27 am" href="http://twitter.com/#!/Anon_Central/status/332154845760995328" target="_blank">May 8, 2013 8:27 am</a> via web<a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?in_reply_to=332154845760995328" class="bbp-action bbp-reply-action" title="Reply"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Reply</strong></span></a><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/retweet?tweet_id=332154845760995328" class="bbp-action bbp-retweet-action" title="Retweet"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Retweet</strong></span></a><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/favorite?tweet_id=332154845760995328" class="bbp-action bbp-favorite-action" title="Favorite"><span><em style="margin-left: 1em;"></em><strong>Favorite</strong></span></a></div>
<div style="float:left; padding:0; margin:0"><a href="http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=Anon_Central"><img style="width:48px; height:48px; padding-right:7px; border:none; background:none; margin:0" src="http://a0.twimg.com/profile_images/3286437380/4c7154a3c80de852b1dbfd5137cbfaf9_normal.png" /></a></div>
<div style="float:left; padding:0; margin:0"><a style="font-weight:bold" href="http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=Anon_Central">@Anon_Central</a>
<div style="margin:0; padding-top:2px">Anonymous Operations</div>
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<p><strong>Clarification:</strong> I revised the story above to clear up any implication I may have made that the SecDev Organization&#8217;s Syria Digital Reports project is connected to BGPmon. They&#8217;re not connected, but the way I initially wrote it made it seem that they were. Sorry about that.</p>
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		<title>Eric Schmidt on the Future of Android, Motorola, Cars and Humanity (Video)</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130508/eric-schmidt-on-the-future-of-android-motorola-cars-and-humanity-video/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130508/eric-schmidt-on-the-future-of-android-motorola-cars-and-humanity-video/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 May 2013 14:00:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ina Fried</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Dive Into Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Android]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[D11]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dennis Woodside]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eric Schmidt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google Glass]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Motorola]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Myanmar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[North Korea]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=319275</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Google's executive chairman spent nearly an hour in the red chair, covering everything from his recent trips to North Korea and Myanmar to matters much closer to home.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Eric Schmidt is a man with a lot to say.</p>
<p>He just penned a 300-page book covering, you know, <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130423/what-assange-slim-kissinger-and-others-told-eric-schmidt-for-his-new-book/">the future of technology and humanity</a>. Speaking at last month&#8217;s <strong>D: Dive Into Mobile</strong> conference, Schmidt talked about those issues and more.</p>
<p>After beginning with reflections on his recent trips to North Korea and Myanmar, Schmidt also talked about the <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130416/googles-next-group-of-gadgets-will-blow-you-away-says-eric-schmidt/">first crop of Motorola products</a> due in the coming months, the impact of driverless cars, and <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130416/googles-schmidt-our-goal-with-android-is-to-reach-everyone/">where Android is headed</a>.</p>
<p>&#8220;Our goal with Android is to reach everyone,” Schmidt told Liz Gannes and Ina Fried. “We’ll cross one billion Android devices in six to nine months. In a year or two, we’ll hit two billion.&#8221;</p>
<p>As for those Motorola products, Schmidt didn&#8217;t give away too much, saying only that they represent &#8220;phones-plus,&#8221; and that they are both &#8220;phenomenal&#8221; and &#8220;very, very impressive.&#8221;</p>
<p>We&#8217;ll hope to get a lot more specific when Motorola head Dennis Woodside takes his turn in the red chair at our upcoming <strong>D11</strong> conference.</p>
<p><div class="video-wsj"><object width="640" height="360"><param name="movie" value="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><param name="flashvars" value="videoGUID=10816044-700F-4D30-8B6D-77E11B0D03C8&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/"name="microflashPlayer"></param><embed src="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashVars="videoGUID={10816044-700F-4D30-8B6D-77E11B0D03C8}&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/" name="microflashPlayer" width="640" height="360" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" swLiveConnect="true" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash"></embed><br />[ See post to watch video ]</div></object></p>
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		<title>Syrian Internet and Phone Blackout Enters Second Day</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130508/syrian-internet-and-phone-blackout-enters-second-day/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130508/syrian-internet-and-phone-blackout-enters-second-day/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 May 2013 13:23:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Arik Hesseldahl</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Enterprise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Assad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bashar al-Assad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Renesys]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SANA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[social media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syrian Civil War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Twitter]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=319350</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Faults in fiber optic cables, the government says.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20121129/syrias-throwing-of-the-internet-kill-switch-raises-lots-of-questions/on_off/" rel="attachment wp-att-274002"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2012/11/on_off-380x285.jpg" alt="on_off" width="380" height="285" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-274002" /></a>The Internet shutdown in the war-torn nation of Syria has entered its second day. Government media reports there are blaming a &#8220;fault in fiber optic cables,&#8221; according to a <a href="http://www.aljazeera.com/news/middleeast/2013/05/20135813917138958.html">report from Al-Jazeera</a>, the Dubai-based news organization that covers the Middle East.</p>
<p>The reports from SANA, the official Syrian government news agency, are also confirming reports <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130507/syria-has-dropped-off-the-internet-again/">I picked up last night via Twitter</a> that domestic phone service within Syria is also down.</p>
<p>SANA&#8217;s explanation doesn&#8217;t pass the smell test, mainly because it would require the simultaneous failure of four separate fiber optic cables that bring bandwidth into the country. And there would have been the additional reports of service problems in countries that share the same cables. According to Google&#8217;s Transparency report, there are no such failures in <a href="https://www.google.com/transparencyreport/traffic/explorer/?r=TR&#038;l=EVERYTHING&#038;csd=1366803780000&#038;ced=1368013380000">Turkey</a>, or <a href="https://www.google.com/transparencyreport/traffic/explorer/?r=LB&#038;l=EVERYTHING&#038;csd=1366803780000&#038;ced=1368013380000">Lebanon</a>, or <a href="https://www.google.com/transparencyreport/traffic/explorer/?r=CY&#038;l=EVERYTHING&#038;csd=1366803780000&#038;ced=1368013380000">Cyprus</a>, or <a href="https://www.google.com/transparencyreport/traffic/explorer/?r=JO&#038;l=EVERYTHING&#038;csd=1366803780000&#038;ced=1368013380000">Jordan</a>.</p>
<p>Renesys, the U.S.-based research firm that tracks the health of Internet infrastructure around the world, shared via Twitter a map showing the routes of three undersea cables that service Syria. (Click the map to make it bigger.)</p>
<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130508/syrian-internet-and-phone-blackout-enters-second-day/renesys_syria_cables_map/" rel="attachment wp-att-319351"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/05/renesys_syria_cables_map-482x480.png" alt="renesys_syria_cables_map" width="482" height="480" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-319351" /></a></p>
<p>As we on the outside of all this speculate on reasons why the government would shut off Internet access, I have a few ideas. One thing I noticed as I drilled down into Google&#8217;s Transparency report for Syria was what to my eye appears to be an unusual rise in traffic from Syria to YouTube relatively early in the day. See the image below and look at the spike that occurs on May 7.</p>
<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130508/syrian-internet-and-phone-blackout-enters-second-day/syria_youtube_may7/" rel="attachment wp-att-319358"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/05/syria_youtube_may7.png" alt="syria_youtube_may7" width="634" height="341" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-319358" /></a></p>
<p>I&#8217;m just speculating here, but there have been <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/04/us-syria-crisis-displacement-idUSBRE94305Q20130504">reports of a significant massacre</a> of at least 62 civilians by a pro-Assad paramilitary force in the coastal city of Banias on May 3 and May 4. I&#8217;ve noticed that there are several very grisly videos circulating on YouTube concerning this. (I&#8217;ve seen one that nearly made me sick, so I won&#8217;t show them to you, but you can find them yourself.)</p>
<p>Perhaps the YouTube-related spike I noticed might coincide with increased interest inside Syria in these YouTube videos, and that the Assad government may find them enough of a threat that it would rather shut down the Internet while trying to find a way to block them or maybe try to scrub them.</p>
<p>There would also be a benefit for the government side in disrupting communications capabilities of the rebel fighters, in order to keep them on the back foot. Meanwhile, any new offensives that the pro-Assad camp might have been planning can go on, and no one on the other side can share any new videos or other information about them with the outside world.</p>
<p>It bears repeating that the civil war in Syria has gone on for two years, and that somewhere between 70,000 and 75,000 people have died in it, most of them civilians.</p>
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		<title>Syria Has Dropped Off the Internet, Again</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130507/syria-has-dropped-off-the-internet-again/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130507/syria-has-dropped-off-the-internet-again/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 May 2013 21:19:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Arik Hesseldahl</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Enterprise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Akamai]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured post]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[infrastructure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PCCW]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syrian Civil War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tata]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Telecom Italia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turk Telecom]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=319195</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A second countrywide outage in the war-torn country.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20121201/parts-of-syria-back-online-following-two-day-internet-blackout/syria-feature/" rel="attachment wp-att-274268"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2012/12/syria-feature-380x285.png" alt="syria-feature" width="380" height="285" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-274268" /></a>Various Internet traffic monitors &#8212; including Google and Akamai &#8212; are reporting that Internet traffic into and out of Syria has ground to a halt again.</p>
<p>Right now, Google is showing that none of its products <a href="http://www.google.com/transparencyreport/traffic/disruptions/82/">are available in Syria</a>, since a little before 3 pm ET, or about two hours ago as of this writing. Here&#8217;s a screen grab of Google&#8217;s graphic showing the dropoff.</p>
<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130507/syria-has-dropped-off-the-internet-again/syria_outage_050713/" rel="attachment wp-att-319197"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/05/syria_outage_050713-640x332.png" alt="syria_outage_050713" width="640" height="332" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-319197" /></a></p>
<p>Akamai has been tracking the outage as well, according to this Tweet from <a href="https://twitter.com/NMSyria">@NMSyria</a>. I&#8217;ve reached out to Akamai for a little more color (to the extent that any is available). </p>
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<div style="background:#fff; padding:10px; margin:0; min-height:48px; color:#000000; -moz-border-radius:5px; -webkit-border-radius:5px;"><span style="width:100%; font-size:18px; line-height:22px;">Internet seems to have been shut down across all of <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23Syria" title="#Syria">#Syria</a>. <a href="http://t.co/m6hVLroVRF" rel="nofollow">http://t.co/m6hVLroVRF</a></span>
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<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130507/syria-has-dropped-off-the-internet-again/akamai_syria-50713/" rel="attachment wp-att-319199"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/05/akamai_syria-50713-640x480.jpg" alt="akamai_syria-50713" width="640" height="480" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-319199" /></a> </p>
<p>The last time this happened was in <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20121129/syria-has-disappeared-from-the-internet/">November of last year</a>, and that outage, like so much else going on in that country torn apart by civil war, has <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20121129/syrias-throwing-of-the-internet-kill-switch-raises-lots-of-questions/">never been fully explained</a>. The outage <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20121201/parts-of-syria-back-online-following-two-day-internet-blackout/">lasted about two days</a>.  </p>
<p>Last time, the folks at Renesys, a research firm that tracks the health of the Internet&#8217;s underlying plumbing, noticed that all five networks bringing Internet traffic into Syria went down more or less at once. </p>
<p>That&#8217;s fairly easy to carry out logistically because pretty much all Internet traffic in and out of that country is funneled through one point: The state-run, state-controlled Syrian Telecommunications Establishment, and all Internet providers operate out of a single building. The companies that provide Internet connections going into Syria are PCCW and Turk Telekom as the primary providers, with Telecom Italia and Tata providing additional capacity.</p>
<p>There are four physical cables that bring bandwidth into Syria and three of them land in the <a href="http://goo.gl/maps/gMWdG">coastal city of Tartus</a>. A fourth comes in from Turkey to the north. </p>
<p>Chances are, routers in the telecommunications building were reconfigured to stop announcing themselves in the global routing tables, essentially making them invisible to the rest of the Internet.</p>
<p>The question &#8212; as with the last time this happened &#8212; is why now?</p>
<p><strong>Update:</strong> Umbrella Security Labs CTO has a <a href="http://labs.umbrella.com/2013/05/07/breaking-news-traffic-from-syria-disappears-from-internet/">blog post</a> on what that company says is going on:</p>
<blockquote class="small"><p>Currently both TLD (top-level domain) servers for Syria, ns1.tld.sy and ns2.tld.sy are unreachable. The remaining two nameservers sy.cctld.authdns.ripe.net. and pch.anycast.tld.sy. are reachable since they are not within Syria.</p></blockquote>
<p>It goes on in more technical detail:</p>
<blockquote class="small"><p>Routing on the Internet relies on the Border Gateway Protocol (BGP). BGP distributes routing information and makes sure all routers on the Internet know how to get to a certain IP address. When an IP range becomes unreachable it will be withdrawn from BGP, this informs routers that the IP range is no longer reachable.</p></blockquote>
<p>Like I said, the routers in the telecommunications building have been reset and have stopped announcing themselves to the rest of the world, making them essentially nonexistent until they come back on. </p>
<p><strong>Second update: </strong> Apparently there are a few people who still have access. Some people have the means to install satellite-based Internet connections that are independent of government-controlled connections, according to a Tweet by <a href="https://twitter.com/Basma_">Basma Atassi</a>, a journalist with Al-Jazeera.</p>
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<div style="margin:0; padding-top:2px">Basma Atassi | &#1576;&#1587;&#1605;&#1577;</div>
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<p>Also Renesys has now confirmed the outage.</p>
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<div style="background:#fff; padding:10px; margin:0; min-height:48px; color:#333333; -moz-border-radius:5px; -webkit-border-radius:5px;"><span style="width:100%; font-size:18px; line-height:22px;">Renesys confirms loss of Syrian Internet connectivity 18:43 UTC.  BGP routes down, inbound traces failing.  @<a href="http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=geeknik" class="twitter-action">geeknik</a></span>
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<p>Here&#8217;s a graphic of its monitoring, broken down by inbound service provider.</p>
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<p><strong>Third update:</strong> Google has just reactivated its Speak To Tweet service for people who still have working phone lines in Syria.</p>
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<div style="background:#fff; padding:10px; margin:0; min-height:48px; color:#000000; -moz-border-radius:5px; -webkit-border-radius:5px;"><span style="width:100%; font-size:18px; line-height:22px;">.@<a href="http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=speak2tweet" class="twitter-action">speak2tweet</a> available to help people communicate if they have working phone connection. <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23SyriaBlackout" title="#SyriaBlackout">#SyriaBlackout</a> <a href="http://t.co/oRg3jCVDQX" rel="nofollow">http://t.co/oRg3jCVDQX</a></span>
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<div style="margin:0; padding-top:2px">A Googler</div>
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<p>This is a service that Google created during the <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110131/as-egypts-last-internet-connection-goes-down-alternatives-appear/">Internet outages in Egypt in 2011</a> that allows people with working phone lines to leave messages that can be seen and heard by people outside the country via a Twitter account that records the audio.</p>
<p>To use it, you leave a voicemail message on one of four international phone numbers (<a href="https://plus.google.com/+google/posts/DSSS2ZM1iEf">details here</a>). If word reaches anyone in the affected area, you can <a href="https://twitter.com/speak2tweet">listen for messages here</a>. </p>
<p><strong>Fourth update:</strong> Syria Digital Reports, a project of Canada&#8217;s <a href="http://www.secdev.com/">SecDev Group</a> and which has been following ongoing updates on <a href="http://syriamonitor.layer8.org/index.php">Syrian infrastructure in real time</a> (power and water and phone service in addition to Internet) and which also <a href="http://syria.secdev.com/">provides digital tools</a> to help people in that country maintain digital safety and security, is now reporting that phone service &#8212; both wireless and land lines &#8212; has been cut off as well. </p>
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<div style="background:#fff; padding:10px; margin:0; min-height:48px; color:#333333; -moz-border-radius:5px; -webkit-border-radius:5px;"><span style="width:100%; font-size:18px; line-height:22px;">Confirmed, landlines and cellphones are down in <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23Syria" title="#Syria">#Syria</a> &#8211; <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23Syriablackout" title="#Syriablackout">#Syriablackout</a> @<a href="http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=Syriansmurf" class="twitter-action">Syriansmurf</a></span>
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<p><strong>Fifth update: </strong>Here&#8217;s how the outage looked as it happened live on video. Courtesy a software engineer at Storify named <a href="https://twitter.com/fredericjacobs">Frederic Jacobs</a>.</p>
<p><iframe width="500" height="375" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/YwxvITcrbx4?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
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		<title>Is Internet Killing the Video Star?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130503/is-internet-killing-the-video-star/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130503/is-internet-killing-the-video-star/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 May 2013 16:40:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stephen White</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Aereo]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=318196</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Applying lessons learned from the music industry to TV.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><div id="attachment_318212" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 390px"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/05/video380.jpg" alt="video380" width="380" height="285" class="size-full wp-image-318212" /><p class="wp-caption-text"><span class="media-attribution">iPad image copyright <a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/gallery-488257p1.html">Skylines</a></span></p></div>My career in digital media started at a pivotal moment. The year was 2001, and the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit had just upheld an order for Napster to begin identifying and removing copyrighted songs from its music file sharing service. I was hired by a young startup that had recently changed its name from CDDB to Gracenote to help Napster use music recognition technology to comb through millions of tracks to find copyrighted works from the labels that it had to remove.</p>
<p>Napster was the first of its kind, providing music fans with easy and free access to albums and tracks and giving them a reason to avoid buying expensive CDs &#8212; the lifeblood of the music industry&#8217;s business. The ability to share files around the globe reduced the barriers to music discovery and allowed Napster users to find new artists and songs in ways never imagined. It was a truly disruptive service, and it scared the hell out of the music industry.</p>
<p>Instead of embracing the massive adoption of this new service, finding a solution to accommodate the changing landscape or harnessing Napster as a future platform, the music industry held onto its rigid CD-based business, prayed that file sharing would go away and eventually tore Napster down.</p>
<p>Today, you can draw several parallels between the music industry in the late &rsquo;90s and early 2000s and the TV industry today. Viewing habits are changing. Just like music in the early 2000s when young adults started turning away from physical media and opting for singles versus complete albums, viewers are &#8220;tuning in&#8221; very differently to movies and TV programming.</p>
<p>Today, if Netflix were part of a cable package, it would be one of the top viewed networks, according to a <a href="https://www.facebook.com/reed1960/posts/135482083305442">Facebook post from CEO Reed Hastings</a>. Meanwhile, <a href="http://www.slashgear.com/cable-cutting-households-jump-150-since-2007-11273393/">Nielsen recently reported that cable cutting is up by 150 percent since 2007</a>, marking a significant shift in viewer behavior. Additionally, Aereo CEO Chet Kanojia is now assuming the role of Shawn Fanning by intimidating the cable companies with a disruptive service that lets viewers access broadcast programs at a much lower cost than cable packages.</p>
<p>But, instead of adapting to changing viewer behavior, the cable companies, Hollywood and broadcasters are holding onto old business models for dear life and calling the lawyers. Sound familiar?</p>
<h4 class="subhed">Avoiding a Bad Sequel: Lessons for the TV Industry</h4>
<p>Ignoring or fighting digital consumer behavior is a recipe for disaster &#8212; resulting in rejection faster than an unpalatable creation by a contestant on Hell&#8217;s Kitchen. It&#8217;s time for TV broadcasters, content creators and advertisers to innovate their businesses instead of maintaining existing models through threats and litigation.</p>
<p>First, they need to understand that their viewers are setting the rules and defining the life expectancy of their programming and services. They will decide your fate &#8212; not you. Consider the following:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>You Can&#8217;t Take Content Away:</strong> The outdated model based on controlling distribution is dying. If you force it underground &#8212; that is, &#8220;illegal streams and downloads&#8221; &#8212; you&#8217;ve lost the battle.</li>
<li><strong>Adapt or Die:</strong> The millennial generation is addicted to YouTube, on-demand and streaming services. They no longer tune in at a specific time and date, and are increasingly shying away from paying for premium cable bundles. With filmmakers and producers spending the time and resources to make great TV programing, like &#8220;Homeland,&#8221; &#8220;Girls&#8221; and &#8220;Mad Men,&#8221; delivery methods should be figured out to get these shows to viewers who won&#8217;t pay $150 per month in subscription fees.</li>
<li><strong>Open the Windows:</strong> The &#8220;distribution window&#8221; is used by Hollywood to define how long a VOD and streaming service can distribute movies and TV programming. The problem? If the window for season one of &#8220;Downton Abbey&#8221; is about to close from Netflix or your cable provider, and you haven&#8217;t watched any of the episodes, you better call in sick to work to get your fill of the Granthams and the Crawleys, or miss the entire season altogether.</li>
<li><strong>Stop Explaining Business Models:</strong> Movie and TV viewers don&#8217;t give a sh*t about business models. They just want to watch their favorite shows &#8212; whenever and wherever they choose. The music industry followed the same pattern in the early 2000s, explaining why the economics of music streaming and downloads would not support artists and the industry. Guess who won?</li>
<li><strong>Open Up to Developers:</strong> Don&#8217;t assume innovation will only come from within your organization. By tapping the developer community, you will be able to move faster and find new ways to use or distribute content, which could result in new monetization strategies. Some of the more forward-thinking media properties, including ESPN, are already doing this, allowing developers to hack ad strategies and sports data.</li>
<li><strong>Rethink Discovery:</strong> As video distribution evolves, there needs to be a corresponding evolution in how people discover new movies and TV programming. If viewers are paying hefty monthly subscriptions (which today support a lot of what they don&#8217;t watch), it is critical to provide paths to find what they really want to watch. The current TV guides embedded in our set-top boxes have to be completely rethought.</li>
<li><strong>Reinvent Measurement:</strong> We still depend on a small sample of viewers to rate the popularity of programs and we base all advertising decisions on this data. However, the technology to measure real time usage inside the TV exists today and has the potential to enable more precise measurement and better targeting of advertising.</li>
</ul>
<p>The TV industry&#8217;s fate is as much in the hands of viewers as the next American Idol. Not only accepting, but also realizing that TV programs and movies are easily accessible via proliferating distribution channels such as Netflix and Aereo, the industry can turn the tables and find opportunities with additional platforms and options to reach viewers for their eyeballs and spending. Most importantly, cable, broadcasters and Hollywood have the opportunity to move forward and determine better and more efficient business models to thrive.</p>
<p>Forward-looking networks like HBO have slowly worked toward a compromise by offering specialized content that depends on the Pay-TV ecosystem. However, with cord-cutting slowly beginning to eat into cable subscriptions, the HBOs of the world need to take distribution models a step further and offer everything streaming with direct-to-consumer subscription models, or risk losing their next core audience. If TV viewers are willing to pay for subscription streaming services, then the industry needs to jump on that bandwagon.</p>
<h4 class="subhed">Rewriting the Ending: To Be Continued</h4>
<p>The nature of distributing media is evolving, and the music industry learned the hard way as it struggled to adapt to a new generation of music fans. More than 10 years after the music industry forced Napster to tear down its P2P platform, the same industry has embraced free, ad-supported services from Spotify, Rhapsody, Deezer and others. In fact, this year marked the first time that the music industry made a profit since 1999.</p>
<p>Instead of struggling against the Internet Age and the connected world, broadcasters, cable companies and Hollywood can capitalize on the audience&#8217;s need to enjoy what they have to offer &#8212; <em>great TV programming</em>. Content will always be king and the industry creates a tremendous amount of really compelling material. It just needs to keep the crime scenes to &#8220;Law &#038; Order&#8221; and save the video star by taking a cue from music&#8217;s past.</p>
<p><em>As president of <a href="http://www.gracenote.com/">Gracenote</a>, Stephen White has played a critical role in shaping the company into a digital entertainment leader. He spearheaded the development of Gracenote technologies for top entertainment platforms and brands, including Apple, Ford and Sony. Today, he oversees all company strategy and operations, and is responsible for growing Gracenote’s core business and vision.</em></p>
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		<title>The Dark Side of the Digital Revolution</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130421/the-dark-side-of-the-digital-revolution/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130421/the-dark-side-of-the-digital-revolution/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Apr 2013 17:46:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eric Schmidt and Jared Cohen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Enterprise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Voices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dictatorships]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Egypt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eric Schmidt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Erich Schmidt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google Ideas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jared Cohen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Korea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Libya]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[North Korea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[social media]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[The Wall Street Journal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=314156</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[How do you explain to people that they are a YouTube sensation, when they have never heard of YouTube or the Internet?]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How do you explain to people that they are a YouTube sensation, when they have never heard of YouTube or the Internet? That&#8217;s a question we faced during our January visit to North Korea, when we attempted to engage with the Pyongyang traffic police.</p>
<p><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324030704578424650479285218.html">Read the rest of this post on the original site »</a></p>
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		<title>Price Discrimination and Data Caps Are Not the Same Thing</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130408/price-discrimination-and-data-caps-are-not-the-same-thing/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130408/price-discrimination-and-data-caps-are-not-the-same-thing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Apr 2013 22:26:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Weinberg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Voices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bandwidth caps]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Comcast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daniel Lyons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[data caps]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ISP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Weinberg]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Public Knowledge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[speed-based tiers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[streaming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[VOIP]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=310048</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Speed tiers have a number of positive attributes that data caps lack.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><div id="attachment_310062" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 390px"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/04/meter380.jpg" alt="meter380" width="380" height="285" class="size-full wp-image-310062" /><p class="wp-caption-text"><span class="media-attribution">Image copyright <a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/gallery-598036p1.html">Laralova</a></span></p></div>In a <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130401/internet-pricing-the-next-policy-frontier/">recent op-ed on this site</a>, Professor Daniel Lyons identified Internet pricing as &#8220;the next policy frontier.&#8221; He is largely correct on that front. As Internet service providers (ISPs) roll out their attempts to shift consumers toward data-based pricing, they will raise a number of policy questions. But the piece didn&#8217;t accurately identify the actual policy questions involved.</p>
<p>Professor Lyons&#8217;s fundamental mistake was to conflate opposition to data caps with opposition to price discrimination more generally. Price discrimination in broadband pricing is a positive phenomenon. It allows ISPs to create different pricing packages that appeal to different types of customers &#8212; from those heavy gamers to the grandmother who only checks her email. My organization, <a href="http://publicknowledge.org">Public Knowledge</a>, does not oppose the idea of price discrimination, and I am not aware of any of our allies that do either. But price discrimination does not require using data caps. And the alternative to data caps is not one price for everyone.</p>
<p>How can I be so sure? Because ISPs impose price discrimination today using speed tiers. And it turns out that speed tiers have a number of positive attributes that data caps lack.</p>
<p>Most people understand speed. While they may not know how many megabytes are in a gigabyte, even the emailing grandma knows that a page that does not load very quickly or a video that constantly buffers is because of a slow Internet connection.</p>
<p>Furthermore, customers realize that their connection is too slow while they are using the Internet. When the video buffers or the page is slow they can ponder, at that very moment, if the delay is annoying enough to justify paying for a faster tier. With monthly caps, a user gets an alert and then needs to reconstruct days, weeks, or even a month&#8217;s worth of usage to try to determine what they were doing to get them close to the cap. Then they need to decide if it is worth paying extra to be able to do it again in the future.</p>
<p>Finally, speed tiers are a &#8220;gentle&#8221; signal to consumers. If your Internet connection is not fast enough, the worst thing that happens is that things happen a bit too slowly for your liking. Go over your data cap and you could be on the hook for significant overage fees.</p>
<p>The gentle nature of speed-based tiers fuel a virtuous cycle. Exploration leads to discovery, which leads to decisions to purchase faster tiers. These purchases provide capital to invest in the network, which in turn brings faster service for everyone. This increased speed fuels even more exploration, which starts the cycle all over again.</p>
<p>In contrast, data-based tiers incentivize sticking to what you know, avoiding trying new things that could cost you overage fees. This is a recipe for stagnation.</p>
<p>But what about the idea that caps are set so high that only those crazy early adopters would ever hit them? History tells us that today&#8217;s early adopters are tomorrow&#8217;s average user. There was a time when all sorts of today&#8217;s common Internet activities &#8212; VOIP phone calls, streaming videos, uploading and sharing images &#8212; were on the cutting edge. There is no clear mechanism that would force caps to increase over time. That means that caps that appear high today will become problems tomorrow. Unless, of course, people are so worried about their cap that they never try anything new.</p>
<p>And this avoidance of new things highlights real competitive concerns. A 300GB cap may sound like a lot (assuming you are the type of person who even knows what a GB is, and what you could do with 300 of them) until you think about making use of it. Using Comcast&#8217;s own assumptions, we have calculated that switching from Comcast cable to an all-HD online video competitor would require 648GB per month. And that&#8217;s before you use your Internet connection for anything else. When viewed in that context, these caps are not just about targeting individual competitors. Instead, they target competition itself.</p>
<p>Of course, antitrust law has a role in instances where incumbents are using data caps on the Internet service they offer in order to protect their cable service. But it is not the only answer. Antitrust law does a great job when there is evidence of collusion and price fixing, but less of a good job when incumbents take steps to exclude new competitors. And antitrust alone does not have tools to address situations where incumbents move to adopt a pricing strategy that confuses consumers and slows innovation in the wider economy.</p>
<p>Forcing us to decide between data caps and a one-price-fits-all, dilapidated broadband network is a false strategy. There are ways to create a sustainable broadband price structure that fuels network investment and larger innovation in our economy without resorting to a model that encourages consumers to over-buy and under-use data. If Internet pricing really is the next policy frontier, our first step should be to make sure we understand what we are actually debating.</p>
<p><em>Michael Weinberg is the vice president at <a href="http://publicknowledge.org">Public Knowledge</a>. Michael primarily focuses on copyright, issues before the FCC and emerging technologies like 3-D printing.</em></p>
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		<title>Google Fiber Is Coming to Austin, Eventually</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130406/google-fiber-is-coming-next-to-austin-eventually/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130406/google-fiber-is-coming-next-to-austin-eventually/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Apr 2013 16:49:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Arik Hesseldahl</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Enterprise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Austin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[broadband]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured post]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fiber optic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google Fiber]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Texas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TV]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=309770</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Keep Austin Wired.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130406/google-fiber-is-coming-next-to-austin-eventually/austin_sign/" rel="attachment wp-att-309771"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/04/austin_sign-380x252.jpg" alt="austin_sign" width="380" height="252" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-309771" /></a>So it&#8217;s increasingly looking like Austin, Texas, is going to be the second market for Google Fiber.</p>
<p>Having yesterday sent out invitations to a bunch of reporters about a &#8220;<a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130405/google-plans-to-announce-something-in-austin-next-week/">very important announcement</a>,&#8221; speculation <a href="http://venturebeat.com/2013/04/05/google-fiber-coming-to-austin-city-government-google-holding-a-meeting-next-week-to-announce-something/">quickly turned</a> to Google Fiber, the one-gigabit service that is about 100 times faster than speeds available from almost any service provider &#8212; <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120730/want-gigabit-internet-you-dont-have-to-move-to-kansas-city/">almost</a> &#8212; in the U.S., along with <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20121121/a-peek-at-tvs-future-via-google-fiber/">pay TV service.</a></p>
<p>Local TV station KVUE, an ABC affiliate, finally <a href="http://www.kvue.com/news/Google-Fiber-coming-to-Austin-201695291.html">nailed down the story</a>, citing sources in the city government. (See the video below.) And Engadget <a href="http://www.engadget.com/2013/04/05/google-fiber-austin-rumor/">briefly spotted overnight</a> an empty post on a Google blog with the headline &#8220;Google Fiber&#8217;s Next Stop: Austin, Texas,&#8221; which was quickly taken down.</p>
<p>So that pretty much answers what the important &#8220;something&#8221; is. And it certainly makes sense. Austin is certainly the kind of mid-sized community that could benefit from the speed of Google Fiber. There are several tech companies either based in or with significant corporate presences there, including <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20111216/siri-why-dont-you-have-a-texas-accent/">Dell, Apple and Samsung.</a></p>
<p>But it&#8217;s probably going to be a long process before anyone in Austin has the superpipes installed at their house. If Google follows the <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120726/google-gets-into-the-cable-tv-business-for-real/">same path it did in Kansas</a>, it has to first get approval from local regulators to offer pay TV service. In Kansas City, that <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203960804577239302654404584.html">process started</a> months before Google made its big announcement.</p>
<p>Then it has to select local neighborhoods where it will build out the network. Again, if it follows the same process it did in Kansas City (notably on both sides of the Kansas-Missouri border), it will hold a competition, pushing different sections of town to campaign for the distinction of being among the first. In one case, the Colorado-based venture capitalist Brad Feld bought a house in a Google-Fiber ready neighborhood, and then held a contest, the prize being <a href="http://www.siliconprairienews.com/2013/02/brad-feld-buys-kc-house-with-google-fiber-opens-contest-to-live-in-it">getting to live in the house</a>.</p>
<p>Once the neighborhoods have been selected, its a matter of waiting on the construction itself to get done, and that will take some time. Hint to Austin residents: Here&#8217;s a site you&#8217;re going to want to become familiar with: The Google Fiber <a href="https://fiber.google.com/cities/kck/#header=check">status update dashboard</a>, where you can either enter your address or click through on a map to see which parts of town are up and running. It&#8217;s worth noting that it&#8217;s been nearly nine months since the initial announcement in Kansas City, and as yet no installations are expected to begin before the fall of this year.</p>
<p>So, Austinites, be happy that you&#8217;re benefiting from Google&#8217;s big experiment. But be patient, because it&#8217;s probably going to take a while.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s the local TV report from last night:</p>
<p><script src="http://www.kvue.com/templates/belo_embedWrapper.js?storyid=201695291&#038;pos=top&#038;swfw=470"></script><object name="player" id="_fp_0.2650885907933116" width="470" height="264"    data="http://swfs.bimvid.com/player-3.2.15.swf"  type="application/x-shockwave-flash"><param value="true" name="allowfullscreen"/><param value="always" name="allowscriptaccess"/><param value="transparent" name="wmode"/><param value="high" name="quality"/><param name="movie" value="http://swfs.bimvid.com/player-3.2.15.swf" /><param value="config=http://www.kvue.com/?j=embed_201695291&#038;ref=http://www.kvue.com/news/Google-Fiber-coming-to-Austin-201695291.html" name="flashvars"/></object><script src="http://www.kvue.com/templates/belo_embedWrapper.js?storyid=201695291&#038;pos=bottom"></script></p>
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		<title>Gotcha!</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130402/gotcha/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130402/gotcha/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Apr 2013 12:35:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Voices</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=308287</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[None of it is funny, and while sometimes you are surprised, the surprise almost never feels good, or right. &#8211; Dave Winer on why fake news on April Fools&#8217; Day is the &#8220;worst tradition of the Net&#8221;]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p> None of it is funny, and while sometimes you are surprised, the surprise almost never feels good, or right.</p></blockquote>
<p class="attribution">&#8211; <a href="http://threads2.scripting.com/2013/march/theCreepiestApril1WebPage">Dave Winer</a> on why fake news on April Fools&#8217; Day is the &#8220;worst tradition of the Net&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Renesys Confirms Network Outages -- Maybe Attacks -- In North Korea</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130315/renesys-confirms-hacking-attack-on-north-korea/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130315/renesys-confirms-hacking-attack-on-north-korea/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Mar 2013 20:14:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Arik Hesseldahl</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Enterprise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[connectivity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DPRK]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[infrastructure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[North Korea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Renesys]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Star JV]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Thailand]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=304031</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Why bother?]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130315/renesys-confirms-hacking-attack-on-north-korea/north-korea-flag/" rel="attachment wp-att-304032"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/03/North-Korea-flag-355x285.jpg" alt="North-Korea-flag" width="355" height="285" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-304032" /></a>There has been a rash of odd reports today about a hacking attack against networks in North Korea. Just a few minutes ago, the research firm Renesys, which tracks the overall health and working order of the Internet, <a href="http://www.renesys.com/blog/2013/03/north-korea-suffers-outage.shtml">came out with confirmation</a> that indeed something has been going on.</p>
<p>The Democratic People&#8217;s Republic of Korea &#8212; or DPRK, as North Korea is generally known &#8212; has officially <a href="http://www.foxnews.com/world/2013/03/15/north-korea-accuses-us-south-korea-causing-internet-outage-in-cyber-attack/">accused the U.S. </a> of carrying out the attack, which is said to have disrupted that country&#8217;s connectivity to the wider Internet, such as it is.</p>
<p>The DPRK has only one Internet provider supplying it with outside links, known as Star JV, Renesys says. Star in turn gets service from China Unicom and Intelsat. Star JV is a joint venture between North Korea&#8217;s Post and Telecommunications Corporation and a Thailand-based firm called <a href="http://www.loxleypacific.co.th/">Loxley Pacific</a>.</p>
<p>Renesys says it tracked disruptions that knocked North Korea&#8217;s four networks &#8212; yes, there are only four &#8212; off the global routing table early on March 13. The disruptions recurred into March 14.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s as yet unknown what the cause is, and frankly it&#8217;s kind of hard to figure out what the point of such an attack might be other than simply to get attention. It&#8217;s not as if much of North Korean society is all that dependent upon the Internet to get anything done, and those few who do have access are either elite members of the Communist Party or the inner circle of the regime of leader Kim Jong-Un, or foreigners. In fact, <a href="http://blog.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2013/03/15/a_total_cyber_blackout_in_north_korea_would_affect_about_1000_citizens">Foreign Policy</a>, citing some educated guesses of foreigners, estimates the number of North Koreans with access to the Internet as ranging from perhaps a few dozen well-connected families to no more than 1,000 people, tops. For others, there&#8217;s a domestic Intranet that looks nothing like the Internet we&#8217;re accustomed to.</p>
<p>So if indeed there has been an attack, and if it was sponsored by someone acting on behalf of another government,  the main question would have to be, &#8220;Why bother?&#8221;</p>
<p>With luck, more will be revealed about all this in the coming days. </p>
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		<title>Please Don't Tell George Lucas What You Think About Jar Jar Binks</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130307/please-dont-tell-george-lucas-what-you-think-about-jar-jar-binks/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130307/please-dont-tell-george-lucas-what-you-think-about-jar-jar-binks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Mar 2013 15:36:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=301342</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It was fine before the Internet. But now with the Internet, it’s gotten very vicious and very personal. You just say, ‘Why do I need to do this?’ &#8211; George Lucas, still wincing from the reaction to the new &#8220;Star Wars&#8221; movies, in Bloomberg Businessweek&#8217;s story on a $4 billion Lucasfilm/Disney deal]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>It was fine before the Internet. But now with the Internet, it’s gotten very vicious and very personal. You just say, ‘Why do I need to do this?’</p></blockquote>
<p class="attribution">&#8211; George Lucas, still wincing from the reaction to the new &#8220;Star Wars&#8221; movies, in <a href="http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-03-07/how-disney-bought-lucasfilm-and-its-plans-for-star-wars#p2">Bloomberg Businessweek</a>&rsquo;s story on a $4 billion Lucasfilm/Disney deal</p>
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		<title>"We Need a Plan B for the Internet," Warns Internet Pioneer Danny Hillis</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130227/we-need-a-plan-b-for-the-internet-warns-internet-pioneer-danny-hillis/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130227/we-need-a-plan-b-for-the-internet-warns-internet-pioneer-danny-hillis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Feb 2013 17:47:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Liz Gannes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Danny Hillis]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=299027</guid>
		<description><![CDATA["We don't know the consequences of what an effective denial-of-service attack on the Internet would be. So what we need is a plan B."]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.ted.com/speakers/danny_hillis.html">Danny Hillis</a> has been an Internet user since the earliest of days. He registered the third domain name ever. He still has a book, a couple of inches thick, with the names and info for every person in the world with an email address in 1982. Today such a thing probably would be 25 miles thick.</p>
<p><div id="attachment_299166" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 390px"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/02/danny_hillis_ted.png" alt="danny_hillis_ted" width="380" height="285" class="size-full wp-image-299166" /><p class="wp-caption-text"><span class="media-attribution">James Duncan Davidson/TED2013</span></p></div></p>
<p>So if he warns that the Internet itself is vulnerable, it&#8217;s probably worth listening up.</p>
<p>Where many people today worry about the security of computers, the security of the Internet is also at risk, Hillis said. And that&#8217;s a problem, because so many of our systems &#8212; from phones to payments &#8212; rely increasingly on the Internet.</p>
<p>Speaking at the TED Conference in Long Beach, Calif., today, Hillis referenced an incident in 2010 when <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2010/11/19/us-cyber-china-pentagon-idUSTRE6AI4HJ20101119">massive amounts of Web traffic were suddenly rerouted through China Telecom</a> after a DNS root server was intercepted, something that was said to be an accident.</p>
<p>&#8220;We&#8217;re setting ourselves up for a disaster like in the financial system,&#8221; Hillis said, because the Internet is a &#8220;system basically built on trust, and expanded way beyond the limits.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The Internet is actually an emergent system. We don&#8217;t fully understand it, like the weather and like the economy,&#8221; said Hillis, the founder of Thinking Machines and Applied Minds, whose work on the Google-acquired Metaweb helped start the company&#8217;s &#8220;Knowledge Graph.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s changing so quickly that even the experts have no idea what&#8217;s going on. It&#8217;s different now than it was an hour ago,&#8221; Hillis said at TED.</p>
<p>&#8220;We don&#8217;t know the consequences of what an effective denial-of-service attack on the Internet would be. So what we need is a plan B.&#8221;</p>
<p>The good thing is, a sort of emergency phone tree for the Internet should be relatively easy to design, said Hillis. However, he didn&#8217;t offer any details on exactly how this solution might work.</p>
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		<title>For HBO, a la Carte Programming Is Still a Ways Off, Says Eric Kessler</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130212/for-hbo-a-la-carte-programming-is-still-a-ways-off-says-eric-kessler/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130212/for-hbo-a-la-carte-programming-is-still-a-ways-off-says-eric-kessler/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Feb 2013 21:34:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Conferences]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Eric Kessler]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[It's Not TV. It's HBO.]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=294076</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Onstage at D: Dive Into Media, HBO's Eric Kessler talked about a la carte programming, Apple TV and why Netflix's decision to release "House of Cards" in full may not have been such a good idea.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/02/Kessler_1.jpg"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/02/Kessler_1-380x253.jpg" alt="Kessler_1" width="380" height="253" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-294572" /></a>Eric Kessler has worked at HBO for more than two decades in various capacities, overseeing everything from program licensing to digital strategy and marketing. He&#8217;s been in the business a long time, seen the pay-TV programming evolution firsthand, and played a role in it, as well.</p>
<p>Put it this way, he&#8217;s the guy who came up with the slogan &#8220;It&#8217;s Not TV. It&#8217;s HBO.&#8221; &#8212; after a decade, it remains part of the cable TV vernacular. Today, he&#8217;s got his hands full mapping out a viable digital strategy while remaining tethered to the cable-TV cash cow and fending off new rivals like Netflix and Amazon that are mounting assaults on its business.</p>
<p>As the first order of business at today&#8217;s <a href="http://allthingsd.com/category/dive-into-media/"><strong>D: Dive Into Media</strong></a> interview,  Kessler confirmed that <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130212/ok-well-let-you-stream-hbo-go-to-your-tv/">HBO&#8217;s HBO Go App is now compatible with Apple’s AirPlay</a>, and HBO subscribers who have been pining to stream HBO shows from their iOS devices to Apple TV can now do so. &#8220;Our long-term plan for Go is to be across all devices, and effective today, we will be enabling AirPlay,&#8221; Kessler said, adding that Apple TV support will follow &#8220;at some point.&#8221;</p>
<p><em>At some point.</em></p>
<p>And when that day comes, might it be accompanied by a la carte programming? <em>At some point.</em> But Kessler argued that the time for that is still quite a ways off. The economics simply aren&#8217;t there.</p>
<p>&#8220;In marketing HBO, we are targeting the people who most love TV,&#8221; Kessler said. &#8220;There are 70 million households that love television. And the average HBO household watches far more TV than the average TV household. So we are targeting the people who are most likely to buy our product.&#8221;</p>
<p>Makes sense, but why not also target the fast-growing audience that wants HBO untethered from the TV? Simple. It&#8217;s too expensive.</p>
<p>&#8220;Is there a broadband segment that wants HBO?&#8221; said Kessler. &#8220;Yes, of course. But when you look at penetration rates, at disconnect rates, at infrastructure and marketing costs, the economics are just not particularly compelling &#8230; That doesn&#8217;t mean that&#8217;s not going to change at some point, though.&#8221;</p>
<p>So, for now, HBO Go will remain largely as it is today: You&#8217;ve got to be a subscriber to use it. That might seem unnecessarily limiting, but Kessler said HBO still gets a lot out of it, even if it&#8217;s not bringing in money as a cord-cutter subscription service. It serves an important marketing function. People who watch HBO programs on HBO Go are generally more apt to talk about it online (obviously). &#8220;HBO Go usage seems to engage people in social conversation about these shows,&#8221; Kessler said. &#8220;&#8216;Girls&#8217; viewership increases as more people talk about it on Twitter and Facebook.&#8221;</p>
<p>What about other emerging schemes for building viewership? Netflix has recently been in the news quite a bit for its &#8220;House of Cards&#8221; series, which the company released as a 13-episode bundle. That&#8217;s a strategy HBO has embraced for its archival programming, as well, and with a great deal of success. Viewers can use it to catch up on old seasons of their favorite series &#8212; obviously, there&#8217;s a great deal of value for some in binge-viewing five seasons of &#8220;The Wire&#8221; back to back.</p>
<p>&#8220;When we launched the browser version of HBO Go, we only had about 400 hours of content,&#8221; Kessler said. &#8220;When we launched the app, we decided to put every episode of every season up there. And what we have seen over the last two years is that the people who use the app will binge-view. They&#8217;ll watch stuff to catch up. But that&#8217;s the edge case.&#8221;</p>
<p>So, is it wise to give a brand-new series like &#8220;House of Cards&#8221; that stuff-yourself-silly treatment? Kessler seemed dubious. Serializing shows in the old-school TV way plays a big role in building buzz, he explained. If you offer a series in its entirety when it debuts, you forfeit that &#8220;Who Shot J.R.?&#8221; anticipation. Just think about that final, infamous episode of &#8220;The Sopranos.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The finale of &#8216;The Sopranos&#8217; was one of the most talked-about finales in the history of television,&#8221; Kessler said. &#8220;That show was on the cover of newspapers the next day. It was being talked about on morning radio and TV. If we had distributed the season all at once, we would have lost that.&#8221;</p>
<p><div class="video-wsj"><object width="640" height="360"><param name="movie" value="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><param name="flashvars" value="videoGUID=112738F1-EEC7-4DFF-9B47-B01FFF0C7190&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/"name="microflashPlayer"></param><embed src="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashVars="videoGUID={112738F1-EEC7-4DFF-9B47-B01FFF0C7190}&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/" name="microflashPlayer" width="640" height="360" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" swLiveConnect="true" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash"></embed><br />[ See post to watch video ]</div></object></p>
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		<title>Sony's Michael Lynton on How the Net and Social Media Are Changing the Movie Business</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130212/sonys-michael-lynton-on-how-the-net-and-social-media-are-changing-the-movie-business/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Feb 2013 19:53:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Conferences]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Michael Lynton]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=294080</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sony's Michael Lynton says that in the age of social media, a film's audience can now help kill a movie or extend its life.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/02/Lynton.jpg"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/02/Lynton-380x253.jpg" alt="Lynton" width="380" height="253" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-294477" /></a>Michael Lynton joined Sony as its studio chairman in 2004. Eight years later &#8212; last March &#8212; he ascended to CEO of Sony Corporation of America, taking on oversight of all of the company&#8217;s U.S. entertainment businesses, except for videogames. A big job, and one that he&#8217;s performing at a time when Sony is under tight financial constraints. Among his top challenges: Adapting Sony&#8217;s movie business to Internet distribution at a time when movies like &#8220;Skyfall&#8221; are still grossing $1 billion in the theaters. </p>
<p>Onstage at <a href="http://allthingsd.com/category/dive-into-media/"><strong>D: Dive Into Media</strong></a>, one of his first appearances since accepting the new job last spring, Lynton talked about the state of the music and movie business in 2013. Are people still going to the theater to see movies and watching TV the way they used to? According to Lynton, they are. &#8220;The Internet hasn&#8217;t wiped anything out &#8212; yet,&#8221; Lynton said.</p>
<p>That said, the movie business is changing. Or, rather, consumer tastes are changing the movie business. &#8220;We had a good year with &#8216;Skyfall&#8217; and &#8216;Zero Dark Thirty,&#8217;&#8221; Lynton said. &#8220;They did well, but they also taught us a lot about where the audience is these days.&#8221;</p>
<p>How so? According to Lynton, same-old, same-old is no longer quite as successful as it used to be. An eight-episode &#8220;Beethoven&#8221; franchise might have been a good idea a few years ago. These days, it&#8217;s not such a great thought. </p>
<p>&#8220;You&#8217;ve got to surprise people,&#8221; Lynton said. &#8220;The movies that are successful these days are often the movies that the audience would have never expected to see on the big screen. Think about &#8216;Zero Dark Thirty.&#8217; Even franchise movies are different. Sure, &#8216;Skyfall&#8217; is a James Bond movie, but it has a very different James Bond.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;One of the engines of that change is social media and its effect on the post-moviegoing experience. Thanks to Twitter and Facebook, viewers can actually affect the way a movie performs. A film&#8217;s audience can now help kill a movie or extend its life.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The biggest issue for movie studios has always been that some films are good and others aren&#8217;t so good,&#8221; Lynton said. &#8220;Originally, marketing was supposed to smooth that out. But we can&#8217;t do that anymore. With social media, you can no longer hide the goods. &#8230; If you have a good movie and the right people see it, you can put that message out there and accelerate the promotion process. But those people don&#8217;t like it? That&#8217;s a very difficult message to muffle.&#8221;</p>
<p>What if those people like it so much that they create an audience willing to pay a premium to watch a first-run film in their homes? Will we ever be able to pay $40 to watch a &#8220;Zero Dark Thirty&#8221; in our living rooms, when others are still going to the theater to see it?</p>
<p>Not for a while, said Lynton. &#8220;We&#8217;ve never really talked about doing that,&#8221; he said. &#8220;What we&#8217;ve talked about is releasing stuff during the dead period that occurs between when the movie leaves the theater and finally makes its way to DVD, cable. I like that idea a lot. But there are a lot of people at all levels of the industry that are concerned about that.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>Notes from the session:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>On DVDs:</strong> DVD is not going away. Not now, not for the moment.</li>
<li><strong>On Netflix and the DVR:</strong> &#8220;I think Netflix and DVRs have fundamentally changed the creative nature of the product in a spectacular way. &#8230; In the past, you had a really difficult time, you had a tough time creating long-form drama. The DVR and Netflix allowed people to catch up if they missed an episode. That&#8217;s a huge deal. You can now create these long-form narratives where characters can be developed over 13 episodes. That&#8217;s more attractive to viewers and writers. And that&#8217;s a good thing.&#8221;</li>
<li><strong>On Facebook and Twitter:</strong> They can help a lot. &#8220;Marketing is a complicated recipe. If you don&#8217;t have all the right ingredients, the recipe falls flat. Social media is definitely part of the recipe. We like social media. The studio system is set up to look at tracking, and tracking is set up to follow television, not social. We&#8217;re not properly measuring social media.&#8221;</li>
</ul>
<p><div class="video-wsj"><object width="640" height="360"><param name="movie" value="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><param name="flashvars" value="videoGUID=710531A2-462F-45F6-9D85-3452639B52FA&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/"name="microflashPlayer"></param><embed src="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashVars="videoGUID={710531A2-462F-45F6-9D85-3452639B52FA}&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/" name="microflashPlayer" width="640" height="360" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" swLiveConnect="true" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash"></embed><br />[ See post to watch video ]</div></object></p>
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		<title>As Attacks Mount, Governments Grapple With Cyber Security Policies</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130210/as-attacks-mount-governments-grapple-with-cybersecurity-policies/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130210/as-attacks-mount-governments-grapple-with-cybersecurity-policies/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 10 Feb 2013 21:59:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Arik Hesseldahl</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Enterprise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[banks]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[hackers]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=293291</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Why do governments in Europe and the US respond so differently to questions about cyber security when a unified approach would make more sense?]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130109/cyberwar-in-iran-comes-home-to-u-s-banks-is-anyone-surprised/war_room_380/" rel="attachment wp-att-283980"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/war_room_380.png" alt="war_room_380" width="380" height="285" class="alignright size-full wp-image-283980" /></a>One way or the other, the president of the United States is going to unveil a new executive order on cyber security this week. Long in coming &#8212; cyber security has simmered in the background of the national security policy agenda for at least two years &#8212;  the new order will create a set of standards that private companies operating critical infrastructure, such as power plans and water utilities, can choose to follow voluntarily, according to a report from <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-02-08/obama-said-near-issuing-executive-order-on-cybersecurity.html">Bloomberg News</a>.</p>
<p>That the new policy is expected this week implies that President Obama may devote a few words to the subject in his State of the Union address on Tuesday night. Or he may not. But the fact of the matter is that the headlines have been rife of late with news of hacking attacks against American banks, media organizations and others that appear not be coming from pranksters in a basement, but from parties that appear to be operating barely at arm&#8217;s length from governments in countries like <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130204/here-a-hack-there-a-hack-everywhere-a-cyber-attack/">China</a> and <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130118/iran-raised-its-cyberwar-game-after-stuxnet-us-general-says/">Iran</a>.</p>
<p>One provision would order government agencies to share more information about the nature of computer threats with private companies and give relevant executives of those companies the option to get proper security clearances to get briefed on certain classified information about the nature of the threats, and perhaps lay the groundwork for improved responses.</p>
<p>Republicans and business groups have generally opposed this approach, arguing that voluntary government standards essentially amount to implied regulations that they have to follow whether they want to or not. Additionally they say &#8212; correctly &#8212; that any government-set standards would quickly be overtaken by the fluid nature of cyber security threats, which are changing daily.</p>
<p>Compare the approach, however, to the European Union, which has its own <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130205/eu-develops-new-cybersecurity-rules/">proposal for cyber security rules</a> on the table, this one more onerous. It would require certain companies, including search engines, energy companies, <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130109/cyberwar-in-iran-comes-home-to-u-s-banks-is-anyone-surprised/">banks,</a> transit hubs, stock exchange and others to report disruptions to the operations of their computing systems and networks &#8212; including anything from human error to full-blown cyber attacks &#8212; to government authorities. The expectation is that the proposal will become law within the 27-nation EU within two years. Nothing voluntary about it. </p>
<p>Given the difference, here&#8217;s an interesting thought: So often the targets of attacks are entities so large as to have global operations and global networks. An attack on Google&#8217;s operations in Europe, for example, one that under the EU scheme would have to be reported to government authorities there, amounts to an attack on its operations in the States. The same is certainly true for many banks that operate on more than one continent.</p>
<p>Sharing of information about cyber security incidents has always been a tricky thing. Large companies don&#8217;t like to advertise that they&#8217;ve been attacked and their operations disrupted &#8212; and when they do disclose it publicly, they do so only sparingly &#8212; and the same is true for countries. One country doesn&#8217;t like sharing what it knows about a cyber attack because it doesn&#8217;t trust what its neighbor might do with the information.</p>
<p>But the difference in approaches makes me wonder why there isn&#8217;t more cooperation generally between countries, especially between the U.S. and Europe. National borders mean nothing in the digital realm, and attacks are very often launched from computers in one or more countries, operated remotely by people in one or more countries, against targets in one or more countries. Now <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130204/here-a-hack-there-a-hack-everywhere-a-cyber-attack/">everyone is a target</a> and no one knows exactly who the attackers are. </p>
<p>This makes questions about cyber warfare and security infinitely more complex. Most attackers operate at a certain remove from any governments to which they may hold an allegiance, however strong or loose, allowing for what the diplomats like to call &#8220;plausible deniability.&#8221; Or they may be the equivalent of digital mercenaries fighting for whoever pays the most, or some combination of both. The multiple combinations of variables make the the old nation-to-nation, single attacker, single target paradigm seem outmoded. </p>
<p>That makes the sharing of information among authorities in the most target-rich nations &#8212; the U.S. and Europe generally &#8212; an important piece any response. If houses are being broken into by a burglar who happens to be good at prying open a certain kind of door or window that happens to be prevalent in your neighborhood, would you not want your neighbor to share that information with you so that you can prepare accordingly? </p>
<p>Perhaps the same kind of common sense approach should apply to the community of nations in the area of cyber security. Could it be done under the auspices of a multination treaty? Perhaps something similar to NATO, where an attack on interests in one country &#8212; whatever the entity doing the attacking, be it a nation-state, terrorists, or a gang of troublemakers &#8212; amounts to an attack on all? Just a thought.</p>
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		<title>Google and Boston Consulting Group Partner for a Study of a Potential New Internet Economy</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130204/google-and-boston-consulting-group-partner-for-a-study-of-a-potential-new-internet-economy/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130204/google-and-boston-consulting-group-partner-for-a-study-of-a-potential-new-internet-economy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Feb 2013 23:30:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Schroeder</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Voices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arab]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Boston Consulting Group]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Schoeder]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Dean]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Egypt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Masrawy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nefsak]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Samir El Bahaie]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[smartphones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vimov]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WeatherHD]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=291261</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Two years after the Arab uprisings, the Internet is quietly and increasingly growing as a central platform of economic development around the globe.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/02/egypt380.jpg" alt="egypt380" width="380" height="285" class="alignright size-full wp-image-291363" />If I were to describe a country where the Internet contributes as much as a percentage of GDP as its health services, education and oil industries, and is growing at nearly twice the rate as in Europe &#8212; driven in large part by growth in private and corporate-backed entrepreneurship &#8212; where would you guess?</p>
<p>Looking forward, if such a country has the largest population of Internet and mobile users in its region with one of the largest youth populations in the world; is a large consumer market in the early days of e-commerce; is a global tourist destination where roughly only five percent of all travel revenue is booked online &#8212; might this be an intriguing investment opportunity?</p>
<p>Am I describing Germany? China? Brazil?</p>
<p>Try Egypt.</p>
<p>Two years after the Arab uprisings and in the midst of wrestling significant economic and political change, the Internet is quietly and increasingly growing as a central platform of economic development around the country as it is around the globe. And according to a new Google-commissioned study by The Boston Consulting Group &#8212; <a href="https://www.bcgperspectives.com/Images/BCG_Egypt_Crossroads_Nov_2012_tcm80-124361.pdf">Egypt at a Crossroads: How the Internet is Transforming Egypt&#8217;s Economy</a> &#8212; policy makers, executives and investors alike are poised at a central moment of opportunity to embrace this platform for economic growth, job creation and returns.</p>
<p>David Dean, Senior Partner and Managing Director at the Boston Consulting Group &#8212; and one of the authors of the study &#8212; told me that this is the latest of fifteen country-wide studies his company has done, and he was impressed by what he found. &#8220;I think the biggest positive surprise was that there are many entrepreneurial companies using the Internet to grow their businesses.&#8221; The report highlights a handful of among hundreds of recent Egyptian startups as diverse as the content portal Masrawy, which now reaches over eight million unique users per month; e-commerce destination Nefsak, which offers over 25,000 products; and Alexandria&#8217;s Vimov, whose paid weather app WeatherHD was the fourth-best seller in Apple&#8217;s App store after its recent release. It notes that Vodafone, among other global investors, is making serious commitments both to the infrastructure and to funding startups in the region. &#8220;The report makes clear that there is much uptapped potential for Egypt&#8217;s nascent Internet ecosystem,&#8221; Samir El Bahaie, Google&#8217;s Head of Policy in the Middle East and North Africa, said &#8212; adding that &#8220;there is also a great opportunity for investment, economic growth and job creation waiting to be seized.&#8221;</p>
<p>The study underscores that the opportunity is now. Egypt&#8217;s population of 31 million Internet users is the largest in the Middle East, and while mobile penetration exceeds 100 percent in many parts of the country, the big news is that smartphones &#8212; with real computing capabilities &#8212; are expected by some to reach 50 percent penetration in the next three to five years. Unmeasured in penetration and GDP figures are what the report calls &#8220;ripple effects&#8221; on the Egyptian economy and society: The ability to reach new markets, to have better informed consumers, to have greater work efficiencies in the knowledge economy, to have simplified access to government and social services for people to take more control of their lives. Egypt, with its mobile penetration, is especially poised to capture opportunities in mobile banking (as significant success has been seen in Africa) and to fully embrace all the opportunities offered for tourism. Dean notes, in fact, that travel and tourism is &#8220;possibly the largest short-term lever that the Internet can have in the country.&#8221;</p>
<p>If the opportunity is now, however, so is the potential for missed opportunities. While access to the Internet is growing, there is still a lack of Internet skills in the workforce, even as compared to other emerging markets. While business adoption of the Internet as an economic platform in Egypt is competitive among larger enterprises, small- and medium-sized businesses still rank lowest among emerging growth markets. More fundamentally, there remains significant question of the most appropriate, entrepreneurship-driving policies &#8212; areas such as rule of law, copyright protection, lessening bureaucracy in starting businesses. &#8220;Of course, these are clearly not just questions for Egypt,&#8221; Dean explained to me. &#8220;What would really be encouraging would be a commitment by the Government to the Internet as an economic factor &#8212; which would mean simplifying the process for opening businesses, encouraging investment, demonstrating the benefits of the Internet in the way the government operates, and using the Internet to address some of Egypt&#8217;s most pressing problems, such as youth unemployment.&#8221;</p>
<p>Google hopes to play a continued role in working with governments like Egypt&#8217;s. Studies like these are extremely useful as they provide factual economic data points around the value of the Internet, El Bahaie noted. &#8220;We hope to work with the government of Egypt to leverage these data points to unlock the potential of eCommerce and mCommerce and well-informedly create a more enabling business environment for Egyptian small- and medium-sized business, and to help the country reach its full economic potential.&#8221;</p>
<p><em>Christopher M. Schroeder is a leading U.S. Internet entrepreneur and venture investor, a member of the advisory boards of the American University of Cairo School of Business, the regional entrepreneurship portal Wamda.com and incubator Oasis500. He is the author of &#8220;Startup Rising: The Entrepreneurial Revolution That&#8217;s Remaking the Middle East,&#8221; to be published September 2013 by Palgrave/MacMillan. He can be followed on Twitter <a href="http://www.twitter.com/cmschroed">@cmschroed</a>.</em></p>
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		<title>North Korea to Google Chairman: Rock On, Dude</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130112/north-korea-to-google-chairman-rock-on-dude/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130112/north-korea-to-google-chairman-rock-on-dude/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Jan 2013 13:00:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Richardson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eric Schmidt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[North Korea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[open Internet]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=284756</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Eric Schmidt. Rock star.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/EricSchmidt_D5.jpg"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/EricSchmidt_D5-380x253.jpg" alt="EricSchmidt_D5" width="380" height="253" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-284774" /></a>Add another title to Google Executive Chairman Eric Schmidt&#8217;s already impressive resume: rock star diplomat. The executive traveled to North Korea earlier this month and, according to former U.N. Ambassador Bill Richardson who accompanied him, was received there like &#8220;a rock star&#8221; &#8212; or considering the country, the frontman of a popular military choir.</p>
<p>&#8220;Eric Schmidt was like a rock star there,” <a href="http://cnnpressroom.blogs.cnn.com/2013/01/11/bill-richardson-north-korea-is-hostile-unpredictable-schmidt-a-rock-star-there/">Richardson told CNN</a>. “Talking to people, to students, to scientists, to software engineers about the importance of the Internet.”</p>
<p>The pair <a href="http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=168915897">traveled to North Korea earlier this month</a> &#8212; over the protests of the U.S. State Department &#8212; to advocate a moratorium on missile launches, to call for greater Internet freedom for North Korean citizens and ostensibly to facilitate the release of American detainee Kenneth Bae. On the last matter, the &#8220;private humanitarian mission&#8221; seems to have been a failure. On the others, it remains to be seen, though I doubt we&#8217;ll see North Korea throw open the doors to the Internet anytime soon. But evidently Schmidt was awesome while he was there, and that&#8217;s something, right?</p>
<p>Said Richardson, &#8220;&#8230; Right now our relationship with North Korea is frozen and if some individuals, private citizens, especially someone like Eric Schmidt, who can bring a message of openness and hope and the Internet and cellphones and more communications, and be treated as someone they&#8217;re intensely interested in. Remember, we met with students, with average people — it wasn&#8217;t just the government.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>2013: The Year Payments Finally Emerge From the Dark Ages?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130111/2013-the-year-payments-finally-emerge-from-the-dark-ages/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130111/2013-the-year-payments-finally-emerge-from-the-dark-ages/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jan 2013 17:31:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Henry Helgeson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Voices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit cards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EMV]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google Wallet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Henry Helgeson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Isis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LevelUp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mag stripes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MCX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Merchant Warehouse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mobile payments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mobile wallet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PayPal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Squarebucks]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=284594</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The mobile payment revolution isn't just about giving customers a trendy new way to pay.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><div id="attachment_284619" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 390px"><a href="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/mobilepayments380.jpg"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/mobilepayments380.jpg" alt="mobilepayments380" width="380" height="285" class="size-full wp-image-284619" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text"><span class="media-attribution">Image copyright <a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/gallery-587245p1.html">koya979</a></span></p></div>What technologies from the 1960s do you still use today? What about from the 1990s?</p>
<p>Most of us don&#8217;t use rotary phones, beepers, dial-up Internet or fax machines anymore. Yet we still use magnetic stripe credit cards and outdated point-of-sale systems. Payments technologies continue to lag far behind the technological adoption curve, and adopting new technologies as they become available has been a slow process, with hurdles that include legacy infrastructure and costs.</p>
<p>That said, 2012 saw some major leaps forward for the payments industry. Between Squarebucks, PayPal, Google Wallet, Isis, LevelUp and MCX, the mobile payment wars have just started to get exciting.</p>
<p>But despite the progress, the prediction that 2012 would be the &#8220;Year of Mobile Payments&#8221; didn&#8217;t come true. Now some people are arguing that, &#8220;someday we may look back and say [2012] was &#8216;The Year Before the Year of Mobile Payments. &#8216;&#8221;</p>
<p>Maybe so. Maybe 2013 will be the year we finally stop using insecure payment technologies from the 1980s and 90s. The year where paying with your phone will finally become mainstream. Here&#8217;s how 2013 could change everything:</p>
<p><strong>Merchants Will Decide Who Wins the Payment Wars</strong><br />
People often wonder what it takes to win the so-called payment wars. Getting the most users? Forming an alliance with a big brand or a major credit card? Deploying salespeople everywhere? The answer is: none of the above. Merchants, often the so-called &#8220;Main Street&#8221; businesses, will be the ones who decide which apps will emerge victorious from the mobile payments battles (and there won&#8217;t be just one victor).</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s why: The mobile payment revolution isn&#8217;t just about giving customers a trendy new way to pay. It&#8217;s more about finding solutions that will deliver new value for the consumer (discounts or rewards for loyalty, for instance). In turn, mobile payment apps can drive new and repeat business for the merchant.</p>
<p>When it comes to emerging victorious, other factors &#8212; especially security &#8212; are important. But benefits to the consumer and the merchant are the number one determining factor. When both parties get something great out of mobile payments that they never had before, then the revolution will prevail; it will be win-win for everyone.</p>
<p><strong>The Hyperlocal Sales Model Will Fail</strong><br />
Is it easier to knock on five million doors, or to play nicely with payment systems that already exist?</p>
<p>Well, that&#8217;s kind of a loaded question, but it underscores the biggest problem that mobile payments have faced so far: Scaling. In 2013, two things could replace the inefficient hyperlocal sales model and encourage wide-scale adoption of mobile payments.</p>
<p>First, merchant payment processing systems need to adapt &#8212; and quickly &#8212; to accept a wide variety of payment options (preferably, all of them.) Additionally, the checkout process with mobile payment apps needs to move just as quickly as (or, better yet, faster than) a credit or cash transaction.</p>
<p>Second, payment apps need to play nicely with existing systems. Incentivizing merchants to try your new app is nice, but not an effective way to scale. Instead, the name of the game is cooperation.</p>
<p><strong>Paradigm Shift: The Mobile Wallet Is Your Smartphone</strong><br />
It&#8217;s much easier &#8212; and better &#8212; to create a mobile payment app than a mobile wallet. Eventually, the phone will become the mobile wallet, and consumers will have a variety of payment and loyalty apps to choose from, depending on which places they visit most. No single system will rule them all.</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t believe me? Think about your own physical wallet right now. You might have a Macy&#8217;s card, a Capital One Visa, an American Express Gold, a loyalty card from your grocery store, and a dozen others. None of those could replace or encompass all the others. Your wallet does the encompassing. And, eventually, the phone will be no different &#8212; a storage space for all your payment and loyalty apps.</p>
<p><strong>Security Is Important (Really Important) &#8212; So Expect to Hear More About It</strong><br />
Security is one of the biggest hurdles that will have to be surmounted to enable the widespread adoption of mobile payments. That&#8217;s because plenty of consumers are (rightly) concerned about the security of new payment options.</p>
<p>The good news is that mobile payments are actually significantly more secure than legacy payment options like mag stripe cards. The average mobile payment app has far more data points at its disposal than a magnetic card. It can verify your identity and intent much quicker and more accurately than this type of card. Plus, since we&#8217;re glued to our personal tech for much of the day, people will notice and report a stolen or lost phone much quicker than a credit card used just once or twice a day.</p>
<p>Another important security feature is tied to the power of over-the-air updates to apps. These can both refresh apps with the latest security features and turn the app off in seconds in the event of a breach.</p>
<p>Once merchants and app developers can convince consumers that mobile payments are secure, they will quickly become the dominant solution.</p>
<p><strong>Mag Stripes Will Go the Way of the Dial-Up Modem (Adios!) </strong><br />
As I alluded to earlier, the technology in the magnetic stripe credit cards that most Americans use on a daily basis is more than 40 years old. It&#8217;s also highly vulnerable to fraud. And despite various protections against fraud, the U.S. loses about $8.6 billion dollars every year on credit card fraud, according to the Aite Group. Yikes.</p>
<p>EMV (short for Europay-Mastercard-Visa, its founders) is the way of the future. EMV uses a smart chip embedded in the card to store sensitive account data securely. In fact, it&#8217;s so much more secure than magnetic stripe credit cards that every major global region has already adopted the technology en masse &#8230; except the U.S.</p>
<p>Why is the most tech-savvy country on the planet lagging behind here? The reasons are complex, ranging from expense to legacy infrastructure to powerful lobbies. But while we&#8217;ve been able to procrastinate on upgrading our systems for decades, the economics of putting EMV into the field are now starting to make real sense.</p>
<p>The emphasis on EMV at a recent payments conference could be a bellwether, and the year 2013 should see some major strides in the EMV direction.</p>
<p><strong>Mobile Will Level the Playing Field for Brick &#038; Mortar in This E-commerce World</strong><br />
Brick and mortar businesses have some real competition in e-commerce, and (admit it) we&#8217;re all guilty of indulging in a little showrooming here and there.</p>
<p>Mobile has the power to level the playing field for brick and mortar again, and 2013 is the year we&#8217;ll start to see this happen for real. For example, advances in mobile payment technology will soon make it possible for people to find the exact product they&#8217;re looking for, when and where they need it.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s say it&#8217;s February 12. You&#8217;ve procrastinated on buying a Valentine&#8217;s Day gift for your sweetie. You know what you want to buy, and you could order it online, but you&#8217;re worried it won&#8217;t show up on time (and don&#8217;t want to pay an extra $20 for overnight shipping.) With new mobile technologies, merchants can track inventory down to the individual product and connect shoppers directly with that data. This will give consumers a strong incentive to buy from a local merchant rather than take their chances with e-commerce. Plus, they&#8217;ll get the benefit of checking the item out with their own hands and eyes before they buy.</p>
<p>This, along with new customer loyalty and promotional opportunities, will make it possible for brick and mortar stores to get really competitive vis-a-vis e-commerce this year. Watch out, Amazon!</p>
<p>So, are you planning on making any big changes to the way you pay (or accept payment) in 2013?</p>
<p><em>Henry Helgeson is the CEO and co-founder of Merchant Warehouse, a recognized leader in payment and commerce technologies.</em></p>
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		<title>Gangnam Bandwidth, American Style</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130109/gangnam-bandwidth-american-style/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130109/gangnam-bandwidth-american-style/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jan 2013 23:07:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Blair Levin and Ellen Satterwhite</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Voices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bandwidth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Clinton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blair Levin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CES]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chattanooga]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ellen Satterwhite]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gangnam]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gig. U]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gigabit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[network]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Seattle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South Korea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tennessee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tom Friedman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wireline]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=283970</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For most Americans, five years from now, the best network available to them will be the same network they have today.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><div id="attachment_283979" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 390px"><a href="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/gangnam380.jpg"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/gangnam380.jpg" alt="gangnam380" width="380" height="285" class="size-full wp-image-283979" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text"><span class="media-attribution">Background image copyright <a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/gallery-168430p1.html">kentoh</a></span></p></div>Surrounded by next generation flexible displays and the next big tech toys at the 2013 International Consumer Electronics Show, former President Bill Clinton made this observation: South Korea is now number one in the world for computer download speeds, and the U.S. has fallen to number 15. &#8220;Our speeds are one-fourth of theirs, and we have fallen off the map,&#8221; Clinton said.</p>
<p>For the uninitiated, the former president is referring to the fact that there are few to no American communities that are hubs of the kind of world-leading bandwidth sufficient to drive next-generation innovation in our economy. He&#8217;s referring to the fact that, though international studies differ, the United States does not enjoy bandwidth that is nearly as fast as our peer countries. He&#8217;s referring to the fact that, for the first time since American ingenuity birthed the commercial Internet, we do not have a single national wireline provider with plans to deploy a better, faster and bigger network. For most Americans, five years from now, the best network available to them will be the same network they have today. As a result, the best networks &#8212; along with the innovations and economic power they enable &#8212; will live in other countries as well.</p>
<p>But we should not give up on American ingenuity; as <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/21/opinion/friedman-obamas-moment.html">Tom Friedman detailed in a recent New York Times op-ed</a>, upgrading the broadband network in Chattanooga, Tenn., to world-leading gigabit speeds has transformed the community from a &#8220;slowly declining and deflating urban balloon&#8221; to the fastest growing city in Tennessee, attracting &#8220;a beehive of tech startups that all thrive on big data and super-high-speed Internet.&#8221; That&#8217;s what Gangnam bandwidth can do in America.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s why a recent announcement about big bandwidth from Seattle is also big news. The city just announced a plan to bring gigabit service to a dozen of its neighborhoods. Over 100,000 Seattle residents, as well as health care and educational institutions, will have access to world-leading speeds. Not only is the scale of Seattle&#8217;s effort impressive, the path it took &#8212; smart policies involving rights of way management and dark fiber &#8212; can be replicated by other communities that wish to control their own bandwidth destiny.</p>
<p>As America&#8217;s National Broadband Plan concluded in 2010, our country needs a critical mass of communities with world-leading networks for us to continue to have the kind of environment that fosters the cutting edge innovations necessary to develop the next generation of world-leading broadband applications. Seattle is not alone in recognizing that bigger bandwidth is an economic development tool. Just as in decades past, when communities had to learn how to benefit from new modes of power or transportation &#8212; with electrical, train or air terminal facilities &#8212; so it is now with bandwidth. Officials in Kansas City, Kansas and Missouri worked with Google, offering streamlined processes and regulatory efficiencies. Mayor Emanuel in Chicago and Mayor Bloomberg in New York have both recently launched initiatives to enhance their cities&#8217; digital future. Thanks to efforts by their local leadership and a commitment to next-generation networks, residents in Bristol, Virginia; Chattanooga, Tennessee; and Lafayette, Louisiana can already get gigabit speeds. And Gig.U, a consortium of universities and communities looking to accelerate next-generation connectivity in their regions, has, in addition to the Seattle project, helped catalyze ultra-high-speed broadband projects in the past few months: in Orono and Old Town, Maine; Cleveland, Ohio; Gainesville, Florida; East Lansing, Michigan and Champaign-Urbana, Illinois.</p>
<p>Not every community has Seattle&#8217;s assets, particularly the strong information, communications, apps development economy and committed local leaders like Mayor McGinn. But Seattle has created a model that every community can follow in improving the environment for the private investment necessary to create a new generation of American broadband leadership. Mr. Friedman proposed a $20 billion fund to bring gigabit connectivity to 200 American cities, arguing that these networks would lead to &#8220;a &#8216;melt-up&#8217; in the United States economy.&#8221; While, unfortunately in our view, such a program may not be in the realm of the politically achievable, ironically, it might be the actions of individual cities to catalyze such networks that leads to the kind of growth, debt reduction and surplus that could enable the federal government to once again consider big programs to drive growth and American economic leadership. And this is the kind of policy innovation America deserves.</p>
<p><em>Blair Levin became Communications &#038; Society Fellow with the Aspen Institute after serving as Executive Director of the National Broadband Planning effort. He is currently Executive Director of Gig.U, a project within the Institute that seeks to accelerate the deployment of next generation networks and services by using university communities as test-beds.</p>
<p>Ellen Satterwhite is Program Director for Gig.U. Prior to joining the project, Ellen was Consumer Policy Adviser to the FCC’s Consumer and Governmental Affairs Bureau where she was responsible for consumer research and analysis of emerging trends in communications services for the Bureau.</p>
<p>The University Community Next Generation Innovation Project, or Gig.U, is a broad-based group of over 30 leading research universities from across the United States. Drawing on America&#8217;s rich history of community-led innovation in research and entrepreneurship, Gig.U seeks to accelerate the deployment of gigabit-speed networks to leading U. S. universities and their surrounding communities. Improvements to these networks drive economic growth and stimulate a new generation of innovations addressing critical needs, such as health care and education. Visit Gig.U online at <a href="http://www.gig-u.org">www.gig-u.org</a>.</em></p>
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		<title>Dispatch From Dubai</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130108/dispatch-from-dubai/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130108/dispatch-from-dubai/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jan 2013 19:20:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gordon M. Goldstein</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Voices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cisco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cyber security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dick Baird]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dubai]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Gordon Goldstein]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hamadoun Touré]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Microsoft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mohamed Nasser Al-Ghanim]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[United Nations]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=283172</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Mass confusion and angry discord characterized the conference.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/wcit380.jpg" alt="wcit380" width="380" height="285" class="alignright size-full wp-image-283215" />Silicon Valley&#8217;s collective vision of the Internet was on trial recently at a United Nations treaty conference held in the Persian Gulf. Did the Valley&#8217;s thought leaders, business innovators and serial entrepreneurs appreciate the degree to which their shared assumptions about the Internet &#8212; its dynamism, openness, adaptability and ferocious commercial power &#8212; were under methodical assault by countries like Iran, Russia, Nigeria and Saudi Arabia?</p>
<p>The American delegation tasked with defending the Internet&#8217;s flat, decentralized and globally unregulated structure was composed of a vast swath of government agencies ranging from the State and Defense departments to the FCC and White House National Economic Council. The delegation also encompassed a powerful tier of commercial representatives from preponderant technology companies like Google, Facebook, Microsoft and Cisco. In the months before the conference, the U.S. team was assiduously briefed on an array of hugely controversial proposals to regulate Internet content, impose tariffs on Internet traffic, and usurp management of the Internet&#8217;s technical protocols and address system. But no member of the delegation, not even the most seasoned veterans of such global negotiations, could confidently predict how the acutely contentious conference agenda would ultimately generate an acceptable international agreement.</p>
<p>&#8220;Consensus! Consensus! Consensus!&#8221; This was how an emphatic Hamadoun Toure, secretary-general of the International Telecommunications Union (ITU), promised to navigate world governments through the two weeks of talks, the first in history to debate the prospect of international Internet regulation. Delivering his opening remarks to more than 150 national delegations, Toure, an electrical engineer from Mali educated at the Moscow Technical University of Communications and Informatics in Russia, sought to assuage the palpable anxiety among many countries that the future control and governance of the Internet were at risk.</p>
<p>In the weeks before the conference, Toure had provided repeated assurances to the U.S. and other governments that the treaty under discussion in Dubai would hew carefully to established principles for the management of international telecommunications that have been in force for decades. The last time member states had debated the scope of the ITU charter was in the decidedly pre-Internet era of 1988. As the body convened 24 years later to modernize its rules and mission, the ITU&#8217;s culture of consensus, Toure seemed to be arguing, was the ultimate safeguard that a United Nations agency primarily dedicated to managing a largely anachronistic international telephony regime and radio spectrum would not aspire to exercise regulatory oversight of the Internet.</p>
<p>Toure&#8217;s promise of consensus came on the first day of the conference, during a plenary meeting held on Dec. 3, when all of the ITU member states patiently listened to a series of opening statements delivered to an attentive assembly convened in Dubai&#8217;s mammoth international trade center. It was a hopeful moment with thousands in attendance, many wearing the traditional national dress of the Arab world, Africa and South Asia. Within 10 days, however, the conference was on the brink of collapse.</p>
<p>The tipping point came after iterated sessions of grinding, tedious parliamentary skirmishing and maneuvering. With two days before a treaty was to be signed, and scant progress on the most consequential issues, the conference delegations were called into late-night negotiations. It was then, at about 1:10 am on Dec. 13, when Toure jolted a sleepy proceeding awake with a surprise intervention.</p>
<p>The hushed quiet of the plenary meeting that evening was the same it had been each day before. Hundreds of delegates sat at long rows of tables in a massive space the size of an airplane hangar. Strapped into headsets that transmitted the now deeply familiar voices of the U.N. translators interpreting Arabic, Chinese, French, Spanish, Japanese and English, the delegates listened in respectful silence, with the only noise emanating from the floor being the tap-tap-tap of countless laptop computers transmitting live color commentary and email exchanges about the historic debate. Walking through the cavernous meeting room for the plenary sessions, studiously quiet except for an occasional muffled cough, one would have assumed that a gigantic standardized test was being administered, a global LSAT or GRE exam.</p>
<p>Into this environment of perfunctory calm swooped Toure, prompting conference delegates to consider a resolution calling on the ITU and its member states to play an enlarged role in &#8220;international Internet governance and for ensuring the stability, security and continuity of the existing Internet and its future development and of the future Internet.&#8221; It was precisely the sort of provision, recycled from a prior U.N. conference, that Toure had promised would not divide his gathering, the World Conference on International Telecommunications (WCIT).</p>
<p>One of the senior American negotiators, Dick Baird, a career State Department official with an elegant mastery of the ITU&#8217;s arcane procedural and political machinations, jumped in swiftly. Always the diplomat, Baird cloaked his skepticism with courtesy. &#8220;We are concerned about this resolution because it begins to be &#8212; it is a resolution about the Internet.&#8221;</p>
<p>The conference chairman, Mohamed Nasser Al-Ghanim of the host United Arab Emirates, responded incredulously. &#8220;I&#8217;m so surprised to hear this, while yesterday I thought we have reached a consensus,&#8221; he said. This premise &#8212; that a secret deal had been brokered to expand the U.N.&#8217;s authority over the Internet &#8212; would engender continued bitterness and confusion long after the conference. The notion that the U.S. and its allies in the Americas, Europe and Asia had agreed to empower the ITU to have even a whisper of authority over Internet governance was baffling. Rejecting that effort was the most consistently articulated priority of the U.S. team and its top allies. Chairman Ghanim nonetheless sought to force the issue by preempting debate. &#8220;I think I&#8217;m going to stop this discussion at this point,&#8221; he casually pronounced, &#8220;because we are not moving forward.&#8221;</p>
<p>Yet the discussion continued. Toure took the microphone. &#8220;It&#8217;s not a crime to talk about the Internet inside the ITU,&#8221; he insisted. Toure launched a rambling defense of his resolution, his emotion rising and his argument splintering into incoherent fragments. &#8220;There is nothing wrong with this. Please, we are trying to build bridges so we work together so the consumers benefit better. Please, everybody, help us to continue to build that bridge.&#8221; Toure added: &#8220;The future is broadband, and the future is Internet, and the future is Internet, and the future is broadband Internet.&#8221; He was now pleading with the delegates for their support. &#8220;Trust me,&#8221; he implored.</p>
<p>In the next few minutes, the conference imploded. A series of countries endorsed Toure&#8217;s resolution, with South Africa, Cuba, Nigeria and Saudi Arabia taking the floor. The chairman called for a show of hands to measure support for the resolution. &#8220;I want the feel of the room,&#8221; he offered innocuously. According to the ITU&#8217;s procedures, the chairman had the prerogative to seek a simple show of hands &#8212; little placards, really &#8212; to assess the weight of opinion on a given issue or provision. And he also could interpret that expression opinion, known as the &#8220;temperature of the room,&#8221; according to his own discretion, which is precisely what Chairman Al-Ghanim did. &#8220;You can lower your plate now,&#8221; he stated coolly from the dais. &#8220;The majority is with having the resolution in.&#8221;</p>
<p>Mass confusion erupted from the plenary floor. The delegate from Spain spoke on behalf of the dozens of member states deeply confounded by the procedural sleight of hand that apparently had just legitimized a role for the U.N. in the governance of the Internet. &#8220;I would like you to clarify whether the temperature you were taking was simply a taking of the temperature,&#8221; he asked, borrowing from the arcane conference nomenclature.</p>
<p>&#8220;No it was not a vote, and I was clear about it,&#8221; Al-Ghanim replied. Although it was not voted on, the resolution was nonetheless adopted at the discretion of the chairman, its language to be incorporated into the final treaty text. &#8220;We have reached the end of the time,&#8221; said the chairman. &#8220;Thank you, and have a good night.&#8221; According to the official transcript of the proceeding the plenary session then concluded, at precisely 1:31 a.m.</p>
<p>The conference&#8217;s fate was now sealed. It would likely end in angry discord because the red line of Internet governance had been crossed. Before the formal debate was concluded other Internet provisions were crammed into the treaty, dangerous precedents recently enumerated in a news analysis for the Financial Times. At the insistence of Russia, China and several Arab states, the new treaty includes a provision mandating coordination on cybersecurity, defined euphemistically in the treaty as &#8220;network&#8221; security. The treaty calls on the U.N. International Telecommunications Union (ITU) and its member states to accede to vague commitments that experts fear may evolve into an effort by state governments to engage in the global surveillance of Internet traffic.</p>
<p>Encouraged by African states and supported by countries such as Iran and Saudi Arabia, the treaty creates a requirement that member states seek to defend against Internet spam, which is imprecisely defined as &#8220;unsolicited bulk electronic communications.&#8221; Critics of the provision noted that spam is easily managed by commercially prevalent software programs, and warned that the expansive definition it applied could be appropriated as a tool to censor content on the Internet ranging from political speech to Web advertising. Yet that vague definition was more than satisfactory for some of the member states. &#8220;Spam is spam!&#8221; the delegate from Iran complained. &#8220;I don&#8217;t need a definition!&#8221;</p>
<p>Finally, the scope of the treaty and the entities to which it could be applied was never clarified. Under the treaty&#8217;s fuzzy language, its jurisdiction could potentially be applied to Internet service providers, private networks, and even government networks.</p>
<p>When the full panoply of provisions relating to Internet governance was clearly defined, the U.S. signaled its refusal to sign the treaty. The U.K. and Canada quickly followed. Eventually, all of Europe refused to sign the treaty, along with Japan, Costa Rica, Australia, New Zealand, and Latvia. In total, 55 countries rejected the agreement.</p>
<p>Silicon Valley should take note of the international debate in Dubai. The collapse of the global dialogue about the future of the Internet foreshadows a conflict that will almost certainly accelerate in coming years. The Internet&#8217;s prevailing governance paradigm revolving around the private sector, technical cooperation, innovation and multi-stakeholder management will be increasingly challenged by world governments. Why? The Internet is simply too consequential a strategic and geopolitical resource for many global powers to <em>not</em> seek to control it. In that sense, Dubai was only the first battle in an emerging global contest to shape the future of the Internet.</p>
<p><em>The author is a managing director at Silver Lake, and served as a member of the American delegation to the World Conference on International Telecommunications in Dubai. He writes in his individual capacity, and the views expressed here are his own.</em></p>
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		<title>"Hi, I'm From the Government and I'm Here to Help"</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130107/hi-im-from-the-government-and-im-here-to-help/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130107/hi-im-from-the-government-and-im-here-to-help/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 Jan 2013 23:20:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Lewyn</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Voices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FTC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IEEE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ISP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Lewyn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Net Neautrality]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[patents]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paxfire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vint Cerf]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wildcarding]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=283056</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What one arm of government giveth, another arm can quickly taketh away.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><div id="attachment_283213" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 390px"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/paper1.jpg" alt="paper1" width="380" height="285" class="size-full wp-image-283213" /><p class="wp-caption-text"><span class="media-attribution">Image copyright <a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/gallery-500119p1.html">Nataly Bannykh</a></span></p></div>A few weeks ago the tech company I helped start filed for bankruptcy protection. It’s certainly not what we expected in our holiday stockings when we set out on this wild entrepreneurial journey in 2003. In the beginning, the sky was the limit. We were pioneering a new industry and, as the first mover, revenue quickly took off, reaching more than $3 million a month, or nearly $100 million over the company’s lifetime. We were creating high-paying new jobs &#8212; almost 50 at peak &#8212; and having a blast.</p>
<p>But my experience &#8212; both on the way up and the way down &#8212; is a good window into one of the central questions facing President Obama as he prepares to take the oath of office for a second time on Jan. 21: What role, if any, should the government play in nurturing entrepreneurs and, by extension, jobs, in America? In our case, we really had no expectation that government would play any role whatsoever. Unfortunately, though, we were wrong. Dead wrong. It did play a role and, for the most part, it was not a good one. It doesn’t have to be that way; there are fixes that can be made.</p>
<p>The original idea was straightforward: Replace &#8220;error&#8221; pages, which are generated when you type a mistake in your web browser &#8212; &#8220;amazon,cm,&#8221; for instance &#8212; with search results that contained paid advertising. We figured, if there were enough such mistypes &#8212; indeed, it happens millions of times a day &#8212; the money could be substantial. The first challenge was to raise enough capital to turn our concept into reality. At the time, investors &#8212; still burned by the dot-com implosion of 2001 &#8212; were understandably wary of tech startups and a business based on errors sounded, well, decidedly unsexy.</p>
<p>Enter the government, specifically the state of Virginia, where we are based. At the time the state had just set up a $3 million &#8220;gap&#8221; fund, so named to fill the void, or gap in time, between the initial launch of a company and the time it&#8217;s ready to take on venture capital money. We applied and received $100,0000 &#8212; the first company to get such money &#8212; and the terms were good. That&#8217;s because the primary goal of such programs &#8212; which many states now run &#8212; is jobs and taxes, not just return on investment (although that&#8217;s nice, too). It was just what we needed to get going, and we did just that. We named the company Paxfire.</p>
<p>But what one arm of government giveth, another arm can quickly taketh away. We learned that government officials are often wary of, if not downright hostile to, the kind of disruption that is an all-but-inevitable consequence of innovation. We developed a unique approach for quickly capturing a boatload of errors, namely placing computer servers deep inside the heart of the Internet, specifically in front of domain name servers run by registries such as Verisign and Neustar.</p>
<p>It worked great, with one teeny tiny problem: A lot of techies &#8212; including the father of the Internet (and Google evangelist), Vint Cerf &#8212; didn&#8217;t like that we were mucking around with the guts of the Internet. More specifically, they thought what we were doing was a violation of “net neutrality,” an ever-evolving patchwork of rules that says that infrastructure providers shouldn’t mess around with traffic they handle, but, rather, simply pass it from Point A to Point B. By contrast, we argued the redirection of errors was specifically allowed by technical standards bodies like the IEEE under a provision known as “wildcarding.” Who was right? It’s a toss up. The mere debate, however, prompted tremulous bureaucrats at the U.S. Commerce Dept. &#8212; congenitally allergic to even the slightest whiff of controversy &#8212; to tell the registries (who are regulated by Commerce) to knock it off. We thought the complaints were nonsense. After all, how bad could it be to get rid of errors and replace them with relevant search results? But it didn&#8217;t matter. The government had, effectively, dealt us a death blow.</p>
<p>Then, largely out of necessity, we pivoted. Rather than play in an area of the Internet where Washington bureaucrats held sway, we moved the playing field to a different &#8212; and less regulated &#8212; part of the Internet. Here the players were Internet Services Providers, or ISPs, which, generally speaking, had fewer government masters to worry about. With thin margins and the promise of highly profitable revenue from errors (we didn&#8217;t charge anything for our technology, but, rather, took a revenue share) there was little resistance from the ISP community. The business took off: We quickly signed up nearly 50 ISPs, often splitting the revenue 50-50. We expanded internationally, to Europe, South America and Asia. The money started rolling in. Investment bankers, such as Allen &#038; Co., came calling, offering to shop us to potential buyers.</p>
<p>We had struck gold, and wasted no time capitalizing on the opportunity. But if we were the proverbial hare, the government, specifically the U.S. Patent Office, was more like the tortoise in this Aesop fable. Early on, we had asked them to reward our innovation with a patent, effectively establishing a moat around our business that we hoped would deter competitors. It didn&#8217;t, in part because the patent office &#8212; blithely disconnected from the realities of a fast-moving marketplace &#8212; took nearly seven years to approve our application (a pending patent is about as useful as a car without wheels). Just to get a patent examiner to even look at our application took years (a problem that could easily be fixed by adding more examiners). In the meantime, at least four other companies jumped into the fray. In short order, the competition drove down our lucrative 50-50 deals to more like 80-20. Layoffs ensued. The competition was stomping all over our intellectual property with impunity and, with less money coming in the door, it was tougher to enforce our rights.</p>
<p>We knew we needed to come up with a second act, and fast. But, at this point, the consequences of government inaction came into sharp focus. Despite repeated efforts at reform, almost always stymied by political gridlock in Washington, federal rules make it a snap, and potentially quite lucrative, for people to file civil lawsuits, no matter how ludicrous. We became a target. Our legal bills began exceeding our R&#038;D budget. One suit against us, a proposed class action, came from an elderly woman in New York City who claimed, in all seriousness, that we had wrongly taken away her errors. I kid you not. The unspoken message could have been plucked out of the HBO series &#8220;The Sopranos&#8221;: Pay up, or else. Almost overnight, a $10 million buyout offer, which we were prepared to accept, vanished, many of our customers bolted, though some have stayed. Though too late for us, the antidote to the problem of specious civil suits can be found in Britain (which has relatively few of them), namely, forcing the loser to pay all costs.</p>
<p>Nobody, least of all me, is suggesting that government should provide anything more than a level playing field in which anybody with a bright idea and a little pluck can succeed. The settlement between Google and the Federal Trade Commission on Jan. 3 was an attempt to do just that in search. Even with a level playing field, companies, ours included, succeed and fail for a variety of complex and unexpected reasons, but there are ways to shift the odds: More state and federal seed money would grease the skids, and clearing away structural impediments &#8212; like adding more patent examiners and following the British model to curb the number of specious civil suits &#8212; would probably help, too. A little luck never hurts but, ultimately, as any good entrepreneur should know, it&#8217;s up to the individual to succeed or fail on his own, regardless of the obstacles.</p>
<p><em>Mark Lewyn, a founder of Paxfire and several other technology companies, has written on media and technology topics for many years for a wide range of publications, including Businessweek, Newsweek, the Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal and USA Today. He can be reached at mark.lewyn@gmail.com.</em></p>
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		<title>Mr. Schmidt Goes to North Korea</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130102/mr-schmidt-goes-to-north-korea/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130102/mr-schmidt-goes-to-north-korea/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jan 2013 20:21:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike Isaac</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Richardson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eric Schmidt]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[North Korea]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=281833</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Google Chairman Eric Schmidt will travel to North Korea in the near future, according to a report from the Associated Press, marking the first time a Google executive will visit one of the most tightly restricted countries in the world in terms of Internet access. Google declined my request for comment, but the AP reports that Schmidt's visit is part of a private humanitarian mission led by former New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Google Chairman Eric Schmidt will travel to North Korea in the near future, according to a <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gqBQsr0HoEAxofMe8hK-3v5GkDcA">report from the Associated Press</a>, marking the first time a Google executive will visit one of the most tightly restricted countries in the world in terms of Internet access. Google declined my request for comment, but the AP reports that Schmidt&#8217;s visit is part of a private humanitarian mission led by former New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson. </p>
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		<title>2013: Talk Gets Cheaper, TV Gets Smarter</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130101/2013-talk-gets-cheaper-tv-gets-smarter/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130101/2013-talk-gets-cheaper-tv-gets-smarter/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jan 2013 02:32:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Walter S. Mossberg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[TV]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Walt looks ahead at the technology trends of 2013.]]></description>
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<p>Personal technology never stops changing. Some new products and services are game changers, like Apple&#8217;s iPhone and iPad. Others are clever twists or refinements, like each successive version of Google&#8217;s Android platform, which gets better and better. Others are bold gambles, like Microsoft&#8217;s new Windows 8, which hopes to combine both a tablet experience and a traditional PC environment in one operating system. But there&#8217;s always something new, from large companies and small ones. </p>
<p>So here are a few things consumers will likely see in technology in 2013. Many of these began to take shape in the past year, but will be stronger trends in the new year.</p>
<h5 class="subhed">Tablets vs. PCs</h5>
<p>While the iPad line, including the new Mini, continues to dominate the tablet market, Android-based tablets are finally gaining traction. But the bigger story  is that tablets will continue to erode the role of laptop PCs. </p>
<p>Consumers are using tablets for more and more tasks formerly performed by laptops. Traditional computers aren&#8217;t going away—they still do certain tasks, like heavy content creation, better than tablets. But consumers seem, at the very least, to be replacing their laptops less often and spending discretionary funds on tablets, which are gradually replacing another device: the dedicated e-reader. Many analysts had expected Windows 8 to halt or reverse this trend, and it may yet do so. But early indications aren&#8217;t encouraging for that outcome.</p>
<h5 class="subhed">Integrating Hardware and Software</h5>
<p>Meanwhile, another big trend is emerging: Apple&#8217;s model of one company making the entire device—hardware, operating system, core apps and an online ecosystem—is beginning to take hold elsewhere. In October, Microsoft unveiled its first computer, the Surface tablet. The company will follow it up as soon as this month with a second, more powerful version. I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised if Microsoft also made its own smartphone this year.</p>
<p>Google is also moving in Apple&#8217;s direction. It now sells three devices—a smartphone and two tablets—under its Nexus brand. These products are built by partner companies, but designed by Google. Now that Google owns its own hardware company, Motorola Mobility, I expect it to get deeper into the integrated model. Motorola, freshly stocked with former Google executives, is reported to be building advanced new hardware devices tightly integrated with Android. </p>
<div class="media-CENTER" style="width:553px;"><img src="http://s.wsj.net/public/resources/images/PJ-BL709_PTECH_G_20130101153100.jpg" width="553" height="369" alt="image" /><br />
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What to Watch: In addition to its Apple TV interface, left, Apple is expected to try to further simplify television viewing.</div>
<h5 class="subhed">Rethinking Television</h5>
<p>Samsung and others already make TVs that can connect to the Internet, and stream Internet video and run tablet-type apps, without any special set-top box. But I find them clumsy, and their &#8220;smart TV&#8221; functions haven&#8217;t taken off with consumers yet. This may be the year they do.</p>
<p>The biggest expectation is that Apple, which has been working hard on the problem, will finally unveil its long-rumored TV this year, with the goal of greatly simplifying the TV and smoothly melding Internet and cable content. Many, including me, thought it might appear in 2012, but the company reportedly ran into difficulties in negotiating with media companies for content rights. Meanwhile, Apple&#8217;s tiny, $99 Apple TV box, while still a relatively small seller, is gaining popularity, partly because the company has built into its laptops, tablets and phones a feature called AirPlay which can use an Apple TV box to wirelessly stream audio and video to a TV.</p>
<div class="media-LEFT" style="width:262px;"><img src="http://s.wsj.net/public/resources/images/PJ-BL710A_PTECH_DV_20130101145521.jpg" width="262" height="394" alt="image" /><br />
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Republic Wireless offers the Defy XT with a $19 unlimited plan.</div>
<h5 class="subhed">Cheaper Smartphones and Plans</h5>
<p>Smartphones are everywhere in the developed world, but most are still expensive—around $200 after a carrier subsidy that requires a two-year contract. And the monthly service fees can easily approach or exceed $100, especially if you use a lot of data, which is the very essence of  a smartphone&#8217;s purpose.</p>
<p>There are already some smartphones, usually older, less capable or less popular models, available for $99 or $49 or even free with a contract. But I expect to see better smartphones at lower prices in 2013, especially those running the dominant Android platform, and the handsome, but low-selling Windows Phone platform from Microsoft. </p>
<p>In addition, some companies are beginning to offer really cheap monthly plans. One example: Republic Wireless, which offers unlimited voice, text and data for $19 a month on a small, Android phone, the Motorola Defy XT, using older software that has been modified to make voice calls where possible over Wi-Fi instead of a costlier carrier network.</p>
<div class="media-LEFT" style="width:262px;"><img src="http://s.wsj.net/public/resources/images/PJ-BL711_PTECHj_DV_20130101145642.jpg" width="262" height="262" alt="image" /><br />
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The $700 Astell &#038; Kern AK100 plays much higher fidelity digital music.</div>
<h5 class="subhed">Costlier, Better Music Players</h5>
<p>Audiophiles and recording artists have never much liked the compressed music files that now fill every iPod and smartphone. They complain that the richness of the original recording is lost because the song files are optimized for minimum space and download time, and because they are often made from CDs, not from the master studio tapes.</p>
<p>So in 2013, there will be a push to sell a new kind of portable music player that can handle high quality music. The Korean electronics company, iRiver, has introduced the Astell &#038; Kern AK100, a $700 player that can play much higher fidelity digital music. The legendary rocker Neil Young is backing a second venture, Pono, which is doing something similar. In addition to the price, there&#8217;s another downside: The files can be 10 to 20 times as large as standard digital songs, so many fewer tracks fit in a given amount of memory.</p>
<div class="media-CENTER" style="width:553px;"><img src="http://s.wsj.net/public/resources/images/PJ-BL712_PTECHj_G_20130101145825.jpg" width="553" height="369" alt="image" /><br />
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The Basis, part of the crop of new wristband monitors, measures resting heart rate.</div>
<h5 class="subhed">Fitness and Health Monitors</h5>
<p>In 2012, sensor-packed wristbands like the Nike+ FuelBand and the Jawbone Up were introduced to measure how many steps people take in a day, how well they sleep, and other indicators of health and fitness. I expect this trend to continue in 2013, in different forms and with more sophisticated sensors. One new product, the Basis, is a watch with sensors on the back that measures resting heart rate. All of these devices tie into mobile apps or Web-based dashboards to track progress and offer advice.</p>
<h5 class="subhed">Internet-Controlled Everything</h5>
<p>Another trend I expect to see in 2013 is an expansion of apps and devices that let people wirelessly control many everyday objects, from light bulbs to appliances, using low-powered networks and smartphones or tablets. And we&#8217;ll likely see more smart devices with such intelligence built in, similar to the Nest intelligent thermostat, which is Wi-Fi powered.</p>
<p>These are just a few of the trends likely to mark the consumer tech landscape in 2013. Others will also be prominent, most notably the continued reliance on the cloud, or remote servers, to store content and work collaboratively.  One thing is sure: There are certain to be developments that will surprise us all, and can&#8217;t be forecast here.</p>
<p class="tagline"><strong>Email Walt at mossberg@wsj.com.</strong></p>
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