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	<title>AllThingsD &#187; J. P. Morgan</title>
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		<title>Code Advisors Takes a $25 Million Investment From J.P. Morgan</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120502/exclusive-code-advisors-takes-a-25-million-investment-from-j-p-morgan/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120502/exclusive-code-advisors-takes-a-25-million-investment-from-j-p-morgan/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 May 2012 04:01:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advisory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[board]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[boutique]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Code Advisors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entrepreneur]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Facebook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[firm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fred Davis]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IPO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jes Staley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JPMorgan Chase]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kurt Simon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LinkedIn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LivingSocial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Marquez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[minority]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Morgan Stanley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pandora]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[partnership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[press release]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Quincy Smith]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[relationship]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Silicon Valley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Skype]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Spotify]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[West Coast]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=202845</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Big and little investment banks join hands to take on Silicon Valley better.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120502/exclusive-code-advisors-takes-a-25-million-investment-from-j-p-morgan/code/" rel="attachment wp-att-202902"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2012/05/CODE-380x152.jpg" alt="" title="CODE" width="380" height="152" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-202902" /></a></p>
<p>Code Advisors is getting a $25 million investment from financial services giant JPMorgan Chase for a minority stake in the Silicon Valley-based boutique investment bank and advisory firm.</p>
<p>The influx of cash will allow Code to grow quicker, said Quincy Smith, one of the firm&#8217;s founders, which also include Michael Marquez and Fred Davis.</p>
<p>The non-exclusive deal, the two firms said, is the natural extension of a longer-term relationship that has been developing for a while.</p>
<p>&#8220;To the extent that the money means we are getting even closer together, that&#8217;s great,&#8221; said Smith in an interview earlier today. &#8220;This solidifies a partnership that has existed for some time.&#8221;</p>
<p>Plus, it presumably also gives each what the other cannot offer clients. Usually a big bank might try to kill or buy a firm like Code, so this move is unique.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are growing our business and getting access to next-generation entrepreneurs that Code knows well,&#8221; added Kurt Simon, co-head of Technology, Media and Telecom Banking at J.P. Morgan. &#8220;And it&#8217;s a sign of continued investment in our important West Coast businesses.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120502/exclusive-code-advisors-takes-a-25-million-investment-from-j-p-morgan/print-2/" rel="attachment wp-att-202912"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2012/05/Logo2008_JPM_A_Black.jpg" alt="" title="Print" width="330" height="84" class="alignleft size-full wp-image-202912" /></a></p>
<p>Indeed, J.P. Morgan has been competing with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley for a higher profile in Silicon Valley. It recently was selected with the pair as one of the lead bankers in the upcoming Facebook IPO. It has also worked recently with LinkedIn, Skype and Pandora.</p>
<p>Code has taken on smaller deals with a range of hot start-ups and entrepreneurs, which was one of the attractions for J.P. Morgan. That includes representing Spotify and LivingSocial, and making investments in Path and Flipboard.</p>
<p>&#8220;For J.P. Morgan, it&#8217;s like making an limited partner investment in another venture firm,&#8221; said Smith. &#8220;And for us, we can offer a lot more services to our clients as they grow.&#8221;</p>
<p>As part of the deal, Jes Staley, CEO of J.P. Morgan&#8217;s investment bank and a member of the firm&#8217;s operating committee, will become a non-voting observer on Code&#8217;s board.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s the full press release on the deal:</p>
<blockquote class="memo"><p><strong>CODE ADVISORS ANNOUNCES A $25 MILLION INVESTMENT FROM JPMORGAN CHASE</p>
<p>San Francisco May 3, 2012 &#8212; </strong> Code Advisors announced today that JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) has agreed to make a $25 million minority investment. Jes Staley, CEO of J.P. Morgan&#8217;s Investment Bank and a member of the firm&#8217;s Operating Committee, will also act as a non-voting observer at Code&#8217;s Advisory and Investor Board meetings.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are thrilled that JPMorgan Chase has decided to invest in Code Advisors,&#8221; said co-founder Quincy Smith. &#8220;This transaction demonstrates how together we might energetically adjust to serve the new needs of entrepreneurs and companies. The chance to work more closely with Jes and his team gives us awesome global and experienced perspective.&#8221;</p>
<p>J.P. Morgan&#8217;s investment and relationship will allow Code to accelerate its growth opportunities and allow each team to offer complementary services to their respective and shared clients.</p>
<p>&#8220;Identifying and supporting great ideas early in their development is particularly important in the technology space,&#8221; said Staley. &#8220;Code continues to uniquely identify next generation companies, and together we are excited to help those entrepreneurs grow and expand their businesses.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
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		<title>RIM: I'd Like to Use a Lifeline and Call J.P. Morgan</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120420/rim-id-like-to-use-a-lifeline-and-call-jp-morgan/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120420/rim-id-like-to-use-a-lifeline-and-call-jp-morgan/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Apr 2012 15:15:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ancient Mariner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blackberry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JPMorgan Chase & Co.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Research In Motion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RIM]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=198391</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[RIM is reportedly close to choosing J.P. Morgan as a financial advisor.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2012/04/lifeline.jpg" alt="" title="lifeline" width="380" height="260" class="alignright size-full wp-image-198395" />Research In Motion is reportedy close to choosing <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120416/rim-remake-company-shops-for-financial-advisers/">the financial adviser that will help it make the strategic decisions</a> necessary to vault it out of the Ancient Mariner-esque doldrums in which it is mired. Bloomberg reports that <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-19/rim-said-to-be-near-choosing-jpmorgan-as-strategy-adviser.html">JPMorgan Chase &#038; Co. is the front-runner</a> for the company&#8217;s business, and could get the official tap very soon.</p>
<p>Interestingly, RIM insiders continue to insist that the company needs outside counsel to help it ink <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120417/anyone-want-to-license-rims-blackberry-platform-anyone-bueller/">the licensing deal it hopes will shore up its business</a>. But that seems an unusual explanation. Typically, bankers are brought in to help negotiate large strategic investments. Or sales. That said, I&#8217;m told the company is not planning to put itself on the block anytime soon.</p>
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		<title>Israeli Publisher Tools Vendor Conduit Valued at $1.3 Billion</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120411/israeli-publisher-tools-vendor-conduit-valued-at-1-3-billion/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120411/israeli-publisher-tools-vendor-conduit-valued-at-1-3-billion/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Apr 2012 18:20:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Liz Gannes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Conduit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Digita lGrowth Fund]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[engagement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[toolbar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yozma]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=195373</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Conduit, the Israeli provider of toolbars and other "engagement" products for publishers, got a big number attached to its name today: A valuation of $1.3 billion. As had been rumored (but for double the price), early Conduit investor Yozma Venture Capital sold off its stake. J.P. Morgan's Digital Growth Fund bought 7 percent of the company for $100 million, with Conduit's founders maintaining their controlling stake.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.conduit.com/">Conduit</a>, the Israeli provider of toolbars and other &#8220;engagement&#8221; products for publishers, got a big number attached to its name today: A valuation of $1.3 billion. As had been rumored (<a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120209/yozma-reportedly-in-talks-to-sell-conduit-stake/">but for double the price</a>), early Conduit investor Yozma Venture Capital sold off its stake. J.P. Morgan&#8217;s Digital Growth Fund bought 7 percent of the company for $100 million, with Conduit&#8217;s founders maintaining their controlling stake.</p>
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		<title>Intel's Romley Chip Is Good News for Storage Players EMC and NetApp</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120403/intels-romley-chip-is-good-news-for-storage-players-emc-and-netapp/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120403/intels-romley-chip-is-good-news-for-storage-players-emc-and-netapp/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Apr 2012 14:38:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Arik Hesseldahl</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Enterprise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[analysts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Whitmore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CIO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cloud computing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[data center]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Deutsche Bank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Diane Bryant]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EMC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hewlett-Packard]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IBM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Intel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NetApp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Romley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[semiconductors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[servers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[storage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[survey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[surveys]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[virtualization]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Xeon]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=192569</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[But maybe not so much for Intel itself, Deutsche Bank analyst Chris Whitmore argues.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120403/intels-romley-chip-is-good-news-for-storage-players-emc-and-netapp/harddrive-feature/" rel="attachment wp-att-192570"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2012/04/harddrive-feature-380x285.png" alt="" title="harddrive-feature" width="380" height="285" class="alignright size-Medium380 wp-image-192570" /></a>Remember how, last week, after a survey of 100 CIOs, the investment bank J.P. Morgan concluded that while <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120329/finally-things-are-looking-up-for-it-spending-survey-finds/">IT spending is trending up</a>, Intel&#8217;s new Xeon server chip known best by its code name Romley isn&#8217;t likely to be much of a catalyst for that spending? Remember also how on the very day that I wrote about that survey, I dined with Diane Bryant, head of Intel&#8217;s data center business unit, and asked for <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120330/intels-diane-bryant-says-cios-will-love-its-romley-chip/">her reaction to that finding</a>?</p>
<p>Well, today we heard from another bank, and its opinions about Intel&#8217;s Romley chip and what it means for data center spending couldn&#8217;t be more different. Chris Whitmore, an analyst with Deutsche Bank Market Research, published a note to clients today, arguing that Romley will indeed spur a new round of spending in corporate data centers, and that it will have an equally strong secondary effect on the fortunes of enterprise storage companies, specifically EMC and NetApp.</p>
<p>One of the things that Romley will encourage, Whitmore writes, is a growth in the density of virtual machines running in each server. (Remember that, more often than not, a physical server is virtualized or subdivided into many virtual servers, allowing each machine to act like several machines.) More virtual machines allows you to consolidate your physical machines and add more in the same footprint if you want, which in turn means more computing work getting done overall. Whitmore estimates that, in general, data centers will boost their workloads by 20 to 25 percent by the end of next year.</p>
<p>Roughly 26 percent of Romley chip purchases will be used in these virtualized environments, Whitmore estimates. And that tends to spur demand for storage to support the virtual machines. In fact, the growth of terabytes worth of storage products shipped mirrors closely the unit growth of servers. (See the graphic, below, which I screen-grabbed from the report; click to see it bigger.) In short, it&#8217;s good news for NetApp and EMC. Whitmore says both are taking share from other vendors, including IBM, Hewlett-Packard and Dell, with sales growing at north of 20 percent a year &#8212; a growth rate that&#8217;s higher than that of the overall market, which grew 14 percent last year. He rates shares of both EMC and NetApp a &#8220;buy,&#8221; with price targets of $35 and $60, respectively. </p>
<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120403/intels-romley-chip-is-good-news-for-storage-players-emc-and-netapp/db-storage-graph/" rel="attachment wp-att-192577"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2012/04/db-storage-graph-380x275.png" alt="" title="db-storage-graph" width="380" height="275" class="alignright size-Medium380 wp-image-192577" /></a></p>
<p>Great news for EMC and NetApp, but what does it mean for Intel? Whitmore says to expect a mixed bag. Companies wanting to boost their use of virtual machines will be buyers. Companies that aren&#8217;t into virtualization so much, maybe not. &#8220;We believe our estimate of x86 servers shipped into virtual environments growing from 21 percent in 2011 to 26 percent in 2013 could prove conservative,&#8221; Whitmore writes. &#8220;As a result, although we expect Romley to have a relatively muted impact on overall server unit demand, we do expect it to drive another leg of virtual machine growth.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Intel's Diane Bryant Says CIOs Will Love Its Romley Chip</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120330/intels-diane-bryant-says-cios-will-love-its-romley-chip/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120330/intels-diane-bryant-says-cios-will-love-its-romley-chip/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Mar 2012 17:41:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Arik Hesseldahl</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Enterprise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CIOs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cloud computing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[data centers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Diane Bryant]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[infrastructure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Intel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IT spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nehalem]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Romley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[semiconductors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[servers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Xeon]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=191627</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[At least most of them will. Some may stand pat with slightly older chips that are still pulling their weight.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120330/intels-diane-bryant-says-cios-will-love-its-romley-chip/diane_bryant-intel/" rel="attachment wp-att-191649"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2012/03/diane_bryant-intel-380x260.jpg" alt="" title="diane_bryant-intel" width="380" height="260" class="alignright size-Medium380 wp-image-191649" /></a>Yesterday, I had lunch with Diane Bryant. Until January, she had been CIO at chipmaker Intel. Then, on Jan. 20, as part of a <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120120/intel-shakes-up-management-names-brian-krzanich-coo/">management shake-up</a>, she was named vice president and general manager of Intel&#8217;s Data Center and Connected Systems Group.</p>
<p>She was in New York yesterday for a lunch with a few journalists, primarily to talk about Intel&#8217;s latest generation of Xeon processors for servers. Before they were officially released, these chips were known primarily by their code name, Romley, and often still are when analysts and others talk about them, because the code names are easier to remember than the product names, which, for the record in this case, is Xeon Processor E5-2600.</p>
<p>The Romley generation of chips builds on the foundation of Intel&#8217;s previous generation of server chips, known by its code name, Nehalem. The main benefit, which Bryant and other Intel execs and customers explain in lengthy detail in <a href="http://intelstudios.edgesuite.net/120306_db/index.htm">this video from the product&#8217;s launch in San Francisco</a> three weeks ago, is that the chip is 80 percent faster at certain computing jobs, according to independent tests. At the same time, it is 50 percent more energy efficient.</p>
<p>Executives who operate data centers generally worry about two things: The raw number-crunching power they can squeeze out of the chips in their densely packed racks of servers, and the cost of the power required to keep them running and also keep them cool. So the introduction of a chip that can get more work done in a shorter amount of time while using half as much power is, at first glance, a pretty compelling moment to consider an upgrade.</p>
<p>And yet, that doesn&#8217;t seem to be the case. In a <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120329/finally-things-are-looking-up-for-it-spending-survey-finds/">survey of 100 CIOs</a> of large enterprises conducted by the investment bank J.P. Morgan, 91 said that they didn&#8217;t see Intel&#8217;s Romley chips as much of a catalyst for upgrades in their data center. Most seemed happy with the Nehalem-generation chips they had just purchased in servers during the past two to four years.</p>
<p>I was eager to share this result with Bryant to see what she said, and was too rude to wait until the salad course had arrived. For a moment, she was surprised &#8212; 91 percent is a pretty large percentage, after all. But the surprise didn&#8217;t last more than a few seconds.</p>
<p>Off the top of her head, Bryant rattled off the following, which I&#8217;m paraphrasing. On a recent visit with a customer who happens to be one of the 100 largest companies in the world &#8212; she wasn&#8217;t at liberty to identify it &#8212; Intel found an interesting result.</p>
<p>A check of the company&#8217;s data centers found that 36 percent &#8212; a little more than a third &#8212; of its servers were using chips that were more than four years old, meaning that they dated back to the dim mists of the days before Nehalem.</p>
<p>Those servers, it turned out, were responsible for consuming 65 percent &#8212; nearly two thirds &#8212; of its power supply. And how much computing muscle was the company getting for all this power? Precious little: The servers in question provided only 4 percent of the computing power of its infrastructure. To sum up: A third of the data center footprint was eating up two-thirds of the power budget, but providing less than one-twentieth of the overall computing capacity. Those older chips just aren&#8217;t pulling their weight.</p>
<p>&#8220;This is is extremely typical of what we&#8217;re seeing,&#8221; Bryant told me. Even so, she conceded that a customer running a larger percentage of more-recent chips &#8212; Nehalem and its newer variants &#8212; in its infrastructure might not see the sufficient bang for the buck of an upgrade that anyone running a lot of servers with older chips probably would.</p>
<p>I have to admit it was a pretty good answer.</p>
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		<title>Finally! Things Are Looking Up for IT Spending, Survey Finds.</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120329/finally-things-are-looking-up-for-it-spending-survey-finds/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120329/finally-things-are-looking-up-for-it-spending-survey-finds/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2012 16:45:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Arik Hesseldahl</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Enterprise]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=191138</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A survey of 100 CIOs at large companies finds that their sentiment is moving in a distinctly optimistic direction, which is good news overall. But not for everyone.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120329/finally-things-are-looking-up-for-it-spending-survey-finds/lookingup-feature/" rel="attachment wp-att-191139"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2012/03/lookingup-feature-380x285.png" alt="" title="lookingup-feature" width="380" height="285" class="alignright size-Featured wp-image-191139" /></a>I&#8217;ve become a little tired of writing stories about gloom and doom and ongoing difficulty in the world of IT spending. Spring is here and I&#8217;m ready for a little optimism. Thank goodness, I&#8217;ve found it.</p>
<p>It comes in the form of a survey of 100 CIOs by the investment bank J.P. Morgan. The firm finds that, on average, CIOs say they&#8217;re going to boost their IT spending by 2.7 percent this year, up from 2.4 percent in 2011. That may not seem like a big change, but here&#8217;s why its important: It&#8217;s the first time in a few years that the same survey has detected a directional change in sentiment. CIOs are at long last saying they intend to boost their spending on IT, rather than trimming it back and back and back as they have for the last several years. &#8220;In our prior CIO survey in September 2011, the directional movement indicated a reduction in planned spending growth, as at that time CIOs were starting to pare back on spending during more uncertain macroeconomic conditions,&#8221; the firm says in its report, which was shared exclusively with <strong>AllThingsD</strong>.</p>
<p>The optimism is a bit more pronounced when you see it expressed in the graphic below, which I grabbed from raw survey results. More than two-thirds of the CIOs surveyed said they planned to boost their overall IT spend this year, most of them by a modest 1-5 percent, but some by more than 10 percent. Last year, the figure was 58 percent, but it usually swings up by only 3 or 4 percentage points, analyst Mark Moskowitz told me.</p>
<p>&#8220;The overall tone we got in our conversations with these CIOs was more optimistic than it has been in a while,&#8221; Moskowitz said. &#8220;They have the green light to start projects that are going to take several quarters to get done. Most aren&#8217;t willing to do that when they&#8217;re worried their overall business is going to roll over.&#8221; A lot of that has to do with more confidence in the overall macroeconomic environment.</p>
<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120329/finally-things-are-looking-up-for-it-spending-survey-finds/jpm-screen-grab/" rel="attachment wp-att-191157"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2012/03/jpm-screen-grab-640x323.png" alt="" title="jpm-screen-grab" width="640" height="323" class="alignright size-large wp-image-191157" /></a></p>
<p>And where will that growth be? And, perhaps more importantly, <em>where won&#8217;t it be</em>? Software, storage and security are looking like big spending priorities among the CIOs surveyed. Business intelligence tools and getting mobile devices integrated are also high on the list &#8212; there&#8217;s that ongoing trend toward &#8220;bring your own device&#8221; (BYOD), rearing its persistent head once again.</p>
<p>Employee-purchased iPhones, iPads and Android devices are supplanting company-assigned BlackBerrys. &#8220;BYOD is real,&#8221; Moskowitz says. &#8220;And you have to assume that Apple is going to be the one that benefits the most from it.&#8221;</p>
<p>Other winners include EMC and NetApp, as they play strongly in networked storage. Server virtualization &#8212; making one physical server act like dozens of servers, using software to subdivide its resources &#8212; also has a lot of room to grow, the survey finds. That&#8217;s good news for VMware.</p>
<p>Losers? There are few. Intel&#8217;s new Romley chip isn&#8217;t going to be as big a deal in spurring spending on new servers: In fact,91 percent of CIOs surveyed said they don&#8217;t expect Intel&#8217;s new chip to drive new spending in the data center. Intel&#8217;s last big upgrade, Nehalem, did change the game, Moskowitz says. The trouble is, most of the companies using Nehalem-generation chips in their servers are happy with them, and are unlikely to bother with the expense of an upgrade, for now.</p>
<p>Nor is Windows 8 going to cause a new round of PC buying, as both Hewlett-Packard and Dell are hoping. &#8220;A new version of Windows hasn&#8217;t caused a PC upgrade cycle since 1995,&#8221; Moskowitz told me. Asked directly if Windows 8 was expected to drive a major PC upgrade cycle, 78 percent of the CIOs in the survey said no. In fact, at least 30 of the CIOs in the survey said they were still working on deploying Windows 7. Ouch. Perhaps it&#8217;s too much to ask for things to be looking up for <em>everyone</em> all at once. </p>
<p><em>(Image is a movie poster for the 1935 British film starring <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cicely_Courtneidge">Cicely Courtneidge</a>, but the title song in this case is, well, <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wj0jjQWpG8M">awful</a>. What I really wanted was an image of Fred Astaire dancing with Joan Fontaine to the underappreciated George and Ira Gershwin tune of the same name, from the 1937 film <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Damsel_in_Distress_%28film%29">&#8220;A Damsel in Distress,&#8221;</a> but I could find nothing suitable. So &#8212; loving Gershwin tunes as I do &#8212; just for fun, I&#8217;ve embedded both Astaire and Billie Holiday singing the tune, below, courtesy of Grooveshark. Yes, I&#8217;ll admit, sometimes I have a little too much fun in this job.)</em></p>
<p><object width="350" height="200" classid="clsid:D27CDB6E-AE6D-11cf-96B8-444553540000" id="gsManySongs268630853126031970" name="gsManySongs268630853126031970"><param name="movie" value="http://grooveshark.com/widget.swf" /><param name="wmode" value="window" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="flashvars" value="hostname=cowbell.grooveshark.com&#038;songIDs=26863085,31260319&#038;bbg=756d6d&#038;bth=756d6d&#038;pfg=756d6d&#038;lfg=756d6d&#038;bt=FFFFFF&#038;pbg=FFFFFF&#038;pfgh=FFFFFF&#038;si=FFFFFF&#038;lbg=FFFFFF&#038;lfgh=FFFFFF&#038;sb=FFFFFF&#038;bfg=666666&#038;pbgh=666666&#038;lbgh=666666&#038;sbh=666666&#038;p=0" /><object type="application/x-shockwave-flash" data="http://grooveshark.com/widget.swf" width="350" height="200"><param name="wmode" value="window" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="flashvars" value="hostname=cowbell.grooveshark.com&#038;songIDs=26863085,31260319&#038;bbg=756d6d&#038;bth=756d6d&#038;pfg=756d6d&#038;lfg=756d6d&#038;bt=FFFFFF&#038;pbg=FFFFFF&#038;pfgh=FFFFFF&#038;si=FFFFFF&#038;lbg=FFFFFF&#038;lfgh=FFFFFF&#038;sb=FFFFFF&#038;bfg=666666&#038;pbgh=666666&#038;lbgh=666666&#038;sbh=666666&#038;p=0" /></object></object></p>
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		<title>Interview: Broadcom CEO Touts Gains in Low-End Android Market</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120327/interview-broadcom-ceo-touts-gains-in-low-end-android-market/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120327/interview-broadcom-ceo-touts-gains-in-low-end-android-market/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Mar 2012 19:52:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ina Fried</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Android]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brian Blair]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Broadcom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scott McGregor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[smartphones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wedge Partners]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=190156</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Speaking with AllThingsD, Broadcom CEO Scott McGregor says the company has quietly made processors for Android a meaningful part of its business.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When big-name phone makers announce a new high-end phone, they often tout the fact that it is powered by a chip from Qualcomm, Nvidia or Texas Instruments.</p>
<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/files/2012/03/broadcom-McGregor.jpg"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2012/03/broadcom-McGregor.jpg" alt="" title="broadcom McGregor" width="275" height="206" class="alignright size-full wp-image-190168" /></a></p>
<p>Those aren&#8217;t the only players, though. Samsung and Huawei make some of their own chips, while Intel is also going after this market. Quietly making inroads as well is Broadcom.</p>
<p>The Orange County, Calif., chipmaker has long made Bluetooth, Wi-Fi and other communications chips for phones. In recent months, though, it has been able to capture a sizeable chunk of the main processor market, thanks to its chip, which combines an application processor with another key component, the communications baseband.</p>
<p>&#8220;Smartphones have become a <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110217/broadcom-ceo-on-low-cost-android-phones-free-tablets-and-and-the-promise-of-russian-satellites/">significant business for Broadcom</a>,&#8221; Broadcom CEO Scott McGregor told <strong>AllThingsD</strong> in an interview last week.</p>
<p>McGregor declined to get specific, but a recent J.P. Morgan report estimated that Broadcom&#8217;s baseband and application processor is now in roughly a third of Samsung&#8217;s smartphones, which it says represents three to four times what the company was doing as recently as the second half of this year.</p>
<p>Among the models using Broadcom&#8217;s chips are the Galaxy Y, Galaxy Mini and Galaxy Ace, J.P. Morgan said, projecting sales of about 12 million to 13 million phones per quarter, which it says could translate into $500 million in annual revenue.</p>
<p>Broadcom, it notes, also has about 70 percent share with most of the major smartphone and tablet makers for the chips needed to do Wi-Fi, Bluetooth and GPS. The new iPad, for example, uses Broadcom&#8217;s chips, according to <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120316/apples-new-ipad-costs-at-least-316-to-build-ihs-isuppli-teardown-shows/">an IHS iSuppli teardown of the tablet</a>.</p>
<p>&#8220;Over the next few years, Broadcom should emerge as one of the top players in the mobile/cellular semiconductor market,&#8221; J.P. Morgan&#8217;s analysts said in their report.</p>
<p>Wedge Partners analyst Brian Blair said he left last month&#8217;s Mobile World Congress in Barcelona even more positive than he had been on Broadcom&#8217;s prospects.</p>
<p>&#8220;We have said that we believe that the biggest trend of the decade is the low-end smartphone,&#8221; Blair said in a research note. &#8220;One of the most surprising elements of this trend is how good the entry level models have become, and one of the reasons for this is Broadcom.&#8221;</p>
<p>Blair said that even phones that sell for $150 unsubsidized are now capable of doing what a high-end smartphone did just two years ago. The phones powered typically have a 1GHz processor and baseband and other communications and power management chips, all of which can add up to devices with $20 to $22 worth of Broadcom silicon, assuming it has all of its chips inside.</p>
<p>Historically, the chipmaker has mainly gone after the midrange of the market, but McGregor promised that the company will move into higher-end devices this year, as well as a bit down-market.</p>
<p>&#8220;We’ll cover the whole waterfront,&#8221; McGregor said. He acknowledged that the company had some catching up to do in application processors and high-end modems, such as those used in 4G phones.</p>
<p>Android has grown considerably, he said, though he still sees some room for other operating systems, particularly now the Microsoft has managed to get several phone makers to pay a royalty on every Android device they sell.</p>
<p>&#8220;One of the challenges of Android is that Microsoft is now hitting up all of the handset makers and claiming a corkage free on that dinner,&#8221; McGregor said. &#8220;I think that’s an interesting challenge for the handset industry.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Zynga Shares Slide After J.P. Morgan Downgrade</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120305/zynga-shares-slide-after-j-p-morgan-downgrade/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120305/zynga-shares-slide-after-j-p-morgan-downgrade/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Mar 2012 16:10:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lauren Goode</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Commerce]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Facebook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[games]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[platform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shares]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zynga]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=180630</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Shares of Zynga were down nearly 6 percent Monday morning following a J.P. Morgan downgrade from "overweight" to "neutral." The note comes after a 51 percent run-up since last January, which analyst Doug Anmuth attributed to investors' focus on social gaming, the possibility of the legalization of online gambling and optimism over Zynga's recently-announced game platform, which pushed Zynga shares up 10 percent last Thursday. But Anmuth says he believes “game economics will not change for Zynga, and it will likely take some time to drive traffic to the new site.”]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Shares of Zynga were down nearly 6 percent Monday morning following a J.P. Morgan downgrade from &#8220;overweight&#8221; to &#8220;neutral.&#8221; The note comes after a 51 percent run-up since last January, which analyst Doug Anmuth <a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2012/03/05/zynga-jp-morgan-says-hold-less-potential-after-51-run-up/">attributed to</a> investors&#8217; focus on social gaming, the possibility of the legalization of online gambling and optimism over Zynga&#8217;s <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120301/zyngas-project-z-revealed-social-games-on-its-own-web-site-through-facebook-of-course/">recently-announced game platform</a>, which pushed Zynga shares up 10 percent last Thursday. But Anmuth says he believes “game economics will not change for Zynga, and it will likely take some time to drive traffic to the new site.”</p>
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		<title>Jawbone Gets $40 Million From Deutsche Telekom, Kleiner Perkins</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20111221/jawbone-gets-40-million-from-deutsche-telekom-kleiner-perkins/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20111221/jawbone-gets-40-million-from-deutsche-telekom-kleiner-perkins/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Dec 2011 21:25:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lauren Goode</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Commerce]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[audio]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Deutsche Telekom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fitness]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hosain Rahman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jawbone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mary Meeker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[speakers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[up]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yuri Milner]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=155994</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Jawbone, maker of nifty audio devices and the recently recalled UP fitness wristband, has raised $40 million from Deutsche Telekom, Kleiner Perkins Caufield &#038; Byers, Yuri Milner and investors advised by J.P. Morgan Asset Management. The new capital brings Jawbone’s funding to date close to $210 million. CEO Hosain Rahman has said that the company plans to introduce more products in the healthcare and audio markets, according to GigaOM.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jawbone, maker of nifty audio devices and the <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20111208/up-means-having-to-say-youre-sorry/">recently maligned UP fitness wristband</a>, has raised $40 million from Deutsche Telekom, Kleiner Perkins Caufield &#038; Byers, Yuri Milner and investors advised by J.P. Morgan Asset Management. The new capital brings Jawbone’s funding to date close to $210 million. CEO Hosain Rahman has <a href="http://gigaom.com/2011/12/21/another-40-million-for-jawbone-from-kleiner-perkins-deustche-telecom/">said</a> that the company plans to introduce more products in the healthcare and audio markets, according to GigaOM.</p>
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		<title>Fire Will Kindle Interest in iPad</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20111205/fire-will-kindle-interest-in-ipad/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20111205/fire-will-kindle-interest-in-ipad/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Dec 2011 13:25:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amazon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kindle Fire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Moskowitz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Oppenheimer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Cook]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=150065</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Could the Fire expand the iPad’s addressable market?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/12/Bezos_iPad.png" alt="" title="Bezos_iPad" width="340" height="203" class="alignright size-full wp-image-150066" />Amazon&#8217;s new Kindle Fire tablet isn&#8217;t a threat to the iPad. It&#8217;s a benefactor.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s the new theory being put forth by J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Moskowitz, who believes the Fire will end up being a catalyst for additional iPad sales.</p>
<p>Moskowitz met recently with Apple CEO Tim Cook and CFO Peter Oppenheimer, and came away with the impression that Apple isn&#8217;t much bothered by Amazon&#8217;s new lower-priced entrant in the tablet market.</p>
<p>&#8220;If anything, we think that Apple views the Kindle Fire as a device that stands to bring incremental consumers to the tablet market, and here, these consumers could gravitate to more feature-rich experiences,&#8221; Moskowitz said in a note to clients. &#8220;We think that Apple is not seeing much pressure from lower-priced tablets.&#8221;</p>
<p>In other words, the Fire may well expand the iPad&#8217;s addressable market by drawing more price-conscious customers into it &#8212; customers who might someday upgrade to the more capable and versatile iPad.</p>
<p>&#8220;Given all the investor interest in the Kindle Fire, competitive risk in tablets was one focal point of our meeting,&#8221; Moskowitz said. &#8220;[But there&rsquo;s] not much concern in tablet town.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Kindle Fire, the Netbook of the Tablet Market?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20111202/kindle-fire-the-netbook-of-the-tablet-market/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20111202/kindle-fire-the-netbook-of-the-tablet-market/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Dec 2011 12:30:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[D2]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amazon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kindle Fire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Moskowitz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tablets]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=149667</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Harsh analogy.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/11/Hendrix_fire.png" alt="" title="Hendrix_fire" width="340" height="438" class="alignright size-full wp-image-142278" />When J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Moskowitz lowered, slightly, his iPad sales estimate for Apple&#8217;s December quarter this week, he cited better-than-expected momentum for Amazon&#8217;s Kindle Fire as one reason &#8212; but with an important caveat: He sees no structural change to the iPad demand environment.</p>
<p>In other words, the iPad juggernaut rolls on. And while the Fire may aspire to be the No. 2 player in the tablet market, it&#8217;s got a ways to go before it gets there.</p>
<p>And a battle to fight, one that may require a better weapon than the Fire &#8212; according to Moskowitz, anyway.</p>
<p>&#8220;We think that for any vendor to wrestle momentum longer-term from Apple, a fully loaded offering is a must, and here, the current revision of the Kindle Fire falls short,&#8221; Moskowitz says. &#8220;We think that, over time, consumers may come away disappointed with the Kindle Fire’s lack of functionality and smaller screen size. In our view, the Kindle Fire is the current netbook of the media tablet market.&#8221;</p>
<p><em>The netbook of the tablet market.</em> </p>
<p>That&#8217;s a harsh analogy. Netbook sales, of course, have <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2011/nov/14/pc-sales-slump-notebooks-fade">been in decline for a while now,</a> with many claiming the iPad is partially responsible for their deterioration. And netbooks themselves have often been disparaged as <a href="http://techcrunch.com/2010/09/17/netbook-sales-are-crashing-quick-blame-the-ipad-not-the-lousy-netbooks/">cheaply made and underpowered</a>, often by Apple, which has long taken a dim view of the devices.</p>
<p>As CEO Tim Cook <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20100223/apple-coo-tim-cook-on-apple-tv-ipad-versus-netbook-and-apple-as-a-platform-company/">said</a> in 2010: “I’ve been very clear about my view of netbooks. I think they are an experience most people will not want to continue to have. People were interested in their price, but when they got them home, they said, ‘Why did I buy this?’&#8221;</p>
<p>Which is not to say that consumers purchasing the Kindle Fire are asking themselves that question. The device has gotten some decent reviews, <a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/digits/2011/11/28/amazon-reports-strong-kindle-fire-sales-for-black-friday/">is selling well</a> and, according to some analysts, <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20111122/amazon-could-sell-12-million-fires-in-2012/">will continue to do so throughout 2012</a>. But it&#8217;s conceivable that the question might arise among those whose expectations were too high. </p>
<p>Even in a generally positive review, <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20111115/kindle-fire-a-grown-up-e-reader-withtablet-spark/">Walt Mossberg said of the device</a>: </p>
<p>&#8220;To be clear, the Kindle Fire is much less capable and versatile than the entry-level $499 iPad 2. It has a fraction of the apps, a smaller screen, much weaker battery life, a slower Web browser, half the internal storage and no cameras or microphone. It also has a rigid and somewhat frustrating user interface far less fluid than Apple’s.&#8221;</p>
<p>Maybe &#8220;netbook&#8221; is a good analogy.</p>
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		<title>Has Netflix Put Its Checkbook Away?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20111117/has-netflix-put-its-checkbook-away/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20111117/has-netflix-put-its-checkbook-away/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Nov 2011 13:23:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CBS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CW Network]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Fincher]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Doug Anmuth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DreamWorks Animation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HBO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[House of Cards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin Spacey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Netflix]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reed Hastings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Time Warner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turner]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=145122</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If you're waiting to hear about more big Netflix content deals in the near future, you may be disappointed.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/06/reed-hastings-netflix.jpeg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-86826" title="reed hastings netflix" src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/06/reed-hastings-netflix-380x253.jpg" alt="" width="380" height="253" /></a>If you&#8217;re waiting to hear about more big Netflix content deals in the near future, you may be disappointed.</p>
<p>J.P. Morgan analyst Doug Anmuth reports back from a recent huddle with Netflix managers, and says he thinks they&#8217;re done writing checks for a while: &#8220;We believe the vast majority of Netflix’s domestic streaming spend for 2012 &#8230; has already been announced or committed. Accordingly, we would not expect Netflix to spend aggressively or announce major new deals until management has better visibility on U.S. subscriber growth.&#8221;</p>
<p>Anmuth gives himself some wiggle room in his prediction &#8212; it&#8217;s possible that CEO Reed Hastings still has some whopper deals he&#8217;s signed but hasn&#8217;t announced yet &#8212; but the winking and nudging seems to indicate that the checkbook has gone away.</p>
<p>Part of the Netflix pitch in recent months has been that it&#8217;s going to be spending a lot of money beefing up its streaming video catalog, in part because it won&#8217;t be spending it on a Starz deal that gave it access to Disney and Sony movies. And Hastings says that, increasingly, <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20111025/reed-hastings-lays-out-the-netflix-comeback-plan/">Netflix is going to be paying a premium for stuff you won&#8217;t be able to find anywhere else</a> &#8212; it&#8217;s one of the reasons his content bill is jumping to $3.3 billion, <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20101027/those-bits-arent-free-netflix-could-be-racking-up-a-2-billion-content-tab/">up from $1.2 billion a year ago</a>.</p>
<p>Recent Netflix deals include <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110926/dreamworks-announces-netflix-deal/">a new pact to stream DreamWorks Animation movies</a>, which used to run on Time Warner&#8217;s HBO, and <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20111013/netflix-gets-gossip-girl-and-a-time-warner-deal/">a deal to grab reruns from the CW</a>, the broadcast joint venture between Turner and CBS. And the company has made one high-profile commitment to original content, via <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110318/netflix-bets-big-on-house-of-cards-but-swears-its-not-a-radical-departure-qa-with-content-boss-ted-sarandos/">&#8220;House of Cards,&#8221; the Kevin Spacey/David Fincher miniseries</a> that will run next year.</p>
<p>Are those kind of deals enough to keep Netflix subscribers happy, or to lure new ones back to the service? We may get some hints from Hastings and company in the next few weeks, as they hit the investor-conference circuit. Netflix CFO David Wells will appear at a Credit Suisse gathering on Nov. 29, and Hastings will speak at a UBS conference on Dec. 6.</p>
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		<title>iPhone 4S: It's the Software, Stupid.</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20111005/iphone-4s-its-the-software-stupid/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20111005/iphone-4s-its-the-software-stupid/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Oct 2011 10:20:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Shope]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gene Munster]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Goldman Sachs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iCloud]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iOS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPhone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPhone 4S]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPhone 5]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Moskowitz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Maynard Um]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Piper Jaffray]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Siri]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Cook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UBS]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=128699</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Though it might seem more incremental upgrade than new iPhone, Wall Street analysts say Apple's iPhone 4S isn't nearly the disappointment that some claim.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/10/Phil_schiller_iphone4s_features-640x427.png" alt="" title="Phil_schiller_iphone4s_features" width="640" height="427" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-128701" />Though it might seem more incremental upgrade than new iPhone, Wall Street analysts say Apple&#8217;s iPhone 4S isn&#8217;t nearly the disappointment that some claim. And while its unveiling without the simultaneous debut of the iPhone 5 caused investors some knee-jerk dismay, consensus seems to be that it will likely prove another big step forward for the device and the platform on which it runs.</p>
<p>&#8220;The company did not announce a redesigned iPhone, which many were calling an iPhone 5 and which may disappoint some investors,&#8221; Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster wrote in a research note to clients. &#8220;That said, we believe the iPhone 4S will meet or exceed unit expectations, as it represents the first iPhone launch at two major US carriers (Verizon and Sprint) along with KDDI in Japan.&#8221;</p>
<p>J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Moskowitz also bemoaned the lack of the so-called iPhone 5.</p>
<p>&#8220;We had expected the company to announce two new devices, an iPhone 5 and a 4-plus,&#8221; he said in a note to clients. &#8220;We are disappointed that Apple did not introduce a thinner form factor, but we see the feature set improvements in the iPhone 4S and the broader pricing strategy as positives.&#8221;</p>
<p>Moskowitz was particularly impressed with Siri, Apple&#8217;s new virtual assistant, and views it as an advantage that will raise the 4S above the pack of rivals that perpetually pursue it. &#8220;Once investors dig into Siri, we think its addition will overshadow the lack of full iPhone form factor change,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>Goldman Sachs analyst Bill Shope took a similar view, arguing that the big news of the day was really the software that was on display. &#8220;Siri represents a more significant platform enhancement than we anticipated,&#8221; he said in a research note. &#8220;We believe this, coupled with iCloud and iOS 5, suggests today’s event represented a critical positive inflection point for the iOS platform overall.&#8221;</p>
<p>UBS analyst Maynard Um echoed Shope and went him one better, suggesting that the addition of Siri to the iPhone is one of those watershed innovations that will again change the way we interact with our mobile devices. &#8220;While some may be disappointed by largely unchanged design, Apple used its owned ecosystem to embed the Siri personal assistant throughout its OS to change the way we interact with phones. We believe Siri, iCloud &#038; other iOS 5 features will continue to drive the next wave of demand.&#8221;</p>
<p>And in all likelihood they will. Sure, Apple did not meet some of the market&#8217;s hardware expectations. But what the market sometimes forgets is that it is software that truly differentiates Apple from its rivals.</p>
<p><blockquote class="memo" style="background:#faf5e5;font-style:normal;"><p>
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</p>
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		<title>J.P. Morgan on Kindle Fire: Meh.</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110930/j-p-morgan-on-kindle-fire-meh/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110930/j-p-morgan-on-kindle-fire-meh/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Sep 2011 10:30:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amazon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeff Bezos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kindle Fire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Moskowitz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tablets]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=126732</guid>
		<description><![CDATA["We are not impressed with Kindle Fire."]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/09/thumbs_down-380x177.png" alt="" title="thumbs_down-380x177" width="380" height="177" class="alignright size-full wp-image-126733" />Amazon won&#8217;t be getting any accolades for its new Fire tablet from J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Moskowitz. Despite widespread enthusiasm for the device on Wall Street, Moskowitz is decidedly unimpressed. In his view, the Fire isn&#8217;t going to suddenly transform Amazon into the No. 2 tablet maker behind Apple, despite its disruptive pricing.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are not impressed with Kindle Fire,&#8221; Moskowitz said in a research note to clients. &#8220;In our view, [it] is a stepping stone, at best, into the tablet market. We think that for any vendor to wrestle momentum from Apple, a fully-loaded offering is a must, and here, Kindle Fire falls short for now.&#8221;</p>
<p>In other words, raised on the iPad, the market has come to expect the feature-rich experience it offers. For a potential rival to offer it anything less is to let it down &#8212; even at that friendly $199 price point &#8212; which, by the way, is indicative of just how low-frills the Fire is.</p>
<p>Moskowitz again: &#8220;In our view, Kindle Fire’s low price point speaks to how there is much lacking in the device. At $199, we argue that the price point is not going to afford most users a tablet-experience, which is a problem if Amazon wants to become a major tablet vendor.&#8221;</p>
<p>Of course, the Fire is Amazon&#8217;s first take on the device and <a href="http://gdgt.com/discuss/the-amazon-tablet-will-look-like-a-playbook-because-it-basically-is-g8d/">allegedly a bit of a rush job</a>. There will undoubtedly be a second. Question is, will it be a souped-up 10-inch tablet intended to go head to head with the iPad, or will its design hew to that of the current Fire and be consistent with the <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110929/the-kindle-fire-isnt-an-ipad-killer-its-non-ipad-tablet-mauler">second approach to the tablet market</a> that Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos discussed earlier this week.</p>
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		<title>Relax, iPad Build Plans Are Still Well Above Expectations</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110927/relax-ipad-build-plans-are-still-well-above-expectations/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110927/relax-ipad-build-plans-are-still-well-above-expectations/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Sep 2011 14:19:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gokul Hariharan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPad build plans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPad production]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shaw Wu]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sterne Agee]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=125325</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Jumpy Apple investors ...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/09/iPad2_event.png"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/09/iPad2_event-640x426.png" alt="" title="iPad2_event" width="640" height="426" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-125330" /></a>Apple is fine and so are its iPad build plans and shipment levels. </p>
<p>That&#8217;s the gist of another rebuttal to <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110926/analysts-cast-doubt-on-supply-chain-chatter-that-rattled-apple/">Hong Kong-based J.P. Morgan analyst Gokul Hariharan&#8217;s claim that the company is cutting orders to vendors in its iPad supply chain</a>, this one from Sterne Agee&#8217;s Shaw Wu.</p>
<p>In a Tuesday morning research note, Wu added his voice to others seeking to correct the evidently mistaken impression that iPad demand is flagging, saying build plans for the device remain &#8220;well above expectations.&#8221;</p>
<p>Though reports of production cuts may have some merit, they&#8217;re no cause for concern, said Wu.</p>
<p>&#8220;From our understanding, these production cuts are due to much improved capacity and Apple actively managing its inventory in front of what is likely an iPad refresh in the March quarter,&#8221; Wu explained. &#8220;The iPad 2 started shipping in March 2011 making the product likely due for an update near its 1-year anniversary. We would also like to remind investors that production changes are common throughout a quarter and through the lifecycle of a product.&#8221;</p>
<p>In other words, the Monday morning scare that sent shares of Apple briefly downward was unmerited. Said Wu, &#8220;Our distributor checks indicate demand remains strong.&#8221; His estimates for iPad shipments in the second half of the year: 12 million in the September quarter and 15 million in the December quarter.</p>
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		<title>Analysts Cast Doubt on Supply Chain Chatter That Rattled Apple (UPDATED)</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110926/analysts-cast-doubt-on-supply-chain-chatter-that-rattled-apple/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110926/analysts-cast-doubt-on-supply-chain-chatter-that-rattled-apple/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Sep 2011 19:05:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foxconn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gokul Hariharan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hon Hai]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPad production]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Moskowitz]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=124854</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[About those alleged iPad production cuts ...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/09/nothing_to_see_here-358x285.png" alt="" title="nothing_to_see_here" width="358" height="285" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-124883" />Apple suffered an unusually brutal morning on Wall Street today after J.P. Morgan analyst Gokul Hariharan, who covers the company&#8217;s Asian manufacturing partners, <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-09-26/apple-cuts-ipad-supply-chain-orders-jpmorgan.html">suggested</a> Apple may be scaling back the production of the iPad.</p>
<p>Shares in the company, <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110919/a-new-all-time-high-for-apple-411-50/">which have been charting</a> new <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110920/a-new-all-time-high-for-apple/">all-time highs</a> recently, fell $8.21, or 2 percent, to $396.09 in early trading following the report, which claimed supply chain vendors indicate a 25 percent cut for fourth-quarter iPad sell-in orders.</p>
<p>A nasty bloodletting, and unmerited according to a few other analysts. Piper Jaffray&#8217;s Gene Munster, for example, dismissed J.P. Morgan&#8217;s report as a misinterpretation of supply chain noise.</p>
<p>&#8220;Following our recent trip to Asia we remain confident in our iPad estimates for the September and December quarters of 10.0m and 12.0m, respectively,&#8221; he said in a note to clients. &#8220;While we heard chatter of supply chain order reductions, the absolute sell-in figures for 2H CY11 likely remain well above our estimates. We also note that previous calls based on sell-in or supply chain data have, for the most part, proven to have very little correlation with Apple’s results vs. consensus.&#8221;</p>
<p>Susquehanna chip analyst Chris Caso also raised an eyebrow over J.P. Morgan&#8217;s claims, arguing that what we&#8217;re seeing is a scheduling adjustment, not a cut.</p>
<p>&#8220;We believe chatter regarding iPad production cuts are misleading &#8212; we have seen pull-ins, not cuts,&#8221; Caso said. &#8220;We have noted recent comments by competitors discussing iPad production cuts for 4Q. Our recently published AAPL supply-chain checks noted a sequential decline in 4Q iPad builds from 17 mln-19 mln units in 3Q to 11 mln-13 mln units in 4Q. However, the 4Q sequential decline was accompanied by an increase in 3Q builds, leading us to conclude that production was likely pulled-in from 4Q to 3Q. We believe AAPL has attempted to accelerate production in 3Q to ensure product availability for the holidays. In addition, we expect AAPL will need to modulate production of iPad2 to prepare for iPad 3.&#8221;</p>
<p>In other words, don&#8217;t pay too much attention to supply chain noise. J.P. Morgan&#8217;s Apple analyst Moskowitz isn&#8217;t. He hasn&#8217;t changed his iPad numbers and, according to the note that inspired today&#8217;s sell-off, &#8220;does not expect the supply chain adjustments to result in downside to his estimates.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>UPDATE:</strong> Later Monday afternoon J.P. Morgan issued a second research note on rumored iPad production cuts, this one written by Moskowitz. Its gist: Apple is fine.</p>
<p> &#8220;A recent alert on Hon Hai Precision from our J.P. Morgan Asia colleague Gokul Hariharan has the equity markets worried about Apple,&#8221; Moskowitz wrote. &#8220;Mr. Hariharan’s report focuses on how Hon Hai could be impacted by potential iPad sell-in order cuts. This alert is not the view of the US IT Hardware team. As referenced at the end of the Hon Hai alert, our estimates for Apple remain unchanged, and we do not expect any downside risk.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>No iPad 3 Until 2012</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110919/no-ipad-3-until-2012/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110919/no-ipad-3-until-2012/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Sep 2011 11:01:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPad 2]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPad 3]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Moskowitz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Jobs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=121903</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What's the rush?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/08/2011_year_of_ipad_2-640x427.png" alt="" title="2011_year_of_ipad_2" width="640" height="427" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-114969" />A dubious proposition from the outset, a rumored fall iPad update is looking increasingly unlikely. There may well be an iPad 3 in the pipeline, but we&#8217;re not going to see it until next year, says J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Moskowitz.</p>
<p>&#8220;In recent months, there has been rising investor speculation that a new iPad 3 would be launched for the holiday season,&#8221; Moskowitz wrote in a research note to clients. &#8220;Our latest research continues to indicate that there is no such device slated for production this year. &#8230; There are prototypes in the supply chain related to the next-generation device, but our conversations with industry participants suggest that a new device will not be available until sometime in calendar 2012.&#8221;</p>
<p>Which makes perfect sense, really. Remember, the iPad 2 launched in March of this year. Why bother updating a device that isn&#8217;t yet a year old &#8212; especially when it&#8217;s selling so well? According to the latest metrics from IDC, the iPad holds 68.3 percent of the tablet market. With that massive a share and no true rival to threaten it, there&#8217;s little reason to expedite the next version of the device.</p>
<p>Says Moskowitz, &#8220;We do not think Apple needs to be in a rush to unveil a new iPad. &#8230; The other tablet entrants have stumbled so far, and that trend-line could persist deep into 2012. Motorola Mobility and Research In Motion have been recent disappointments, and we expect more stumbles from others.&#8221;</p>
<p>So in all likelihood, 2011 will remain &#8220;the year of the iPad 2,&#8221; just as company Chairman Steve Jobs said it would earlier this year. And given Apple’s profound lead in the tablet market, chances are good 2012 will probably be the year of the iPad 3.</p>
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		<title>Bring in the Suits: Yahoo Hiring Strategic Advisers to Plot Next Moves</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110906/bring-in-the-suits-yahoo-hiring-strategic-advisers-to-plot-next-moves/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110906/bring-in-the-suits-yahoo-hiring-strategic-advisers-to-plot-next-moves/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Sep 2011 03:54:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[acquisition]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Akamai]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=117521</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Maybe someone can finally answer the perennial AllThingsD stumper: What is Yahoo?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110906/bring-in-the-suits-yahoo-hiring-strategic-advisers-to-plot-next-moves/lolcat-i-can-see-no-way/" rel="attachment wp-att-117619"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/09/LOLcat-I-can-see-no-way-380x285.png" alt="" title="LOLcat - I can see no way" width="380" height="285" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-117619" /></a></p>
<p>Yahoo is preparing to hire investment bankers and other strategic advisory firms, said sources close to the Silicon Valley Internet giant, as it seeks to figure out what to do next at the company.</p>
<p>The board of Yahoo, which ousted its CEO Carol Bartz today in a unanimous decision, is exploring a range of possible strategies to turn around its moribund growth, including possible acquisitions, shedding units, bringing in new investment partners and even taking the company private or selling it.</p>
<p>A sale is the least likely of options, said sources close to the situation, but &#8212; given today&#8217;s news &#8212; Yahoo might attract a lot of attention from investors seeking to take advantage of the company&#8217;s powerful but troubled assets.</p>
<p>&#8220;It is all on the table,&#8221; said one source close to the company.</p>
<p>Independent board member David Kenny, president of Akamai, is heading the strategic options committee in charge of managing the process, sources said.</p>
<p>No adviser has been selected yet, but sources said Yahoo is likely to hire Allen &#038; Co., which advises many tech and media firms. It is currently advising AOL, for example.</p>
<p>Other candidates would likely be the typical panoply of choices, including big investment banks like JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, and smaller boutique firms such as Qatalyst Group and Code Advisors.</p>
<p>Sources said whoever is hired will be charged first with doing an extensive review of the company that is more intensive than has been done before.</p>
<p>&#8220;There is a potential for enormous growth that the company has not been capitalizing on and should,&#8221; said another source. &#8220;The board needs to get this company on a trajectory for growth.&#8221;</p>
<p>Indeed, it does, as it has not under the leadership of Bartz. Revenue growth has stalled and product innovation has lagged.</p>
<p>The company will also be conducting a search for a CEO, which will be difficult because any new top exec will want to be part of such a companywide review.</p>
<p>Yahoo&#8217;s choice of an executive search firm has also not been determined, but is likely to be one of the big companies that specialize in the arena.</p>
<p>One thing is certain, said multiple sources: Yahoo will continue to focus itself as what it has previously called a &#8220;premier digital media company.&#8221;</p>
<p>What that means now, of course, will be determined in the months ahead.</p>
<p><h4 class="subhed">Related posts</h4>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110906/as-yahoo-continues-to-wobble-investors-and-board-eye-options/">As Yahoo Continues to Wobble, Investors (And Board) Eye Options</a></li>
<li><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110906/exclusive-carol-bartz-out-at-yahoo-cfo-interim-ceo/">Exclusive: Carol Bartz Out at Yahoo; CFO Tim Morse Named Interim CEO</a></li>
<li><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110906/carol-bartzs-last-f-you-now-aimed-at-yahoo/">Carol Bartz’s Last F%*&#038; You — Now Aimed at Yahoo Board</a></li>
<li><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110906/yahoos-statement-on-bartz-ouster/">Yahoo’s Statement on Bartz Ouster</a></li>
<li><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110906/wall-street-likes-bartzs-firing-yahoo-stock-spikes-on-news/">Wall Street Likes Bartz’s Firing — Yahoo Stock Spikes on News</a></li>
<li><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110907/yahoos-next-ceo-maybe-snoop-dogg-ya-digg/">My Picks for Yahoo’s Next CEO — Maybe Snoop Dogg, Ya Digg?</a></li>
</ul>
</p>
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		<title>Yahoo's China Settlement Fails to Stem Its Stock Decline</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110731/wassup-whats-down-is-more-like-it-as-china-settlement-fails-to-stem-yahoos-stock-decline/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110731/wassup-whats-down-is-more-like-it-as-china-settlement-fails-to-stem-yahoos-stock-decline/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 31 Jul 2011 19:48:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alibaba Group]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alipay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amazon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[analyst]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AOL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asian]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[bid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[budget]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Carol Bartz]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[decline]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[federal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[income]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Japan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Microsoft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News Corp.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[overhang]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ownership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[payment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Chernin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Providence Equity Partners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shares]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Silicon Valley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SoftBank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[spreadsheet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[takeover]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[unit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[valuation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yahoo]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=104653</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You would think the settlement of a major dispute would goose the stock of a company, but Yahoo's deal with its Chinese partner Alibaba Group on Friday did exactly the opposite.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110731/wassup-whats-down-is-more-like-it-as-china-settlement-fails-to-stem-yahoos-stock-decline/imgres-32/" rel="attachment wp-att-104654"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/07/imgres13.png" alt="" title="imgres" width="256" height="192" class="alignright size-full wp-image-104654" /></a></p>
<p>You would think the settlement of a major dispute would goose the stock of a company, but <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110729/liveblogging-the-yahoo-alibaba-settlement-call-everybody-breathe/">Yahoo&#8217;s deal with its Chinese partner Alibaba Group</a> on Friday did exactly the opposite.</p>
<p>Despite the clearing of an obvious overhang to its shares, the stock of the Silicon Valley Internet giant dropped almost three percent Friday to close at $13.10. While the ongoing federal budget wrangling was partly to blame, it was only a very small part with an overall market decline of under one percent.</p>
<p>A tepid reaction to the deal &#8212; in which Yahoo, Alibaba and Japan&#8217;s SoftBank came to terms over the spinoff of Alibaba&#8217;s Alipay payments unit after much wrangling over the move &#8212; came quickly from Wall Street analysts.</p>
<p>A report titled &#8220;Yahoo Inc: Alipay Agreement: Better than Nothing, But Not That Great,&#8221; by J.P. Morgan&#8217;s Doug Anmuth, was typical. Pointing to no clarity on an IPO of the Chinese assets of Alibaba and that &#8220;prior to the divestiture, Alibaba Group owned 100% of Alipay and all of its income, which is now reduced to 37.5% ownership of Alipay and 49.9% share of the pre-tax income,&#8221; he noted that Wall Street &#8220;has recently assigned no value to Yahoo!&#8217;s share of the asset.&#8221;</p>
<p>Well, less than zero, if the stock decline is taken into account, which means Yahoo&#8217;s market cap is now just over $17 billion. </p>
<p>According to sources close to the situation, especially since <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110719/not-so-chart-tastic-picture-of-yahoos-2q-display-disaster/">Yahoo&#8217;s Asian assets make up more than $9 billion of that valuation</a>, private equity investors and others are pulling out their spreadsheets once again about a possible takeover or privatizing of Yahoo.</p>
<p>Several months ago, for example, former News Corp. exec <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20101117/enter-the-chernin-former-news-corp-president-and-coo-in-yahoo-what-if-mix/">Peter Chernin had been contemplating a friendly bid</a> with partners such as Providence Equity Partners and others. While there have been rumors recently that he has reengaged in that effort, that is unclear.</p>
<p>Sources also note that Yahoo&#8217;s top execs, especially CEO Carol Bartz, and also members of its board, are perplexed that the settlement in China &#8212; a positive development &#8212; had the opposite effect on the stock.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s part of a <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110719/not-so-chart-tastic-picture-of-yahoos-2q-display-disaster/">continuing decline</a>. Yahoo shares are down almost 26 percent in the past three months. Most Web stocks &#8212; such as Google, Amazon and Microsoft &#8212; are strongly up in that period. The only other obvious laggard is AOL, which is down almost 16 percent in the past three months.</p>
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		<title>Twitter Poised to Close a Two-Stage $800M Funding, With Half Used to Cash Out Investors and Employees</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110720/twitter-poised-to-close-a-two-stage-800m-funding-with-half-used-to-cash-out-investors-and-employees/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110720/twitter-poised-to-close-a-two-stage-800m-funding-with-half-used-to-cash-out-investors-and-employees/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Jul 2011 19:42:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[angel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Benchmark Capital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business model]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[conference]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Dick Costolo]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=100662</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In a move reminiscent of one done by Facebook in 2009, Twitter is zeroing in on a complex $800 million funding deal, which includes a tasty $400 million payout for its current investors and also employees.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110720/twitter-poised-to-close-a-two-stage-800m-funding-with-half-used-to-cash-out-investors-and-employees/payday/" rel="attachment wp-att-100735"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-100735" title="payday" src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/07/payday-285x285.png" alt="" width="285" height="285" /></a></p>
<p>In a <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20090713/facebookers-start-cashing-out-with-new-100-million-investment/">move reminiscent of one done by Facebook</a> in 2009, Twitter is close to completing an $800 million funding deal that will include a second part in which around $400 million of the total will be used to cash out current investors and also employees.</p>
<p>According to several sources close to the situation, the complex transaction could be completed within two weeks.</p>
<p>Along with basic funding needs, this is largely being done this way to give those with stakes in the San Francisco microblogging company an ability to monetize their privately held common stock and also to do this selling in a more organized &#8212; and legal &#8212; manner.</p>
<p>That is especially important since the company is not likely to go public for at least a year or more. And, while it could also be sold to a bigger company such as Google, that is also not in Twitter&#8217;s immediate future.</p>
<p>Before this secondary follow-on, the first part of the deal will be a $400 million investment for preferred shares by new and also existing shareholders, as was <a href="http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/07/07/investment-values-twitter-at-8-billion/">reported by the New York Times</a> last week.</p>
<p>That round will indeed value Twitter at $8 billion, as the Times reported, which is a higher number than in other earlier reports.</p>
<p>This is more than double what Twitter was valued at when it got <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20101215/exclusive-twitter-raises-200-million-at-3-7-billion-valuation-adds-mccue-and-rosenblatt-to-board/">$200 million in venture funding from Kleiner Perkins in December</a> at a $3.7 billion valuation.</p>
<p>Once the latest investments are complete, Twitter&#8217;s total cash haul since it was founded five years ago will be $760 million.</p>
<p>Key new moneybags are expected to be Russian investing heavyweight DST Global, which has invested in Facebook, Zynga and Groupon; as well as the digital growth fund of J.P. Morgan and perhaps others.</p>
<p>Current investors include Benchmark Capital, Union Square Ventures, Spark Capital and several other venture firms, as well as a spate of prominent angel investors.</p>
<p>The latest funding is an important one for Twitter and will up the pressure for its management, including CEO Dick Costolo, to really get its business growing in terms of revenue and profits.</p>
<p>Twitter is still struggling with coming up with a truly lucrative business model, and its execs have presented a number of them, such as promoted tweets, largely based on advertising.</p>
<p>It reportedly has $200 million in annual revenue from its efforts, which is still small in comparison to other Web 2.0 start-ups.</p>
<p>Interestingly, that was a similar situation to where Facebook found itself two years ago, when it allowed its employees to sell 20 percent of their shares.</p>
<p>That financing was part of a $100 million add-on to a $200 million investment in the social networking company by DST. At the time, the tender offer valued the company at $6.5 billion for the common stock, or $14.77 a share.</p>
<p>Of course, Facebook is worth upward of more than 10 times that now, so any Twitter sellers might want to consider their options carefully.</p>
<p>It is not clear exactly who can sell their Twitter shares, and in what amount, in the new deal. When Facebook did a similar move, for example, its top leadership could not sell any of their stakes.</p>
<p>A Twitter spokeswoman would not comment about any fund raising.</p>
<p>But, interestingly, in an <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110719/liveblogging-twitters-dick-costolo-at-fortune-brainstorm-tech/?refcat=social">onstage interview</a> at a Fortune magazine tech conference this week, Costolo criticized stock trading of the shares of popular start-ups on secondary exchanges as a &#8220;distraction.&#8221; Like other companies, he said, Twitter had instituted stricter policies to limit the ability of its employees and investors to trade on those markets.</p>
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		<title>Groupon Retracts "Wildly Profitable" Statement in Latest SEC Filing</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110714/groupon-retracts-wildly-profitable-statement-in-latest-sec-filing/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110714/groupon-retracts-wildly-profitable-statement-in-latest-sec-filing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Jul 2011 22:58:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tricia Duryee</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Commerce]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Mason]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eric Lefkofsky]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Goldman Sachs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Groupon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IPO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Morgan Stanley]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=98396</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Groupon has updated its IPO filing to add in several new pieces of information, the most glaring of which is the retraction of statements one of its founders made to the press.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/07/masonglg-300x225.png" alt="" title="masonglg" width="300" height="225" class="alignright size-Topics wp-image-98442" />Groupon has updated its IPO filing to add in several new pieces of information, the most glaring of which is the retraction of statements one of its founders made to the press.</p>
<p>The updates come after the Securities and Exchange Commission reviewed the documents and made comments, according to sources.</p>
<p>The latest document will likely be looked at under a magnifying lens, given that the daily deals company faced a series of negative reports following the news on June 2 that it intended to raise roughly $750 million <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110602/groupon-files-for-ipo/">in an initial public offering</a>.</p>
<p>The day after its IPO filing, Eric P. Lefkofsky, co-founder and executive chairman of the board, told <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-05/groupon-chairman-lefkofsky-says-coupon-company-will-be-wildly-profitable-.html">Bloomberg in an interview</a> that Groupon will be “wildly profitable,” <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110613/talk-about-discounting-groupon-gets-a-pre-ipo-smackdown/">referencing worries about losses unveiled in its financial statements and his past record of start-ups</a>.</p>
<p>In today&#8217;s filing, <a href="http://allthingsd.com/tag/groupon/">Groupon</a> backpedaled, explaining that, &#8220;You should not rely on a reported statement in a June 2011 news report by our co-founder and Executive Chairman in making your investment decision.&#8221;</p>
<p>It goes on to say that Lefkofsky did not agree to be interviewed and that Groupon representatives had requested that the statement not be published. &#8220;The reported statement does not accurately or completely reflect Mr. Lefkofsky&#8217;s views and should not be considered by prospective investors in isolation or at all.&#8221;</p>
<p>Along the same lines, <a href="http://allthingsd.com/tag/andrew-mason/">Groupon CEO Andrew Mason&#8217;s</a> letter to potential shareholders, which could be construed as overly positive, was moved from one of the first pages to page 32.</p>
<p>Besides that, the major update to the document includes a full list of the company&#8217;s underwriters. The newest addition is J.P. Morgan, which will be joining Morgan Stanley, Credit Suisse and Goldman Sachs as the lead investment banks.</p>
<p>Another 11 investment banks are also joining the process in supporting roles. The full list: Allen &amp; Co., B of A, Merrill Lynch, Barclays Capital, Citi, Deutsche Bank Securities, William Blair &amp; Co., Loop Capital Markets, RBC Capital Markets, Citadel Securities and the Williams Capital Group.</p>
<p>Also new to the filing was a breakdown of the company&#8217;s international business, which is actually larger in terms of revenues than in the U.S.</p>
<p>Revenue from its international and domestic operations was $346.8 million and $297.9 million, respectively, in the first quarter 2011. In addition, it said that its gross profit margins (which is the amount Groupon retains after paying a percentage to the merchant) are higher internationally.</p>
<p>It said that overall gross margins were 41.9 percent at the end of the first quarter, dropping from 45.2 percent in the year-ago period. The decrease was primarily due to an increase in national deals in North America, which resulted in lower margins for the purpose of acquiring new subscribers and establishing its brand.</p>
<p><em>[Photo: Asa Mathat | Clip art iStockphoto/Jules Kitano]</em></p>
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		<title>Apparently Undeterred by Apple Crackdown, Tapjoy Investors Pour In $30M More</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110705/apparently-undeterred-by-apple-crackdown-tapjoy-investors-pour-in-30m-more/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110705/apparently-undeterred-by-apple-crackdown-tapjoy-investors-pour-in-30m-more/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Jul 2011 20:40:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Liz Gannes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Android]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iOS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mihir Shah]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TapJoy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Windows Phone 7]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=94595</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Tapjoy, which has seen its app marketing business significantly affected by Apple's changed stance on in-app promotions, is still charging ahead. The company last week raised $30 million in a round led by J.P. Morgan that includes all its existing investors.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://www.tapjoy.com/">Tapjoy</a>, which has seen its app marketing business significantly affected by Apple&#8217;s changed stance on in-app promotions, is still charging ahead. The company last week raised $30 million in a round led by J.P. Morgan that includes all its existing investors. It plans to formally announce the round tomorrow morning.</p>
<p><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-94603" title="Tapjoy" src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2011/07/Tapjoy-286x285.png" alt="" width="286" height="285" />Tapjoy has already evolved at least once from its days as the Facebook app promoter Offerpal. &#8220;We have been very successful in rebuilding the firm and now it&#8217;s time to step on the gas a little bit,&#8221; CEO Mihir Shah said today.</p>
<p>Shah maintained that Tapjoy investors were not at all deterred that Apple is no longer approving apps that contain Tapjoy &#8220;offer walls&#8221; to encourage users to download other apps, even though many developers <a href="http://venturebeat.com/2011/05/31/tapjoy-says-apples-ban-on-promos-is-killing-mobile-game-profits/">have been</a> <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110628/how-facebook-could-actually-counter-apples-mobile-platform-discovery-and-retention/">significantly impacted</a> by losing the <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110317/can-a-spot-on-apples-top-app-list-be-bought-welcome-to-cross-selling/">promotional boost from this Tapjoy feature</a>.</p>
<p>Shah said today that Tapjoy is independent of any platform, noting the company recently debuted <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110616/tapjoy-puts-up-5m-to-help-app-developers-port-to-android/">a fund to help app developers port to Android</a> and launched on Windows Phone 7 last week. Other platforms could include HTML5, international and direct-to-consumer, Shah said.</p>
<p>&#8220;We&#8217;re still very strong on iOS and strong on Android,&#8221; Shah said, noting that pay-per-install is not Tapjoy&#8217;s only offering. &#8220;It&#8217;s a combination of installs, engagements and others that drive discovery and lifetime value.&#8221;</p>
<p>Tapjoy continues to be profitable, Shah said, and will now look at making acquisitions. The new funding counts as Tapjoy&#8217;s Series D, and comes after a $21 million raise that was <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110106/tapjoy-raises-21-million-to-complete-extreme-makeover/">announced in January</a>.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, it looks as though social Web services like Twitter and Facebook are setting themselves up to <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110628/how-facebook-could-actually-counter-apples-mobile-platform-discovery-and-retention/">play a much larger role in mobile app discovery</a>.</p>
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		<title>For Apple iPhone, CDMA Means Capturing Developing Markets in Asia</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110413/apples-cdmazing-iphone-opportunity/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110413/apples-cdmazing-iphone-opportunity/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Apr 2011 11:05:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asia Pacific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CDMA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CDMA iPhone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China telecom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[digital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hardware]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPhone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Japan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Moskowitz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reliance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SK Telecom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South Korea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tata Teleservices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Verizon]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=60297</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Verizon iPhone was likely just the first step in Apple’s broader push into the CDMA handset market. And while the company stands to reap the most benefit from that first partnership, there are plenty of other opportunities abroad for CDMA market success.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/04/verizon-cdma-iphone-150x150.jpg" alt="" title="verizon-cdma-iphone" width="150" height="150" class="alignright size-thumbnail wp-image-60299" />The Verizon iPhone was likely just the first step in Apple&#8217;s broader push into the CDMA handset market. And while the company stands to reap the most benefit from that first partnership, there are plenty of other opportunities abroad for CDMA market success.</p>
<p>J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Moskowitz figures Apple could rake in as much as $6 billion from CDMA iPhone sales through Verizon, and half that through carrier partners overseas, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region.</p>
<p>&#8220;We expect the iPhone&#8217;s relative growth to moderate over time, but in the next 18-24 months, we see incremental growth opportunities in both Asia- Pacific and the U.S., specifically in CDMA-based networks,&#8221; he writes. &#8220;Apple just began to penetrate this opportunity with its Verizon iPhone launch in February, and we think that the incremental CDMA market penetration can be a multi-year phenomenon for the company.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/04/CMDA1.jpg"><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/04/CMDA1-380x127.jpg" alt="" title="CMDA1" width="380" height="127" class="aligncenter size-Medium380 wp-image-60300" /></a></p>
<p>I&#8217;d say so, considering there are some 564 million CDMA subscribers worldwide, of which Verizon&#8217;s 95 million comprise just 17 percent. So where will Apple bring the CDMA iPhone next? Moskowitz thinks the company will focus its efforts where CDMA adoption rates are highest: China, India, Japan, and South Korea.  And, in all likelihood, it&#8217;s probably close to hammering at least a few of these deals out.</p>
<p>Apple is widely rumored to be negotiating a CDMA iPhone deal with China Telecom. It&#8217;s also said to be in talks with Reliance and rival CDMA carrier Tata Teleservices in India. Assuming Apple finalizes some, if not all, of them in the next year, what kind of sales and revenue can we expect from them? Moskowitz expects Apple to sell 10 million CDMA iPhones through Verizon in calendar 2012 for $6 billion in revenues.  Overseas, he expects the company to capture about 10 percent of the CDMA market in 2012, which would generate approximately $3 billion in revenue.</p>
<p> <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/04/CDMA_2.jpg"><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/04/CDMA_2-380x301.jpg" alt="" title="CDMA_2" width="380" height="301" class="aligncenter size-Medium380 wp-image-60301" /></a></p>
<p>That&#8217;s a nice boost to Apple&#8217;s bottom line and to the iPhone&#8217;s growth trajectory, which may well continue to outpace that of the broader smartphone market&#8211;if Moskowitz&#8217;s numbers pan out.</p>
<p>[<em>Image credits: <a href="http://www.ifixit.com/Teardown/iPhone-4-Verizon-Teardown/4693/1">iFixit</a> and JP Morgan</em>]</p>
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		<title>VC Fundraising Has Best Start Since 2001</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110411/vc-fundraising-has-best-start-since-2001/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110411/vc-fundraising-has-best-start-since-2001/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Apr 2011 19:30:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alistair Barr</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Voices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bessemer Venture Partners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[frontpage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fund]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fundraising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Venture Capital Association]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sequoia Capital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Thomson Reuters]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[venture capital]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://voices.allthingsd.com/?p=38767</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The U.S. venture-capital industry had its best fund-raising start since 2001 as three firms dominated, Thomson Reuters and the National Venture Capital Association said Monday.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The U.S. venture-capital industry had its best fund-raising start since 2001 as three firms dominated, Thomson Reuters and the National Venture Capital Association said Monday.</p>
<p>Thirty-six U.S. venture-capital funds raised more than $7 billion in the first quarter of 2011. That’s up 76 percent, by dollar commitments, compared with the first quarter of 2010, which saw 44 funds raise $4 billion, according to Thomson Reuters and the NVCA.</p>
<p>Bessemer Venture Partners VIII raised $1.6 billion during the quarter, while Sequoia Capital 2010 raised $1.3 billion and J.P. Morgan’s (JPM 46.97, +0.13, +0.28%) Digital Growth Fund raised $1.2 billion.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/story/vc-fund-raising-has-best-start-since-2001-2011-04-11">Read the rest of this post on the original site »</a></p>
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		<title>Who Will Take a Bath With Mr. Tablet Bubble?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20110315/who-will-take-a-bath-with-mr-tablet-bubble/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20110315/who-will-take-a-bath-with-mr-tablet-bubble/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Mar 2011 10:30:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hardware]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J. P. Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Moskowitz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oversupply]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tablet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tablet bubble]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=58711</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Other tablet vendors may want reconsider their build plans for 2011, given the iPad 2?s opening weekend stock-outs. Because the disparity between market adoption rates for the iPad and its rivals suggests the tablet bubble could burst before the end of the year. And if it does, tablet market hopefuls could find themselves with an ugly oversupply.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2008/10/bubblerevenge.jpg" alt="" title="bubblerevenge" width="200" height="223" class="alignright size-full wp-image-6454" />Other tablet vendors may want reconsider their build plans for 2011, given <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20110314/good-luck-finding-an-ipad-2/">the iPad 2&#8242;s opening weekend stock-outs</a>. Because the disparity between market adoption rates for the iPad and its rivals suggests the tablet bubble could burst before the end of the year. And if it does, tablet market hopefuls could find themselves with an ugly oversupply.</p>
<p>To wit, J.P. Morgan expects some 81 million tablets to be manufactured in 2011, with just under 48 million being shipped to retailers. That&#8217;s a massive discrepancy. Lop 20 percent off that manufacturing projection and you still get a surplus of 17.2 million units.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s nearly 36 percent oversupply. And it&#8217;s J.P. Morgan&#8217;s base-case scenario. The firm&#8217;s best-case scenario is a surplus of 7.6 million units and 13.2 percent oversupply. Worst-case scenario: A 51 percent oversupply of 21.9 million units.</p>
<p>In all three versions, the tablet bubble pops and more than a few manufacturers new to the market take a financial bath, leaving Apple&#8217;s massive lead relatively unshaken this year.</p>
<p><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/03/tabletbubble_JPMorgan.jpg"><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2011/03/tabletbubble_JPMorgan-380x147.jpg" alt="" title="tabletbubble_JPMorgan" width="380" height="147" class="aligncenter size-Medium380 wp-image-58722" /></a></p>
<p>&#8220;The iPad 2’s early success is a warning sign of a global tablet bubble,&#8221;  J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Moskowitz said. &#8220;There are many competitive tablet entrants expected, but so far, we think that both Samsung and Motorola have experienced disappointing adoption curves. We expect more of the same from other entrants. Meanwhile, Apple&#8217;s iPad 2 technical and form factor improvements, coupled with opening weekend stock-outs, point to a widening gap in market share ownership potential. We expect Apple to own at least 61 percent of units in 2011, but there is likely upside to this estimate given the early-stage momentum of iPad 2.&#8221;</p>
<p>Attrition in the tablet market was inevitable, particularly given <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20110126/2011-the-year-of-too-many-tablets/">the sheer number of devices announced earlier this year</a>. But if Moskowitz is right, this is shaping up to be a real bloodbath.</p>
<p>[<i>Image Credit: <a href="http://www.ravelinks.com/flyers/2006/northeast/mrbubblesrevenge.htm">Audiophile &#038; Synergy Industries</a></i>]</p>
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