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	<title>AllThingsD &#187; John Aboud</title>
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		<title>Striking Out on Creating an Internet Hit</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20071107/striking-out-on-creating-an-internet-hit/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20071107/striking-out-on-creating-an-internet-hit/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Nov 2007 10:23:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[So when, if ever, will there be a truly bona fide Internet hit? And please, pretty please, it just can&#8217;t be &#8220;lonelygirl15&#8243; (pictured below) and some clever music videos. The lack of lasting and profitable professional content online is once again in sharp relief with the writers&#8217; strike now taking place in Hollywood. In a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So when, if ever, will there be a truly bona fide Internet hit?</p>
<p>And please, pretty please, it just can&#8217;t be <a href="http://www.lg15.com">&#8220;lonelygirl15&#8243;</a> (pictured below) and some clever music videos.</p>
<p><img src='http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2007/11/viraldummies-x.jpg' alt='lonelygirl15' class-'centered'/></p>
<p>The lack of lasting and profitable professional content online is once again in sharp relief with the writers&#8217; strike now taking place in Hollywood.</p>
<p>In a <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119424475401682362.html">Wall Street Journal piece yesterday on the struggle between the Writers Guild of America and entertainment studios,</a> Ken Hertz, a Los Angeles lawyer who has worked on digital music issues, made an interesting observation:</p>
<blockquote><p>If anything, the strike could create an opportunity for the online world to step up and prove its value to the guild. A strike could in a strange way damage the studios by creating online competitors who come forward to offer the union writers a new model that no one would have otherwise had the time or effort to conceive of.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>If only.</p>
<p>Because, while the main point of contention between the two sides is how to split future revenues from digital distribution, I am not sure exactly when it will become more than the middling revenue (and not much income) online content generates today, which is more like splitting up a tip jar at Starbucks than raking in big bags of dough from some Hollywood blockbuster.</p>
<p><span id="more-67325"></span></p>
<p>That is likely to remain true for a while, given that consumers still are not used to paying anything much for what is considered entertainment on the Internet today (which is largely user-generated content) and that there is still a major piracy problem when it comes to premium stuff.</p>
<p>What&#8217;s considered a hit? &#8220;Lonelygirl15&#8243; on MySpace TV? Its creators, who also produce the &#8220;KateModern&#8221; online serial for Bebo, put out a press release this week noting &#8220;more than 70 million views for the original hit show, &#8216;lonelygirl15,&#8217; and the spinoff &#8216;KateModern&#8217; reaching over 15 million views in its first two months online.&#8221;</p>
<p>Not bad, and its attempts to integrate brands into the plot are well and good, if annoying, such as when &#8220;Johnson &#038; Johnson’s Neutrogena became a brand integration with a character&#8211;Dr. Spencer Gilman, a scientist from the company&#8211;was featured across two months of programming.&#8221;</p>
<p>There are scads of such projects now in production in Hollywood, all trying to recreate the kind of programming that made television a lucrative industry way back when.</p>
<p>But, so far, these are still baby steps, as are all attempts so far in getting a true payoff from online video, despite new ad paradigms from YouTube and others.</p>
<p>Also interesting are new online video sites like Hulu.com from NBC Universal and News Corp., as well as Joost from the creators of Skype.</p>
<p>But their efforts still fall well short of a system in which consumers can truly manipulate and control their content anytime, any place and from any device.</p>
<p>And even real offline hits don&#8217;t cut it yet&#8211;NBCU&#8217;s Jeff Zucker complained in his recent goofy attack on Apple&#8217;s iTunes that the company only generated $15 million in revenue for its video fare on iTunes in its last year, including for its wildly popular series &#8220;Heroes&#8221; (which we certainly forked over cash money for!).</p>
<p>So what to do? I guess exactly what the writers are doing&#8211;banking on the hope that Hollywood will eventually get it right when it comes to digital distribution and asking for their fair share when it does.</p>
<p>Writers, quite reasonably, want to be paid more as their work moves online&#8211;to the Web, cellphones and anywhere else that gadgets send content in the future.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s an especially pointed desire, given that they were essentially shafted in the last digital transformation when DVDs and videocassettes appeared.</p>
<p>As John Aboud, who is a strike captain for WGA, noted in a comment to <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20071101/man-the-geek-barricades-hollywoods-digital-strike/">my post last week on the strike</a>, that even with all the money Hollywood has made, most writers are not well paid (although those at the tippy-top are copiously compensated).</p>
<p>&#8220;Median earnings of all members of the Writers Guild is only $5,000,&#8221; he wrote. &#8220;How can that be? About 48% of members do not earn any money from writing in a given year. Of those writers who do make some money, one quarter earn less than $37,700 a year.&#8221;</p>
<p>Ouch!</p>
<p>Still, he is entirely correct when he also added: &#8220;The distribution of entertainment over the Internet is not the future, it&#8217;s NOW. If the producers succeed in gutting our right to compensation for digital reuse and delivery, that is income that&#8217;s gone forever.&#8221;</p>
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