Revenues were $11.6 billion, up 6.6 percent from the year-ago quarter, while per-share earnings on a non-GAAP basis were 48 cents, versus 42 cents a year ago, up 14 percent. That’s essentially right in line with what the consensus of Wall Street analysts had expected Cisco to report: $11.58 billion in sales, and 47 cents in per-share of earnings, with a penny-per-share beat on the EPS front.

I’m going quickly through the numbers, but here’s the announcement in full so you can look for yourselves. I’ll be dialing in to the conference call shortly and will be talking to CEO John Chambers after that.

Cisco shares are headed lower in after-hours trading. As of 4:45 pm ET, shares are down 48 cents to $18.30, or 2.5 percent.

Update: Cisco just issued its guidance on the conference call. CFO Frank Calderoni says that Cisco expects to report revenue to grow 2 percent to 5 percent year over year in the fourth quarter. It also expects to earn a gross margin in the range of 61 percent to 62 percent on a non-GAAP basis. Operating margins should be 26.5 percent to 27.5 percent, up about a point from the year-ago quarter. EPS will be 44 to 46 cents a share. The outlook is lower than the consensus of 49 cents.

On this, the shares have continued to fall after hours. Cisco shares are now, as of 5:02 pm ET, down more than 8 percent, or $1.55, to $17.23. Investors clearly don’t like what they see. Tomorrow looks like it’s going to be a rough day.

SAN JOSE, CA–(Marketwire -05/09/12)- Cisco (CSCO)

Q3 Net Sales: $11.6 billion (increase of 7% year over year)

Q3 Net Income: $2.2 billion GAAP (increase of 20% year over year); $2.6 billion non-GAAP (increase of 11% year over year)

Q3 Earnings per Share: $0.40 GAAP (increase of 21% year over year); $0.48 non-GAAP (increase of 14% year over year)

Cisco, the worldwide leader in networking that transforms how people connect, communicate and collaborate, today reported its third quarter results for the period ended April 28, 2012. Cisco reported third quarter net sales of $11.6 billion, net income on a generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) basis of $2.2 billion, or $0.40 per share, and non-GAAP net income of $2.6 billion, or $0.48 per share.

“We delivered solid results this quarter with record revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share,” said John Chambers, Cisco chairman and CEO. “We are successfully executing against our long-term strategic plan of growing profit faster than revenue, and in a cautious IT spending environment, we continue to outperform our competitors.”

Chambers continued, “In a world of clouds, video and mobile device proliferations, the role of the intelligent network has never been greater and our value proposition with our customers is the strongest it has ever been. Our vision and strategy is focused on the right market transitions, and I want to thank our shareholders, employees, customers and partners for their ongoing commitment to Cisco.”

GAAP Results

Q3 2012 Q3 2011 Vs. Q3 2011
—————- —————- —————
Net Sales $ 11.6 billion $ 10.9 billion 6.6%
Net Income $ 2.2 billion $ 1.8 billion 19.8%
Earnings per Share $ 0.40 $ 0.33 21.2%

Non-GAAP Results

Q3 2012 Q3 2011 Vs. Q3 2011
————— ————— —————
Net Income $ 2.6 billion $ 2.3 billion 10.9%
Earnings per Share $ 0.48 $ 0.42 14.3%

Net sales for the first nine months of fiscal 2012 were $34.4 billion, compared with $32.0 billion for the first nine months of fiscal 2011. Net income for the first nine months of fiscal 2012, on a GAAP basis, was $6.1 billion, or $1.13 per share, compared with $5.3 billion, or $0.94 per share, for the first nine months of fiscal 2011. Non-GAAP net income for the first nine months of fiscal 2012 was $7.5 billion, or $1.38 per share, compared with $6.8 billion, or $1.22 per share, for the first nine months of fiscal 2011.

A reconciliation between net income on a GAAP basis and non-GAAP net income is provided in the table on page 5.

Cisco will discuss third quarter results and business outlook in a conference call and webcast at 1:30 p.m. Pacific Time today. Call information and related charts are available at http://investor.cisco.com.

Other Financial Highlights

Cash flows from operations were $3.0 billion for the third quarter of fiscal 2012, compared with $3.1 billion for the second quarter of fiscal 2012, and compared with $3.0 billion for the third quarter of fiscal 2011.

Cash and cash equivalents and investments totaled $48.4 billion at the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2012, compared with $46.7 billion at the end of the second quarter of fiscal 2012, and compared with $44.6 billion at the end of fiscal 2011.

During the third quarter of fiscal 2012, Cisco repurchased 27 million shares of common stock under its stock repurchase program at an average price of $20.28 per share for an aggregate purchase price of $550 million. As of April 28, 2012, Cisco had repurchased and retired 3.6 billion shares of Cisco common stock at an average price of $20.47 per share for an aggregate purchase price of approximately $74.3 billion since the inception of the stock repurchase program. The remaining authorized amount for stock repurchases under this program is approximately $7.7 billion with no termination date. During the third quarter of fiscal 2012, Cisco also paid a cash dividend of $0.08, or $432 million.

Days sales outstanding in accounts receivable (DSO) at the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2012 were 31 days, compared with 31 days at the end of the second quarter of fiscal 2012, and compared with 37 days at the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2011.

Inventory turns on a GAAP basis were 11.5 in the third quarter of fiscal 2012, compared with 11.1 in each of the second quarter of fiscal 2012 and the third quarter of fiscal 2011. Non-GAAP inventory turns were 11.1 in the third quarter of fiscal 2012, compared with 10.8 in the second quarter of fiscal 2012, and compared with 10.3 in the third quarter of fiscal 2011.

Select Global Business Highlights

Cisco announced its intent to acquire NDS Group Ltd., a provider of video software and content security solutions. The acquisition is expected to help Cisco’s ability to transform how service providers and media companies deliver next-generation video experiences to subscribers.
Cisco completed the acquisition of privately held Lightwire, Inc. Lightwire develops advanced optical interconnect technology for high-speed networking applications. The acquisition is expected to allow Cisco to deliver cost-effective, high-speed networks with the next generation of optical connectivity.
Cisco acquired privately held ClearAccess, Inc. The acquisition enhances Cisco’s network management capabilities and enables service providers to better deliver, manage and monetize their services.
Cisco announced strategic investments in Brazil to foster innovation, transformation and socio-economic development.

Cisco Innovation

Cisco announced it has updated its cloud-ready switching portfolio to enhance network virtualization with simplicity and scale.
Cisco announced a successful demonstration and validation of its coherent 100G dense wavelength division multiplexing solution, exceeding 3,000 km in reach without the need for regeneration. This distance is 50 percent farther than any non-Raman alternative solution on the market today.
Cisco introduced the industry’s first carrier-grade, end-to-end Wi-Fi infrastructure to deliver next-generation hotspots. The technology is designed to deliver seamless mobile experiences and enables operators to support a continuing expansion of mobile traffic, devices and new services.
Cisco announced innovations across the Cisco Unified Computing System® (UCS) that quadruple memory capacity, double switching capacity and simplify management for large-scale Cisco UCS® deployments.
Cisco introduced new Linksys Smart Wi-Fi Routers with app-enabled capabilities for new home experiences. The three new routers offer wireless performance and support for Cisco Connect® Cloud.
Cisco announced it expanded its small business product portfolio with new wireless access points, routers, switches, unified communications and partner-managed service offerings.
Cisco and NetApp announced FlexPod was the first data center infrastructure solution to be validated by Microsoft for the updated Microsoft Private Cloud Fast Track 2.0 program.

Select Customer Announcements

TELUS announced it has deployed key components of the Cisco Videoscape™ platform to extend its Optik TV services to mobile devices.
Cisco announced it has been chosen by Fastway Transmissions Private Ltd. to facilitate cable digitization deployment across its customer base in India. Fastway is expected to deploy more than two million next-generation digital set-top boxes from Cisco during the next two years.
Magyar Telekom rolled out 4G LTE services with Cisco mobile internet solutions. Magyar Telekom is Hungary’s largest telecommunications company.
IPLAN chose Cisco technology for its newest data center which is expected to be launched in June 2012. IPLAN is a leader in telecommunications and cloud computing services for small and medium-sized businesses in Argentina.
Videotron launched its enhanced illico digital TV service with Cisco’s HD set-top box platform. Videotron is a leading Canadian telecommunications operator providing communications and broadband entertainment services.
Peru Credit Bank implemented the Cisco Unified Communications system to increase business flexibility and reduce costs.
Kabel Deutschland (KD) selected Cisco CRS-3 routers for its Internet Protocol Next-Generation Network core to meet demand for video and broadband services. KD is Germany’s largest cable operator.
Netelligent announced that it will collaborate with Desktone, Inc. to offer cloud-hosted virtual desktops. These cloud-based solutions will include Cisco UCS, the Desktone desktops-as-a-service (DaaS) platform and NetApp storage systems.

Editor’s Note:

Q3 FY 2012 conference call to discuss Cisco’s results along with its business outlook will be held at 1:30 p.m. Pacific Time, Wednesday, May 9, 2012. Conference call number is 888-848-6507 (United States) or 212-519-0847 (international).
Conference call replay will be available from 4:30 p.m. Pacific Time, May 9, 2012 to 4:30 p.m. Pacific Time, May 16, 2012 at 866-493-8039 (United States) or 203-369-1749 (international). The replay also will be available via webcast from May 9, 2012 through July 20, 2012 on the Cisco Investor Relations website at http://investor.cisco.com.
Additional information regarding Cisco’s financials, as well as a webcast of the conference call with visuals designed to guide participants through the call, will be available at 1:30 p.m. Pacific Time, May 9, 2012. Text of the conference call’s prepared remarks will be available within 24 hours of completion of the call. The webcast will include both the prepared remarks and the question-and-answer session. This information, along with GAAP reconciliation information, will be available on the Cisco Investor Relations website at http://investor.cisco.com.

About Cisco

Cisco (CSCO) is the worldwide leader in networking that transforms how people connect, communicate and collaborate. Information about Cisco can be found at http://www.cisco.com. For ongoing news, please go to http://newsroom.cisco.com.

New data from Juniper Research shows that Apple’s revenue from the iPhone in the first quarter topped out at about $22.7 billion — a fair bit more than the $17 billion Samsung made from its entire handset portfolio, smart and feature. So while Samsung may be winning on global smartphone shipments, Apple is winning on a more important metric: Smartphone profitability. And for a very simple reason: The company has the highest margins around.

Reporting second-quarter earnings last week, Apple said that its gross margin was 47.4 percent. Meanwhile, Samsung’s was just under 13 percent. So, while Samsung is dominating smartphone shipments, Apple is dominating the smartphone industry’s pool of profits.

The company also raised its full-year earnings projection.

IBM has consistently moved to higher-margin businesses and away from crowded fields where price competition can be steep. IBM last week agreed to acquire Varicent Software Inc., which provides software that analyzes compensation and sales performance, for an undisclosed amount.

Read the rest of this post on the original site »

The document reveals that in RIM’s February 2012 fiscal year, gross margins on hardware fell to 20 percent from 36 percent on a GAAP basis, and to 25 percent on a non-GAAP basis. And, according to Jefferies analyst Peter Misek, if you factor operating costs and inventory charges into those numbers, hardware-operating margins slip into negative territory: -8 percent on a GAAP basis; -3 percent on a non-GAAP basis, or -4 percent on an adjusted non-GAAP basis.

Nasty numbers, all of them. So which is the most accurate?

Misek believes it’s the adjusted non-GAAP number, which excludes restructuring, litigation and goodwill-impairment charges, but includes the $752 million in inventory write-offs RIM took for the quarter. Some might argue that including those write-offs skews the numbers here a bit, but Misek points out that RIM has written off inventory in the last two quarters, and is likely to do so again in the next.

So, whether it was 8 percent, 3 percent or 4 percent, RIM’s hardware division probably spent more than it made. Indeed, that may well have been one of the drivers of the “comprehensive review of strategic opportunities” CEO Thorsten Heins announced after the company reported abysmal fourth-quarter earnings. But that review isn’t likely to do much for the hardware business for some time. If hardware is in the red, then it’s probably going to remain there for a while longer — at least until the debut of RIM’s BlackBerry 10 devices. And that’s not scheduled to happen until late in the year.

Apple Inc.’s success selling consumer gadgets has pushed its share price above $500, cementing its place as the U.S.’s largest company, with a market capitalization of $475 billion. But its gargantuan size is making it difficult for Wall Street to get a big-picture view of the earnings and margins for other American corporations.

Read the rest of this post on the original site »

The comments follow a less than stellar fourth-quarter performance in which the gigantic e-commerce provider spent nearly as much money as it brought in the door — even during its busiest quarter of the year.

Profits for the quarter fell 58 percent, while annual earnings were cut nearly in half.

Some analysts were hoping that the end of the year would be a low point for margins and that Amazon would start growing in 2012 as it benefited from the steep investments made the prior year.

But that’s not part of the plan.

“We’re incredibly optimistic about the opportunity that we have, and that’s why we have invested the way we have and why we’re continuing to invest in the business,” said Amazon’s CFO Tom Szkutak in a conference call with analysts.

For clarity, Piper Jaffray analyst Charles Munster asked again: “So, your outlook in terms of investment philosophy hasn’t changed versus last quarter going forward?”

“No, no,” Szkutak said. “We are continuing to look as we always do. We learn every week, month and quarter about customer adoption. We are looking at a lot of positive things across the business in terms of adoption, specifically Kindle growth from a device standpoint and content that’s following that.”

Other categories seeing growth, he said, include clothing, consumables, consumer electronics and Amazon Web Services.

“There’s a lot of interesting opportunities that we continue to invest in. So we are pleased with the performance in Q4 and what it means going forward for us.”

Over the past year, Amazon has invested heavily in infrastructure, including 17 fulfillment centers around the globe. At the end of the year, it had 56,200 employees, up 67 percent year over year, with most of the hiring coming in operations and customer service.

It has also invested heavily in the digital content business, including the Kindle.

It’s widely assumed that Amazon is breaking even or taking a slight loss on the sale of each Kindle Fire. It’s also securing expensive partnerships with content companies across music, video and books, and giving some of that content away as part of the $80 Prime membership, which also includes free two-day shipping.

All of those are bets that Amazon is hoping will reap profits over the long term, as customers continue to consume after they purchase an e-reader or tablet or sign up for Prime.

So far, it’s too early to see how the investment is faring, especially when it comes to new categories.

“It’s very, very early,” Szkutak said, “but so far, we like what we see, so that’s why we are continuing down the path of adding more content and making Prime better. … Because we are investing a lot, we are making sure we understand it very well.”

A lot of details, like Kindle sales numbers, are still being kept under wraps, but he promised Amazon will someday share more about how it is doing.

Unfortunately, the market isn’t as patient. In after-hours trading, the stock was down almost 10 percent at one point. During the session, it ended up down, 8.7 percent, or nearly $17 , to close at $177.50 a share.

A new survey by the investment banking firm concluded that each Kindle Fire generates well over $100 in additional income, which more than makes up for the $2 to $3 Amazon reportedly loses on each sale.

“Kindle Fire unit economics are likely to be more favorable than consensus expectations, based primarily on frequency of digital goods purchases,” RBC Capital analyst Ross Sandler said in a research note to clients. “Our assumption is that Amazon could sell 3-4 million Kindle Fire units in Q4, and that those units are accretive to company-average operating margin within the first six months of ownership. Our analysis assigns a cumulative lifetime operating income per unit of $136, with a cumulative operating margin of over 20 percent.”

So: an additional $136 over the lifetime of the device.

How are Fire owners spending that money? Mostly on e-books. According to Sandler’s survey, 80 percent of Fire owners have purchased e-books, and 58 percent of those bought more than three of them within the first 60 days of ownership. Sandler figures that means the typical Fire owner will buy five e-books per quarter, generating about $15 net per quarter for Amazon (assuming an e-book ASP of $10).

Making up the remainder of that $136 sum? Apps, mostly. Two-thirds of the Fire owners Sandler surveyed had purchased at least one app. And 41 percent of those claimed to have purchased three or more. Sandler estimates that the typical Fire owner will purchase three apps per quarter, generating another $9 for Amazon.

Add to that video-on-demand buys and incremental purchases of physical goods, and you reach $136. Which isn’t bad at all, particularly if you’re multiplying it by the three million to four million Fires that Sandler expects Amazon to sell in its fourth quarter.

This morning, Yahoo said it had hired PayPal President Scott Thompson as its newest victim, oops, CEO.

(You can read my interview with him too, here.)

AllThingsD.com had reported the pending development last night — which is how we roll here.

Now we will roll into the conference call on the matter, and are hoping that the head of the lucrative eBay payments unit will make an appearance, given that he does not start until next week.

One piece of advice I will extend Thompson: I would refrain from cursing, as previous Yahoo CEO Carol Bartz did on her first outing. (She was fired in September, although not precisely for the cussing she so enjoyed partaking in.)

Here we go!

7:02 am: It’s on, with Thompson present.

Yahoo Chairman Roy Bostock begins, and he is “very excited, very excited.”

I’d be very excited if Thompson talked and not Roy, who has been to this particular Yahoo CEO rodeo a few too many times before.

Bostock is making promises that this time it’s going to be different. Really!

He also notes that the company will continue its “strategic review” — but who knows what that means now.

And he thanks Tim Morse, the interim CEO who is moving back to the CFO job. (Agreed — nice work, Tim!)

7:06 am: Scott Thompson is on and is “just thrilled” to be the new Yahoo CEO.

I like his accent, which seems like he might be from Boston. He does look and sound like Cliff Clavin, the mailman guy at the Beantown bar from the television classic “Cheers.”

Except, given he has been the darkest of dark horses in this CEO race, nobody knew Thompson’s name.

Thompson is saying all the right stuff, about wanting to increase shareholder value and such.

He sounds so hopeful! Urgency! Thoughtfulness! A bright new morning at Yahoo!

I have been to this rodeo before too, but I am still hoping this time it’ll work.

Scott, if you let me down, I might cry, because you sound so nice.

7:09 am Q&A time already.

Congrats from the Wall Street analyst peanut gallery.

Then, it’s right into a question for Bostock, about the progress of the Asian assets deal.

Also, is Thompson too much of a technologist and not a media dude?

Bostock wants to talk about only Scott, but notes that there will be “no slowdown and no delay” in the Asian process. And Thompson will be all onboard when he comes on board, folks.

Bostock sounds tired, but starts to talk about how a “great customer experience” is the key to the advertising business. He notes that Thompson knows how to do this, hence he’ll be fantastic.

“I have every expectation he’ll be out there calling on advertisers,” says Bostock. I would hope so, given that is where Yahoo makes most of its lettuce.

Bostock is saying Yahoo has been “treading water” and now needs to swim fast. Treading water? I wonder who the top honcho at Yahoo has been while the company has been listlessly dangling its legs in the drink?

Roy — that’s who!

7:15 am: Another analyst asks about margins.

Thompson is not having any of it! He is polite when asking for time to get on the job to make proper statements.

But he does focus on the need to build “great, innovative” products. True, but Yahoo has been incredibly unable to do this of late.

Thompson gives no specifics, though. My big idea: I would steal the self-driving car from Google.

7:17 am: A question about what the core of Yahoo is, and about what lessons Thompson is bringing from his experience at PayPal.

Well, he has not met the team — literally. Yahoo’s board consulted almost no one in the top ranks of execs on this appointment.

But Thompson “suspects” there is talent there. Given the recent attrition, he’ll need a big Inspector Clouseau magnifying glass to find it!

From eBay’s PayPal, he says that the key was balancing the customer experience with network effect and, well, blah, blah, blah Internet-speak.

I am still thinking shoplifting the self-driving car is the bestest idea.

7:20 am: A question about Yahoo’s display business versus Google.

Thompson notes it is too early for him to say — though he had better say soon! — but notes that data is key. He is a well-known by-the-numbers guy, and that is clearly where we are going at Yahoo, now that he is the big dog.

Thus:

“The data these Internet businesses create, the ability to use analytical technology to build a better businesses for your customers … I feel certain that wealth of data is going to be exploitable for next generation products, next generation experiences … My instinct says down in that data we’re going to be able to find ways to compete and innovate that the world hasn’t seen yet.”

I am really liking this accent, which is almost lulling. And so polite! Sources tell me that being “collaborative” was a big goal in this hiring.

7:22 am: A question about the identity of Yahoo, and whether it should be public or private.

Thompson harps on the need for innovation, and hopes it will be the future.

“I would not be here if I didn’t think it was possible,” says Thompson.

Bostock takes the public/private question. Yahoo will be public, he declares! Mostly, because it would be too pricey to take private.

“It’s a moot point,” he says.

7:25 am: More questions about what Yahoo is.

Thompson declines to run off the rails on this dicey one, but he says he believes that Yahoo has great assets.

It does. It’s just that it has been crashed many times — by the people who just hired him — right into a wall.

Just sayin’ — a self-driving car would have done a better job.

7:27 am: A brain-drain question, and more on Asia and on mobile.

Bostock butts in again. He said that Thompson will not be distracted by that, and will concentrate on the core business. Hush up, Roy.

Thompson says that he looks forward to meeting the peeps of Yahoo. (’Cuz he has not, as yet!)

He also loves mobile — which Yahoo has largely borked.

7:32 am: A content strategy question. Early days, so Thompson is still keeping his yap shut.

In this, he’s like the anti-Bartz. Is this good? It’s certainly different.

He says again that, “I can’t wait to meet” everyone at Yahoo. Vice versa, because this dude came from left field.

Thompson promises that he will be a “sponge.”

He closes by noting that he is “genuinely excited,” and says he believes in Yahoo.

Indeed, when it comes to Yahoo, you definitely gotta have faith.

But Amazon isn’t Netflix, which has to convince investors and consumers that its business isn’t fundamentally broken. Jeff Bezos and company have a much easier story to sell: Profits are down because they’re spending money on expansion.

A lot of the money is going into Amazon’s old business, CFO Thomas Szkutak explained on yesterday’s conference call — the company is building out dozens of new distribution centers to help it ship all the physical stuff its customers still order. And a lot of the money is going into its new digital business — in particular, the new Kindle Fire.

Amazon is ultracautious when providing any details about its business, and Szkutak didn’t break from that tradition yesterday. But he did go out of his way to play up the company’s investments in its new tablets.

And while he didn’t spell it out, he made it quite clear that the company was happy to lose money on the tablets in the short term because it could sell more stuff to Fire owners in the long run.

Here’s a partial transcript from Seeking Alpha; it’s a bit garbled, but much more useful than my chicken-scratch notes from the call. Note the repeated reference to the “lifetime value” of the gadgets [my emphasis added]:

We’re investing in our Kindle and Digital business [and] you’re seeing that reflected in our Q4 guidance as well … if you take a look at our Kindle business, for example, we’ve launched 4 new products at the end of September, and we’re very, very excited about those products. They’re at great prices, and they are certainly premium products … And [when] we think about the economics of the Kindle business, we think about the totality. We think of the lifetime value of those devices. So we’re not just thinking about the economics of the device and the accessories. We think about the content. We are selling quite a bit of Special Offers devices which includes ads. We’re thinking about the advertisements and those Special Offers and those lifetime value[s].

Szkutak hit the same points a few minutes later. Remember that Amazon is disciplined at saying very little on these calls. So when Szkutak hits these talking points repeatedly, it’s not an accident:

We have learned a lot over the past couple of years … since launching Kindle. … what we’re seeing certainly is that once customers purchase a Kindle and are carrying around this really massive selection at their fingertips, they’re buying more content. We’ve talked a lot about that on previous calls. But again as we think about the lifetime value … we look at the total economics which include the device, the accessories, the content, as well as any ad-based revenue and Special Offers. So those are the things that we’re looking at, as we think about the lifetime value of the device. And we like what we see. And so certainly as you think about Q4 and you think about the guidance that we’re giving, certainly we’re going to have a — we expect to have a record quarter in terms of device sales. And because of the back-end loading of it, you should assume that the content would, obviously, trail that device sale. The ad revenue would trail those device sales as well as the Special Offers.. But we’re extremely excited about both our electronic ink and fire devices … and we think that those will be great for share owners over time.

As long as we’re parsing the call, it’s worth noting that Szkutak repeatedly points out the value of advertising on its tablets. I’d previously assumed that the company thought of ads — several of the Kindle base models now come with “special offers” as the default option — as a way to defray the Kindle’s costs, so it could get more of them in customers’ hands. But it seems Amazon has bigger ambitions.

Again, it’s important to stress that Amazon’s gadget model is the opposite of Apple’s: Tim Cook sells media so he can sell iPads and iPhones; Bezos sells Kindles so he can sell books and videos and music and even advertising.

Apple has already established that its model works. Now we get to see Amazon’s theory really put to the test.

“Consumers who gush over the beauty and efficacy of Apple products rarely quibble or complain about Apple’s premium pricing,” Kelleher writes in a note to clients. “Behind the tech-weenie veneer on transformative products, there is an accountant’s soul presiding over the P&L at Apple.”

There are innumerable reasons why Apple is sitting atop a pile of $76.2 billion in cash and marketable securities — a conga line of insanely great products, savvy marketing and financial rigor. And together, they drove Apple’s operating margins from 12 percent in 2005 to 30 percent or more today; its revenue from $13.9 billion to an estimated $108 billion.

“Jobs did more than launch, in succession, the Mac, the iPod, the iPhone, and the iPad,” Kelleher says. “He created and nurtured an infrastructure where these products could be conceived, engineered, and brought successfully to market.The marketing apparatus is no less well-oiled than the engineering machine at Apple.”

Or the financial one, for that matter.

Realistically, Apple is so on point right now, has so much momentum in the market, that it is unlikely to stumble any time soon. Kelleher again:

“IPhone currently has a less-than 5 percent handset market share; yet everyone who holds or uses one, whether first-time phone buyer or Apple lifer, is struck with its simple beauty and efficacy. If iPhone “merely” doubled its handset market share, annual revenues would rise by $60 billion. With RIM on the ropes and the Android Empire showing cracks from Google’s purchase of Motorola Mobility, there is no reason to believe that 10% share is the ceiling for iPhone. … In other words, if newly-appointed CEO Tim Cook is no more than a caretaker, if he only presides over the ramp of existing products, he could easily ‘caretake’ the company from the current $100 billion revenue range to twice or thrice that size.”

But that’s not what Cook is going to do. He plans to keep the ball rolling at Apple and he knows how to do it, as he said in an all-hands memo to employees about a month ago.

“I want you to be confident that Apple is not going to change,” Cook wrote. “I cherish and celebrate Apple’s unique principles and values. Steve built a company and culture that is unlike any other in the world and we are going to stay true to that — it is in our DNA. We are going to continue to make the best products in the world that delight our customers and make our employees incredibly proud of what they do.”

Image via Jonathan Mak’s Tumblr.

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Steve Jobs Full Coverage »

Today’s stock market rout hit tech stocks hard, with most declining as much as the broader indices.

With the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 4.3 percent and Nasdaq off 5.1 percent, shares of Google, Microsoft, AOL and Apple managed to stay in that range of losses.

Not so Yahoo and LinkedIn, whose shares were off 7.8 percent and 9.6 percent, respectively.

LinkedIn, the business networking site which reported its second-quarter earnings today, saw its shares seesaw down and up and down and then up again today.

While its results were in line with Wall Street expectations, the company also created some worry after it said profit margins are going to be cut in half for the next quarter.

Still, after its huge fall earlier today, in after-hours trading, LinkedIn has recovered a bit and is now up five percent.

But Yahoo has continued its increasingly troubling stock drop after the markets closed. Its shares are now dipping below $12, which gives the Silicon Valley Internet giant a very low $15.6 billion valuation.

The company’s stock has dropped 34 percent in the past three months, as worries over a range of issues — from its Asian assets to its display advertising business to its talent drain — continue to be a drag.

The company also forecast full-year operating earnings would rise to “at least” $13.15 a share, compared with IBM’s January estimate of “at least” $13. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters had most recently forecast $13.08.

Shares jumped 2.1 percent to $168.89 in after-hours trading on the strong results.

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Companies from South Korea’s Samsung Electronics Co. and LG Display Co. to Japan’s Toshiba Corp. supply key components such as memory chips and flat-screens used in the iPad. But LG Display’s parent company, LG Electronics Inc., as well as Samsung and Toshiba compete with Apple in the burgeoning tablet space with their own devices.

If the new version of the iPad launched Wednesday is as successful as the original version, these component makers stand to benefit from an increase in sales, analysts say. But their profit margins could slip in tablets given their late entry into the market and because more devices are being launched this year, intensifying competition.

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Chambers did his best to put a brave face on things, both on a conference call with analysts and in the interview below with CNBC Asia that aired last night. He said that aside from a glaring weakness in Cisco’s sales to government customers–which are going to be difficult for the next several quarters–and its relatively small consumer business, business is stronger with telecom service providers, as well as with enterprise and service customers.

He also said that gross margins–which came in at 62.4 percent, down from the 63 percent that had been expected–were beset by a batch of new product introductions in the switching business, where sales were notably down by seven percent. The new products all launch with smaller gross margins that improve over time. Meanwhile he’s assembled a working group to study the gross margin problem.

So far, no one seems convinced. At least four analysts have downgraded Cisco’s stock this morning.

But its statement contained a new characterization from CEO John Chambers about the circumstances Cisco finds itself in. Gone was talk of temporary air pockets that emerged in November when Cisco’s outlook turned suddenly, and unexpectedly, sour. Now it’s in a “period of transition.”

One that’s far from over, apparently. Having reported the hard numbers, it saved the bad news, in particular its outlook, for the conference call. And it wasn’t pretty. It fell to CFO Frank Calderoni to deliver the bad news. While Cisco forecast revenue to grow at a rate of 4 to 6 percent in the third quarter over the same period in 2010, profits were forecast at 35 to 38 cents a share, well below the consensus of 39 cents. Gross margins for the full year will be in the 62 to 63 percent range, down from 64 percent in 2010.

Chambers noted weaknesses both in Cisco’s switching business, where sales declined by 7 percent, and in sales to government customers, saying he expected that segment to be problematic during the next several quarters. Sales of set-top boxes were also weak. Summing it up, Chambers said: “I think we will look back on this period of time and wish we could have avoided it and yet it will make us stronger in the long run.”

There was good news. Cisco will pay its first dividend this year, somewhere in the range of 1 to 2 percent.

And then there’s Cisco’s cash position, which stands at $40.2 billion, though only $3 billion or so of it is inside the U.S.

Chambers used the subject to once again complain about U.S. tax policy regarding cash held overseas. “We have a tax policy that is just broken,” he said.

The Japanese electronics conglomerate reported a net profit of 72.3 billion yen ($885.7 million) for the fiscal third quarter, down from a year-earlier 79.2 billion yen. It beat the mean forecast of 66.96 billion yen from six analysts polled by Thomson Reuters.

Revenue slipped 1.7% to 1.98 trillion yen, while operating profit dropped 5.9% to 137.5 billion yen.

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Investors hoping Yahoo might benefit from the same surge in online display advertising spending that drove Google to its recent big quarter are in luck–except for the big-quarter part.

Posting fourth-quarter earnings today after sacking one percent of its staff, the company reported net income of 24 cents per share on revenue of $1.21 billion. The Street doesn’t seem convinced, though. Yahoo shares are down 3.5 percent as I write this.

Analysts had been expecting earnings of 22 cents per share on $1.19 billion in net revenue–a big jump from the 11 cents per share the company reported in the same period last year, but a troubling decline from the $1.26 billion in net revenue that accompanied it. That said, display advertising did grow. For the current quarter, the company sees revenue in a range of $1.02 billion to $1.08 billion; analysts had been looking for $1.13 billion.

“We just completed a very encouraging quarter and year for Yahoo!, where we saw our plans to turn around the company gain momentum,” CEO Carol Bartz said in a canned statement. “For the year, operating income, margins, EPS, and return on invested capital doubled. Display advertising grew 17 percent. We completed the important North America Search transition to Microsoft on schedule and with high quality. We introduced new and updated products at a faster pace. And our content properties–like Yahoo! Sports and Yahoo! Finance–continued to innovate and extend their massive lead.”

Look for more coverage of the earnings call at BoomTown later this afternoon. Meanwhile, here’s the press release in full:

YHOO_Q410PressRelease_Final

(Also, you can see a slide deck of the financials here.)

[Image Credit: Byzantin3]

The company also told analysts Tuesday it should be able to reach gross profit margins of 44% to 48% in 2011–up from a prior target of 40% to 45%–and said a long-term goal of 50% should be achievable.

AMD’s technology milestone, part of a strategy called Fusion, opens a new chapter in AMD’s longtime competition with Intel Corp. Where AMD has often lagged its much larger rival in microprocessors, it believes the technology acquired through the $5.4 billion purchase of ATI Technologies provided a lead in an emerging breed of products that AMD calls APUs, for accelerated processing units.

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Great fun to listen to for Apple watchers. But not that meaningful, really–mostly positioning and spin. There was at least one important nugget, though: Apple has a specific shopping list, with some very big-ticket items on it.

Jobs wouldn’t lay those out, of course. But when asked if he planned on spending any of Apple’s $51 billion (!) in cash via a dividend or stock buyback, he explained that he had something else in mind. From my notes, a combination of direct quotes and paraphrase:

“We strongly believe that one or more very strategic opportunities may come along that we’re in unique opportunity to take advantage of because of our cash,” and we want to keep our powder dry “because we feel that there are one or more” opportunities in the future.

M&A guys, start your engines!

The “what will Apple do with all its cash” speculation story is a time-honored tradition–I seem to remember writing one four or five years ago, when Apple had $6 billion or so lying around, and discussing whether it made sense for Jobs to buy a music company like Universal.

But I don’t remember Jobs every signaling his desire to go shopping quite as openly as this before (feel free to correct me in comments if I have this one wrong). Two caveats:

• Jobs is famous for saying one thing and doing…something else. So don’t get too riled up about this.
• Just because Jobs is talking about spending money on “opportunities” doesn’t mean he’s talking about buying a company. He could be talking about big, hairy capital expenditures, like the billion-dollar server farm Apple is finishing up in North Carolina.

Still. It’s hard not to read or hear that quote and not think that he’s thinking about some very big buys. Like what?

A lot of folks will assume that Jobs is talking about buying a big content producer. Music doesn’t make any sense, because there’s little value left in that business. But if Jobs wants to make headway in the TV business, perhaps it makes sense for him to snag a big broadcaster or programmer to give him the leverage he needs with the Comcasts, Viacoms and Time Warners of the world.

Or you could make the same argument for other content makers, like game studios. The biggest one, Electronic Arts, has a market cap of a mere $5.21 billion. Jobs could give ERTS shareholders a hefty premium and still have plenty of walking-around money.

Or perhaps it makes zero sense for Apple to be in the content business, because it’s done just fine not being in the content business to date.

So then what?

Feel free to throw your own guesses in, but I’ll kick off with my own: It’s a company that has yet to compete with or brush up against Apple in any significant way. And it’s one that Apple seems unlikely to be able to move aside, even if it wanted to. And it’s one that’s already competing directly with Google, which has to make Jobs like it even more.

And, if you believe this L.A. Times report, Jobs is already strolling around Palo Alto with its CEO: What do you think of Apple buying Facebook? Discuss….

Earlier

Apple investors who got their first look at the company’s earnings numbers don’t like them–AAPL is trading down seven percent after hours. Let’s see if Apple executives can soothe their concerns during the earnings call.

You can listen in for yourself via this link, or follow along in my liveblog below:

Live Blog

Apple or Apple’s IR company trying some very, very mellow string and piano stuff while we wait.

CFO Peter Oppenheimer kicks off. “Outstanding results” for September quarter. Highest quarterly revenue, earnings.

Mac products and services: 3.9 mm Macs. Record quarter. 27% y/y growth. Double market growth for Q.

IMac, Macbook, Macbook Pro all good. Asia/Pacific performing best.

IPods: 9.1 million.

ITunes revenue more than $1 billion.

IPhone. “Extremely pleased” with 14.4 million unit sales; basically doubled y/y.

$8.6 billion in sales value of iPhones alone.

Heaping praise on iPhone 4 (justified) and stressing iPhone’s move into corporate market, rattling off blue-chip customers.

IPad. “Thrilled” with momentum. “Great enthusiasm” from customers.

65% of Fortune 100 deploying or piloting iPad. Lists some of them.

125 million iOS device sales last month.

200,000 registered iOS developers.

“Very happy” with results of iAd so far.

On to Apple stores. More records here.

Expects to open 40-50 stores next year, 50% of them outside U.S.

IPhone sales mix “better than expected”–boosted overall margin.

$51 billion cash hoard. [Deep, longing sigh from everyone in media, tech business.]

For the year: 5x revenue and 10x earnings compared with five years ago.

“Very enthusiastic” about lineup, “extremely confident” in new product pipeline.

Rare appearance from Steve Jobs!

Had to drop by for first $20 billion quarter.

“We’ve now passed RIM, and I don’t see them catching up to us in the foreseeable future.”

They have to move into software/platform development, and I don’t think they can.

So what about Google?

Apple is activating 275,000 iOS devices per day on average over the past 30 days; peaked at 300k iOS devices some days. 300,000 apps in app store.

Unfortunately, there is no solid data on how many Android handsets sold each quarter.

Google loves to characterize Android as open, Apple as closed. “We find this a bit disingenuous.”

Windows is “open.” But Android is “very fragmented.” OEMs like Motorola install own stuff to make their phones stand out. We don’t do that.

Shout out to “Twitterdeck” ( I think he means Tweetdeck) and their challenges running 100 versions of Android client. “Compare this to iPhone, where there are two versions of the software…to test against.”

Meanwhile, at least four app stores on Android. “This is going to be a mess for both users and developers.”

Apple’s app store has 3x apps compared with Google marketplace.

“Even if Google were right, and the real issue was closed vs. open, it’s important to remember that open systems don’t always win.”

For instance: Microsoft’s [miserable] “PlaysForSure” strategy, RIP.

Google’s “open” argument is a “smokescreen.” Real issue is what’s best for customer–”fragmented vs. integrated.”

Integrated is a huge advantage for us, because it’s better for customers, and better for developers. “We are very committed to the integrated approach no matter how many times Google tries to characterize it as closed.”

Now! On to our tablet competitors:

First of all, only a few credible competitors.

Second, most of them are pushing 7.5″ screen. That means they are just at 45% size of our 10″ screen. “You heard that right….This size isn’t sufficient to create great tablet apps.”

Extolling features of iPad size vs. teeny tiny tablet competitors: They’re “tweeners”–too small to compete with iPad, too big to compete with smartphones.

IPad has 35,000 apps. New crop of tablets will have “near zero.”

Competitors having a hard time coming close to iPad pricing, even with their puny screens. We make our own everything, and this results in an “incredible product, at a great price.” Our competitors will “likely offer less, for more.” They’ll be “DOA. Dead on arrival.”

Questions and Answers

Supply constraints on iPad?

COO Tim Cook: We’ve got a handle on it. And note that we’re expanding distribution in the U.S. and internationally, with more countries to come.

Question about margins I didn’t quite catch.

Oppenheimer: Sold more iPhones than planned, and commodity prices came down, so that helped.

Q for Steve. Please talk about “iPad opportunity.” Size of business, etc., two years or more down the road?

Jobs: “The iPad is clearly going to affect notebook computers. The iPad proves it’s not a question of if, it’s a question of when.” Already seeing “tremendous” interest from education and “much to my surprise, from business.”

“The more time that passes, the more I am convinced that we’ve got a tiger by the tail here.” We’ve trained tens of millions of people on this OS via the iPhone. “I see it as really general purpose, and I see it as very big.”

Could it be the second biggest business after the iPhone?

“I try not to predict, I try to report.” We’re selling more iPads than Macs.

What about Flash? Any update?

“Flash memory? We love flash memory” [hohoho]

A question on iPhone demand, which I missed.

Q: Steve, “You are the tablet market.” Do you see tablet competitors cutting into your market in the same way you cut into RIM’s market? Won’t that fragment the market?

“I have a hard time imagining what those strategies…are.” Pricing won’t work. “Flash hasn’t presented any problem at all; as you know, most video on the Web is now presented in HTML5.” The iTunes store is dominant and “we’re not done” working on stuff for the future.

Q: Smartphones–”Do you see that as a zero-sum game?”

Jobs: As you know, most phones in the world aren’t smartphones. They’ll convert over time, so there will be room for multiple competitors, but “eventually it will turn into a zero-sum game, or close to that.”

Q: For Oppenheimer: Another margins question.

A: We do see a small sequential decline. Higher-than-expected mix of new iPods and new iPads. We’ve been very aggressive on pricing there, and that’s what’s pushing down margins.

Q: Steve, how’s your Apple TV “hobby” coming? And what’s up with streaming media?

Jobs: We don’t talk about unannounced products, but I’m happy to tell you what we know about Apple TV. We have moved to streaming. It’s all streaming. Everything is rented, and/or soon to be streamed from iPad or iPhone.

So far we’ve sold 250,000 new Apple TVs. “I’m thrilled with that.” And with Airplay set up, “it will give people another big reason to buy it.”

Another margin/guidance question. Seems to be the same one repeated each time, with the same answer.

Q for Steve: Key risks for company?

The goal is to make the best devices in the world. “It’s not to be the biggest. As you know, Nokia’s the biggest… but we don’t aspire to be like them.”

Android is the biggest competitor. Outshipped us in June quarter as we transitioned. We’re waiting to find out what happened in this quarter. “I don’t know how we’ll find out” though.

Our approach is to create products that “just work” and “their approach is very different from that.”

Questions for Steve and Tim: Aspirations for iPhone and iPad. In Mac, you didn’t aspire to high market share; in iPod, it was the opposite–you own that market. In the past, Tim you’ve described iPhone business as closer to the iPod model. Steve, you sort of said something different. Please resolve that difference: Biggest, or best?

Jobs: “Nokia makes $50 handsets. We don’t know how to make a great handset for $50.” We want to make “breakthrough, best products,” and “drive costs down” while making them better through “relentless improvement.”

We have a very low share in the phone market. Single digits. And a very high share in tablets. But we don’t think about it that way.

The reason we won’t make a seven-inch tablet isn’t because of price point, “it’s because we don’t think you can make a great tablet with a seven-inch screen.” And as a software company, we think of software first. Developers don’t want to build for all these different platforms and devices, and on this small screen. “It’s not about cost, it’s about value, when you factor in the software.”

Q: Okay, but if the market moves toward lower-functionality smartphones and “dramatically lower price points,” then you’ll cede share, right?

Jobs: “You’re looking at it wrong.” You’re looking at it as a hardware guy who doesn’t really know about software. You assume that software “can come alive on this product that you’re dreaming of. But it won’t” because developers want to build for better products, with faster processors and better screens.

Q: You have about $50 billion in cash. What are you going to do with that? Why not return it to shareholders?

Jobs: “We strongly believe that one or more very strategic opportunities may come along that we’re in unique opportunity to take advantage of because of our cash” and want to keep our powder dry “because we feel that there are one or more” opportunities in the future.

Missing next question about iPhone and iPad penetration into corporate market.

[Market not sold on Apple's story yet, btw: Stock still down 5.84%.]

Question for Oppenheimer. Guess what? It’s about gross margins. Any change in manufacturing, etc? Any color at all?

Oppenheimer: Don’t provide product-specific gross margins. Always trying to lower costs, though. “We were happy” with gross margins for quarter. Down slightly because of product mix, as I’ve said over and over.

Q: Talk about demand from carriers to pick up iPhone 4.

Cook: The pressure I’m feeling is about supply. That’s the problem. At the country level, we have 166 relationships in 89 countries. In many countries, we went to more than one carrier. Latest one of those is Germany.

IPhone 4 in 85 of 89 countries. Will be in all 89 by end of year.

What happens to margins and subsidy when you go nonexclusive?

We don’t give information out on specific markets, but you can see that our ASPs have stayed above $600.

For Steve: Why do you have advantage in price on iPad, as opposed to PC?

Jobs: We engineer so much of it ourselves. Everything from chip to battery to enclosures. We’ve learned so much. We’ve learned a lot, developed a lot of our own components, where competitors have to go through middlemen. “This is a product we’ve been training for for the last decade.”

Call is over. You can hear the whole thing on a podcast later this evening.

And it costs about a quarter as much to make it.

According to iSuppli, the bill of materials for the latest iteration of Apple’s $99 “hobby” is $64, significantly less than the $237 it cost the company to build the 2007 model.* That’s quite a disparity, one evidently driven as much by an adjustment of product vision as build (dumping that costly hard drive obviously didn’t hurt either). Where the original Apple TV was built like a small desktop PC, its successor is built more like an iPad, with a few of the same components; the two devices have an A4 processor in common, as well as Wi-Fi/Bluetooth and power management chips.

That evolution has given consumers a much-improved device with a pitch-perfect design (though it does have some serious shortcomings in the content department), and it’s given Apple (AAPL) better margins.

“Compared to the first-generation Apple TV, the new model offers a dramatically improved ratio of hardware cost to retail price,” iSuppli noted in its teardown analysis. “The initial version of the Apple TV appeared to be a near give-away or subsidized product for Apple, sold at prices that weren’t much more than the underlying hardware costs. With the second-generation version of the hardware, the Apple TV’s price is about 35 percent above its BOM and manufacturing cost.”

*The standard iSuppli caveats apply here. The company’s estimate accounts for hardware and manufacturing costs ONLY–R&D, software, licensing costs, etc. are not considered.

Here are Yahoo’s slides from its second-quarter earnings announcement today for you to peruse and enjoy.

Pretend you are a Wall Street analyst–you’re probably smarter–and sharpen your pencils!

A cheat sheet to start: Net income and margins were up at the Silicon Valley Internet giant, while revenue was meh. Display advertising growth was up, while search ad revenue was down.

(And here is a live blog of the management conference call about the results.)

Courtesy of Yahoo (YHOO):

YHOO_Q210EarningsPresentationFinal

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters had expected IBM (IBM) to earn $3.47 a share on revenue of $26.96 billion.

“We concluded a strong year with a solid performance in the fourth quarter in which we again delivered growth in margins, profit and earnings,” IBM CEO Sam Palmisano said in a release. “IBM continued to benefit from our strategic transformation, offerings that our clients value in this economy, and our commitment to developing countries around the world.”

Looking ahead, IBM said it now expects a profit of at least $11 a share in 2010 compared with a previous target of $10 to $11 per share.

Verizon.

This according to Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster, who says there’s a 70 percent chance that the carrier will add Apple’s super-smartphone to its lineup by the middle of 2010.

With AT&T’s (T) exclusive deal to carry the iPhone in the U.S. expiring next year, Apple (AAPL) has certainly considered such a move. It would be silly not to. Verizon’s (VZ) postpaid subscriber base is not only larger than AT&T’s, it’s untapped.

That’s an important differentiating factor given that Apple has an diminishing opportunity to attract new iPhone users from AT&T’s subscriber base. Says Munster: “Currently, the iPhone is available to 82 million AT&T subs in the U.S.; adding Verizon would more than double the addressable market, adding 89 million U.S. consumers.”

That’s certainly a compelling argument for signing Verizon up as an iPhone carrier, though whether Apple will do so remains to be seen. As Munster himself concedes, there’s a 30 percent chance that the company won’t ink a deal with Verizon.

According to other observers, that’s a conservative estimate. Kaufman Bros. analyst Shaw Wu said recently that 2010 is an unrealistic ETA for a Verizon iPhone. 2012 is far more likely, according to Wu.

“While we believe VZ is likely inevitable at some point when 4G technology rolls out in 2012 or so, we believe Sprint and/or T-Mobile are more willing partners for Apple in helping maintain margins and customer controls,” the analyst wrote in a note to clients. “From a technology perspective, we believe T-Mobile may have an advantage with a similar 3G UMTS/WCDMA network as AT&T.”

In its second quarter–the first with the Pre in its lineup–Sprint (S) lost 991,000 postpaid subscribers. And in its third, reported yesterday, its lost 801,000. So subscriber loss, while unquestionably gruesome, is diminishing.

How much of this is due to Palm’s (PALM) Pre? Not that much, says CL King & Associates analyst Lawrence Harris, who believes the Pre had only a moderate impact on Sprint’s postpaid subscriber base.

“Within postpaid, the number of CDMA-only subscriber losses was about 100,000 in the September quarter, compared to the 200,000 in the June quarter,” Harris wrote in a research note to clients. “At Sprint, the Palm Pre is a CDMA-only postpaid device. The number of Sprint postpaid subscribers upgrading their handsets was slightly higher in the September quarter than in the June quarter at just over 2.0 million.”

According to Harris, “This number provides some indication of the available market for all high-end devices at Sprint. In Palm’s August quarter, 85% of the company’s sales went to Sprint. Given the absence of growth in Sprint’s CDMA postpaid category, it appears likely that most of the Palm Pre sales went to existing Sprint subscribers as opposed to winning customers from other carriers.”

That would seem to be the case. Sprint rivals AT&T (T) and Verizon Wireless (VZ) each added subscribers during the second quarter–1.4 million and 1.1 million, respectively. So if the Pre did anything for Sprint, it helped to stem CDMA postpaid losses a bit.

And that’s something, right? After all, there’s no panacea for Sprint’s affliction–well, perhaps there is, but it’s locked up in an exclusivity agreement with AT&T (T). Still, when Sprint last reported earnings, CEO Dan Hesse said the carrier expected to sign up more new customers as the Pre gained wider distribution through retail outlets like Best Buy (BBY) and RadioShack. And that doesn’t really seemed to have happened. Perhaps next quarter after Sprint launches the Pre’s not-quite-cheaper sibling, the Pixi.

UPDATE: A quick addendum. In a research note this morning, Bernstein Research analyst Craig Moffett notes that while Sprint has reduced subscriber losses a bit, the cost of doing so has been worrisomely high.

“Yes, net subscriber losses were better,” Moffet explains. “But the cost was very high. Post-paid equipment subsidies soared to $139 per subsidized subscriber in Q3 (up 39 percent from last year), as the company recovered just 36 percent of their equipment costs….Yesterday’s results illustrate why it may not be possible for Sprint to have its cake and eat it too. After all the drastic cost cutting, after all the efforts to refresh the product line, after all the price cuts and new pricing plans, Sprint was able to manage only a modest improvement. Not growth, just a slightly slower rate of decline. And that Herculean effort almost broke the bank. The huge costs of even marginally improving gross additions (and the rate of net subscriber loss) crushed margins.”

In its second quarter–the first with the Pre in its lineup–Sprint (S) lost 991,000 postpaid subscribers. And in its third, reported yesterday, its lost 801,000. So subscriber loss, while unquestionably gruesome, is diminishing.

How much of this is due to Palm’s (PALM) Pre? Not that much, says CL King & Associates analyst Lawrence Harris, who believes the Pre had only a moderate impact on Sprint’s postpaid subscriber base.

“Within postpaid, the number of CDMA-only subscriber losses was about 100,000 in the September quarter, compared to the 200,000 in the June quarter,” Harris wrote in a research note to clients. “At Sprint, the Palm Pre is a CDMA-only postpaid device. The number of Sprint postpaid subscribers upgrading their handsets was slightly higher in the September quarter than in the June quarter at just over 2.0 million.”

According to Harris, “This number provides some indication of the available market for all high-end devices at Sprint. In Palm’s August quarter, 85% of the company’s sales went to Sprint. Given the absence of growth in Sprint’s CDMA postpaid category, it appears likely that most of the Palm Pre sales went to existing Sprint subscribers as opposed to winning customers from other carriers.”

That would seem to be the case. Sprint rivals AT&T (T) and Verizon Wireless (VZ) each added subscribers during the second quarter–1.4 million and 1.1 million, respectively. So if the Pre did anything for Sprint, it helped to stem CDMA postpaid losses a bit.

And that’s something, right? After all, there’s no panacea for Sprint’s affliction–well, perhaps there is, but it’s locked up in an exclusivity agreement with AT&T (T). Still, when Sprint last reported earnings, CEO Dan Hesse said the carrier expected to sign up more new customers as the Pre gained wider distribution through retail outlets like Best Buy (BBY) and RadioShack. And that doesn’t really seemed to have happened. Perhaps next quarter after Sprint launches the Pre’s not-quite-cheaper sibling, the Pixi.

UPDATE: A quick addendum. In a research note this morning, Bernstein Research analyst Craig Moffett notes that while Sprint has reduced subscriber losses a bit, the cost of doing so has been worrisomely high.

“Yes, net subscriber losses were better,” Moffet explains. “But the cost was very high. Post-paid equipment subsidies soared to $139 per subsidized subscriber in Q3 (up 39 percent from last year), as the company recovered just 36 percent of their equipment costs….Yesterday’s results illustrate why it may not be possible for Sprint to have its cake and eat it too. After all the drastic cost cutting, after all the efforts to refresh the product line, after all the price cuts and new pricing plans, Sprint was able to manage only a modest improvement. Not growth, just a slightly slower rate of decline. And that Herculean effort almost broke the bank. The huge costs of even marginally improving gross additions (and the rate of net subscriber loss) crushed margins.”