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	<title>AllThingsD &#187; Scott Devitt</title>
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		  <title>All Things Digital</title>
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		<title>After Stock Got Whacked Last Week, Demand Media Readies Its Q4 Story for Wall Street</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120216/after-stock-got-whacked-last-week-demand-media-readies-its-q4-story-for-wall-street/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120216/after-stock-got-whacked-last-week-demand-media-readies-its-q4-story-for-wall-street/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Feb 2012 17:27:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Demand Media]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=175234</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The online content company reports after the markets close -- investors will be focusing on traffic and costs.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120216/after-stock-got-whacked-last-week-demand-media-readies-its-q4-story-for-wall-street/20060810_whack_a_mole/" rel="attachment wp-att-175474"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2012/02/20060810_whack_a_mole.png" alt="" title="20060810_whack_a_mole" width="350" height="274" class="alignright size-full wp-image-175474" /></a></p>
<p>A little more than a week ago, Morgan Stanley kneecapped Demand Media&#8217;s stock by downgrading the Santa Monica, Calif., online content company&#8217;s prospects.</p>
<p>Some worries: Pressure from algorithm-tweaking Google, upon which Demand relies heavily for traffic; worrisome drops in said traffic due to said tweaking; and not enough uptake on higher-quality, premium stories the company had promised in the fall.</p>
<p>Demand shares fell 6.5 percent that day, to close at $5.93. </p>
<p>It has recovered a bit to $6.13 today, but is still off almost 8 percent since the beginning of the year, and 71 percent from a year ago.</p>
<p>One irony to the tough call by Scott Devitt, of course, was that Morgan Stanley was the investment bank that had taken Demand public in January of 2011, at $17 a share.</p>
<p>In addition, the recent departure of three of the company&#8217;s six founders has also worried investors.</p>
<p>All this will presumably be on display today when Demand reports its fourth-quarter earnings. Wall Street analysts are expecting Demand to earn seven cents a share on an adjusted basis on an expected $81.95 million in revenue.</p>
<p>We&#8217;ll see after the market closes, as well as what its execs have to say about the key metrics of costs and traffic.</p>
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		<title>Netflix: Stifel Downgrades to Sell After Stock Doubles</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20090130/netflix-stifel-downgrades-to-sell-after-stock-doubles/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20090130/netflix-stifel-downgrades-to-sell-after-stock-doubles/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jan 2009 18:15:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eric Savitz</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[Netflix]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[streaming movie service]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://voices.allthingsd.com/?p=8094</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Netflix is suddenly one of Silicon Valley's hottest companies--it just reported blowout Q4 earnings, gave a strong Q1 outlook, and its stock has doubled since November. And the company's service is becoming ubiquitous in the home entertainment space. So why did Stifel Nicolaus analyst Scott Devitt downgrade the stock this morning from Hold to Sell, estimating its fair value to be well below its current level of $35.95?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Netflix (NFLX) is suddenly one of the Valley’s hottest companies, as the DVD-by-mail company gradually morphs into everyone’s favorite streaming movie service. The service is showing up everyplace: on TiVo boxes, on the Web, on Xbox Live, in Blu-Ray disk players. The company reported blowout Q4 earnings earlier this week and provided a strong Q1 outlook. Netflix has become a hot counter-cyclical, nesting-in-the-living room recession play; the stock has doubled since late November.</p>
<p>Stifel Nicolaus analyst Scott Devitt thinks the rally has gotten a bit out of hand; he downgraded the shares this morning to Sell from Hold, asserting that fair value is about $28, or well below the current level.</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2009/01/30/netflix-stifel-downgrades-to-sell-after-stock-doubles/">Read the rest of this post</a></p>
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		<title>Netflix: Let&#039;s Stay Home and Watch a Movie</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20081027/netflix-lets-stay-home-and-watch-a-movie/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20081027/netflix-lets-stay-home-and-watch-a-movie/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Oct 2008 18:01:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eric Savitz</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://voices.allthingsd.com/?p=5415</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Recipe for a (possible) rebound:

1 Movie and popcorn for a family of four: $70
1 Night at a "Ticketmaster event" for a family of four: $240
1 Year-long subscription for two-at-a-time unlimited movie rentals from Netflix: $163.20

Shake it up.

Now, if only it would affect the stock price.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Goodbye, theater tickets. Hello, movie rentals.</p>
<p>Stifel Nicolaus analyst Scott Devitt this morning upped his rating on Netflix (NFLX) to Buy from Hold, setting a $25 target price. Devitt notes that the stock is off 40 percent since late September, a period in which the S&#038;P 500 is off 25 percent.</p>
<p>&#8220;In the current economy,&#8221; he writes, &#8220;Netflix&#8217;s value-oriented offering stands out to us as a compelling alternative to more expensive entertainment alternatives.&#8221; Devitt notes that the average Netflix customer paid a base of $13.60 a month&#8211;$163.20 a year&#8211;for two-at-a-time unlimited DVD rentals. By contrast, he notes that a night at a &#8220;Ticketmaster event&#8221; for a family of four on average runs $240. Take a family of four to the movies and ply them popcorn and soda, and you&#8217;ll pay $70. &#8220;Due to its relative value, we believe the Netflix existing subscriber base may remain more stable in the downturn and new subscribers could improve once the initial shock of the past few months subsides.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2008/10/27/netflix-lets-stay-home-and-watch-a-movie/"><br />
Read the rest of this post</a></p>
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		<title>Overstock: Stifel Downgrades To Sell; Stock Off 24 Percent</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20080718/overstock-stifel-downgrades-to-sell-stock-off-24-percent/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20080718/overstock-stifel-downgrades-to-sell-stock-off-24-percent/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Jul 2008 13:37:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eric Savitz</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://voices.allthingsd.com/?p=2008</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Stifel Nicolaus analyst Scott Devitt this morning cut his rating on Overstock.com (OSTK) to Sell from Hold. He notes that the company, which reported second-quarter financial results this morning, trades for 21×2009 EBITA, "the highest multiple in the sector."]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Stifel Nicolaus analyst Scott Devitt this morning cut his rating on Overstock.com (OSTK) to Sell from Hold. He notes that the company, which reported second-quarter financial results this morning, trades for 21×2009 EBITA, &#8220;the highest multiple in the sector.&#8221;</p>
<p>Devitt says the company has had two consecutive quarters of mid-20 percent growth, but that it has had &#8220;fairly easy comps,&#8221; and that growth could drop into the low-to-mid teens by 2009. &#8220;Investors believe that Overstock is doing well for the same reasons TJ Maxx is doing well, but Overstock transitioned away from the excess market two years ago and sells more traditional retail merchandise in its current form,&#8221; he writes.<br />
<a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2008/07/18/overstock-stifel-downgrades-to-sell-stock-off-24/"><br />
Read the rest of this post</a></p>
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		<title>eBay Upgraded; Is Microsoft Interested in PayPal/Skype?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20080616/ebay-upgraded-is-microsoft-interested-in-paypalskype/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20080616/ebay-upgraded-is-microsoft-interested-in-paypalskype/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Jun 2008 15:20:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eric Savitz</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://voices.allthingsd.com/?p=1580</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Is Microsoft (MSFT) interested in taking a stake in eBay's (EBAY) PayPal and Skype units?

Stifel Nicolaus analyst Scott Devitt asserts in a research note this morning that he has "thought it possible for Microsoft to attain an equity ownership interest in PayPal/Skype."]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Is Microsoft (MSFT) interested in taking a stake in eBay&#8217;s (EBAY) PayPal and Skype units?</p>
<p>Stifel Nicolaus analyst Scott Devitt asserts in a research note this morning that he has &#8220;thought it possible for Microsoft to attain an equity ownership interest in PayPal/Skype.&#8221; He notes that display ads for Microsoft&#8217;s program for providing cash back to consumers who make purchases through MSN have shown up on eBay, and that all of eBay&#8217;s fixed price items qualify for the program. He also notes that the cash-back program offers PayPal deposit of refunds.</p>
<p>Manwhile, Devitt this morning upped his rating on eBay to Buy from Hold; he maintains his $35 price target on the stock.</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2008/06/16/ebay-stifel-upgrades-msft-interest-in-paypalskype/">Read the rest of this post</a></p>
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		<title>Amazon Buying Borders? Don&#039;t Bet on It, Says Stifel</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20080613/amazon-buying-borders-dont-bet-on-it-says-stifel/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20080613/amazon-buying-borders-dont-bet-on-it-says-stifel/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Jun 2008 22:30:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eric Savitz</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://voices.allthingsd.com/?p=1547</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Earlier this week, the hedge fund manager William Ackman of Pershing Square Capital Management floated the idea that the book retailer Borders Group (BGP) should consider selling itself to Amazon.com (AMZN).]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Earlier this week, the hedge fund manager William Ackman of Pershing Square Capital Management floated the idea that the book retailer Borders Group (BGP) should consider selling itself to Amazon.com (AMZN). That would be certainly be a good thing for Ackman, since Pershing Square owns about 30% of Borders. He compared the concept of Amazon-owned retailer stores to Apple&#8217;s successful move into bricks-and-mortar retailing.</p>
<p>But for a variety of reasons, this seems like a long shot idea. Scott Devitt, an analyst at Stifel Nicolaus, says bluntly, &#8220;not a chance.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2008/06/13/amazon-buying-borders-dont-bet-on-it-says-stifel/">Read the rest of this post</a></p>
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