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	<title>AllThingsD &#187; subsidy</title>
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		<title>iPhone Subsidies Working Out Well for China Telecom</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120823/iphone-subsidies-working-out-well-for-china-telecom/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120823/iphone-subsidies-working-out-well-for-china-telecom/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Aug 2012 12:00:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Product News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China telecom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earnings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPhone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subsidy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wang Xiaochu]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=244238</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[China Telecom’s decision to offer Apple’s iPhone 4S fully subsidized is proving to be strategically wise move.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://i1.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2012/05/Great-Wall-of-iPhones-380x285.png"><img src="http://i1.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2012/05/Great-Wall-of-iPhones-380x285.png?resize=380%2C285" alt="" title="Great-Wall-of-iPhones-380x285" class="alignright size-full wp-image-208769" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a>China Telecom&#8217;s decision to offer Apple&#8217;s iPhone 4S fully subsidized in exchange for a two-year or a three-year contract is proving to be strategically wise for China&#8217;s smallest mobile operator.</p>
<p>Reporting <a href="http://www.chinatelecom-h.com/eng/media/news/p120822.pdf">a better-than-expected second quarter</a> Wednesday, China Telecom said that it <a href="http://www.chinatelecom-h.com/eng/ir/presentations/intpre120822.pdf">added 8.35 million subscribers during the period, and saw its average revenue per user rise</a>, increases the company attributed to the iPhone.</p>
<p>&#8220;Our short-term profitability was under pressure due to the launch of iPhone in March and an [associated] increase in marketing,&#8221; China Telecom Chairman and CEO Wang Xiaochu said during the company&#8217;s earnings call. &#8220;[But that] investment is helping us expand into the high-end market and achieve breakthroughs in our mobile business &#8230; enhancing our long-term value.&#8221;</p>
<p>Looking ahead, Wang said he expected the second half of the year to play out much like the first, with the iPhone luring in more wireless subscribers, even as its subsidy costs weigh on the company&#8217;s profitability. <a href="http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-08-22/china-telecom-net-falls-10-percent-on-iphone-costs-beating-estimates">Said Wang</a>, &#8220;The effect of the iPhone began to show in the second quarter, leading to the increase in mobile subsidies. In the second half, mobile subsidies will be more or less the same as the first half.”</p>
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		<title>LevelUp's Plan to Supercharge the Mobile Payments Market: Make It Free</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120712/levelups-plan-to-supercharge-the-mobile-payments-market-make-it-free/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120712/levelups-plan-to-supercharge-the-mobile-payments-market-make-it-free/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jul 2012 13:01:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tricia Duryee</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Commerce]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[debit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[eBay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google Wallet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Groupon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[interchange rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LevelUp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MasterCard]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[merchants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mobile payments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PayPal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[promotoins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[retailers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SCVNGR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Seth Priebatsch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Square]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subsidy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[visa]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=229377</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[LevelUp is hoping that merchants and consumers will quickly adopt its mobile payments service, because it doesn't cost either party a single cent to use.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Every time you use plastic to pay for a cup of coffee or a pack of cigarettes, look closely, because you can probably see the merchant cringe.</p>
<p><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-229380" title="LevelUp - glowing dock" src="http://i0.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2012/07/LevelUp-glowing-dock-380x248.jpeg?resize=380%2C248" alt="" data-recalc-dims="1" />That&#8217;s because, for every transaction, they usually pay the payment processors 2 percent or more. On small purchases, that can often be the retailer&#8217;s profit.</p>
<p>But, starting today, LevelUp is providing merchants an alternative that will charge absolutely nothing. It is calling the program Interchange Zero, because when both merchants and consumers use LevelUp, it won&#8217;t cost a single cent to accept a payment.</p>
<p>On the consumer-facing side of LevelUp&#8217;s business, consumers must pay using a mobile application on their phone that is tied to their debit or credit card. This makes LevelUp one of dozens of companies also competing in the hotly contested mobile payments space.</p>
<p>LevelUp CEO Seth Priebatsch says he&#8217;s been talking about charging zero interchange fees for the past eight months, but only now has figured out a way to roll it out. &#8221;Once you go to zero, you can&#8217;t go back,&#8221; he said, noting how confident he is in making the move.</p>
<p>But getting both merchants and consumers to adopt the mobile payments has been challenging for others, including Google Wallet, PayPal and Square, which are all arguably in the very early stages. Others, including Groupon and Apple, are also contenders, and, oh yeah, don&#8217;t forget about Visa, MasterCard and American Express, which all have healthy businesses based on charging interchange rates.</p>
<p>Crazy as it sounds, Priebatsch believes that his Boston start-up, which is a division of <a href="http://www.scvngr.com/">Scvngr</a> and <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120607/google-ventures-backs-scvngrs-mobile-payments-app/">raised a modest $12 million in its most recent round</a>, has an honest chance against them all.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s because he is leapfrogging everyone else by going directly to zero.</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s a commodity. Everyone is competing on price,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>Up until now, LevelUp was charging about 2 percent per transaction. Under that model, it had signed up 3,000 merchants, and said that roughly 200,000 active users were spending about $2 million a month on its network. Going forward, rather than making money on interchange, it plans to sell services to merchants with the aim of getting new consumers in the door and keeping them coming back.</p>
<p>For instance, a common promotion that a merchant could offer would be offering $2 off a purchase. When redeeming the offer, LevelUp earns 35 cents for every dollar off. In this example, the merchant would have paid $2.70 to acquire the customer, which becomes a whole lot more economical if there&#8217;s no interchange. Priebatsch believes that by offering such promotions, they can sustainably bring interchange to zero. Currently, 98 percent of the businesses using LevelUp are running campaigns.</p>
<p>&#8220;We don&#8217;t need it [interchange] anymore. We&#8217;ve found ways to add value that can fully subsidize it,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>It also helps that LevelUp is trying to come up with creative ways to limit the amount of interchange it pays.</p>
<p>Priebatsch didn&#8217;t go into details on how, but he said that the company has built proprietary algorithms to route money more intelligently, which saves it 50 percent compared to when LevelUp didn&#8217;t have the technology. The company also worked aggressively to reduce fraud in the system, and says it has 99 percent less fraud than a standard credit card because merchants never see a consumer&#8217;s 16-digit code, but instead scans a QR code.</p>
<p>But even if merchants like it, will consumers be willing to adopt mobile payments?</p>
<p>Priebatsch is insanely optimistic on that front, too, believing that merchants will do most of the legwork for LevelUp, because if they save money, they can ultimately pass it along to the consumer. So far, that&#8217;s penciled out, with LevelUp reporting that 85 percent of users are signing up for the app inside of a store.</p>
<p>LevelUp is not the only one moving fast on this front.</p>
<p>Dwolla is working hard to build its own network that limts interchange; Google Wallet plans to subsidize its network with advertising; and PayPal believes that it can continue to charge as long as it offers other perks and services to the merchant.</p>
<p>For more information, here&#8217;s the whole release:</p>
<blockquote class="memo">
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>LevelUp Becomes First Payments Solution to Achieve ‘Interchange Zero’</strong><br />
“Merchants Will Never Pay a Processing Fee Again,” says CEO Seth Priebatsch</p>
<p>Boston &#8212; July 12, 2012 &#8212; Accepting credit cards costs merchants a total of $50 billion every year. In fact, payment processing fees are the single largest ‘invisible tax’ on businesses in the American economy. This hurts consumers, too. That $50 billion comes out of your pocket in the form of higher prices anywhere you swipe your card.</p>
<p>Luckily, that fee is going away forever.</p>
<p>As of today, any merchant accepting LevelUp as a form of payment will join the Interchange Zero revolution and stop paying processing fees forever.</p>
<p><strong>What is this &#8220;Interchange Zero&#8221; thing?</strong><br />
Interchange Zero is the revolutionary &#8212; and now, real &#8212; idea that it shouldn’t cost merchants a single cent to accept a payment. No ifs, ands, or buts. Instead of making money just for moving money, payment providers should add value above the transaction in ways that help businesses thrive and grow, such as customer acquisition and customer loyalty campaigns.</p>
<p>Priebatsch first broached Interchange Zero as a burgeoning shift in the payments industry last fall at Fast Company’s Innovation Uncensored conference. He’s written on the topic in Inc. Magazine and this spring at SXSW Interactive, Priebatsch addressed the crowd about this inevitable payment revolution.</p>
<p>And now it&#8217;s finally here.</p>
<p><strong>OK, this is cool. But why is interchange a dying business?</strong><br />
Fifty years ago, interchange &#8212; the movement of money &#8212; had reason to be costly. For example, physical lines were laid to connect merchants to the network and large fraud risks had to be covered.<br />
But this day in age, those lines are already laid and heavy-duty security innovations have lessened the real value of interchange. Yet, as these real costs went down, the interchange rate stuck around. What a swindle!</p>
<p>&#8220;The process of moving money is now becoming a commodity, a de facto service. We’re entering an era in which merchants should get &#8212; and will eventually only pay for &#8212; value above and beyond the transaction,&#8221; said Seth Priebatsch, Chief Ninja of LevelUp. &#8220;LevelUp is skipping this ‘race to the bottom’ happening between the major payments companies and leading the way by providing real value beyond the transaction.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>Today: 0% payment fee. Forever.</strong><br />
Today, LevelUp is taking the bold step of dropping its interchange to zero. Entirely. Forever. From here on out, LevelUp will only make money by providing value beyond the transaction.<br />
LevelUp provides that value with campaigns. The first two are built to solve big problems:</p>
<p><strong>Customer Acquisition campaign:</strong> On LevelUp, businesses easily create a compelling incentive to bring new customers in the door. LevelUp will promote it. By bringing in new customers, LevelUp is providing real value. The consumer saves. The merchant wins a new customer. No other payment processor does this!</p>
<p><strong>Customer Loyalty campaigns:</strong> Businesses create awesome loyalty campaigns on LevelUp. In doing so, LevelUp motivates customers to come back more often to unlock the loyalty incentives. More visits per week is real value. The consumer is rewarded. The merchant is busier than ever!</p>
<p><strong>OK this is pretty sweet. But how does LevelUp make money?</strong><br />
When merchants choose to run a campaign on LevelUp, LevelUp earns 35 cents for every dollar of credit redeemed through that campaign. That means LevelUp is only making money when real value &#8212; which is determined by the merchant when they set up their campaign(s) &#8212; is created.</p>
<p><strong>That’s it?</strong><br />
That’s it. So businesses, stop paying interchange! Like, now. Accepting your customers’ money should be free. And with LevelUp it is. Zero percent means zero percent.</p>
<p>Now, take that money, and reinvest it in campaigns that actually grow your business. If they don&#8217;t work, improve them. Or stop running them. All the data is yours, all in real-time.</p>
<p><strong>And one last thing&#8230;</strong><br />
&#8220;Google gave away access to all the world’s information for free. They could have charged per search, but they didn&#8217;t. They chose to make money only when they added real value for an advertiser by driving a consumer to a website with a click,&#8221; added Priebatsch. &#8220;We&#8217;re doing the same thing with payments. We&#8217;re going enable the frictionless flow of money and only make money when we add real value for merchants &#8212; in this case, by driving a new customer to a business with a transaction.”</p>
<p>Britannica might not have liked Google giving away access to information for free. But consumers and businesses sure did. We don&#8217;t think everyone will like Interchange Zero. But businesses and consumers sure will.</p>
<p>To join the 3000+ brick-and-mortar merchants already on LevelUp, please visit TheLevelUp.com/business.</p>
<p><strong>About LevelUp</strong></p>
<p>LevelUp is a revolutionary new way to pay. Users pay with their phone, saving time and money. Businesses pay 0% payment processing fees and re-invest those savings into growing their businesses by attracting new customers and bringing them back.</p>
<p>LevelUp is a part of SCVNGR which is backed by Google Ventures, Balderton Capital, Continental Advisors, Highland Capital and Transmedia Capital.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Carriers Willing to Live With High iPhone Subsidies for Now</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120521/carriers-willing-to-live-with-high-iphone-subsidies-for-now/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120521/carriers-willing-to-live-with-high-iphone-subsidies-for-now/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 May 2012 12:00:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BMO Capital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[carriers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPhone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Keith Bachman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LTE iPhone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subsidies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subsidy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=210389</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If there's a handset subsidy battle to be fought, it probably won't happen until after the debut of the LTE iPhone.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://i0.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2012/04/Tim_iphone4sannouncement.jpg"><img src="http://i1.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2012/04/Tim_iphone4sannouncement-380x253.jpg?resize=380%2C253" alt="" title="Tim_iphone4sannouncement" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-195571" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a>Much as U.S. wireless carriers would like to reduce the high subsidies they pay on Apple&#8217;s iPhone, there&#8217;s little chance that they&#8217;ll do so anytime soon.</p>
<p>Why?</p>
<p>They&#8217;re far too worried about what would happen to their customer-retention rates if they did so.</p>
<p>&#8220;We continue to believe carriers would lower iPhone subsidies if they collectively felt that competing devices would drive the same economics as iPhones,&#8221; says BMO Capital’s Keith Bachman. But right now, they don&#8217;t. And with no other hero handset to mitigate the risks of the spike in customer churn that might follow a reduction in iPhone subsidy, we&#8217;re unlikely to see one in the near term.</p>
<p>There are other reasons, as well, one being the presumed launch of a new LTE iPhone. That device will likely inspire a strong surge of upgrades late in the year. And with carriers looking to move subscribers onto their LTE networks, they&#8217;re probably not going to mess with a device that will surely be instrumental in helping them do it.</p>
<p>Finally, <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120424/contracts-with-apple-should-blunt-any-carrier-push-back-on-iphone-subsidies/">as we&#8217;ve noted here before</a>, Apple&#8217;s multiyear agreements with its carrier partners very likely prevent them from changing iPhone subsidy pricing. These deals are said to have most-favored-nation clauses, so that any reduction in subsidy offered to one carrier would have to be offered to the others. And with Verizon and Sprint both newly locked into their contracts for some time, Apple has no cause whatsoever to even entertain the idea of a lower iPhone subsdidy.</p>
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		<title>Apple CEO: Enough of This iPhone Subsidy Silly Talk</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120425/apple-ceo-enough-of-this-iphone-subsidy-silly-talk/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120425/apple-ceo-enough-of-this-iphone-subsidy-silly-talk/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2012 11:13:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[carriers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[churn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPhone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subsidy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Cook]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=199806</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Relax, people.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://i2.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2012/04/Much_too_silly.jpg"><img src="http://i0.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2012/04/Much_too_silly-352x285.jpg?resize=352%2C285" alt="" title="Much_too_silly" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-199813" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a>Apple CEO Tim Cook has some advice for investors concerned that <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120409/analyst-cuts-apple-rating-on-prospect-of-iphone-subsidy-revolt/">subsidy cuts and/or stricter upgrade policies by U.S. wireless carriers could undermine iPhone sales</a>.</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t worry so much. Apple doesn&#8217;t.</p>
<p>Remarking on the subsidy issue during <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120424/and-the-beats-go-on-apple-crushes-estimates-again/">the company&#8217;s second-quarter earnings call</a> Tuesday, Cook dismissed it, essentially saying that the iPhone is so exceptionally profitable for carriers that they&#8217;re not likely to mess with it.</p>
<p>&#8220;From the carriers&#8217; perspective, it&#8217;s important to remember the subsidy is not large relative to the payments across a two-year contract period,&#8221; Cook said. &#8220;Any delta between the iPhone and another phone is even smaller.&#8221;</p>
<p>Beyond that, there are a number of advantages to carrying the iPhone.</p>
<p>&#8220;A number of carriers have told me that churn from iPhone customers is lowest of any phone they sell,&#8221; Cook said. &#8220;That&#8217;s obviously a significant, direct financial benefit to the carrier.&#8221;</p>
<p>But the iPhone&#8217;s greatest advantage is this: It&#8217;s a device that customers want to use every day.</p>
<p>&#8220;At the end of the day, the vast majority of carriers want to provide what their customer want to buy,&#8221; Cook said. &#8220;That&#8217;s what motivates them. &#8230; The iPhone is the best smartphone on the planet to entice a customer who is currently using a traditional phone to upgrade to a smartphone. This is by far the largest opportunity for Apple and our carrier partners. It&#8217;s a win-win. All of these factors are missed in this discussion of subsidy.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Contracts With Apple Should Blunt Any Carrier Pushback on iPhone Subsidies</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120424/contracts-with-apple-should-blunt-any-carrier-push-back-on-iphone-subsidies/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120424/contracts-with-apple-should-blunt-any-carrier-push-back-on-iphone-subsidies/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Apr 2012 10:30:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AT&T]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Avi Silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BTIG Research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CLSA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPhone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPhone subsidy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sprint]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subsidy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Verizon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Walter Piecyk]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=199325</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A new analysis from CLSA indicates that a carrier revolt over iPhone subsidies paid to Apple is unlikely.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i1.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2012/04/Tim_iphone4sannouncement-380x253.jpg?resize=380%2C253" alt="" title="Tim_iphone4sannouncement" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-195571" data-recalc-dims="1" />The possibility of <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120409/analyst-cuts-apple-rating-on-prospect-of-iphone-subsidy-revolt/">a decline in carrier subsidies for Apple’s iPhone</a> has been top of mind for investors recently, and partially responsible for the tumultuous few weeks the company&#8217;s shares have recently suffered. But is it really cause for concern?</p>
<p>Some argue that it is. BTIG Research analyst Walter Piecyk recently cut his rating on Apple, theorizing that U.S. carriers will soon rein in their iPhone subsidies in an effort to boost their own margins. And were that to happen, a significant contraction in iPhone sales would likely follow.</p>
<p>Question is: Will it happen? According to a new analysis from CLSA, the answer is probably no &#8212; at least not for the next 18 to 24 months.</p>
<p>Which is great news for Apple. CLSA figures iPhone subsidies accounted for $19 billion of Apple&#8217;s fiscal 2011 revenue. And about 46 percent of that came from North America. So if AT&#038;T, Verizon and Sprint were to push to lower the subsidies they pay to sell the iPhone, Apple could take a revenue hit. Indeed, some observers have estimated that a $100 drop in the iPhone subsidy would trim $7.50 from Apple’s earnings-per-share for fiscal 2013.</p>
<p>But that&#8217;s an unlikely scenario.</p>
<p>Why? Because, CLSA argues, the structure of Apple&#8217;s carrier agreements will prevent it from occurring.</p>
<p>&#8220;We believe these are multiyear agreements which tend to stipulate subsidy policies up front,&#8221; CLSA analyst Avi Silver explains. &#8220;For the major carriers, we believe these agreements have most favored nation clauses so any offering from Apple to one carrier would have to be offered to the other. During the length of these multiyear agreements, we believe U.S. carriers would need permission from Apple to alter subsidy levels.&#8221;</p>
<p>And if that&#8217;s the case, they&#8217;re obviously going to have a difficult time getting it. More to the point, that hypothetical most-favored-nation clause &#8212; if it exists &#8212; is going to make it tough to trim iPhone subsidies for a while.</p>
<p>Says Silver, &#8220;For AT&#038;T, we do not know when its multiyear agreement expires but Verizon and Sprint are likely locked in for some time. As a result, we think that an outright reduction in subsidies is an unlikely scenario in the U.S. market.&#8221;</p>
<p>Apple reports earnings after market close today.</p>
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		<title>Analyst Cuts Apple Rating on Prospect of iPhone Subsidy Revolt</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120409/analyst-cuts-apple-rating-on-prospect-of-iphone-subsidy-revolt/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120409/analyst-cuts-apple-rating-on-prospect-of-iphone-subsidy-revolt/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Apr 2012 18:25:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AT&T]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BTIG Research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[downgrade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPhone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subsidy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Walter Piecyk]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=194458</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[An Apple downgrade? What's that?]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://i1.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2012/04/commodus_eh.jpg"><img src="http://i2.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2012/04/commodus_eh-380x160.jpg?resize=380%2C160" alt="" title="commodus_eh" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-194459" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a>Now here are two words you don&#8217;t often see in the same sentence: Apple and downgrade. Yet here they are in a note from <a href="http://www.btigresearch.com/">BTIG Research’s Walter Piecyk</a>, who this morning cut his rating on the company&#8217;s shares to &#8220;neutral&#8221; from &#8220;buy.&#8221;</p>
<p>A shocker of a call, coming as it does when Apple shares are so ascendant that some analysts have slapped a staggering $1,001 price target on them. But Piecyk has his reasons, and they&#8217;re worth considering, even as AAPL shrugs them off in midday trading. Top among them: He believes Apple&#8217;s carrier partners are tired of offering such high subsidies on the iPhone, which eat into their own margins while delivering huge ones to Apple. And soon they&#8217;re going to begin reining them in.</p>
<p>&#8220;Subsidies by post-paid wireless operators have fueled the growth of Apple’s $600 iPhone since its inception,&#8221; says Piecyk. &#8220;Wireless operators have been happy to subsidize smartphones to new and existing customers in order to provide a lift to the average monthly bill (ARPU) of their customer base, a metric which had been falling for the past three decades.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://i1.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2012/04/ATT_margins.jpg"><img src="http://i2.wp.com/allthingsd.com/files/2012/04/ATT_margins-378x285.jpg?resize=378%2C285" alt="" title="ATT_margins" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-194575" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a>But now that the pace of the smartphone upgrade cycle has quickened, subsidizing iPhone upgrades only one year into a two-year contract is becoming a costly proposition. Case in point: AT&#038;T&#8217;s wireless margins, which used to be more than 44 percent, are these days hovering around 30 percent (see slide at right). So, to raise margin levels back to where they once were, AT&#038;T is implementing stricter upgrade policies.</p>
<p>“We expect post-paid wireless operators to remain firm in their plan to stunt the pace of phone upgrades in 2012 and we expect to see some initial evidence of their success in the current quarter,” Piecyk said.</p>
<p>And that could cause a significant contraction in iPhone sales; more so, if other carriers follow AT&#038;T&#8217;s lead, as Piecyk believes they might.</p>
<p>How significant?</p>
<p>Says Piecyk, &#8220;We expect Apple’s iPhone sales to drop to 27.5 million units in Fiscal Q3, resulting in a revenue estimate that is $1 billion below consensus.&#8221;</p>
<p>Which would obviously make for a hell of a surprise.</p>
<p>So what do we think of Piecyk&#8217;s rationale? Does it hold water?</p>
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		<title>Sprint to Sell Samsung Tablet for $400</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20101025/sprint-to-sell-samsung-tablet-for-400/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20101025/sprint-to-sell-samsung-tablet-for-400/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 Oct 2010 17:25:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Roger Cheng</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Voices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[analysts]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[device]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[digital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[frontpage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Galaxy Tab]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hardware]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[plan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prepaid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roger Cheng]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Samsung]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[service]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[service agreement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sprint]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subsidy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[telecom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Wall Street Journal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Verizon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wireless]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://voices.allthingsd.com/?p=31505</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sprint Nextel Corp. said it plans to sell Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd.'s Galaxy Tab tablet computer for a third less than Verizon Wireless, though Sprint will require a long-term contract.

Sprint will sell the device for $399.99 in exchange for a two-year commitment to a data service plan. Sprint will begin selling the Galaxy Tab on Nov. 14, three days after Verizon Wireless.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sprint Nextel Corp. said it plans to sell Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd.&#8217;s Galaxy Tab tablet computer for a third less than Verizon Wireless, though Sprint will require a long-term contract.</p>
<p>Sprint will sell the device for $399.99 in exchange for a two-year commitment to a data service plan. Sprint will begin selling the Galaxy Tab on Nov. 14, three days after Verizon Wireless.</p>
<p>Verizon Wireless said last week it would sell the device for $599.99, but offered a prepaid data plan without the requirement for a contract.</p>
<p>For any mobile product, getting the proper marketing and subsidy support from a carrier is crucial to a successful launch. A subsidized device can dull much of the sticker shock that comes from seeing the actual retail prices. Carriers are willing to offer a discount because they can lock customers into multi-year service agreements.</p>
<p>Verizon Wireless&#8217;s decision to sell the product without a subsidy had some industry analysts speculating that it wouldn&#8217;t fare well against the iPad, which the carrier also plans to sell for as little as $629.99.</p>
<p><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303467004575574274030024204.html?mod=WSJ_Tech_LEFTTopNews">Read the rest of this post on the original site</a></p>
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		<title>IPhone 4: $188 in Parts, $411 in Magic</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20100628/iphone-4-188-in-parts-411-in-magic/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20100628/iphone-4-188-in-parts-411-in-magic/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Jun 2010 19:52:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[16GB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[A4]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AT&T]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bill of materials]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BOM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[carriers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[digital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hardware]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPhone 4]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPhone 4 Feature]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iSuppli]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[processor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Retina display]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[semiconductors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subsidy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tear-down]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[telecom]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=43745</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The components in the 16GB version of Apple’s iPhone 4 cost $8.55 more than those in its predecessor. That’s the conclusion of iSuppli’s tear-down analysis of the device, which estimates its bill of materials to be $187.51.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://i2.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2010/06/Apple-iPhone-4-Exploded-View.jpg"><img src="http://i2.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2010/06/Apple-iPhone-4-Exploded-View-150x150.jpg?resize=150%2C150" alt="" title="Apple iPhone 4 Exploded View" class="alignright size-thumbnail wp-image-43749" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a>The components in the 16GB version of Apple’s (AAPL) iPhone 4 <a href="http://www.businessweek.com/technology/content/jun2010/tc20100627_763714.htm">cost $8.55 more than those in its predecessor</a>. </p>
<p>This according to iSuppli’s tear-down analysis of the device, which estimates its bill of materials to be $187.51 (<em>click on chart below to enlarge</em>). That’s a bit more that the iPhone 3GS, which had a BOM of $178.96, but then, Apple&#8217;s newest iPhone model boasts a number of enhancements, among them the Retina Display and A4 processor, which iSuppli figures cost $28.50 and $10.75, respectively. </p>
<p>No word on what carriers pay Apple for the device. But right now a 16GB iPhone 4 on AT&#038;T (T) without contract or subsidy costs $599. </p>
<p><a href="http://i1.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2010/06/isuppli_iphone4teardown.jpg"><img src="http://i2.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2010/06/isuppli_iphone4teardown-186x300.jpg?resize=186%2C300" alt="" title="isuppli_iphone4teardown" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-43773" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
<p>[<em>Image credit: iSuppli</em>]</p>
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		<title>AT&amp;T's New Early-Termination Fee for the iPhone: $325</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20100521/att-jacks-smartphone-early-termination-fee-to-325/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20100521/att-jacks-smartphone-early-termination-fee-to-325/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 May 2010 18:18:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AT&T]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[carriers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[contract]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[costs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[digital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[early termination fee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ETF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[exclusivity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[handset]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hardware]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPhone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mobile phone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[smartphone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subscribers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subsidy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[telecom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Verizon]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=41195</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A word of warning to AT&#38;T subscribers who would switch carriers when the company's iPhone exclusivity deal with Apple finally ends: The cost of doing so will soon rise--substantially. Come June 1, AT&#38;T is raising its early-termination fee on smartphones to $325 from $175.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i0.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/11/att_iphone.jpg?resize=150%2C107" alt="att_iphone" class="alignright size-full wp-image-29246" data-recalc-dims="1" />A word of warning to AT&#038;T subscribers who would switch carriers when the company&#8217;s iPhone exclusivity deal with Apple finally ends: The cost of doing so will soon rise&#8211;substantially. Come June 1, <a href="http://www.att.com/gen/press-room?pid=17951">AT&#038;T is raising its early-termination fee</a> on smartphones to $325 from $175. </p>
<p>The increase comes amid speculation that AT&#038;T’s (T) iPhone-exclusivity deal with Apple (AAPL) is nearing its end. But a company representative tells me it has &#8220;nothing to do with the iPhone or any other device.&#8221;</p>
<p>$325. That’s a pretty steep increase from $175. Though to be fair, it’s not quite as bad as the one already implemented by rival Verizon (VZ). Last November, that carrier <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20091106/ve/">doubled its smartphone ETF from $175 to $350</a>, a move AT&#038;T was quick to cite as partial justification for its own decision. </p>
<p>And, indeed, the company is following in Verizon&#8217;s footsteps here. Like its rival&#8217;s ETF, AT&#038;T&#8217;s drops $10 per month for each month of a two-year contract. Which means that at the 23rd month of a two year contract, AT&#038;T subscribers must pay $95 to leave the carrier. The contract is nearly over, yet subscribers are obligated to pay nearly a third of the full ETF if they break it at that time.</p>
<p>Now it&#8217;s true that ETF&#8217;s were created as a means of recovering legitimate costs associated with subsidizing mobile phones. If AT&#038;T is paying a <a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2008/06/19/apple-oppenheimer-says-att-iphone-subsidy-is-325/">$325 subsidy for the iPhone</a>, the company should be able to recoup that money when customers break their contracts. But does it really stand to lose $95 if they do so in the 23rd month? Doesn’t seem likely if those customers can walk away just a month later without consequence, taking their handsets with them.</p>
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		<title>So Much for That Free Google Phone Idea</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20091230/so-much-for-that-free-google-phone-idea/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20091230/so-much-for-that-free-google-phone-idea/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Dec 2009 13:40:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Android]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Android Feature]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[customers]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[E-Reader Feature]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gizmodo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hardware]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nexus One]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[online]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[price point]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[provider]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[search]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[second generation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subsidy]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[wireless]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=31270</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A quick update on the Nexus One, the Android phone Google will likely uncrate at the Jan. 5 media event it announced yesterday. According to documents leaked to Gizmodo, Google plans to sell the device unlocked and unsubsidized for $530 or with a two-year T-Mobile contract for $179.99.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i1.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/12/nexus.jpg?resize=200%2C197" alt="nexus" title="nexus" class="alignright size-full wp-image-31271" data-recalc-dims="1" />A quick update on the Nexus One, the Android phone Google will likely uncrate at the <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20091229/google-announces-jan-5-android-event/">Jan. 5 media event announced yesterday</a>. According to <a href="http://gizmodo.com/5436673/leaked-nexus-one-documents-530-unlocked-180-with-t+mobile">documents leaked to Gizmodo</a>, Google plans to sell the device unlocked and unsubsidized for $530 or with a two-year T-Mobile contract for $179.99. </p>
<p>If these documents are legitimate, they would appear to confirm that Google (GOOG) does indeed hope to rebalance the wireless market power structure, disintermediating carriers by selling the Nexus One directly to users, who will be allowed to choose the wireless provider of their choice. </p>
<p>But that $530 price point is a bit daunting, and it seems unlikely that many customers will be eager to pay it upfront&#8211;even if they’re given a post-purchase carrier subsidy once they select a provider and a wireless contract. So while the Nexus One might shake up the current wireless market model a bit, it’s probably not going to upend the market as it might have had Google opted to <a href="http://gizmodo.com/5428277/the-economics-of-a-free-google-phone">sell the device at cost</a> or subsidize it with online advertising. </p>
<p>Google&#8217;s plan, may, however, set the bar for how an Android phone should be done and set the stage for some much improved second-generation Android devices.</p>
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		<title>Google Rocks Real-Time Search</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20091207/google-rocks-real-time-search/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20091207/google-rocks-real-time-search/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 Dec 2009 19:00:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[music]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[on the fly language translation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Orange]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=30379</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[ See post to watch video ]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><div class="video-wsj"><object width="640" height="360"><param name="movie" value="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><param name="flashvars" value="videoGUID=71BCC2C5-5AED-408F-99A0-E941F66457EA&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/"name="microflashPlayer"></param><embed src="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashVars="videoGUID={71BCC2C5-5AED-408F-99A0-E941F66457EA}&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/" name="microflashPlayer" width="640" height="360" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" swLiveConnect="true" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash"></embed><br />[ See post to watch video ]</div></object></p>
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		<title>AOL Now Aol.</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20091123/aol-now-aol/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20091123/aol-now-aol/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2009 19:00:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[[ See post to watch video ]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><div class="video-wsj"><object width="640" height="360"><param name="movie" value="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><param name="flashvars" value="videoGUID=4DF298CB-1EF9-4E07-A796-237894CD64EF&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/"name="microflashPlayer"></param><embed src="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashVars="videoGUID={4DF298CB-1EF9-4E07-A796-237894CD64EF}&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/" name="microflashPlayer" width="640" height="360" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" swLiveConnect="true" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash"></embed><br />[ See post to watch video ]</div></object></p>
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		<title>Broadpoint AmTech Analyst Would Like His Verizon iPhone NOW, Please</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20091123/broadpoint-amtech-analyst-would-like-his-verizon-iphone-now-please/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20091123/broadpoint-amtech-analyst-would-like-his-verizon-iphone-now-please/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2009 16:31:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=29617</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[June 2010. That’s when AT&#38;T’s iPhone exclusivity contract with Apple expires--according to Broadpoint AmTech analyst Brian Marshall, anyway. In an interview with Bloomberg, Marshall said once again that he believes Apple will bring the iPhone to Verizon in the second half of 2010.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i1.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/11/jobs_canyouhearmenow-250x205-150x150.jpg?resize=150%2C150" alt="jobs_canyouhearmenow-250x205-150x150" title="jobs_canyouhearmenow-250x205-150x150" class="alignright size-full wp-image-29619" data-recalc-dims="1" /> June 2010. That’s when AT&#038;T’s iPhone exclusivity contract with Apple expires&#8211;<a href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/22/does-att-turn-into-a-pumpkin-in-june/">according to Broadpoint AmTech analyst Brian Marshall</a>, anyway. </p>
<p>In an <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/avp/avp.htm?N=adviser&amp;T=Marshall%20Recommends%20Apple%20Use%20Verizon%20as%20IPhone%20Carrier&amp;clipSRC=mms://media2.bloomberg.com/cache/vfk7eC6N2jGE.asf">interview with Bloomberg</a>, Marshall once again said he believes Apple (AAPL) will bring the iPhone to Verizon (VZ) in the second half of 2010 and forfeit AT&#038;T’s (T) sweetheart carrier subsidy as a result. This is, of course, essentially what he said a month ago, although now we appear to have a firmer date.</p>
<p>&#8220;While [Apple] started off with exclusive arrangements in 2007 with the original iPhone launch, the company has since migrated towards multiple carriers per region,&#8221; Marshall wrote in an October note to investors. &#8220;In our view, diverse carrier support is a key element to driving global penetration of the iPhone. Therefore, we believe the chances are high the iPhone will find its way onto the [Verizon] network in 2H10.&#8221;</p>
<p> <object width="350" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/imFfITYWiOE&#038;rel=0&#038;color1=0xb1b1b1&#038;color2=0xcfcfcf&#038;hl=en_US&#038;feature=player_embedded&#038;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/imFfITYWiOE&#038;rel=0&#038;color1=0xb1b1b1&#038;color2=0xcfcfcf&#038;hl=en_US&#038;feature=player_embedded&#038;fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" allowScriptAccess="always" width="350" height="344"></embed></object></p>
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		<title>Is Verizon's New Early-Termination Fee Anti-Consumer?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20091106/ve/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20091106/ve/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Nov 2009 19:06:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=28388</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Beginning Nov. 15, Verizon subscribers looking to get out of their smart-phone contracts early will pay $350 for the privilege. That early-termination fee is double the current one, but Verizon insists it’s justified because of the higher prices of today’s phones. An interesting move for a carrier that just last year agreed to pay $21 million to settle a class-action lawsuit filed by California consumers over the very early-termination fees it is now increasing.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i1.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/11/verizonetf_2.jpg?resize=250%2C206" alt="verizonetf_2" title="verizonetf_2" class="alignright size-full wp-image-28401" data-recalc-dims="1" />Beginning Nov. 15, Verizon subscribers looking to get out of their smart-phone contracts early will pay $350 for the privilege. That early-termination fee is double the current one, but Verizon insists it’s justified because of the higher prices of today’s phones.  </p>
<p>&#8220;The cost of smart phones is considerably higher than feature phones for which the early termination fees were created years ago at $175,&#8221; said Verizon spokesman Jim Gerace. He added that the new $350 ETF declines by $10 per month through the life of the contract and customers can avoid it by buying their devices off contract and paying full retail price.</p>
<p>An interesting move for Verizon (VZ), which just last year <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/10/business/10verizon.html">agreed to pay $21 million to settle a class-action lawsuit</a> filed by California consumers over the very early-termination fees it is now increasing. The plaintiffs in the suit alleged that Verizon’s ETFs were illegal under California law and that they were designed to unfairly lock consumers into long-term contracts and prevent them from switching carriers. When Verizon settled the suit, it denied any wrongdoing, insisting that early-termination fees are simply a means of recovering legitimate costs. And to some extent Verizon does have a point. </p>
<p>Full retail price for the Motorola&#8217;s (MOT) new Droid is $559.99. With a two-year contract, Verizon sells the handset for $199.99. Theoretically, that’s a $359.99 subsidy (I have no idea at what price Verizon purchases Droid from Motorola). So if Verizon allowed subscribers to break their contract after a month without paying an early-termination fee, the company would stand to lose money. And subscribers who did so <a href="http://www.boygeniusreport.com/2009/11/03/verizon-rumored-to-be-raising-etf-to-combat-scammers/">could subsequently sell the device online</a> and potentially make a profit, <a href="http://www.boygeniusreport.com/2009/10/29/blackberry-storm2-lands-on-verizon-with-bogo-in-tow/comment-page-2/#comment-637122">though a small one</a>.  </p>
<p>So it’s certainly understandable that Verizon and other carriers want to protect the subsidies they dole out for these new smart phones. And as noted earlier, Verizon’s new ETF drops by $10 each month a subscriber remains under contract. But at this rate, subscribers are still bound to pay a $110 termination fee in the 23rd month of a two-year contract. The contract is nearly over, the subscriber obligation to Verizon almost fulfilled, yet the company can still slap its customers with nearly a third of the full ETF if they break it at that time.</p>
<p>By month 23 of a two-year contract, does Verizon really stand to lose $110 if subscribers decide to switch carriers? Doesn’t seem likely if subscribers can walk away just a month later without consequence, taking their handsets with them.</p>
<p>Since Verizon is pro-rating the ETF, why isn’t it doing so in such a way that it zeroes out by the end of the contract? </p>
<p>And isn’t the fast pace of innovation in the smart-phone sector such that prices&#8211;for both component and device&#8211;are dropping so quickly that high ETFs aren’t really justified? Remember, you can get Apple&#8217;s (AAPL) iPhone for $99 today. When the iPhone debuted in 2007, it commanded a price of $499/$599, depending on model.</p>
<p>I’ve put those same questions to Verizon and will update here when I hear back. In the meantime, here&#8217;s what Consumers Union policy analyst Joel Kelsey has to say on the matter: &#8220;When people want to switch wireless services, the biggest cost they face is early termination fees. These fees are designed to lock people into long-term contracts and stop them from getting better deals. Early-termination fees make the marketplace less competitive. Verizon’s move is painful proof that it’s time for lawmakers to crack down on these fees.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>UPDATE:</strong> Verizon Wireless spokesperson Nancy Stark offers the following answers to the questions I posed above:</p>
<blockquote class="memo"><p>
Your first question regarding the balance at month 23 or 24 assumes that, at that point, we have recovered all of our subsidy and up-front costs for every device. That simply is not so. </p>
<p>On your second question, while the pace of innovation plays a role in prices coming down somewhat, it also plays a role in driving up costs as more and more complexity that customers want is added to  phones&#8211;from premium HTML browsers to high-resolution MP cameras with optical zoom; videoplayers; music players; dual processor chipsets; WiFi; very high display resolution, operating systems such as BlackBerry, Windows Mobile, Palm, Android&#8211;ALL with the added value (vs a desktop) of mobility, and ALL in one tiny device that ALSO allows you to talk to anyone from anywhere. phew! (by comparison, I recently paid $200 for a camera and all it can do is take pictures, and it has only middle of the road capabilities.)</p>
<p>But getting back to ETFs specifically. The most important point is that Verizon Wireless customers do not have to have an ETF at all if they do not want to. ETFs allow customers to have it either way: They can have no ETF and pay full retail for their device. OR, they can get a greatly discounted device by having an ETF.
</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Was the iPhone’s Launch in China Really a Bust?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20091103/china-iphone/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20091103/china-iphone/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Nov 2009 12:00:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=28027</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Apple’s internationally coveted iPhone finally arrived at market in China last week and by most accounts its debut was uncharacteristically muted. There is "no sign of the sort of sellout reception that greeted the smart phone at its introduction in other countries," The Wall Street Journal reported. Clearly, the device’s Chinese launch wasn’t the rousing success to which we’ve become accustomed. That said, it probably wasn’t quite the bust it’s been made out to be, either.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i0.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/11/iphonchina.jpg?resize=200%2C200" alt="iphonchina" title="iphonchina" class="alignright size-full wp-image-28028" data-recalc-dims="1" />Apple&#8217;s internationally coveted iPhone finally arrived at market in China last week and by <a href="http://thenextweb.com/2009/11/02/iphone-flops-china-guess/">most</a> accounts, <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703294004574509181789222564.html">it’s debut was uncharacteristically muted</a>.  </p>
<p>There is &#8220;no sign of the sort of sellout reception that greeted the smart phone at its introduction in other countries,&#8221; The Wall Street Journal reported, adding that there were no lines for the iPhone at the Apple store in Beijing, the company&#8217;s only location in China. </p>
<p>Sounds like a lackluster launch, and with Apple (AAPL) and China Unicom, the only carrier authorized to sell the device in the country, declining to disclose sales figures, it’s difficult to argue that it was otherwise. It clearly wasn’t the rousing success to which we’ve become accustomed. That said, it probably wasn’t quite the bust it’s been made out to be, either. </p>
<p>Why? Well, consider this: <a href="http://iphonasia.com/?p=7795">There were launch ceremonies in 30 provinces</a>. To date, we’ve heard anecdotal reports from&#8211;as best I can tell&#8211;<a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703294004574509181789222564.html">one of them</a>. And while it’s admittedly concerning to learn that a China Unicom store in Beijing sold just 10 iPhones last Saturday, that’s just one store. The device was on sale in many, many others (1000, according to Apple COO Tim Cook) across 30 provinces and <a href="http://english.people.com.cn/90001/90778/90860/6799829.html">285 Chinese cities</a> in a nation with 710 million mobile-phone subscribers.  </p>
<p>Finally, while it’s true that the prices Apple and China Unicom are charging for the iPhone are heady, they’re not quite as bad as we’ve been led to believe. &#8220;I think the western media has misconstrued the iPhone pricing in China,&#8221; <a href="http://iphonasia.com/">Dan Butterfield, editor of iPhonAsia told me</a>. </p>
<p>“Nine out of 10 reports that I&#8217;ve seen have simply repeated the &#8216;too expensive&#8217; mantra,&#8221; Butterfield explained. &#8220;They then quote the contract free price point&#8211;4,999 yuan ($730) to 6,999 yuan ($1,025) for the iPhone 3GS. They argue that you can buy a gray-market iPhone cheaper and it has WiFi&#8230;.The truth&#8230;the gray-market price is marginally cheaper for those who want to go &#8216;prepaid.&#8217; But when you examine the full matrix of China Unicom price/plans, you quickly realize that you can save big by going on contract vs. prepaid (pay as you go). There are even four price/plans where your iPhone if free. The iPhone subsidy increases for those who opt for more expensive monthly plans.&#8221;</p>
<p>Butterfield elaborates: &#8220;Moreover, if you want to access &#8217;3G,&#8217; there is no good carrier option other than China Unicom. You can run at 2G speeds on China Mobile or China Telecom. But neither of these two networks support the chipset in iPhone. China Mobile runs TDSCDMA 3G and China Telecom runs CDMA2000 3G. So you are left with China Unicom&#8217;s WCDMA 3G&#8211;a world-standard 3G protocol fully supported by iPhone 3G/3GS. Why not go on contract and get a subsidized iPhone that is well below the &#8216;too expensive&#8217; (contract free) prices that the media is shouting about?”</p>
<p>And in the end, does it even matter? As Butterfield noted, an iPhone sale is an iPhone sale&#8211;whether it’s made by a gray-market vendor or an authorized one. And either way, it&#8217;s good for Apple.</p>
<p>So was the iPhone’s launch in China really a bust? &#8220;Probably not,&#8221; said Butterfield. &#8220;Was it a rousing success? Probably not. The truth is somewhere in the middle.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>UPDATE:</strong> Well what do you know: China Unicom just coughed up some first weekend sales numbers for the iPhone and &#8230; well, they’re not much to look. <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20091103/chinese-iphone-sales/">The carrier sold just 5,000</a>. </p>
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		<title>A Verizon-iPhone Deal? Analyst Says &quot;Chances High&quot;</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20091028/iphone-verizon-2/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20091028/iphone-verizon-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 16:59:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=27642</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Apple has a lot to gain by ending iPhone carrier exclusivity in the U.S. and signing up Verizon as a second carrier partner. According to Broadpoint AmTech analyst Brian Marshall, the company may do just that in the second half of 2010.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i0.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/10/jobs_canyouhearmenow-250x205-150x150.jpg?resize=150%2C150" alt="jobs_canyouhearmenow-250x205" title="jobs_canyouhearmenow-250x205" class="alignright size-thumbnail wp-image-27643" data-recalc-dims="1" />Apple has a lot to gain by ending iPhone carrier exclusivity in the U.S. and signing up Verizon as a second carrier partner. As <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20090717/analyst-att-screwed-without-iphone-exclusivity/">I&#8217;ve noted here before</a>, such a deal could more than double U.S. iPhone sales in the near term. That said, it does have some noteworthy downsides, top among them, the end of the estimated $450-per-iPhone carrier subsidy AT&#038;T (T) has been paying.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s the word from Broadpoint AmTech analyst Brian Marshall, who believes Apple (AAPL) will bring the iPhone to Verizon (VZ) in the second half of 2010 and forfeit AT&#038;T&#8217;s &#8220;sweetheart&#8221; carrier subsidy as a result.</p>
<p>&#8220;While [Apple] started off with exclusive arrangements in 2007 with the original iPhone launch, the company has since migrated towards multiple carriers per region,&#8221; Marshall wrote in a note to investors. &#8220;In our view, diverse carrier support is a key element to driving global penetration of the iPhone. Therefore, we believe the chances are high the iPhone will find its way onto the [Verizon] network in 2H10.&#8221;</p>
<p>Of course, should things play out that way, the iPhone will no longer be the powerful subscriber-retention tool it is today. And Marshall believes that will lower the subsidy it commands from an estimated $450 to around $300.</p>
<p>This might seem to imply a nasty hit to Apple&#8217;s bottom line, but Marshall figures any losses Apple might suffer would be  more than made up in volume. He sees Verizon selling roughly 14 million iPhones in the 2011 calendar year. And with an average selling price of $500, that&#8217;s another $7 billion in revenue for Apple.</p>
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		<title>Palm Pixie in November?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20090630/palm-pixie-in-november/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20090630/palm-pixie-in-november/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Jun 2009 22:00:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=20527</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[According to some lines of code secreted away within webOS, Palm has at least one more handset in the pipeline--the so-called Eos (codename: Pixie). And while no one seems to know when it will arrive at market, there’s speculation today that we’ll see it by November, right in time for the winter holidays.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i0.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/06/palm-eos-aka-pixie-confirmed-from-weird-source-150x150.jpg?resize=150%2C150" alt="" title="" class="alignright size-thumbnail wp-image-20528" data-recalc-dims="1" />According to <a href="http://www.precentral.net/palm-eos-pixie-confirmed">some lines of code secreted away within webOS</a>, Palm has at least one more handset in the pipeline&#8211;the so-called Eos (codename: Pixie).</p>
<p>The device, intended as a replacement for the Centro, Palm&#8217;s last PalmOS smartphone, is expected to feature a 2.6-inch multitouch display, inline keyboard, two-megapixel camera and 4GB of internal storage, among other features. Word on the street has it priced at $99 with contract, rounding out the lower end of Palm’s new webOS lineup.</p>
<p>And when will it arrive at market? No one seems to know, though Tavis McCourt and Justin Patterson at Morgan Keegan &#038; Company speculate that we’ll see it sometime this fall. &#8220;We believe initial Pixie shipments will begin in the November quarter, although timing is still uncertain (we believe the goal would likely be a holiday launch),&#8221; the analysts wrote in a research note today.</p>
<p>&#8220;Although Pixie is unlikely to be a &#8216;hero&#8217; product with massive advertising and subsidy support, its $99 price point should drive substantial volumes and we believe distribution can be broader initially if not exclusive. In general, we have used the Centro as a benchmark for the Pixie. At a $99 retail price point, the Centro peaked out at about 1 million units shipped/quarter with distribution at all of Palm’s significant historic customers. We have the Pixie ramping quickly to these levels in calendar 2010 as distribution ramps.&#8221;</p>
<p>That seems a reasonable expectation, especially if the Pixie isn’t exclusive to a single carrier. And at present, it’s thought that the device will be available, at least initially, from both <a href="http://www.engadget.com/2009/04/30/palm-eos-super-thin-3g-and-headed-to-atandt/">AT&#038;T</a> (T) and <a href="http://www.phonenews.com/palm-eos-coming-to-sprint-after-pre-launch-7742/">Sprint</a> (S).</p>
<p>So, as McCourt and Patterson note, Palm (PALM) could be poised for some significant gains in market share. &#8220;We expect Pre shipments of 2.2 million in 2010 (May 2010) and Pixie shipments of 1.2 million,&#8221; the analysts write. &#8220;Based on our bottoms up estimate, we forecast Palm will ship just over 7 million smartphones in fiscal 2011, which would likely represent about 4 percent of smartphone share, but a more meaningful&#8211;10 percent share of its core N. America market.&#8221;</p>
<p>[<em>Image credit: <a href="http://www.engadget.com/2009/04/30/palm-eos-super-thin-3g-and-headed-to-atandt/">Engadget</a></em>]</p>
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		<title>Newspapers: Please Buy a Kindle. Unless We Can Sell You a Paper Instead.</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20090506/newspapers-please-buy-a-kindle-unless-we-can-sell-you-a-paper-instead/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20090506/newspapers-please-buy-a-kindle-unless-we-can-sell-you-a-paper-instead/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 May 2009 16:12:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=7051</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Even under the best of circumstances, Amazon's new Kindle DX wouldn't "save the newspaper business." But since the newspapers are desperate to protect their dying print business, this thing may never get off the ground at all.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-1903" title="newspaperless" src="http://i2.wp.com/mediamemo.allthingsd.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/20/files//2008/12/newspaperless.jpg?resize=250%2C174" alt="newspaperless" data-recalc-dims="1" />Even under the best of circumstances, Amazon&#8217;s new Kindle DX wouldn&#8217;t <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090504/new-amazon-device-debuts-wednesday/">&#8220;save the newspaper business.&#8221;</a> But both Amazon (AMZN) and the newspapers are holding back from doing all they can to make sure the DX helps as much as possible.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s why: The yet-to-be-described subsidy the papers plan to offer to Kindle DX buyers who agree to long-term subscriptions <em>will only be available to a fraction of subscribers</em>&#8211;those who can&#8217;t get home delivery of the print edition.</p>
<p>From Amazon&#8217;s <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Introducing-Kindle-DXAmazons-bw-15150131.html?.v=1">press release</a>: &#8220;The New York Times Company (NYT) and Washington Post Company (WPO) are launching pilots with Kindle DX this summer. The New York Times, The Boston Globe, and The Washington Post will offer the Kindle DX at a reduced price to readers who live in areas where home-delivery is not available and who sign up for a long-term subscription to the Kindle edition of the newspapers.&#8221;</p>
<p>Since the New York Times is available for home delivery throughout most of the U.S., that means that the majority of its American readers will have to pay full freight&#8211;$489&#8211;for the gadget. I suppose you could circumvent this if you lived, in say, Minneapolis, by agreeing to subscribe to the Boston Globe instead, which you can&#8217;t get delivered at home there. But what&#8217;s the point?</p>
<p>My assumption here is that the terms were set by the Times and the Post, which presumably don&#8217;t want to cut into print circulation. This makes sense if you&#8217;re focused on the very, very short term, since the print editions&#8211;both via subscriptions and the ads they contain&#8211;still deliver the majority of newspaper revenue for both companies.</p>
<p>Then again, that business isn&#8217;t going gangbusters for any of the papers involved. The Times, for instance, spent the early morning hours today <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090506/new-york-times-strikes-deal-with-boston-globes-holdout-union/">hammering out a labor deal</a> that will allow it keep the Globe in business.</p>
<p>The easy way to improve the offer: Copy my corporate colleagues at the Wall Street Journal, and offer a bundle online/offline subscription. But once you start doing that, you get into interesting billing issues, which is going to be fodder for another post.</p>
<p>Who knows? Maybe they&#8217;ll try it. Since everyone involved is careful to point out that this is an &#8220;experiment,&#8221; etc., it&#8217;s possible that the papers could reconsider the offer sooner than later. Which I hope they do: It&#8217;s a nice-looking device, and it would be a shame if no one ever used it.</p>
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		<title>Solar: Can U.S. Upside Trump European Slowdown?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20081126/solar-can-us-upside-trump-european-slowdown/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20081126/solar-can-us-upside-trump-european-slowdown/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Nov 2008 00:06:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eric Savitz</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://voices.allthingsd.com/?p=6384</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[So here’s the crux of the debate on the solar stocks, which today have gained ground for the fourth straight session, posting some impressive cumulative gains after a long, long slide. The bearish view of the stocks is that the challenges facing the sector will continue into the unforeseen future. The bullish view is that that the Obama Administration will pour money into alternative energy, making the U.S. the biggest market for solar installations.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So here&#8217;s the crux of the debate on the solar stocks, which today have gained ground for the fourth straight session, posting some impressive cumulative gains after a long, long slide.</p>
<p>The bearish view is that the stocks, while certainly badly beaten up in recent months, still must endure a period of tighter credit, collapsing prices, too much supply, a stronger dollar and strapped governments pulling back on subsidy programs. The bears argue that solar valuations are low in part because the market is adjusting to low-margin commodity pricing; P/E multiples on forward numbers are low in no small measure because there is no confidence that the estimates for next year and beyond can be met.</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2008/11/26/solar-can-us-upside-trump-european-slowdown/">Read the rest of this post</a></p>
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		<title>The Entire D6 Interview With FCC Chairman Kevin Martin and Verizon Wireless CEO Lowell McAdam (2 of 3)</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20081028/the-entire-d6-interview-with-fcc-chairman-kevin-martin-and-verizon-wireless-ceo-lowell-mcadam-2-of-3/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20081028/the-entire-d6-interview-with-fcc-chairman-kevin-martin-and-verizon-wireless-ceo-lowell-mcadam-2-of-3/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Oct 2008 14:00:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=5706</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We're posting all the interviews from the sixth D: All Things Digital conference that took place in late May.

Here's an interview Walt Mossberg and I did with Federal Communications Chairman Kevin Martin and Verizon Wireless CEO Lowell McAdam. We paired the two together to talk about big issues facing the wireless industry, including low broadband speeds, high prices and the opening of networks.

This is the second of three parts.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>We&#8217;re posting all the interviews from the sixth <a href="http://d6.allthingsd.com"><strong>D: All Things Digital</strong></a> conference that took place in late May.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, due to issues too complicated to go into, we have to post all the <strong>D6</strong> interviews in several 15-minute parts (I know, I know).</p>
<p>But&#8211;as many readers have requested&#8211;they will all be available in their entirety in this column.</em></p>
<p><a href="http://i2.wp.com/kara.allthingsd.com/files/2008/10/303627483_zmdbw-m.jpg"><img src="http://i0.wp.com/kara.allthingsd.com/files/2008/10/303627483_zmdbw-m-199x300.jpg?resize=199%2C300" alt="" title="303627483_zmdbw-m" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-5709" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
<p>Here&#8217;s an interview Walt Mossberg and I did with <a href="http://d6.allthingsd.com/20080529/martin/">Federal Communications Commission Chairman Kevin Martin and Verizon Wireless (VZ) CEO Lowell McAdam</a> jointly. We paired the two together to talk about big issues facing the wireless industry, including low broadband speeds and high prices.</p>
<p>The video of the interview is in three parts, all of which I will post this week.</p>
<p>In this second part, McAdam talks about the wireless giant&#8217;s open network initiatives and the impact of aggressive efforts by Google (GOOG) in the space, termination fees and subsidy issues, while Martin discusses the key issues the FCC will be facing, including the transition of the broadcast industry from analog to digital and network neutrality.</p>
<p><div class="video-wsj"><object width="640" height="360"><param name="movie" value="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><param name="flashvars" value="videoGUID=47271189-42B9-4E7B-974A-618B48D352F4&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/"name="microflashPlayer"></param><embed src="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashVars="videoGUID={47271189-42B9-4E7B-974A-618B48D352F4}&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/" name="microflashPlayer" width="640" height="360" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" swLiveConnect="true" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash"></embed><br />[ See post to watch video ]</div></object></p>
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		<title>Solar Module Prices to Drop 20 Percent in '09, UBS Says</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20080811/solar-module-prices-to-drop-20-percent-in-09-ubs-says/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20080811/solar-module-prices-to-drop-20-percent-in-09-ubs-says/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Aug 2008 20:16:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eric Savitz</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://voices.allthingsd.com/?p=2464</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sunshine is free. Solar modules are not. But they are getting cheaper: UBS analyst Stephen Chin today revised his forecast for solar module pricing to down 20 percent from a previous estimate of down 14 percent.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sunshine is free. Solar modules are not. But they are getting cheaper: UBS analyst Stephen Chin today revised his forecast for solar module pricing to down 20 percent from a previous estimate of down 14 percent. Chin says the recent move by the government in Spain to cap its solar subsidy program will move solar module volumes to other markets, including Germany and Japan, where lower pricing is required to generate favorable returns for solar system buyers. The revised Spanish solar subsidy program will cut installations in Spain to 300MW next year, from an estimated 1.2GW this year.</p>
<p>Chin today cut EPS estimates by about 10 percent for 13 global solar companies, including SunPower (SPWR), Evergreen Solar (ESLR), LDK (LDK), Suntech (STP), Yingli (YGE), Q-Cells, Solarworld, REC, Conergy, Solon, Motech, E-Ton and Sino-American Silicon. He also cut his rating on SunPower to Neutral from Buy, while increasing his rating on Energy Conversion Devices (ENER) to Buy from Neutral.</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2008/08/11/solar-module-prices-to-drop-20-in-09-ubs-says/">Read the rest of this post</a></p>
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		<title>Solar Stocks Extend Sell Off on Concerns Over Spain</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20080702/solar-stocks-extend-sell-off-on-concerns-over-spain/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20080702/solar-stocks-extend-sell-off-on-concerns-over-spain/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jul 2008 19:13:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eric Savitz</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://voices.allthingsd.com/?p=1823</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The sell-off in the solar sector continues today, due largely to ongoing concerns about a proposal for a sharp reduction in solar subsidies in Spain.

As I noted yesterday, the Spanish government is considering a proposal which would put a 300 MW cap on subsidized solar installations [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The sell-off in the solar sector continues today, due largely to ongoing concerns about a proposal for a sharp reduction in solar subsidies in Spain.</p>
<p><a href="http://voices.allthingsd.com/20080701/solar-stocks-feel-the-heat-report-spain-plans-subsidy-cut/">As I noted yesterday</a>, the Spanish government is considering a proposal which would put a 300 MW cap on subsidized solar installations, with a reduction in the subsidy to 33 Euro cents per kilowatt-hour for roof-top installations, and 29 cents for ground-based systems. That would be down from about 45 cents now.</p>
<p>Several analysts weighed in on the issue this morning.</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2008/07/02/solar-stocks-extend-sell-off-on-concerns-over-spain/">Read the rest of this post</a></p>
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		<title>Report: Japan Plans to Bring Back Solar Subsidies</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20080623/report-japan-plans-to-bring-back-solar-subsidies/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20080623/report-japan-plans-to-bring-back-solar-subsidies/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Jun 2008 23:40:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eric Savitz</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://voices.allthingsd.com/?p=1695</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For the solar industry, some promising news from the land of the rising sun. According to Reuters, Japan&#8217;s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry is discussing bring back subsidies for the country&#8217;s solar sector. The story, citing unidentified ministry officials, says that the country is considering subsidies and tax breaks that could halve the cost [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For the solar industry, some promising news from the land of the rising sun.</p>
<p>According to Reuters, Japan&#8217;s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry is discussing bring back subsidies for the country&#8217;s solar sector. The story, citing unidentified ministry officials, says that the country is considering subsidies and tax breaks that could halve the cost of putting up solar panels in households. &#8220;It&#8217;s clear that lack of vision dented Japan&#8217;s lead in market share,&#8221; said the official.</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2008/06/23/report-japan-plans-to-bring-back-solar-subsidies/">Read the rest of this post</a></p>
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		<title>Surveillance State</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20080620/surveillance-state/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20080620/surveillance-state/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jun 2008 18:00:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=2591</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[ See post to watch video ]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><div class="video-wsj"><object width="640" height="360"><param name="movie" value="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><param name="flashvars" value="videoGUID=FB3AC406-7A0D-4719-9167-26E6C230E0F0&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/"name="microflashPlayer"></param><embed src="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashVars="videoGUID={FB3AC406-7A0D-4719-9167-26E6C230E0F0}&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/" name="microflashPlayer" width="640" height="360" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" swLiveConnect="true" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash"></embed><br />[ See post to watch video ]</div></object></p>
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		<title>AT&amp;T&#039;s iPhone Subsidy: Insanely Great</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20080619/atts-iphone-subsidy-insanely-great/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20080619/atts-iphone-subsidy-insanely-great/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Jun 2008 22:00:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=2583</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[So those reports that AT&#38;T would subsidize $200 of the cost of the iPhone 3G? Way off. According to Oppenheimer analyst Yair Reiner, the carrier is paying Apple $325 in subsidies on each iPhone 3G. And another $100 if the purchaser is a new AT&#38;T customer. $425 in potential commissions per device sold. That’s unprecedented in the industry.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://i2.wp.com/digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2008/06/jobs_iphone_sweet.jpg?resize=200%2C270" alt="" title="jobs_iphone_sweet" class="alignright size-full wp-image-2584" data-recalc-dims="1" />So those reports that AT&#038;T (T) would subsidize $200 of the cost of the iPhone 3G? Way off.  According to Oppenheimer analyst Yair Reiner, <a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2008/06/19/apple-oppenheimer-says-att-iphone-subsidy-is-325/">the carrier is actually paying Apple $325 in subsidies</a> on each iPhone 3G. And another $100 if the purchaser is a new AT&#038;T customer. That&#8217;s $425 in potential commissions per device sold. That&#8217;s unprecedented in the industry.</p>
<p>So what was AT&#038;T&#8217;s reason for agreeing to pay it&#8211;other than the warm glow it felt during subsidy negotiations with Apple CEO Steve Jobs? AT&#038;T’s faith in the iPhone’s ability to attract new subscribers, apparently. Not to mention those subscribers&#8217; penchant for running up a $100 tab each month in data and calling services.</p>
<p>One last point worth noting here. That $425 Apple (AAPL) is said to be collecting is even more impressive when one considers the fact that <a href="http://www.eetimes.com/rss/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=208403011&amp;cid=RSSfeed_eetimes_newsRSS">the iPhone 3G costs about half as much to make</a> as its predecessor. Tear-down specialist Portelligent put the new model&#8217;s bill of materials at somewhere around $100.</p>
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