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	<title>AllThingsD &#187; Telecommunications Act of 1996</title>
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		<title>FCC Chairman Julius Genachowski at D8: Trying to Get U.S. Broadband Up to Speed</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20100602/julius-genachowski-session/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jun 2010 20:15:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://d8.allthingsd.com/?p=478</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It has been a tough spring for Federal Communications Commission Chairman Julius Genachowski. In April, a federal appeals court found that the FCC had overstepped its bounds when it censured Comcast for violating its net neutrality principles and in so doing, called into question the agency's authority to regulate the Internet. And in May, 282 members of Congress, from both political parties, petitioned Genachowski to suspend the FCC's plans to reclassify broadband as a telecommunications service, a move that would put broadband under the agency's purview and clarify its jurisdiction once and for all.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignright photo" src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2010/06/887761124_uTxhU-M-150x150.jpg" alt="Julius Genachowski" width="150" height="150" />It has been a tough spring for Federal Communications Commission Chairman Julius Genachowski.</p>
<p>In April, a federal appeals court found that the FCC had overstepped its bounds when it censured Comcast (CMCSA) for violating its net neutrality principles and in so doing, called into question the agency&#8217;s authority to regulate the Internet. In May, 282 members of Congress, from both political parties, petitioned him to suspend the FCC&#8217;s plans to reclassify broadband as a telecommunications service, a move that would, once and for all, put broadband under the agency&#8217;s purview and clarify its jurisdiction.</p>
<p>And so today, Genachowski heads an agency whose legal authority is in question, as is its ability to implement a <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20100223/new-fcc-report-reaching-the-digitally-distant-but-digital-hopefuls-too-well-ask-head-julius-genachowski-about-it-and-more-at-d8/">much needed National Broadband Plan</a>. And his ambitious policy agenda is, for all intents and purposes, on hold.</p>
<p>What will he do now to regain momentum and fix the country&#8217;s ailing broadband policies?</p>
<p><span id="more-5797"></span></p>
<p><strong>1:19 pm</strong>: You&#8217;re a different sort of FCC chairman, aren&#8217;t you, Walt asks. You have somewhat of a tech background.</p>
<p>Genachowski: I do. I spent the last 10 years in the tech space. I&#8217;m probably the only FCC chairman who worked for the same company as Jeffrey Katzenberg.</p>
<p><strong>1:21 pm</strong>: The conversation quickly moves on to an issue top of mind today: broadband and how lousy it is in the United States. Genachowski talks for a moment about broadband, saying the U.S. is grievously behind. He cites a survey that ranked the U.S. 40th out of 40 when it came to rate of change of capacity. &#8220;That means we are moving more slowly than any other country in that survey.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>1:23 pm</strong>: Walt jumps in to note that U.S. broadband customers are being screwed on performance AND cost. &#8220;They have slower broadband than lots of other people and they pay more for it,&#8221; he says. &#8220;You&#8217;re the head of the FCC: Why won&#8217;t you fix this?&#8221;</p>
<p>Genachowski: Because I thought you might invite me, I spent the last year working on a broadband plan. But there&#8217;s no silver bullet. There are things we can do to drive more innovation. Unleashing mobile is the most important thing we can do. There&#8217;s no doubt in my mind that mobile broadband will drive innovation. We have an enormous chance with 4G.</p>
<p><strong>1:25 pm</strong>: Genachowski&#8211;The FCC plan that I inherited provided for new spectrum coming on the market that&#8217;s about a threefold increase over now. Until you see the new demand being driven by devices like the iPhone and the iPad. It&#8217;s 40 times. And we need to address that.</p>
<p>Walt jumps in, noting that spectrum is finite. Is there enough spectrum available to solve the problem?</p>
<p>Genachowski: There&#8217;s enough available if we have the right policies in place. We&#8217;ve got to work on policies that themselves create better efficiency, policies for trading spectrum, for example.</p>
<p><strong>1:28 pm</strong>: Genachowski recalls that a few years ago there was a band of spectrum that no one knew what to do with. Finally, someone said, &#8216;why don&#8217;t we just put this spectrum out unlicensed and see what people do with it?&#8217; And the first thing that people came up with were garage openers&#8230;and later someone discovered that it could be used for Wi-Fi. Obviously, an important innovation, but also part of the congestion problem. So what we&#8217;re trying to do is identify things like that,&#8221; he says. We&#8217;re also looking into spectrum-related efficiency.</p>
<p><strong>1:30 pm</strong>: Walt&#8211;Are you going to take spectrum away from TV broadcasters?</p>
<p>Genachowski says he has offered them the opportunity to put their spectrum up for auction. We think this creates a mechanism for freeing up spectrum that&#8217;s currently tied up, he says.</p>
<p><strong>1:31 pm</strong>: Walt asks about Genachowski&#8217;s broadband plan. Does the FCC have the power to bring it to fruition?</p>
<p>Genachowski: First thing to understand about the plan is that we were asked to develop a plan that would apply to the FCC and other parts of the government as well. It includes recommendations for the FCC, for Congress, etc. So focusing on the things we recommended for ourselves, there&#8217;s no dispute that we have authority. With respect to others, there&#8217;s a court ruling that&#8217;s created problems for us. So what&#8217;s important is that we move forward on the broadband policies and strategies.</p>
<p>We run something at the FCC called the Universal Service Fund. It promotes universal phone service and it does a good job of that. One of the recommendations of our plan is that this fund be used to support broadband instead of legacy phone service. This court decision is preventing us from doing that.</p>
<p><strong>1:34 pm</strong>: Genachowski&#8211;No one really cares what section of the statute we point to except for the lobbyists and lawyers. It would be unfortunate if that process slowed us down as a country on improving our broadband infrastructure.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter photo" src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-132623-05435/887756280_Wuabk-S.jpg" alt="FCC Chairman Julius Genachowski." width="300" height="200" /></p>
<p><strong>1:36 pm</strong>: Genachowski&#8211;We need to have enough of a broadband infrastructure in the United States that companies want to do business here.</p>
<p><strong>1:37 pm</strong>: Walt wonders if it&#8217;s even possible to get some sort of policy implemented that would improve broadband for consumers.</p>
<p>Genachowski says it is, but concedes that &#8220;some elements of the system are broken&#8221; and prevent the country from moving as quickly as it could on its infrastructure initiatives. &#8220;We&#8217;re kidding ourselves if we think that the infrastructure will come simply because we want it to come&#8230;.We need dramatic investment and we need an environment that encourages innovation.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>1:39 pm</strong>: Walt recalls a question from yesterday&#8217;s session with Steve Jobs about AT&amp;T&#8217;s capacity problem. Noting the dramatic increase in demand for data on AT&amp;T&#8217;s network, he asks if Genachowski can fix it so that people who complain about not being able to make calls on AT&amp;T (T) will be able to make calls.</p>
<p>Genachowski: I think on an issue like this where AT&amp;T hears from its consumers every day about how bad it is, I don&#8217;t worry so much. I worry more about issues where consumers are disempowered. Things like the number of consumers who don&#8217;t know what their broadband speeds are, for example. Ultimately, we want to give consumers the information they need to be better consumers. &#8230; What we&#8217;re looking at is digital labels that will show consumers what their actual broadband speeds are as opposed to the speeds they&#8217;re told they&#8217;re getting. I think we&#8217;re in an era when information technology creates opportunities to empower the consumer to make the market work more efficiently.</p>
<p><strong>1:44 pm</strong>: Walt talks a bit about the state of the set-top box. The boxes that the cable companies give you are awful, he says. But there&#8217;s a law meant to promote options. Why aren&#8217;t you enforcing it?</p>
<p>Genachowski says he is, noting that consumers can buy CableCards.</p>
<p>Walt: Why don&#8217;t you make companies make better CableCards and better cable boxes?</p>
<p>Genachowski concedes that the CableCard strategy hasn&#8217;t quite worked out the way the FCC had hoped. The agency is now looking to see if there&#8217;s a sort of universal gateway that will solve the set-top box issue and allow innovation in the living room, he says. But the pay folks are concerned about how this will preserve the integrity of the pay stream. We&#8217;re at the point technologically where we can explore devices that preserve that pay stream while improving the broadband experience, he says, and we&#8217;ve set a goal of 2012 for developing a device like this.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter photo" src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-132541-05421/887752797_AFzg3-S.jpg" alt="FCC Chairman Julius Genachowski." width="300" height="200" /></p>
<h4 class="subhed">Q &amp; A</h4>
<p><strong>Q: Why is the FCC putting the 4G spectrum next to the Wi-Fi and Bluetooth bands?</strong></p>
<p>A: I don&#8217;t think that will happen. At the FCC we have terrific engineers who understand these interference issues.</p>
<p><strong>Q: What do you think about rewriting the Telecommunications Act of 1996?</p>
<p></strong></p>
<p>A: I think it&#8217;s true that the act gives us the authority that we need. But I also think that by virtue of its structure, it&#8217;s not quite ideal. I&#8217;m doing everything I can with the following goal: We need solutions, speed, etc., because we&#8217;re not just competing with ourselves, we&#8217;re competing with the rest of the world.</p>
<p><strong>Q: Does Obama have an iPad?</strong></p>
<p>A: I don&#8217;t know whether he has an iPad yet, but I&#8217;m sure that will be taken care of.</p>
<p><strong>Q: Your thoughts on malware and security?</strong></p>
<p>A: The dangers are very serious. The systems that should be in place aren&#8217;t in place yet. I&#8217;m very concerned about the substance of this and whether in Washington we can do what needs to be done to ensure the security of our networks.</p>
<p><em><strong>A note about our coverage:</strong> This liveblog is not an official transcript of the conversation that occurred onstage. Rather, it is a compilation of quotes, paraphrased statements and ad-lib observations written and posted to the Web as quickly as possible. It is not intended as a transcript and should not be interpreted as one.</em></p>
<p><ul style="list-style:none;"><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-132015-05409/887752817_fkrJ5-XL.jpg" class="alignnone" width="413" height="620" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-132107-05464/887761314_4Jtgp-L.jpg" class="alignnone" width="620" height="414" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-132245-05485/887761124_uTxhU-L.jpg" class="alignnone" width="620" height="414" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-132541-05421/887752797_AFzg3-L.jpg" class="alignnone" width="620" height="414" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-132555-05424/887755026_SeNto-L.jpg" class="alignnone" width="620" height="414" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-132623-05435/887756280_Wuabk-L.jpg" class="alignnone" width="620" height="414" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-133014-05445/887756270_EzDAY-L.jpg" class="alignnone" width="620" height="414" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-133022-05447/887756259_ETh5G-L.jpg" class="alignnone" width="620" height="414" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-133110-05454/887756245_w2sR7-L.jpg" class="alignnone" width="620" height="414" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-133647-05546/887798651_bKtJj-XL.jpg" class="alignnone" width="413" height="620" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-133935-05650/887798637_Nxnhd-L.jpg" class="alignnone" width="620" height="414" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-134300-05575/887798615_7H6DA-XL.jpg" class="alignnone" width="413" height="620" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-134543-05583/887798577_Tkajw-XL.jpg" class="alignnone" width="413" height="620" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-134614-05668/887798563_Psdyo-L.jpg" class="alignnone" width="620" height="414" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-134804-05586/887798544_ynrC6-XL.jpg" class="alignnone" width="413" height="620" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-135030-05589/887798521_FtZWi-L.jpg" class="alignnone" width="620" height="414" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-135131-05596/887798489_QRRDx-L.jpg" class="alignnone" width="620" height="414" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-135258-05601/887798474_XpsiF-L.jpg" class="alignnone" width="620" height="414" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-135308-05602/887798451_QhAyY-L.jpg" class="alignnone" width="620" height="414" alt="" /></li><li><img src="http://photos.allthingsd.com/D8/speakers/julius-genachowski/d8-20100602-135400-05608/887798435_oMTYm-L.jpg" class="alignnone" width="620" height="414" alt="" /></li></ul> </p>
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		<title>Oh, Speaking of Broadband&#8211;What the Hell Is It?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20090821/whatisbroadband/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20090821/whatisbroadband/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Aug 2009 17:49:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[The $300 Billion Broadband Scandal]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=23454</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Before the Federal Communications Commission begins doling out the $7.4 billion in federal grants up for grabs through national broadband stimulus programs, the agency must answer an important question: What is broadband? And so, in a public notice issued today, the Commission is requesting "tailored" public comment on what the definition of broadband should be.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/08/speedtest.jpg" alt="speedtest" title="speedtest" width="144" height="135" class="alignright size-full wp-image-23456" />Before the Federal Communications Commission begins doling out the $7.4 billion in federal grants up for grabs through national broadband stimulus programs, the agency must answer an important question: What is broadband? And so, in a <a href="http://hraunfoss.fcc.gov/edocs_public/attachmatch/DA-09-1842A1.pdf">public notice issued today</a>, the Commission is requesting &#8220;tailored&#8221; public comment on what the definition of broadband should be.</p>
<p>That might seem an inane question, coming from the FCC, but when you think about it, it has never really been answered, not even by broadband carriers, which would undoubtedly prefer that the term be ambiguous enough to allow for all manner of throughput/delivered speeds, usage caps, and latency. So it’s a good time to ask it. As senior adviser Carlos Kirjner explains in <a href="http://blog.broadband.gov/?p=87">a post to the FCC blog</a> today:</p>
<blockquote class="memo"><ul>
<li> If we want to decide who has and who does not have broadband, we actually need to agree on what we mean by broadband. </li>
<li> If we want to decide who can take advantage of one type of application or another, we need to know what they are actually getting today, and what is the gap between that and what they actually need to get. </li>
<li>  If we need to know how much it would cost the country to enable all or a subset of its households and businesses to take advantage of one application or another, we need to know what the gap is between where we are and where we want to be. </li>
<li> If we want to ensure that consumers have a clear and accurate view of what they are getting for their money, we need to decide what are the important metrics, and how to measure them.</li>
</ul>
</blockquote>
<p>Good points, all. But allow me to suggest one more:</p>
<ul>
<li>If we’re going to start handing out $7.4 billion in federal grants for broadband improvements, we should make damn sure that broadband is improved. </li>
</ul>
<p>Because <a href="http://www.newnetworks.com/BroadbandScandalIntro.htm">the last time we invested in our broadband future, we didn’t see much return on that investment</a>.</p>
<p>In the run-up to the Telecommunications Act of 1996, the incumbent telecoms promised to provide fiber-optic connections to millions of households across the country. In exchange, they were given some $200 billion in tax cuts and higher service rates to pay for it. But the telecoms didn’t spend that money on fiber upgrades; they spent it on long distance, wireless and inferior DSL services.</p>
<p>&#8220;By 2005, if the Bell companies had actually delivered on their broadband promises, approximately 86 million households would have had fiber-optic-based services,&#8221; <a href="http://www.newnetworks.com/broadbandscandals.htm">Bruce Kushnick, executive director of New Networks Institute, explains in &#8220;The $300 Billion Broadband Scandal.&#8221;</a> &#8220;These state commitments also would have rewired schools and libraries, hospitals and government offices. And in most states, the plan called for ALL customers to be rewired equally, whether they were in rural or urban areas, rich or poor. Universal broadband was to be accomplished state-by-state because customers were, in essence, de facto investors funding these network upgrades.&#8221;</p>
<p>But that&#8217;s not what happened (click on image below to enlarge). Know anyone in California who had Pac Bell fiber in 1996? How about 2000? Yeah, didn&#8217;t think so. And that&#8217;s something worth mulling today.</p>
<p><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/08/wtf_pacbell.jpg" rel="lightbox"><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/08/wtf_pacbell-250x190.jpg" alt="wtf_pacbell" title="wtf_pacbell" width="250" height="190" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-23455" /></a></p>
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		<title>Nothing That a Two-Tiered Internet Couldn&#039;t Fix, Right?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20071120/nemertes-study/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20071120/nemertes-study/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Nov 2007 07:01:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20071120/nemertes-study/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In 2010, it could take as long as two minutes to download an episode of &#8220;Chad Vader&#8211;Day Shift Manager&#8221; from YouTube, instead of the few seconds it takes today. This according to a new study from Nemertes Research Group, which claims that the Internet could be approaching its capacity. &#8220;Our findings indicate that core fiber [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In 2010, it could take as long as two minutes to download an episode of <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4wGR4-SeuJ0">&#8220;Chad Vader&#8211;Day Shift Manager&#8221;</a> from YouTube, instead of the few seconds it takes today. This according to a new study from Nemertes Research Group, which claims that the <a href="http://www.macworld.com/news/2007/11/19/internetcapacity/index.php">Internet  could be approaching its capacity</a>. &#8220;Our findings indicate that core fiber and switching/routing resources will scale nicely to support virtually any conceivable user demand,&#8221; <a href="http://www.nemertes.com/internet_singularity_delayed_why_limits_internet_capacity_will_stifle_innovation_web?">Nemertes explains in &#8220;The Internet Singularity, Delayed: Why Limits in Internet Capacity Will Stifle Innovation on the Web.&#8221;</a> &#8220;But Internet access infrastructure, specifically in North America, will cease to be adequate for supporting demand within the next three to five years.&#8221;</p>
<p>And what does that mean in lay terms? &#8220;Users will experience a slow, subtle degradation, so it&#8217;s back to the bad old days of dial-up,&#8221; <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/money/industries/technology/2007-11-18-slow-internet_N.htm">said Nemertes President Johna Till Johnson</a>. &#8220;The cool stuff that you&#8217;ll want to do will be such a pain in the rear that you won&#8217;t do it.&#8221;</p>
<p>To avoid such a scenario, Nemertes says backbone providers need to invest up to $137 billion in Internet infrastructure capacity&#8211;more than double what  they&#8217;d planned.  If they fail to do so, we may see that slow degradation to which Johnson referred and a stifling of innovation. &#8220;It’s important to stress that failing to make that investment will not cause the Internet to collapse,&#8221; Nemertes explains in its paper. &#8220;Instead, the primary impact of the lack of investment will be to throttle innovation&#8211;both the technical innovation that leads to increasingly newer and better applications, and the business innovation that relies on those technical innovations and applications to generate value. The next Google, YouTube or Amazon might not arise, not because of a lack of demand, but due to an inability to fulfill that demand. Rather like osteoporosis, the underinvestment in infrastructure will painlessly and invisibly leach competitiveness out of the economy.&#8221;</p>
<p>Nemertes&#8217;s last point about underinvestment in infrastructure is one worth noting. Because in the run-up to the Telecommunications Act of 1996 <a href="http://www.newnetworks.com/videodialtonedeployment.htm"> the incumbent telecoms promised to provide fiber-optic connections</a> to millions of households across the country. In exchange, they were given <a href="http://www.pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/2007/pulpit_20070810_002683.html">some $200 billion in tax cuts and higher service rates</a> to pay for it. But the telecoms <a href="http://www.newnetworks.com/matestimony.htm">didn&#8217;t spend that money on fiber upgrades</a>&#8211;they spent it on long distance, wireless and inferior DSL services. &#8220;By 2005, if the Bell companies had actually delivered on their broadband promises, approximately 86 million households would have had fiber-optic-based services,&#8221; <a href="http://www.newnetworks.com/BroadbandScandalIntro.htm">Bruce Kushnick, executive director of New Networks Institute, explains in <a href="http://www.newnetworks.com/broadbandscandals.htm">&#8220;The $200 Billion Broadband Scandal.&#8221;</a> &#8220;These state commitments also would have rewired schools and libraries, hospitals and government offices. And in most states, the plan called for ALL customers to be rewired equally, whether they were in rural or urban areas, rich or poor. Universal broadband was to be accomplished state-by-state because customers were, in essence, de facto investors funding these network upgrades.&#8221;</p>
<p>Something to think about when the Nemertes&#8217;s study begins popping up in telecom arguments against Net neutrality, as it almost certainly will.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Nothing That a Two-Tiered Internet Couldn't Fix, Right?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20071120/nemertes-study-2/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20071120/nemertes-study-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Nov 2007 07:01:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Net neutrality]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20071120/nemertes-study/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In 2010, it could take as long as two minutes to download an episode of &#8220;Chad Vader&#8211;Day Shift Manager&#8221; from YouTube, instead of the few seconds it takes today. This according to a new study from Nemertes Research Group, which claims that the Internet could be approaching its capacity. &#8220;Our findings indicate that core fiber [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In 2010, it could take as long as two minutes to download an episode of <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4wGR4-SeuJ0">&#8220;Chad Vader&#8211;Day Shift Manager&#8221;</a> from YouTube, instead of the few seconds it takes today. This according to a new study from Nemertes Research Group, which claims that the <a href="http://www.macworld.com/news/2007/11/19/internetcapacity/index.php">Internet  could be approaching its capacity</a>. &#8220;Our findings indicate that core fiber and switching/routing resources will scale nicely to support virtually any conceivable user demand,&#8221; <a href="http://www.nemertes.com/internet_singularity_delayed_why_limits_internet_capacity_will_stifle_innovation_web?">Nemertes explains in &#8220;The Internet Singularity, Delayed: Why Limits in Internet Capacity Will Stifle Innovation on the Web.&#8221;</a> &#8220;But Internet access infrastructure, specifically in North America, will cease to be adequate for supporting demand within the next three to five years.&#8221;</p>
<p>And what does that mean in lay terms? &#8220;Users will experience a slow, subtle degradation, so it&#8217;s back to the bad old days of dial-up,&#8221; <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/money/industries/technology/2007-11-18-slow-internet_N.htm">said Nemertes President Johna Till Johnson</a>. &#8220;The cool stuff that you&#8217;ll want to do will be such a pain in the rear that you won&#8217;t do it.&#8221;</p>
<p>To avoid such a scenario, Nemertes says backbone providers need to invest up to $137 billion in Internet infrastructure capacity&#8211;more than double what  they&#8217;d planned.  If they fail to do so, we may see that slow degradation to which Johnson referred and a stifling of innovation. &#8220;It’s important to stress that failing to make that investment will not cause the Internet to collapse,&#8221; Nemertes explains in its paper. &#8220;Instead, the primary impact of the lack of investment will be to throttle innovation&#8211;both the technical innovation that leads to increasingly newer and better applications, and the business innovation that relies on those technical innovations and applications to generate value. The next Google, YouTube or Amazon might not arise, not because of a lack of demand, but due to an inability to fulfill that demand. Rather like osteoporosis, the underinvestment in infrastructure will painlessly and invisibly leach competitiveness out of the economy.&#8221;</p>
<p>Nemertes&#8217;s last point about underinvestment in infrastructure is one worth noting. Because in the run-up to the Telecommunications Act of 1996 <a href="http://www.newnetworks.com/videodialtonedeployment.htm"> the incumbent telecoms promised to provide fiber-optic connections</a> to millions of households across the country. In exchange, they were given <a href="http://www.pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/2007/pulpit_20070810_002683.html">some $200 billion in tax cuts and higher service rates</a> to pay for it. But the telecoms <a href="http://www.newnetworks.com/matestimony.htm">didn&#8217;t spend that money on fiber upgrades</a>&#8211;they spent it on long distance, wireless and inferior DSL services. &#8220;By 2005, if the Bell companies had actually delivered on their broadband promises, approximately 86 million households would have had fiber-optic-based services,&#8221; <a href="http://www.newnetworks.com/BroadbandScandalIntro.htm">Bruce Kushnick, executive director of New Networks Institute, explains in <a href="http://www.newnetworks.com/broadbandscandals.htm">&#8220;The $200 Billion Broadband Scandal.&#8221;</a> &#8220;These state commitments also would have rewired schools and libraries, hospitals and government offices. And in most states, the plan called for ALL customers to be rewired equally, whether they were in rural or urban areas, rich or poor. Universal broadband was to be accomplished state-by-state because customers were, in essence, de facto investors funding these network upgrades.&#8221;</p>
<p>Something to think about when the Nemertes&#8217;s study begins popping up in telecom arguments against Net neutrality, as it almost certainly will. </p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Lunch on Verizon?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20071031/google-verizon/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20071031/google-verizon/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Oct 2007 07:01:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[700 MHz spectrum auction]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20071031/google-verizon/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[After months of sparring over the terms of the 700 MHz broadband spectrum auction, Google and Verizon are becoming fast frenemies (or is it enemiends?). The two companies are reportedly in talks to bring Google-powered phones to Verizon&#8217;s network. Said a source close to the companies, &#8220;There are good useful talks going on and they [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>After months of sparring over the terms of the<a href="http://googlepublicpolicy.blogspot.com/2007/10/pro-consumer-spectrum-auction-rules-at.html"> 700 MHz broadband spectrum auction</a>, Google and Verizon are becoming fast frenemies (or is it <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20070517/wpp-247realmedia/">enemiends</a>?).</p>
<p>The two companies are <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119377870431576706.html?mod=hps_us_whats_news">reportedly in talks</a> to bring <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20071030/google-phone-in-2-weeks/">Google-powered phones</a> to Verizon&#8217;s network. <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/technologyNews/idUSN3058207720071030">Said a source close to the companies,</a> &#8220;There are good useful talks going on and they could result in a deal.&#8221;</p>
<p>Surprising to hear, given the war of words between the two during the past year. Guess there are no hard feelings over remarks <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/02/06/AR2006020601624.html">like this one from John Thorne,</a> a Verizon senior vice president and deputy general counsel, offered up last year during a conference marking the 10th anniversary of the Telecommunications Act of 1996.</p>
<blockquote><p>
The network builders are spending a fortune constructing and maintaining the networks that Google intends to ride on with nothing but cheap servers. It is enjoying a free lunch that should, by any rational account, be the lunch of the facilities providers.&#8221;
</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Astronomers Delist Pluto, Citing Weaker-Than-Expected Dwarf Planethood</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20070615/ddv20070615/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20070615/ddv20070615/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Jun 2007 21:14:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><div class="video-wsj"><embed src="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashVars="videoGUID={979196483}&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://m.wsj.net/video-players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/" name="microflashPlayer" width="320" height="240" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" swLiveConnect="true" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash"></embed><br />[ See post to watch video ]</div></p>
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