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	<title>AllThingsD &#187; Wells Fargo Securities</title>
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		  <title>All Things Digital</title>
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		<title>Online Holiday Spending Stumbles Over Fiscal Cliff</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20130103/online-holiday-spending-stumbles-over-fiscal-cliff/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20130103/online-holiday-spending-stumbles-over-fiscal-cliff/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jan 2013 23:07:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tricia Duryee</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Commerce]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Matt Nemer]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=282236</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here's something else you can blame on Congress -- online spending was up 14 percent this holiday season, falling short of expectations.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Feel free to blame Congress&#8217;s indecision about how to resolve the fiscal cliff problem for the softer-than-expected holiday shopping season.</p>
<p><div id="attachment_282250" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 390px"><img src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/cliff_danger.png" alt="cliff_danger" width="380" height="285" class="size-full wp-image-282250" /><p class="wp-caption-text"><span class="media-attribution">Nicolas Raymond / Freestock</span></p></div></p>
<p>According to <a href="http://www.comscore.com/Insights/Press_Releases/2013/1/2012_U.S._Online_Holiday_Spending_Grows_14_Percent_vs_Year_Ago_to_42.3_Billion">comScore&#8217;s final tally for the November-December shopping season</a>, spending for the two-month period totaled $42.3 billion, a 14 percent increase over 2011.</p>
<p>“This year’s growth rate is essentially on a par with last year’s,&#8221; said comScore Chairman Gian Fulgoni. &#8220;But despite many positives for the online sector, this year’s season did not quite perform up to our initial expectation for growth rates in excess of 16 percent as we fell a billion dollars short of our expected total of $43.4 billion.&#8221;</p>
<p>The research firm, which tracks online shopping habits over broadband connections in the U.S., said a slowdown occurred after Thanksgiving due to low consumer confidence.</p>
<p>&#8220;As it turns out, this December swoon coincided closely with a significant decline in the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index that was attributed in large part to consumers’ fiscal cliff concerns. You might say that had it not been for Congress, every other indicator suggested it would have been an even merrier Christmas for online retailers,&#8221; Fulgoni said.</p>
<p>This season&#8217;s high points included some particularly outstanding days for online retailers, including Cyber Monday, Nov. 26 ($1.5 billion); Monday, Dec. 17 (up 76 percent to $1.013 billion); and Christmas Day (up 36 percent to $288 million). But those good days could not make up for three solid weeks in which the growth rates failed to surpass 12 percent.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s a week-by-week breakdown of spending this season. A noticeable lull is present during the middle weeks:</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-282247" alt="Screen Shot 2013-01-03 at 1.52.45 PM" src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2013/01/Screen-Shot-2013-01-03-at-1.52.45-PM.png" width="604" height="387" /></p>
<p>This softness may have been expected based on preliminary results that some retailers released this morning. The figures indicate that sales may have been soft for many in December, not just online retailers.</p>
<p>For instance, Target said sales in December were flat; and Wet Seal, Macy&#8217;s and Kohl&#8217;s either cut their fourth-quarter outlooks or said quarterly results will be at or near the low end of their previous guidance range, <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/story/retailers-start-new-year-on-a-jittery-note-2013-01-03?pagenumber=1">according to MarketWatch</a>.</p>
<p>Online sales are still growing at a much faster clip than retail as a whole. For instance, overall, December same-store sales, excluding drug stores, rose 4.8 percent, according to data from Retail Metrics.</p>
<p>While comScore&#8217;s report may be disappointing to some, it won&#8217;t affect all online retailers evenly.</p>
<p>For one thing, comScore&#8217;s results don&#8217;t include purchases made over mobile phones. Mobile commerce, which includes orders placed on tablets and phones through mobile browsers or applications, were a highlight for many retailers this holiday season. Second, there will be some retailers that overperformed and others that lost share.</p>
<p>As an example, Baird Equity Research’s Colin Sebastian <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130103/analyst-raises-price-target-for-ebay-after-evidence-of-strong-holiday-sales/">raised eBay&#8217;s price target earlier today</a> to $60, up by $2, based on evidence that eBay and PayPal excelled during the holiday season. The company&#8217;s full results will be out on Jan. 16.</p>
<p>And the one to watch closely will be Amazon.</p>
<p>Many brick-and-mortar companies resolved to fight the giant e-tailer by guaranteeing to match online prices. Whether that had any impact is still not known. Additionally, there was some question earlier this holiday season <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20121213/the-prime-reason-why-amazons-sales-may-be-falling-behind-this-holiday/">if Amazon was performing as well as expected</a>.</p>
<p>Wells Fargo Analyst Matt Nemer said that for the first time in years, Amazon was giving some customers coupons for 10 percent off their orders. But it was unclear whether Amazon was only trying to reactivate old customers or if it was doing it because sales were short. Another plausible reason was that customers were procrastinating. Amazon allowed some customers to order as late as Dec. 21 with the promise of delivery by Dec. 24, which may have delayed some purchases.</p>
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		<title>Workday Files for a $400 Million IPO</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120830/workday-files-for-a-400-million-ipo/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120830/workday-files-for-a-400-million-ipo/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Aug 2012 22:38:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tricia Duryee</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Enterprise]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=246741</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As expected, the fast-growing cloud software company has filed for a public offering.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Workday, the fast-growing cloud software company, has filed for a $400 million IPO, a public debut that will likely become <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120510/exclusive-workday-picks-its-bankers-for-a-fall-2012-ipo/">one of the most-watched tech offerings</a> in the pipeline.</p>
<p><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-246755" title="Screen Shot 2012-08-30 at 2.34.02 PM" src="http://allthingsd.com/files/2012/08/Screen-Shot-2012-08-30-at-2.34.02-PM-270x285.png" alt="" width="270" height="285" /></p>
<p>In a document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission today, the company said that the bulk of the proceeds will go toward working capital and other general corporate purposes.</p>
<p>Underwriters include Morgan Stanley, Allen &amp; Co., Cowen and Co., Pacific Crest Securities, Canaccord Genuity, Wells Fargo Securities, JMP Securities, J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs &amp; Co.</p>
<p>The seven-year-old company, which has 1,450 employees, says it has seen tremendous growth for its enterprise resource management software.</p>
<p>Over the past three years, the company&#8217;s revenue has skyrocketed, increasing 400 percent to $134.4 million. And in the first six months of 2012 it has already booked $119.5 million in revenues. However, the company has a history of losses. In the year ended Jan. 31, it lost $80 million. In the prior year (which is slightly different, because the company changed its fiscal calendar), Workday lost $56.2 million for the year ended Dec. 31, 2010.</p>
<p>As of July 31, Workday had cash and cash equivalents of $122.7 million.</p>
<p>The IPO filing comes a little later than originally expected. My colleague <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20120615/like-we-said-workday-will-file-for-its-ipo-this-summer/">Arik Hesseldahl reported previously</a> that the company had been on track for a late-summer or early fall road show, so that shares could debut between October and December, depending on how favorable market conditions were. Those events may now be pushed out a little further.</p>
<p>The biggest shareholders are the company&#8217;s co-CEOs, Aneel Bhusri and Dave Duffield, who own 19.3 percent and 53.4 percent of the company, respectively. Greylock Partners and New Enterprise Associates are the two largest VCs backing the company, owning 11 percent and 10 percent of shares, respectively.</p>
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		<title>Facebook IPO: Facebook Loves Wall Street</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20120307/facebook-ipo-facebook-loves-wall-street/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20120307/facebook-ipo-facebook-loves-wall-street/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Mar 2012 23:49:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Benoit</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allthingsd.com/?p=181629</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Facebook is doing some poking on Wall Street.

The social networking giant has just added five more lead investment banks to its IPO from the original six, according to an updated filing. On top of that, Facebook added another 20 investment banks that will get a piece of the action.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Facebook is doing some poking on Wall Street.</p>
<p>The social networking giant has just added five more lead investment banks to its IPO from the original six, according to an updated filing. On top of that, Facebook added another 20 investment banks that will get a piece of the action.</p>
<p>The new members to the lead group are Citigroup, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank Securities, RBC Capital Markets, Wells Fargo Securities.</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/deals/2012/03/07/facebook-ipo-five-investment-banks-added/?mod=google_news_blog">Read the rest of this post on the original site »</a></p>
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		<title>What Happened to the New York Times's Web Ads?</title>
		<link>http://allthingsd.com/20090724/what-happened-to-the-new-york-times-web-ads/</link>
		<comments>http://allthingsd.com/20090724/what-happened-to-the-new-york-times-web-ads/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Jul 2009 15:29:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=9696</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The paper's Internet operations used to be a bright spot. But last quarter Web advertising dropped more than 15 percent. What gives?]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/05/newspaperless.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-7276" title="newspaperless" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/05/newspaperless-250x174.jpg" alt="newspaperless" width="250" height="174" /></a>What happened to the New York Times&#8217;s Web ads?</p>
<p>Yesterday, the publisher said that <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090723/a-mixed-bag-from-the-new-york-times-q2-costs-got-better-ads-got-worse-and-web-dollars-disappeared/">overall ad revenue had dropped 30 percent in the last quarter,</a> which wasn&#8217;t surprising. But Internet ad revenue dropped 15.5 percent, which <em>was</em> a surprise, since it&#8217;s an acceleration from the previous quarter&#8217;s loss. What gives?</p>
<p>Times officials have multiple explanations:</p>
<ol>
<li>A lot of the loss comes from our classified ads, which have been vaporized.</li>
<li>This year&#8217;s numbers don&#8217;t look good because last year&#8217;s numbers were so great.</li>
<li> At least we&#8217;re not Yahoo (YHOO)!</li>
</ol>
<p>Check out this exchange from yesterday&#8217;s earnings call between analyst John Janedis, New York Times (NYT) digital boss Martin Nisenholtz and ad boss Denise Warren. <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/150955-the-new-york-times-company-q2-2009-earnings-call-transcript?page=-1">Seeking Alpha</a>:</p>
<blockquote class="memo"><p>John Janedis&#8211;Wells Fargo Securities: Martin, can you just talk a bit more about where you&#8217;re seeing on the display side with the news media, did any major customers pull out? And do you think you&#8217;re losing share relative to the total industry?</p>
<p>Martin A. Nisenholtz: No, I mean I&#8217;ll ask Denise to comment on this specific to The New York Times, but I don&#8217;t think we can point to any major losses. I think that her comments about overall volume on the side, on the businesses, is true of the digital side as well. I would point out that, to point to Janet&#8217;s [Robinson, NYT CEO] comment about most of the hit, a disproportion of the hit coming in the classifieds area.</p>
<p>Denise Warren: Can I just jump in and remind you again that we had a really, really, really robust quarter overall for nytimes.com last year, but really in the display area? So we are up against really significant comps. That&#8217;s just some context that I think is important that you have.</p>
<p>And just based upon what we&#8217;ve been seeing in the marketplace comparing to other sites there, we do believe we are taking share in the display marketplace, and we do believe we are performing better than most of our competitors in the display marketplace.</p>
<p>Martin A. Nisenholtz: I mean Yahoo just announced a 14% decline in display. I think, while we&#8217;re not breaking out the numbers, I think our display performance overall at nytimes.com and across the News Media Groups was better than that.</p></blockquote>
<p>All of this sounds right to me (for the record, last year the Times&#8217;s Web ads <a href="http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=105317&amp;p=irol-pressArticle&amp;ID=1178136&amp;highlight=">grew 18.3 percent in Q2</a>). But if the Times wants to keep <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=NYT&amp;t=5d">investors optimistic</a> about the company&#8217;s prospects, it&#8217;s going to need a better pitch than &#8220;we&#8217;re doing better than Yahoo.&#8221;</p>
<p>UPDATE: For a pretty good roadmap of where the Times is headed&#8211;more dollars from customers, fewer from advertisers&#8211;check out this smart piece from the <a href="http://www.cjr.org/the_audit/nyt_now_gets_as_much_money_fro.php?page=all">Columbia Journalism Review</a>. It notes, for instance, that the Times is now making nearly as much from subscribers as from advertisers.</p>
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