Kara Swisher

Recent Posts by Kara Swisher

The Yahoo-AOL Jabberfest Continues Ad Infinitum (Plus Some Jerry Yang Chitter-Chatter on Video)

Last week–in a clear sign that BoomTown has spent way too much face time in front of the idiot box–I compared the endless bickering back-and-forth between Yahoo CEO Jerry Yang and Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer to the annoying push-me-pull-you antics of Ross and Rachel on the television show, “Friends.”

But the continuing discussions between Yahoo and AOL execs over the merger of their struggling online companies have their own TV comparison–the never-ending roundelay on “The View.”

In other words: Blah, blah, blah. Chitter-chatter. Pointless arguing. Chin-scratching. More blah, blah. More chatter. Blah.

Thus, there were still more discussions going on at Yahoo HQ this past week about the possible deal, in which Yahoo is code-named Yale and AOL Amherst.

Along with Yahoo CEO Jerry Yang and President Sue Decker, the key Yahoo (YHOO) execs involved in pushing forward the effort, are U.S. head Hilary Schneider, and Greg Mrva, a former investment banker and analyst who is in charge of mergers and acquisitions at the company.

As I previously wrote, the main suits involved in repping the Time Warner (TWX) unit are AOL President Ron Grant and Time Warner M&A SVP Jim Burtson.

“More of the same discussions about how it would all integrate,” said one source close to the situation at Yahoo. “Same as always.”

Added an AOL source, in what I consider the understatement of the year: “There has not been a lot of clarity in decision-making at Yahoo.”

Big surprise: Still no deal!

That’s unusual to me, since all the true obstacles–namely, the collapse of the controversial search advertising deal Yahoo tried to strike with Google (GOOG), AOL and Yahoo’s results coming in as weak as expected and, lastly, a definite lack of interest from Microsoft (MSFT) to rebid for Yahoo–are no longer in the way.

And, of course, Yahoo’s share price–the stock has settled into the depressing $11 to $12 range that gives the company a $15.7 billion valuation–is simply not going up any time soon.

So, if the deal is to be done, the price–or percentage, really–will probably have to be based on today’s reality, which is a very bleak outlook in the graphical online advertising business in which Yahoo plays most strongly.

That’s why dithering is a problem for this possible marriage, despite all the obvious complexity.

For one, it takes all the air out of any momentum such a combination could produce for either Yahoo or AOL, which will be much needed in the current economic environment.

In fact, such an econalypse is actually the perfect cover to try to pull this turnaround–and it is exactly that–off, given few investors or media will expect much from the merger for a while and be more forgiving.

In addition, the slash-and-burn integration needed to drastically refocus the new company–hopefully on three things only: advertising, content and communications–will be easier now more than later when the financial outlook improves.

“Things are going to get a lot worse than people think,” said one AOL exec. “So, this is a really good time for a reset and for cleaning things up.”

It is also easier now to bring in fresh ideas and new leadership to a combined Yahoo/AOL, as a new company will surely give many talented outside execs who have avoided both separately a reason to look again.

I could go on as to why this deal should move forward quickly, but here is one piece of great advice I got several years ago, from a well-known Internet entrepreneur whose company had just taken a big gamble by buying a controversial but fast-growing start-up in a key category.

At the time, many decried the move as too risky and too pricey and too thoughtlessly done. When I asked the exec about this, he did not argue, but offered this:

“No one really knows how anything is going to turn out, no matter how long they think it through,” he said. “But, I believe it will all work out if we execute well on the promise, because I did know one thing for sure: It was the right direction.”

And, indeed, while you can puzzle over a map endlessly, knowing the right direction to go in is the only thing one can be sure of in almost any circumstance in life.

Therefore, all Yahoo and AOL have to do is pick a path–whether it be to move on or merge–and just go.

By tomorrow would work for me.

In the meantime, below is a video I did of Yahoo’s Yang onstage at the Web 2.0 Summit in San Francisco last week, talking about the travails of the last year.

It includes him saying Microsoft should still buy Yahoo, which felt a little too much like a plea to me. (I happened to be sitting next to some Microsoft execs during the speech and they did not look too moved by the begging.)

But judge for yourself–here’s the video (yes, the Web 2.0 Summit organizers did flash a picture of a jar of Jif peanut butter as a joke–ha, ha, referring to the infamous Yahoo “Peanut Butter Manifesto”):


comments so far. Add yours.

  • Mike Kane

    Kara,

    Nothing of substance will happen under Yang’s tenure. He has no clear vision, no clear direction and everyone has lost any confidence in his abilities to move the company in the right direction. For better or worse, Yang has a few numbers to deal with that hang around his neck like an albatross. Today’s market cap is just under $15 billion. He turned down $49.5 billion and bet big on Google. He lost, we’re down $34.5 billion, all of the rest is just rearranging the deck chairs and no matter how affable Yang appears in public, the fact of the matter remains that he blew it big time and he has no clear path to turning it around. If he had any honor, or really cared about the company, he’d resign.

  • Mike Kane

    Updated. Since my post 1/2 hour ago, YHOO’s market cap lost another $500m, so the market cap is at $14.5, so Yang has cost us an even $35 BILLION dollars since May. My only hope is that we don’t have to wait until the next shareholder meeting to dump him, there may not be anything left. It is inexcusable that Yang is still in charge. No one has any confidence in him. His strategic vision, his leadership abilities, his communication to shareholders are all nonexistent and most importantly all of his plans have failed. If he had any cards left, AOL notwithstanding, he should have played them by now, but as you note Kara, this AOL thing is yet another unending blunder during the Yang tenure.

  • Sam Harrison

    yang never bet on google, that was a ploy to get microsoft to go away

    and it worked…all too well

    sometimes you have to be careful what you wish for – you just might get it

    microsoft no more needs yahoo than a bat needs guano

    and even if yang is gone, the basic problem is that yahoo has no ‘killer apps’ — nothing unique

  • http://www.garibim.net erdem ela

    It was delightful to see Bill and Steve sharing a stage and reminiscing about their stuff, but I was surprised that Bill (gadgets) and Steve (widgets) didn’t settle the debate about the original inventor of the widget.

    One can never have too many widgets. Somebody codes something you never even dreamed of wanting – suddenly everybody

    lig tv izle
    bedava ligtv izle
    garibim
    deyimler
    ?iir türleriçetchatsohbet needs a whole bunch of widgets because they don’t impinge too much on the screen/template real estate.

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